官网首页 › 研究观点 › 观点正文

【土拍前瞻187】泰州市-泰兴城北片区枕淮路西侧(TX2025-01)地块项目定位报告(4.9日开拍)

发布于 2025-04-07

<p data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">一、项目概况</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">地块编号:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">TX2025-01</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">位置:</span>泰州市泰兴城北片区,枕淮路西侧,邻近龙河路北侧、银杏路南侧。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">出让面积:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">4889</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">平方米(约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">7.33</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亩)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">容积率:</span>≤</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.0</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">起始价:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元,折合楼面价约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1047</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">平方米(按最大容积率计算)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">规划用途:</span>商住混合用地(商业</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">住宅),可开发商业、办公及住宅业态。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">开发周期:</span>建议</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2-3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年,分两期开发(首期商业</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">住宅同步建设,二期视市场反馈调整)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">二、区位分析</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.交通配套</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">主干道:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">枕淮路:南北向次干道,连接如泰运河风光带与阳江路,已建成双向四车道。</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">鼓楼北路:城北核心商业轴线,贯穿万达广场、吾悦广场等综合体。</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">龙河路、银杏路:</span>东西向主干道,规划路网密度高,提升区域通达性。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">公共交通:</span>邻近鼓楼商圈公交枢纽,未来或增设站点覆盖地块周边。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.商业配套</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">成熟商业:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">万达广场(运营中):日均客流量超</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">1.5</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">万人次,辐射城北及乡镇客群。</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">吾悦广场</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">+</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">状元街:</span>休闲娱乐一体化,吸引年轻家庭消费。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">在建</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">/</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">规划商业:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">迎幸广场(在建):含五星级酒店、奥特莱斯购物中心,定位</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">“生态</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">+</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">商业”综合体。</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">凤凰文化广场(在建):</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">6</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">大功能中心,覆盖文化、健身、餐饮等业态。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.教育资源</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">名校集群:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">襟江小学镇海校区、实验初中文江校区:本地</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">TOP</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">级教育资源。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">泰兴中学新校区:省级重点高中,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2018</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年投入使用。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">幼儿园:</span>育红幼儿园龙河园区、市级机关幼儿园分园。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.医疗资源</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">新中医院(北院):</span>按三甲标准建设,床位</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">600</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">张,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2023</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年投用。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">妇幼保健院:</span>配套</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">200</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">张床位,与中医院共享地源热泵中央空调系统。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">5.生态休闲</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">如泰运河风光带:</span>滨河景观长廊,规划慢行步道与亲水平台。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">龙河湾城市中央公园:</span>规划中的城市绿核,提升片区宜居性。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">三、市场分析</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.供需现状:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">需求端:</span>城北人口导入加速,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2023</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年泰兴常住人口城镇化率超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">65%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,年轻家庭及改善型需求旺盛。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">供给端:</span>竞品以高层住宅为主(如恒大悦府、优优华府),商业以社区底商为主,缺乏综合性商住项目。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.竞争格局:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">同类地块溢价率:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2021</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年海湖地产竞得银杏路北侧地块(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">R</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">≤</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.4</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">),溢价率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">14.37%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,楼面价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6750</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡;</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年科太路地块溢价率约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">15%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,楼面价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5565</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">差异化机会:</span>城北缺乏</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">“商业</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">生态”复合型项目,迎幸广场建成后将形成联动效应。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.政策利好:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">泰兴</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">“北移”战略:</span>百亿级城北规划,重点发展商业、教育、医疗。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">绿色建筑补贴:新</span>中医院项目获二星级绿色建筑标识,政策倾斜低碳开发。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">四、产品定位</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.核心属性:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商住综合体:</span>底层商业(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">)、上部住宅(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">70%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">),容积率用足至</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.0</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">生态标签:</span>借力枕淮路绿化提升工程(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2024</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年启动),打造屋顶花园与垂直绿化。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.业态组合:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商业部分:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1-2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">层:社区超市、餐饮、教育培训(依托学校客群)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">层:共享办公空间(吸引小微创业企业)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">住宅部分:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">小高层(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">8-12</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">层):主力户型</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">80-120</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡,全明户型</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">双卫设计。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">顶层复式:赠送露台,瞄准改善客群。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.设计建议:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">动线优化:</span>商业与住宅入口分离,减少干扰。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">智能配套:</span>预装新能源充电桩、智能门禁系统。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.