上海北外滩拿地，招商蛇口还有利润空间吗？

<section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 1 -<br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">地块简介<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">7月3日，上海市土地交易市场，曾涉嫌“</span></span><span style="font-size: 15px;">围标</span><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">”的</span></span><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;">虹口区嘉兴路街道HK271-01地块</span><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">重新出让，</span></span><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;">招商蛇口、龙光、融信、融创、绿城、华发、保利7家</span><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">房企经过187轮竞价后，招商蛇口以总价44.04亿元摘得，溢价率28.4%。该地块为住宅用地，出让面积2.17万㎡，<span style="font-size: 15px;">成交楼面价</span><span style="font-size: 15px;">81089</span><span style="font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>，容积率2.5</span></span><span style="font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">地块位于上海北外滩，</span></span><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">东至新建路，南至周家嘴路，西至金田路，北至海拉尔路。</span><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: right;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.69921875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHShg6icOZfXRtia4lupLOXMCYhEjWrEMGQIlBjXgbrwSQuZUwpCcvnpCbg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图1：地块位置</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块价值如何呢？下面禾略带您详细解读——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 2 -<br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">城市基本面</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;城市能级&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">上海和北京是中国最特殊的两个城市，两者和深圳一起，组成了我国唯三的顶级城市梦之队，在禾略全国城市能级划分中，上海长期雄踞榜首。</span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.4625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrkIAicdIfH53qmcrEqF8qlk6aRU8ticg2GVDErV39agicRVhu8BGhTEAxeA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图2：2018年全国城市能级划分</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.44296875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrkygWgbKbTOZwzR8sbJTRonJyvGKPkib4yfC6U2yrViaku9Y4vibgvlVqibg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图3：2020年全国城市能级划分</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;经济发展&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">GDP规模稳步上升，2019年达38155亿元，二三产占比差距逐年扩大，三产占比逐年升高，2019年三产已占据绝对优势，二三产占比分别为25.86%和73.88%。</span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5015625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrkbw8kk9HrQicJ0ZicibwPooZJnIcR4zwVJNGWGCGPBW8WySvL4BXKtu85A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图4：上海历年经济指标</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;人口聚集&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">从2013年起，常住人口稳定在2400万出头，其中外来人口维持在接近1000万的规模，小学生人口在80万上下，有所波动。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.58828125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrkE8c5S5FAEv3I82jkMYY6F1uw0LGLq4T6HorkHP9Nerrib1bs1mKUzng/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图5：上海历年人口指标</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">上海长期以来为中国最大城市、经济中心、对外交流的名片，位于</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">国内城市顶层，正向世界城市迈进。</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">经济体量巨大，达3.8万亿，产业结构不断优化，三产比重越来越高；人口规模在有意控制的情况下依然常年超过2400万，吸附近1000万外来人口，小学生人数规模达80万，保证了城市未来强劲发展的可持续性。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 3 -</span></strong></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">土地现状价值<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;土地现状&nbsp;<br /></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">先从地图上对地块交通、配套和产业有个基本了解，再选取一系列反映土地价值的指标，进行熵值法打分，将得分根据自然分段法划分为5个等级，从红到绿土地成熟度依次递减。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">主要从交通通达性、生活配套和产业发展来看网格颗粒度，综合看土地网格成熟度，在上海市属于</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第二等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">，北边和西边网格均为第一等级。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSxicwzzdIZDfaricLY3VFH8WkswQ7ZIYBlQwhoeam1BGTiaurPZywzu1tw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图6：地块周边土地现状价值分布</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>&nbsp;交通通达性</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块位于上海中心城区，周边路网密集。仅轨道交通就有3条，可根据情况选择5座地铁站出行，乘坐4号线，步行627m可到海伦路，762m可到临平路；乘坐12号线，步行636m可到国际客运中心，1.1km可到提篮桥；乘坐10号线，步行1.1.km可到四川北路。到上海火车站仅2站地铁，距高铁上海南站车程31分钟，到虹桥枢纽车程43分钟。