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【土拍前瞻259】镇江-润州区太平路以西地块项目定位报告(4.24日开拍)

发布于 2025-04-22

<ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"></ul><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">一、项目概况</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">地块编号:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025-1-2(R2503)</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">位置:</span>润州区太平路以西,北临规划支路,南接城市主干道天润大道,西侧为未开发绿地,东侧紧邻成熟居住区。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">出让面积:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">51,366</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡(约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">77</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亩)</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">规划用途:</span>居住用地</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">容积率:</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.01</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">R</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">≤</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,限高</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">36</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米,适宜低密社区开发。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">起始价:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">34,389</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元(楼面价约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5,200</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">开发周期建议:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年拿地,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年一季度开工,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2027</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年底交付,周期约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">二、区位分析</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">交通配套</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">路网:</span>太平路为双向四车道次干道,东接润州大道(城市快速路),</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">15</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">分钟直达润州高铁站;天润大道连接主城区,通勤便捷。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">轨交:</span>规划地铁</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">号线“润州西站”距地块</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2027</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年通车)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">公交:</span>地块</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">500</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米内有</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">条公交线(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">12</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">路、</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">28</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">路、</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">35</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">路),覆盖润州政务中心、万达商圈。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商业配套</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">成熟商圈:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里内万达广场(日均客流</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万人次)、永辉超市;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">社区商业:</span>东侧</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里润州花园底商集群(餐饮、便利店、药店)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">教育资源</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">幼儿园:</span>润州实验幼儿园(省级示范,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">中小学:</span>润州实验小学(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)、润州一中(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里,省重点)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">医疗资源</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">润州区人民医院(二甲,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)、润州中医院(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.8</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">5.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">生态休闲</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">公园:</span>太平河滨水公园(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">800</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米,规划</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年建成);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">景观:</span>西侧未开发绿地可打造社区内部景观轴。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">三、市场分析</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">供需现状</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">存量:</span>润州区</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年一季度住宅存量约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">45</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万㎡,去化周期</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">8</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">个月,供需平衡;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">需求:</span>改善型需求占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">60%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">120-140</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡为主),年轻家庭占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">90-110</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">竞争格局</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">竞品项目:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里内仅</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">个在售竞品——润州府(均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">18,500</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡,月去化</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">套);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">差异化机会:</span>竞品以高层为主,本地块可主打“低密洋房</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">商业街”组合。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">政策利好</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">润州区</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年人才购房补贴加码(博士补贴</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">商住混合用地税收减免政策延续至</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年底。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">四、产品定位</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">核心属性</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">低密生态社区:</span>容积率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,限高</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">36</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米,规划</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6-8</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">层洋房</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">叠墅产品;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商住融合:</span>沿太平路布局</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">层商业街(餐饮、便利店),与住宅区动静分离。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">业态组合</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">住宅:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">80%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">面积,洋房(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">80%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">)、叠墅(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">),主力户型</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">110-140</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商业:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">面积,集中式商业街(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5,000</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡)</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">社区底商(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2,000</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">设计建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">户型:</span>洋房设计南北通透“四叶草”户型(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">140</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡四房),叠墅增加露台和地下室附加值;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">景观:</span>中央打造“一轴双园”(儿童乐园</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">健身步道),利用西侧绿地设置生态屏障;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">科技:</span>全屋智能家居系统(标配),商业街引入新能源充电桩。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">差异化竞争力</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">稀缺性:</span>润州西首个容积率≤</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">的低密项目;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">溢价点:</span>地铁</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">号线预期、滨水公园景观资源。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">五、客户定位</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">核心客群</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">本地改善家庭(</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">60%</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">):</span>年龄</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">35-50</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">岁,追求品质升级与学区资源;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">年轻夫妻(</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">25%</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">):</span>首置或首改,偏好小面积洋房;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">周边产业人群(</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">15%</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">):</span>润州科技园员工(距地块</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">4</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里),注重通勤便利。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">客群细分需求</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">改善家庭:</span>关注四房户型、社区环境及教育资源;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">年轻客群:</span>倾向</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">90-110</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡户型、商业配套与智能科技。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">六、开发建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">产品设计</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">优先开发洋房,商业街招商同步启动(引入连锁品牌提升价值)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">营销策略</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">线上:</span>抖音</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">小红书主打“低密生活”场景,邀请本地网红探店;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">线下:</span>设立天润大道城市展厅,开放实景样板区。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">风险提示</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">政策风险:</span>商住比例调整可能性(需与政府提前沟通);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">市场风险:</span>科技园产业落地进度影响客群导入。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">七、拍卖出价建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">可比地块:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2024</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年润州西同类地块溢价率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">18%-25%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(如润州府地块溢价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">22%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">建议总价:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">41,200-42,500</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元(溢价率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20%-23%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">),对应楼面价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6,200-6,400</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">策略:</span>前期稳健跟价,后期紧盯国企对手,溢价超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">25%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">需谨慎。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">八、总结与复核</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">区位:</span>交通、教育、生态资源均属实,商业配套需依赖地块自建;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">市场:</span>改善需求主导,低密产品稀缺;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">产品:</span>洋房</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">叠墅组合适配客群,商业街需差异化招商;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">开发:</span>控制商业开发周期,避免现金流压力;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">出价:</span>合理溢价上限</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">23%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,需预留利润空间。</span></font></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;letter-spacing: 0.034em;background-color: transparent;"><span leaf="">(注:本报告数据均来自公开统计及行业调研,分析结论仅供参考)</span></span><span leaf=""><br /></span></p><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-top: 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