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【客研月报057】2025年1-3月：合肥房地产市场和客户研究月报 原创 已修改 第1次修改 2025年04月09日 13时45分 か℃簡簡單單

发布于 2025-04-09

<section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style=""><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style=""><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px;margin-top: 16px;"><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 宋体;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.476px;"></span></section><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">01</span><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">市场概况</span></span></font></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">整体市场表现</span></span></font></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年一季度合肥楼市呈现“先抑后扬”态势，</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月迎来“小阳春”行情。</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1-2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月受春节淡季影响，新房成交低迷，但</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月快速反弹，市区新房成交约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2092</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">套，同比上涨</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">53.04%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，二手房成交</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">9318</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">套（截至</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">日），单周成交稳定在</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2000</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">套左右。</span></font></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">新房均价结构性分化明显，滨湖、政务区均价超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡，新站区维持</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.6</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡价格洼地；二手房市场“以价换量”特征显著，政务、滨湖次新房降价幅度达</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">10%-30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，带动刚需入场。</span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">政策与热点事件</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><section><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">政策端持续宽松，购房补贴、公积金异地贷款全面放开（如滁州公积金可用于苏州购房）及房贷利率低位运行（首套利率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">）降低置业门槛。土地市场国央企主导，包河、滨湖核心地块稀缺性凸显，房企投资向皖北低成本城市外溢。</span></font></span></section><section><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">热点板块如瑶海东部新中心、包河淝河板块规划红利释放，远大九庐（滨湖）、保利龙川瑧悦（政务东）等高端项目入市提振市场预期。</span></font><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></section><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">02</span><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-weight: bold;">客户画像分析</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.客户基础特征</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><br /></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">年龄分布】</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">85</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">后（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">21.6%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">）、</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">90</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">后（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">21.3%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">）为主力，</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">00</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">后（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6.2%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">）首次置业需求上升。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">需求分层：刚需占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">60%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，总价预算</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">50-150</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万，偏好</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">70-90</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡中小户型，集中新站、瑶海低价次新房；改善群体占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，总价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">200-400</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万，关注</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">120-150</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡品质住宅，聚焦政务、滨湖、高新核心区。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.行为偏好</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">新房选择】改善客群青睐“高得房率、低容积率”新计容项目（如置地松谷鸣翠、绿城锦海棠），刚需倾向高性价比楼盘（如皖投云启锦上）。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">二手偏好】政务、庐阳优质学区房成改善置换焦点；新站、瑶海总价</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">70-80</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万次新房吸引外地刚需。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">03</span><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">区域市场对比</span></span></font></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.分区域表现</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><br /></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">核心区（政务、滨湖、高新）】政务区新房均价</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.9</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡，滨湖省府板块高端盘（远大九庐）支撑</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡天花板；二手房价格韧性较强，政务学区房挂牌价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.6</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">新兴区（包河、经开）】新兴区（包河、经开）：包河区成交金额</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">68.87</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元居首，淝河板块贡献超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">；经开区置地松谷鸣翠（均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3.16</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡）拉动区域高端化。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">远郊（新站、瑶海）】新站区均价</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.6</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡承接外溢刚需；瑶海东部新中心（邦泰悦九章）热度攀升，库存压力仍存。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.板块价值分析</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">政务东板块（包河）】依托政务区外溢，保利龙川瑧悦（纯低密洋房）成改善新宠，客群圈层纯粹。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">蜀西湖板块（高新）】量子科技、半导体产业驱动，绿城锦海棠（均价</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3.02</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡）引领区域价值。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">东部新中心（瑶海）】规划红利释放，但配套待完善，依赖“以价换量”去化。</span></font></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">04</span></span><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-weight: bold;">竞争格局</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">房企集中度</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">】国央企占主导，</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">TOP3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">房企（安徽置地、合肥城建、四川邦泰）一季度销售均超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">13</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元，市场份额向头部集中。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">产品竞争】新计容项目占比过半，品质升级（如远大九庐智慧住宅）成差异化核心；非计容项目通过性价比（如皖投云启华章）争夺份额。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">外来房企】万科、绿城等深耕品牌受认可，港资（新鸿基）及部分粤系房企（卓越）尚未布局。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">05</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">热销项目分析</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">邦泰悦九章（瑶海东新）</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">】</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月成交</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">120</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">套居首，</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">113</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡三房两卫使用率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">93%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，总价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">230</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万内，精准承接老城改善外溢。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">招商奥体公园（新站）】单价</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.3-1.8</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡，首付</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万即可上车，配建学校</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">地铁，吸引年轻产业人口。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">中海悦府二期（包河淝河）】首开去化</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">80%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，得房率超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">90%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">143</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡四房双卫设计创新。</span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">06</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">专家与机构观点</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">合肥大学房地产研究所】二手房市场活跃反映真实需求存在，政策需进一步优化供需结构。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">第一房研究院】核心区优质资产抗跌性强，远郊非学区老房流动性风险加剧。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">中指院】合肥被列为</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年“成交规模率先回稳”城市，低库存支撑市场修复潜力。</span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">07</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">客户需求与痛点</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">需求趋势</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">】刚需客群预算刚性，优先总价</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">100</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万内二手次新或新站、瑶海新房；改善客群注重产品迭代（如得房率超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">90%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">），学区需求强烈。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">核心痛点】新房核心区门槛高（滨湖</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">300</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">），远郊去化难；二手市场议价周期长（平均</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">223</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">天），部分房源降价超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">仍难成交。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">08</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">风险与建议</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">风险提示</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">】远郊板块（新站、长丰）去化压力大，非核心学区老破小价格或继续探底；房产税试点预期升温冲击投资需求。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">策略建议】房企核心区聚焦高端产品力，远郊需加大折扣（如“以价换量”）；购房者刚需把握二手价格窗口（政务、滨湖次新笋盘），改善关注核心区新盘（如置地云台映月）。</span></font></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">09</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">未来展望</span></span></font></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">短期（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025Q2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">）】“金三银四”结构性回暖，核心区量价稳中有升（预计涨幅</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3-5%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">），政务学区房迎脉冲行情；远郊依赖降价促销，部分项目折扣或达</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">10%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">中长期（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025-2026</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">）】科创产业（量子、新能源）驱动高素质人口流入，核心区（高新、滨湖）房价对标南京（当前为南京</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">50%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">），增值空间显著；市场分化深化，远郊及非学区老房流动性风险加剧。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><section style="text-align: left;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: 宋体;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;widows: 2;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-decoration-thickness: initial;text-decoration-style: initial;text-decoration-color: initial;float: none;display: inline !important;" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span leaf="">（注：本报告数据均来自公开统计及行业调研，分析结论仅供参考</span></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 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