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><p style="white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5640625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSHSNpibANXpleW7aoq5drYIK8I5nA0JlibBh8yMXldLLnUrMI2uwT7piaA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><p style="white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图7：地块周边地铁站</span></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSMdxyCj60r2tCjic6VO4X7X8oI7n7vg754rDibFDREDAl3pxibkZzf9cXg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图8：地块到火车站路线图</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.70390625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSDpLGobMO4drG4n1KHQ50IyCJKm4KAehuYic8mO0zMJCLvYdCiczCzxug/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图9：地块到高铁站路线图</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.50078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSAdN4udr3G7Mau0EDyxF8YgtGMf3I4eeBvue1iaGucU13UtQ7b7tEbxQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图10：地块到虹桥机场路线图</span></p><p style="white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;"></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><br /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">从道路建设密度、自驾和公交通</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">达性来衡量综合交通，地块通达性为</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>第一等级。</strong></span><span style="line-height: 25.5px;font-family: 宋体;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSNFJ1QE5AzRCtQckcWxbodVic4WcAfCXjiaryiaOK0gdSjFAYgMumaXtUQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图11：地块周边综合交通通达性</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSOlpA2M4aHgoXQczLmoFH796cka0CDo5CeVvSum8juJ4X0nm4JxSXHw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图12：地块周边道路建设密度</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHS1O15d9pfG5n7IjyrYT9gCfdKKlyo0rGe6GeUiaTf0ficQq7KaHA7zIsQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图13：地块周边自驾通达性</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSSu4AkiceibWibc0JdYCHLBfQRov6UXPFERwC3PtpMsCn1icdh1znTgcCLQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图14：地块周边公交通达性</span><br /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>&nbsp;生活配套价值&nbsp;</strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">上海作为中国最大都市，发展已进入都市圈阶段，而此地块位于上海中心城区，基本属于超白金地块，各项生活配套自然位于顶层。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">不存在到市中心的问题，地块就在市中心。沿新建路向南1.5km直达浦东陆家嘴，绿地、国金中心、东方明珠皆在附近。到外滩仅2km，外滩周边的购物休闲配套自是中国顶级。2km范围内还可以到鲁迅公园、和平公园、四川北路公园、上海音乐谷、1933老场坊等重要生活配套场所。<span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">从商场及餐饮服务POI来看，</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">分布密集，且体量较大。</span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">教育和医疗资源聚集。1.5km范围内集中了华东师大一附中、华东师大一附初中、上海市鲁迅初级中学、上海市澄衷高级中学、北虹高级中学、虹口区东余杭路第一小学、虹口区第一中心小学，以及一些音乐、舞蹈学校等。1.5km之内，步行可达的医院有上海市第一人民医院、上海长江医院、上海衡山虹妇幼医院、上海市第四人民医院等。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />总之，地块位于市中心，配套齐全，品质一流，寸土寸金。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.64765625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSTe1dbqadUWbiba8lpt3AEib1ho5gqHicPhm9Ay7JKlgPJw4eKHWpGsURg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图15：地块周边配套分布</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6328125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSq1K4afrjUbUMyT5KglRvVyd3zToHtkib00DVzJXAPSTwMDyicVfiaenOw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图16：地块周边学校分布</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSooCme0UkZpSzrXrDgZkPBtUDmjN09kymzsmVia38zGjRTYrMqOvTAPQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图17：地块周边医院分布</span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.62265625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSVctTIRbibPf62HojUuaxNuqr2YicftpkymtmG5S0Fd8wo4gQfqB6D09w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图18：地块周边商业及餐饮服务面积</span><br /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br />根据住宅氛围与生活服务资源、工作氛围与就业资源、商业及餐饮服务、公园及休闲服务、医疗服务资源及教育服务资源的POI分布情况进行熵值法打分，反映城市各板块生活配套齐全度的指标，可以看出地块生活配套是</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第二等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSqAWUYtKxOABjAt3wA2KSH9BFHJezRpNGgn1VZcMNsARssK4OeTld3g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图19：地块周边生活配套价值</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHS2Sjquyb3nnhz4OxPMqgbj5Uu2BXKib12cLRlSajfImFpHxbLUOLHQ1w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图20：地块周边住宅氛围与生活服务</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.553125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHS5W9eaTkXWwe2RJOaUMmfnUQyp5vFa9ic14dkb0DXVJle4Wu0IrMMJXA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图21：地块周边工作氛围与就业资源&nbsp;</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHS4QLs7oibl6zvuYn5vfxytB1AbhMwbpEGqqvUqMDn1P14w6p5O7q2icicA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图22：地块周边商业及餐饮服务</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSg9ANjAeOD6xxX5WmKBDLBf5gJNMZMfCIMIBYZ1M7UiaoblspTdj9ZGg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图23：地块周边公园及休闲服务</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55703125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSKqmRG6rhchJLYFtj7L1yOALxtuhPG4bbSh291f9nLt5Ae02gsyDXicQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图24：地块周边医疗服务资源</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSiaXEfqfWGfazahE2EDaLz14J2kicgOn50wxdJQJchchxKff6PRicfu3QQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">&nbsp;图25：地块周边教育服务资源</span><br /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;综合产业就业&nbsp;<br /></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">产业发展是根据传统服务业、公共事业、工业、新兴服务业的POI分布情况进行熵值法打分，反映城市各板块产业吸引力是否足够强的指标，可以看出地块产业发展位于</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>第二等级</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55703125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSEfxX1TQLknTF8yibbvDL27D4T9micqia9fIRYiaHggB9zEuqTwyoxmXib5A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图26：地块周边综合产业就业</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHS8NSTKX6M9mNgnA0K0abNDTASubL605tMtBsTHQLuepLECwDVrXbciaw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图27：地块周边传统服务业</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSNTd3t1nRoAFF0lxL6gBgbyoBOjnrLFhMibXNarQnoicVvwiabNDFnE7XA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图28：地块周边公共事业</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSoSpvgCvB0Gy6oT9RwOncJWzu7N4icKPiblmwk6yv1t7RkwSSPiaVBXaYA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图29：地块周边工业</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSaNYP3am0ThFlBkae70KDQU4sXz4SiabF5OVbPLLVJtW3fuKftSyrffg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图30：地块周边新兴服务业</span><br /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">总的来说，地块所在网格各项指标均远高于全市平均水平。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></strong></strong></strong>住宅氛围与生活服务、工作氛围与就业资源、道路建设密度、公共事业、新兴服务业、商业及餐饮服务达到全市平均水平10倍以上；</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></strong></strong></strong></span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">工业、传统服务业、公园及休闲服务、医疗服务资源、教育服务资源是全市平均水平5倍以上；</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">公交通达性、自驾通达性是全市平均水平1.5-5倍。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.7359375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSuxeFozvhGCEsfNKvxoGgiaf3e1ujwSniakUwYCzFibC2V3JJBqd0HzyVw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图31：地块各指标全市均值倍数</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 4 -</span></strong></span><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">土地未来价值<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br /></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;土地未来&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">主要从</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">土地扩张速度和人口分布及流入流出状况</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">来看土地所在网格未来价值，在上海市属于</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第五等级</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.61796875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSNa8cJgia7vYxe2zdp888iaTnSfcCG2USHSmCG2sSlYiaOociamr4KXATAQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图32：地块周边土地未来价值分布</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;土地扩张&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">地块在2017-2020年扩张速度为</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第五等级</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">，根据历年人造地表和建筑数据变化趋势，预测2020-2023年扩张速度依然为</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第五等级</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">。</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6644951140065146" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSl2ibaQeOfoRjNibcIydJt9aOCLzF2gmYf33loQ4vGKByUOleLgWg97KA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1228" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图33：地块周边2017-2020年扩张图</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6620521172638436" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSQD1gwibbSAnhcQ6hFSHeickiawOaDJ89N0Tk5DZpfZg5j8OlykuSQ0wkg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1228" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图34：地块周边2020-2023年扩张图</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>人口分布&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">2020年<span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">地块所在网格人口达35000人以上，属于上海人口密度最高行列。