【客研月报062】2025年1-3月：无锡房地产市场和客户研究月报

<section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style=""><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-top: 16px;"><span style=""><span style="font-family:宋体;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px;margin-top: 16px;"><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 宋体;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.476px;"></span></section><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">01</span><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">市场概况</span></span></font></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">整体市场表现</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年一季度无锡房地产市场呈现“供增需缩”态势：</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">供应端】商品住宅新增供应</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">34.11</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万㎡，同比上涨</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20.53%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，主要受多个项目集中取证推动。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">成交端】受春节假期及市场观望情绪影响，成交面积</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">34.6</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万㎡，同比下降</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">14.98%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">；成交均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">22764</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡，同比微跌</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.88%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">库存压力】截至</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月底，全市商品住宅库存</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">506.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万㎡，去化周期约</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">18</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">个月，梁溪区库存最高（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">113.3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万㎡）。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">政策与热点事件</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">政策优化】无锡取消限售政策，延长购房补贴（多子女家庭额外补贴），推进“房票安置”及共有产权房试点。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">土地市场】一季度无新地块成交，</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2024</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年全年土地供应量同比减少</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">39%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，优质地块向低密、改善型产品倾斜。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">热点事件】经开区绿城奥体潮鸣、梁溪区隐山等高端项目入市，带动板块热度；无锡城市发展暨土地资源推介会发布</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">11</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">宗优质地块，聚焦太湖新城、蠡湖未来城等核心区域。</span></font><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">02</span><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-weight: bold;">客户画像分析</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">基础特征</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">年龄结构】改善型客户以</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">35-50</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">岁为主（占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">65%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">），刚需向新吴、惠山等外围区域扩散，</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">25-35</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">岁占比提升至</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">支付能力】主力总价段为</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">200-300</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万元（占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">21%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">），</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">110-120</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡户型最受欢迎（占比</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">34%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">），反映改善需求主导。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">行为偏好</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">产品偏好】核心区客户青睐现房或准现房（如华发中央首府、绿城奥体潮鸣）；外围区域关注性价比（如惠山大华锦绣前城，总价</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">字头）。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">决策因素】教育资源（如锡师附小学区）、交通配套（地铁</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">商业）、交付质量（绿城、仁恒品牌溢价显著）为前三大考量。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">03</span><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">区域市场对比</span></span></font></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">分区域表现</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">经开区】成交金额占比超</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">40%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，华发中央首府（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6.38</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元）、吉宝·澜岸铭邸（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">4.58</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元）包揽金额榜前二，均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">-3.1</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡，改善客群高度集中。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">梁溪区】主城优势显著，隐山、迎龙观月等低密项目成交</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.22</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元，但库存压力大（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">113</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万㎡），依赖政策刺激。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">新吴区】刚需主力区域，雅居乐远洋公园里（</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">0.8</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元）、大华公园城市（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">0.85</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元）以低总价吸引客群，但价格敏感度高。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">惠山区</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">锡山区】云锦东方、美的云璟（</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">1.6</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">-2.2</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡）逆势热销，但板块整体热度下滑。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">板块价值分析</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">奥体板块（经开）】依托奥体中心、</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">K11</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">购物中心规划，华发中央首府成价值高地。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">泰山路板块（新吴）】雅居乐远洋公园里、大华公园城市以低总价稳成交，但库存去化放缓。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">锡东新城】美的云璟价格优势显著，但地铁延期导致规划兑现度存疑。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">04</span><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-weight: bold;">市场价格走势分析</span></span><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><br /></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">整体趋稳</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">】</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月商品住宅成交均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">23077</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡，环比上涨</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5.4%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，但同比仍下跌</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.88%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，价格底部企稳。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">区域分化】核心区（经开、梁溪）价格坚挺，滨湖区</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">月均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">26237</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡（别墅）；远郊板块（惠山城铁、钱桥）价格承压，部分项目以价换量。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">05</span><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: none;">竞争格局</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">分析</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">头部房企</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">】华发股份（</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">7.75</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元）、梁城美景（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6.20</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元）、新都房产（</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5.50</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元）包揽全口径前三，华发中央首府单盘贡献超</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">85%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">业绩。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">本土城投崛起】太湖新城集团、新发集团通过低价拿地</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">联合开发模式，主导新吴、滨湖土地市场。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">项目分化】</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">TOP10</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">项目市占率</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">48.8%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，核心区高端盘（如中信泰富玖映蠡湖）与外围低价盘（如美的云璟）两极分化加剧。