差异化竞争力:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">景观资源:</span>邻近如泰运河风光带,住宅单元设置</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">270</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">°观景阳台。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商业联动:</span>与迎幸广场错位互补,引入亲子体验业态(如儿童游乐、艺术培训)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">五、客户定位</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.核心客群:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">本地年轻家庭:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">25-40</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">岁,子女教育需求强烈,偏好“商业</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">学区”组合。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">周边乡镇改善客:</span>追求城市配套升级,注重医疗与商业便利性。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.细分客群:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">投资客:</span>商业部分可售小面积商铺(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30-50</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡),总价控制在</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">100-150</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">养老客群:</span>中医院辐射范围内,推出适老化住宅(无障碍设计、紧急呼叫系统)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">六、开发建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.产品设计:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">采用装配式建筑技术,缩短工期(参考新中医院项目经验)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">商业部分预留弹性空间(如可拆卸隔墙),适应业态调整。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.营销策略:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">线上:</span>抖音</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">小红书投放“城北生活样板间”短视频,突出教育资源与商业配套。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">线下:</span>联合万达广场举办亲子活动,导流潜在客户。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.风险提示:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">政策风险:</span>城北开发依赖政府规划落地速度,需关注迎幸广场建设进度。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">资金风险:</span>商业部分去化周期较长,建议预售住宅反哺商业开发。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">七、拍卖出价建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.历史参考:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2021</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年枕淮路西侧地块(商业性质)起始价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2780</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元,溢价率约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">10%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年同类商住地块溢价率普遍在</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">15-20%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.建议总价:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1200-1330</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元(溢价率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">17-30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">),楼面价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1227-1360</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.竞拍策略:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">前期低调跟进,后期在</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.1-1.2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元区间果断加价。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;">关注政府土地出让计划,避免与大型综合体地块同期竞拍。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">八、总结</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">区位优势:</span>城北核心发展区,交通、教育、医疗资源高度密集。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">市场定位:</span>填补“生态</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">商业”复合型产品空白,锁定年轻家庭与改善客群。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">产品策略:</span><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">商住一体化设计,突出景观资源与智能配套。</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">客户聚焦:</span>本地刚需为主,兼顾投资与养老需求。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">开发关键:</span>平衡商业去化与住宅现金流,紧密跟踪政策动向。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">出价逻辑:</span>溢价率控制在</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">以内,总价不超过</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1300</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(注:本报告数据均来自公开统计及行业调研,分析结论仅供参考)</span></font></span></p><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px;margin-top: 16px;"><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 宋体;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.476px;"></span></section><p style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top: 0px;"><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(127, 127, 127);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;caret-color: red;"><span leaf="">*</span></span><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 宋体;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.476px;"></span></p><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;"><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 0px 8px;outline: 0px;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;"><span leaf="">加入我们一起学习</span></span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 0px 8px;outline: 0px;line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;caret-color: red;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-decoration: none solid rgb(127, 127, 127);"><span leaf="">Join our study group</span></span></p></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 16px;margin-top: 16px;" nodeleaf=""><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-imgfileid="100036047" data-ratio="0.4595300261096606" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/sz_mmbiz_png/VXjHib6YROwlXfAQF3A26suo6p9w00eMZoyV7m9VamRjB8Rn2faCKibWCNNaATXll7jepE6jOCfgicm6dsIZH13Zg/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg" data-type="png" data-w="383"></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 16px;margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><span leaf="">&nbsp;DeepSeek 深度融合地产实操课</span></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 16px;margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-size: var(--articleFontsize);letter-spacing: 0.034em;"><span leaf="">&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></span><span leaf="">&nbsp; &nbsp;<img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-imgfileid="100036054" data-ratio="0.9777777777777777" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/sz_mmbiz_png/VXjHib6YROwlXfAQF3A26suo6p9w00eMZA6slk3reAoDIyH2bXdmuAQicGJGalicdZIUSDHib8E95LVrZXCic3z5DZA/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg" data-type="png" data-w="135" style="text-align: center;font-size: var(--articleFontsize);letter-spacing: 0.034em;">&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 16px;margin-top: 16px;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;font-size: 12px;"><span leaf="">DeepSeek 深度融合公务员实操课</span></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 16px;margin-top: 16px;" nodeleaf=""><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-imgfileid="100036055" data-ratio="0.9849624060150376" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/sz_mmbiz_png/VXjHib6YROwlXfAQF3A26suo6p9w00eMZgJckNT1BQkkhCEibc2ic9hp4LUfwAshhwWEUmkgRFEYxPDyzVBCYDkGw/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg" data-type="png" data-w="133" style="text-align: center;font-size: var(--articleFontsize);letter-spacing: 0.034em;"></section><section style="margin-bottom: 16px;margin-top: 16px;" nodeleaf=""><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-imgfileid="100036069" data-ratio="0.43431221020092736" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/sz_mmbiz_jpg/VXjHib6YROwlXfAQF3A26suo6p9w00eMZiaqkp43RyDGDbI8AlaicupWn33G6adtQibTgrOxS4vbrDzLBEOZ1L8ulg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&amp;from=appmsg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="647" style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;width: 578px;height: 251px;"></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px;margin-top: 16px;"><section style="display: none;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span leaf=""><br /></span></section></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px;margin-top: 16px;"><section style="display: none;margin-top: 24px;"><span leaf=""><br /></span></section></section><p style="display: none;"><mp-style-type data-value="3"></mp-style-type></p>

← 返回观点全库