</span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">2019-2020年地块所在网格人口</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">流入</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">。根据历年人口和建筑数据变化趋势，预测在2020-2021年依然</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">流入</span></strong><span style="font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">。</span></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5703125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSuBxpeBBfibRoMdVxVTRu9ZajTZicSyD5h8qzmQBX178QkqTTrjjOqIMw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图35：地块周边2020年人口分布图</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.58125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSGGvzKFwfcAN6BPlLLPicicqGxibrwicKQibP9yZm6R0TVLia0ia88RzUhhHeA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图36：地块周边2019-2020年人口扩张图</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.57734375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHS59WQdpQ00QkRwp87dffCz7LZ0iaE3zmia2sNj9vfM0NPJE05YagOoxGQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-size-adjust: 100%;">图37：地块周边2020-2021年人口扩张图</span><br /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 5 -</span></strong></span><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">市场表现<br /></span></strong></section><h2 style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></h2><h2 style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;历年销售情况</strong></span></h2><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售金额</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">商品住宅销售额在2009年达到一个高峰，之后下降，2011-2013年快速增长，2014年回落后持续快速增长2年，2017年再次回落，2017-2019年所有增长，但增速放缓，2019年为3998亿元，没有达到回落之前2015年和2016年水平。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.20625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrksIuW8XGUhIX01WqLBd1DnHozbpWBw24Rzv91PsDicq7WoibSDb999micA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图38：上海市历年住宅销售额</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售面积</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">商品住宅销售面积在2010年之前处于高位，不低于1966万平，2010年大幅下降42%，2010-2016年保持在中位水平，1500-2000万平之间，之后至今低于1500万平，且逐年下降，2019年仅为为1116万平，处于10年以来最低水平。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.203125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrk9oTyic3YBYHNWhlSaoOOg5Mlvibeib6dAvxmibYCIsF9UdjicQOd6KIwJag/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图39：上海市历年住宅成交面积</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售价格</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售价格从2009年17410元/㎡一路快速上涨至2017年50861元/㎡，涨幅达192%，2017-2019年缓慢上涨4.4%，2019年为53087元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.2046875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrkbQibl9XYr3nfQDjBon1kqat8vn6y6TyQAfZc88eKGCLxoMOr69HRfIQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图40：上海市历年住宅成交均价</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />市场库存</span></strong></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li style="font-weight: bold;"><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">广义库存</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">近4年来，上海广义库存持续存在缺口，且缺口经历了一个先扩大后缩小，近3个月保持稳定的趋势。缺口在2018年3月最大，达655万方，近3个月稳定在270万方出头。以18个月销</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">售量移动平均值为月去化量，则目前广义库存去化周期缺口大概为</span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">3.3</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">个月</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.240625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrkLWDxXCsdBWFvmgiabNuo84K9xiaibpvibOx1b5nEiciceyuNXU3787v3pa2w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图41：上海市历月住宅广义库存</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li style="font-weight: bold;"><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">远期库存</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">远期库存从2017年1月至今持续存在巨大缺口，达3000万方以上，目前为3500万方。以18个月销售量移动平均值为月去化量，则目前远期库存去化周期缺口达</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">33.1个月</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.24453125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrkgXbbBLpmpfI03FeticX76Rfxfr4htcpeR0crKosFEvgibTTQmHEjx7KA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图42：上海市历月住宅远期库存</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">区县房价现状</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">从房价现状来看，虹口区5月份均价在上海各区县排在第5，为84683元/㎡，环比略降0.23%，同比上涨9.37%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="1.2577228596646073" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzKAFcJS6I1Ul82Dm8UJSrksITY3lps1gTWYETVQQUMGcqKoNsAmAoAdP3FcTkyjzjrqyqF8ibO9Hw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1133" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图43：2020年5月上海各区县房价</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格分析</span></strong></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格综合分析</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">观察近4年虹口区价格，呈高位缓慢上涨走势。