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><section><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体" data-pm-slice="2 2 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">06</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">热销项目分析</span></span></font></span></section><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">华发中央首府（经开区）</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">】成交</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">6.38</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元，主打</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">109-129</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡精装产品，均价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2.5</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">-2.8</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡，依托奥体中心、</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">K11</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">购物中心规划，现房销售优势显著。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">吉宝·澜岸铭邸（滨湖区）】成交</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">4.58</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元，定位</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">332-754</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡湖山别墅，毛坯备案价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">36100</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">/</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡，稀缺性支撑高溢价。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">中信泰富玖映蠡湖（经开区）】成交</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3.39</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">亿元，主打</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">187-275</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡大平层，总价</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">630</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万起，蠡湖景观</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">双地铁成核心卖点。</span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">07</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">专家与机构观点</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;" data-pm-slice="3 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;,&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;0 0 []&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">克而瑞</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">】市场分化加剧，核心区改善型产品抗跌性强，远郊需警惕价格战风险。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">中指研究院】政策宽松窗口期延续，</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">2025</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">年二季度成交或环比增长</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">20%-30%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，但同比受高基数影响或持平。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">房企策略】绿城、华发等品牌房企聚焦产品力升级，中小房企转向合作开发与存量改造。</span></font></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">08</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">客户需求与痛点</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">核心需求</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">改善升级】</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">140</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡以上户型、精装交付、社区智能化（如绿城</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">WELL</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">健康标准）需求上升。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">风险规避】购房者偏好现房或准现房，对期房烂尾担忧加剧。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">主要痛点</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">价格敏感】降价促销导致观望情绪浓厚，部分项目通过“特价房</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">送车位”加速去化。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">配套落差】外围板块教育、商业资源不足，客户对规划兑现度存疑（如锡东新城地铁延期）。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">09</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">风险与建议</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">风险提示</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">库存高企】</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">519.6</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">万㎡库存需</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">18</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">个月去化，部分板块（如东北塘）面临价格战风险。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">资金链压力】中小房企融资渠道收窄，需加速回款保交付。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">策略建议</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">产品差异化】核心区强化高端改善（如仁恒科技城项目），外围主打小户型</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">+</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">低总价。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">政策红利利用】积极参与共有产权房、人才补贴等政策，降低购房门槛。</span></font></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 宋体;font-size: 10.5pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 50px;color: rgb(124, 139, 9);font-weight: bold;text-decoration: underline;">10</span></span><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;font-weight: bold;">未来展望</span></span></font></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">短期（</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2025</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">年</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">Q2</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">）</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">成交回暖】“金三银四”旺季到来，核心区改善型项目（如奥体潮鸣）持续领跑，刚需市场依赖政策刺激。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">价格趋稳】核心区微涨</span></font></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">3%-5%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">，远郊或继续下调</span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf="">5%-8%</span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">。</span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.&nbsp;</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">中长期（</span></span></font><font face="Calibri"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2025-2026</span></span></font><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">年）</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">政策驱动】人才引进、共有产权深化，推动需求结构性释放。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">产业赋能】太湖湾科创带、低空经济等新产业吸引高端人才，支撑高端住宅需求。</span></font></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">【</span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="" data-pm-slice="1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;class&quot;:&quot;MsoNormal&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;; font-family:宋体; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;; font-size:10.5000pt; mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;font&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;face&quot;:&quot;宋体&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml&quot;}]">市场出清】非核心区同质化项目加速淘汰，行业集中度向头部房企倾斜。</span></font></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">（注：本报告数据均来自公开统计及行业调研，分析结论仅供参考</span></font></span></p><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;"><span leaf="">*</span><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 宋体;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.476px;"></span></section><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;"><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 0px 8px;outline: 0px;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;"><span leaf="">加入我们一起学习</span></span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 0px 8px;outline: 0px;line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;caret-color: red;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-decoration: none solid rgb(127, 127, 127);"><span leaf="">Join our study group</span></span></p></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top: 0px;" nodeleaf=""><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-imgfileid="100036047" data-ratio="0.4595300261096606" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/sz_mmbiz_png/VXjHib6YROwlXfAQF3A26suo6p9w00eMZoyV7m9VamRjB8Rn2faCKibWCNNaATXll7jepE6jOCfgicm6dsIZH13Zg/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg" data-type="png" data-w="383" style="height: auto !important;"></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top: 0px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><span leaf="">&nbsp;DeepSeek 深度融合地产实操课</span></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top: 0px;"><span style="font-size: var(--articleFontsize);letter-spacing: 0.034em;"><span leaf="">&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></span><span leaf="">&nbsp; 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