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【土拍前瞻264】镇江-扬中市宜禾路南侧、中电大道西侧地块项目定位报告(4.24日开拍)

发布于 2025-04-22

<ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"></ul><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">一、项目概况</span></span></font><font face="宋体"></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">地块编号:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">经</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">-01</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">号</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">位置:</span>扬中市宜禾路南侧、中电大道西侧,紧邻红星国际生活广场与扬中市人民政府,处于城西核心发展区。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">出让面积:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">48,963.88</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡,约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">73.45</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亩,为扬中近年来挂牌的稀缺低密商住地块。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">容积率:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">≤</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">R</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">≤</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,限高未明确,但根据容积率推测可规划多层洋房、叠墅及配套商业。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">起始价:</span>总价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.6661</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元,按容积率上限计算,起拍楼面价约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3630</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">规划用途:</span>商住混合用地,商业占比预计</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20%-30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,住宅部分需结合低密改善需求设计。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">开发周期:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年拿地,</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年初开工,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2027</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年底交付,周期约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">二、区位分析</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.交通配套:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">路网:</span>地块紧邻宜禾路(城市主干道)、中电大道,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">10</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">分钟直达扬中一桥、三桥,连接镇江主城及丹阳。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">轨交:</span>无地铁规划,但地块</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里内有扬中客运站,公交线路覆盖明珠广场、吾悦广场等核心商圈。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">自驾:</span>通过中电大道快速衔接扬中大道,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">分钟可达镇江新区高铁站。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.商业配套:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">成熟商业:</span>红星美凯龙、吾悦广场(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)、博联商贸广场(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">800</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">未来潜力:</span>地块东侧为中电集团厂房改造地块,规划</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">40</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万方商业综合体(含爱琴海购物中心),预计</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2027</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年建成。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.教育资源:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">幼儿园:</span>明珠广场西侧城西幼儿园(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">500</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">中小学:</span>明珠小学(省示范,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)、外国语学校联合分校(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.医疗资源:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">扬中市人民医院(三甲,</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)、联合医院(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">公里)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">5.生态休闲:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">城西公园(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">800</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">米)、扬子河风光带(滨水步道)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">三、市场分析</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.供需现状:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">存量:</span>扬中</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年一季度住宅库存约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">35</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万㎡,去化周期</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">10</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">个月,商住地块稀缺;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">需求:</span>改善型需求占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">60%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">120-140</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡为主),年轻家庭占</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">90-110</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡),投资客占</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">10%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.竞争格局:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">直接竞品:</span>保集梧桐墅(均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6650</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡,主打高层)、红星铂樾(均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">8500</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡,低密洋房);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">差异化机会:</span>竞品以纯住宅为主,本地块可打造“商住融合</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">社区商业”模式,填补区域商业空白。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.政策利好:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">扬中“以旧换新”契税补贴:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2024</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年起购房享</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.5%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">契税减免;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">城西板块规划升级:</span></span><span leaf="">中电地块商业综合体、政务区扩容提升地块价值。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">四、产品定位</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.核心属性:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">低密生态社区:</span>容积率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">以下,规划</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6-8</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">层洋房</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">叠墅,绿化率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">35%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">以上,中央景观轴串联儿童乐园与健身步道;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商住融合:</span>沿中电大道布局</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">层开放式商业街(餐饮、便利店),与住宅区动静分离。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.业态组合:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">住宅(</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">70%</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">):</span>洋房(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">80-120</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡,占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">60%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">)、叠墅(</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">140-180</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡,占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">40%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商业(</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">30%</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">):</span>社区商业(生鲜超市、药店)、特色餐饮(引入本土河豚主题餐厅)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.设计建议:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">户型创新:洋</span><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">房采用“四叶草”布局(南北通透),叠墅增加地下室与露台附加值;</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">绿色科技:</span>全屋智能家居系统(标配)、屋顶光伏板</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">垂直绿化,符合“双碳”趋势;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">商业动线:</span>开放式街区</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">下沉广场,衔接中电未来商业综合体人流。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.差异化竞争力:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">稀缺性:</span>城西唯一容积率≤</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">的商住地块;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">溢价点:</span>中电商业综合体预期、政务区核心地段。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">五、客户定位</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.核心客群:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">本地改善家庭(</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">60%</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">):</span><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">年龄</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">35-50</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">岁,关注学区与低密环境,偏好四房户型;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">年轻夫妻(</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">25%</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">):</span>首置或首改,倾向</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">90-110</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡洋房,注重商业配套;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">周边产业人群(</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">15%</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">):</span>中电大道沿线企业员工、投资者,关注通勤与租金回报。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.客群细分需求:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">改善家庭:</span>需主卧套房</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">双儿童房设计;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">年轻客群:</span>偏好开放式厨房</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">社交型客厅;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">投资者:</span>关注商业街招商品牌与运营能力。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">六、开发建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.产品设计:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">分期开发:</span>首期推出洋房快速回款,商业街招商同步启动(优先引入连锁品牌);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">成本控制:</span>采用装配式建筑(政策要求装配率≥</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">50%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.营销策略:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">线上:</span>抖音</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">小红书主打“城西低密生活”场景,邀请本地网红探盘;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">线下:</span>设立吾悦广场城市展厅,开放实景样板区,举办河豚文化节联动营销。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.风险提示:</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">政策风险:</span>商住比例调整可能(需与政府提前沟通容积率细则);</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">市场风险:</span>中电商业综合体建设进度影响客群导入预期。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">七、拍卖出价建议</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">建议总价:</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3.2-3.3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元(溢价率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20%-23%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">),对应楼面价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">4350-4470</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">策略:</span>前期稳健跟价,溢价超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">25%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">需谨慎(考虑商业运营成本)。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: #7c8b09;font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">八、总结与复核</span></span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">区位:</span>政务区</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">中电商业规划属实,教育、医疗配套经复核无误;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">市场:</span>改善需求主导,低密产品稀缺,政策红利明确;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">产品:</span>商住组合适配客群,需强化商业招商差异化;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">开发:</span>控制商业开发周期,避免现金流压力;</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p></li><li><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">出价:</span>合理溢价上限</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">23%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">,需预留中电商业进度缓冲空间。</span></font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><span style="font-family: Calibri;font-size: 10.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p></li></ul><p style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;letter-spacing: 0.034em;background-color: transparent;"><span leaf="">(注:本报告数据均来自公开统计及行业调研,分析结论仅供参考)</span></span><span leaf=""><br /></span></p><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span 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