综合价格从2016年8月65432元/㎡上涨至2020年5月的84683元/㎡，其中，2020年3月和4月持续微降。价格同比在2017年9月至2019年9月低于10%，其他月份除最近2个月略低于10%外，均保持在10%以上。价格环比一般保持在±2%以内，不超过±5%，2020年各月份则不超过±0.5%。2020年5月价格同比为9.37%，环比为-0.23%。<br /><br /></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.19155590304925724" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSSlQPCngflFXdlvgNYvGVCC3ofz5RMAb3sJ3yWHicawoEjG2jtXVicT2g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1279" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图44：虹口区近4年综合单价走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">一手房价格</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">一手房价格从2016年8月84000元/㎡上涨至2020年4月的119559元/㎡，其中，2019年5月到9月由10100<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>上涨至119559<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>，4个月上涨18560<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>，涨幅18.4%，最近8个月价格基本持平。价格同比波动较大，从2%到24%不等，最近1年则在16%-20%之间。价格环比除上面提及飞速上涨的4个月外，最近3年基本处于停滞状态。2020年4月价格同比为18%，环比为0。<br /><br /></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.19296875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSSgYEf3PPyymu0hQ8z0Qric88dzvnMmoqzWZuxQ80Hg84g8TFtYGp5eQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图45：虹口区近4年一手房单价走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">二手房价格</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">二手房价格从2016年8月40293元/㎡上涨至2020年5月的59981元/㎡，其中，上涨月份集中在2017年8月之前，最近3年小幅波动，基本没涨。价格同比在2018年5月之前保持在4%以上，之后至今保持在4%以下甚至为负。<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格环比一般保持在±2%以内。</span>2020年4月价格同比为1.05%，环比为-0.47%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.19453125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSrN7aEXZAm9wnQGia0ziaKEanZOVF2fZb3cV0EWAPLgiaLgIHxiaB5Cr9icw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图46：虹口区近4年二手房单价走势图<br /></span><br /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">租金</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">租金在68-92元/月/㎡之间波动，2017年2月至2018年10月持续上涨，从68.72<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/月/㎡</span>上涨至91.87<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/月/㎡</span>，之后至今基本保持稳定，目前为91.85元/月/㎡，租售比由高位的67%下降至目前的54%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.19140625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSeyqZ3bkmiboFAOL4gIa6Ylre2b6Jq0byBzcD5zx0icGiaAXuI46sdvpSA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">图47：虹口区近4年租金走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">房价动力</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">结合区县周期和楼市景气指数走势来看，虹口区目前处于市场信心的下探筑底期，且房价暂时还存在一定的泡沫，泡沫2个月后就会消失。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">此时购房需求不足，观望氛围浓厚，市场流通差，价格可能会有所松动，应积极关注核心区域或核心地段的投资机会。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">未来半年，房价上涨动力为12.2%，未来一年，房价上涨动力为8.8%，未来一年半，房价上涨动力为11%。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.2611415168100078" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSsSiaOC4OSzpjjOm7kHIwxzfVRib32E7QpYKJVrIicOO21ibFiaeHvFfPfbg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1279" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图48：虹口区周期走势</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.26015625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSibzxGdR3j9SJopoYONz3w1FlXQ0VI7GoXmuhbDIpqHRconTBQ7aaC7g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图49：虹口区楼市景气指数走势</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">赢率赔率</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">禾略定义的赢率是地块网格现状价值对城市水平和全国水平的均值倍数取几何平均数而得。赔率是3段时间区间（2018-2021年、2019-2022年、2020-2023年）内土地扩张速度的算术平均值。概括来说，</span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>赢率是做这件事情有多大概率能成功，赔率是成功了会有多高的回报。</strong></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">本地块为</span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>高赢率-低赔率，即大概率成功，但利润空间有限。</strong></span></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.62265625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHSKPPVMLphicWTH3RNlOpMcxpDKjH8dphq1RHgFVqRn6ibzrSDVG3wzBrw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图50：地块赢率赔率</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地价房价比</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">参考地块周边住宅价格，珠江铂世外滩界容积率4.16，待售价格为102000元/㎡，建邦16区二期容积率3.96，在售价格98000元/㎡，瑞虹新城天悦郡庭容积率3.8，在售价格107800元/㎡。翡丽甲第容积率2.5，在售价100000元/㎡。