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【土拍前瞻210】扬州-开发区GZ658地块项目定位报告(4.16日开拍)

发布于 2025-04-14

<p data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">一、项目概况</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">地块编号:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">GZ658</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">位置:</span>扬子津街道,南至规划横四路,西至纵三路,东北至规划用地边界。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">出让面积:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">11015</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡(约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">16.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亩)</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">容积率:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.01</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">R</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">≤</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.25</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(限高</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">10-36</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米,低密社区)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">起始价:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.07</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元(楼面价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">7793</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡)</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">规划用途:</span>纯住宅用地,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">70</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年产权。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">开发周期:</span>预计</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月拿地,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">Q3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">开工,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2027</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">Q2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">交付,分两期开发(首期优先叠墅产品)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">二、区位分析</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.交通配套</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">主干路网:</span>紧邻扬子江路(城市主干道)和城南快速路(快速通达主城)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">轨道交通:</span>规划地铁</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">号线扬子津站(远期规划,需关注政府批复进展)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.商业配套</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">高端商业:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里内覆盖万达广场(二城商圈)、中海九樾社区底商(餐饮、便利店)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">规划商业:</span>绿投</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">GZ602</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">地块规划第四代商业街区(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年建成)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.教育资源</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">基础教育:</span>扬子津小学(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)、华东师范大学邗江实验学校(规划中,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年招生)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">高等教育:</span>扬子津大学城(扬州大学、南邮通达学院等,潜在教师客群)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.医疗资源</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">三甲医院:</span>苏北人民医院经开区分院(在建,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年运营,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">5.生态休闲</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">公园绿地:</span>扬子津生态园(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里,露营、滨水步道)、古渡公园(文化地标)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">三、市场分析</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.供需现状</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">需求端:</span>扬子津板块近</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年住宅成交均价年涨幅</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">8%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,改善型需求占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">60%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(中海九樾院子</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">143-216</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡户型去化率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">90%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">供应端:</span>当前板块仅中海九樾院子(尾盘)、绿投</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">GZ602</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(未上市),竞争压力较小。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.竞争格局</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">直接竞品:</span>绿投</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">GZ602</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">地块(容积率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,规划联排别墅</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">洋房大平层,预计</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年入市)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">间接竞品:</span>生态科技新城</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">GZ679</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">地块(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6404</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡楼面价,定位刚需)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.政策利好</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">城市规划:</span>扬子津“绿腰带”工程(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年启动,提升沿路生态及商业活力)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">产业导入:</span>扬子津科创园(高新技术企业聚集,吸引高收入人群)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">四、产品定位</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.核心属性</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">低密高端社区:</span>容积率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.25</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,限高</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">36</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米,建议打造</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">8-11</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">层洋房</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">叠墅组合</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.业态组合</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">主力产品:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">叠墅:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">165-190</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡下叠(附赠庭院、地下室),中叠</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">160-180</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡(露台)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">洋房大平层:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">143-169</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡(四房,双主卧套间设计)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">配套:</span>社区会所(健身、书吧)、下沉式庭院。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.设计建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">外立面:</span>新中式风格,石材</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">铝板</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">玻璃幕墙。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">户型优化:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">洋房得房率</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">≥</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">85%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(减少公摊,优化核心筒);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">叠墅增加地下室采光井(提升功能性)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">科技赋能:</span>全屋智能家居系统。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.差异化竞争力&nbsp;</span></span></font></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">生态溢价:</span>利用“绿腰带”景观资源,打造滨水步道入户。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">圈层纯粹性:</span>全社区</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">143</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡以上户型,避免小面积刚需产品。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">五、客户定位</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.核心客群</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">改善型家庭:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">35-50</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">岁,企事业单位高管、私营业主,注重子女教育及社区品质。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">地缘客户:</span>扬子津街道原住民(拆迁置换需求)、周边高校教师。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.客群细分</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">高端改善:</span>预算</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">500-800</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万,偏好叠墅产品(占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">40%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">品质升级:</span>预算</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">300-500</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万,选择洋房大平层(占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">60%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">六、开发建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.产品设计</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">分期开发:</span>首期推出叠墅(高溢价),二期洋房(快速回款)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">展示区:</span>优先沿纵三路布局样板间,结合绿植隔离噪音。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.营销策略</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">核心卖点:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: circle;margin-left: 32px;margin-right: 32px;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">“主城最后低密墅区”(稀缺性);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">“双名校</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">三甲医院”配套(家庭客群痛点)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">渠道合作:</span>联动中海九樾老业主(老带新奖励</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.风险提示</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">配套延迟:</span>华东师范大学分校建设进度、地铁</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">号线规划不确定性。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">政策风险:</span>扬州限价政策可能加码(需预留价格弹性)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">七、拍卖出价建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.历史成交参考</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">同类地块:</span>绿投</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">GZ602</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2024</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年成交,溢价率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">23%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,楼面价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">8857</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.出价策略</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">合理总价:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.23-1.28</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元(溢价率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">15%-20%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,楼面价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">8960-9350</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">上限建议:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.35</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元(溢价率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">26%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,需测算成本利润率≥</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">12%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">八、总结</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">区位优势:</span>交通便捷、生态资源优渥,但需关注教育医疗配套落地进度。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">市场机会:</span>板块高端改善需求旺盛,竞争空白明显。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">产品策略:</span>以叠墅</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">洋房组合打造稀缺低密社区,强化科技与生态溢价。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">客户聚焦:</span>高净值家庭与地缘客群并重,精准营销提升转化率。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">开发节奏:</span>快周转与品质平衡,优先高溢价产品。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">拍卖竞价:</span>建议以</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.25</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元为竞拍目标,溢价率控制在</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">18%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">以内。</span></font></span></p></li></ul><section><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></section><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="margin-top: 16px;margin-bottom: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(注:本报告数据均来自公开统计及行业调研,分析结论仅供参考)</span></font></span></p><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px;margin-top: 16px;"><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 宋体;font-size: 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