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">本地块容积率2.5</span>，取这些高层楼盘均价101950元/㎡为本地块房价，成交楼面价为81089元/㎡，则<span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>地价房价比为0.8，过高。</strong></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.68046875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxFMxJicTkFZXZyMHlK9ocHS7hWKOOvudiboPWOnPiaVpeEN0unM7r6TpHIFHTxiap5cQ1IUgiajlz9qpg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图51：地块周边楼盘信息</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">——&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 小结&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; ——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br />综合来说，地块位于国内独一无二的上海。GDP超3.8万亿，领跑全国，产业结构持续优化，三产占比74%。常住人口规模稳定在2400万出头，且对全国人口形成巨大吸附力，近1000万外来人口，80万小学生，增长势头强劲，可持续性强。</span></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"></span></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">地块所在网格，土地现状成熟度属于</strong></span></span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">上海第二梯队，<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">位于市中心，配套齐全，品质一流</span>，寸土寸金。</strong></span></span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">位置优越，交通方便。</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">在</span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 15px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">上海中心城区，周边路网密集。仅轨道交通就有3条，5座地铁站步行可达，到上海火车站仅2站地铁，距高铁上海南站车程31分钟，到虹桥枢纽车程43分钟。<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">不</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">存在到市中心的问题，地块就在市中心。</span></span></span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 15px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">生活配套一流。</strong></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">沿新建路向南1.5km直达浦东陆家嘴，绿地、国金中心、东方明珠皆在附近。到外滩仅2km，外滩周边的购物休闲配套自是中国顶级。2km范围内还可以到鲁迅公园、和平公园、四川北路公园、上海音乐谷、1933老场坊等重要生活配套场所。<span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">从商场及餐饮服务POI来看，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">分布密集，且体量较大。</span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">教育和医疗资源聚集。</strong></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">1.5km范围内集中了华东师大一附中、华东师大一附初中、上海市鲁迅初级中学、上海市澄衷高级中学、北虹高级中学、虹口区东余杭路第一小学、虹口区第一中心小学，以及一些音乐、舞蹈学校等。1.5km之内，步行可达的医院有上海市第一人民医院、上海长江医院、上海衡山虹妇幼医院、上海市第四人民医院等。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">产业发达。</strong>传统服务业、公共事业、工业、新兴服务业均在全市平均水平5倍以上。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">土地未来价值属于上海</strong></span></span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第五梯队。</strong></span></span></span></span></span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">地块位于上海中心地带，已发展成熟，所在网格人口超过35000人，<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">属于</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">上海人口密度最高行列。</span></span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">预测未来扩张速度在上海市为第五梯队，且持续有人口</strong></span></span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">流入。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">从库存变化趋势来看，城市</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>广义库存存在3.3个月缺口，远期库存存在近3年的缺口。</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">区房价为84683元/㎡，在上海各区排第5，未来半年上涨动力为12.2%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">目前处于市场信心下探筑底期，短期内还存在一定泡沫。<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">购房需求不足，应积极关注核心区域或核心地段的投资机会。</span><br /></span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">如果6个月后入市销售，届时市场</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>信心底部回升</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">，预计价格上涨</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>12.2</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>%；</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />如果12个月后入市销售，届时市场</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">信心底部回升</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">，预计价格上涨</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>8.8</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>%；</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">如果18个月后入市销售，届时市场<span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>信心<strong style="white-space: normal;">向上冲高</strong></strong></span>，预计价格上涨<span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>11</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>%。</strong></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">高赢率-低赔率，<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">即大概率成功，但利润空间有限。</strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地价房价比0.8，</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">过</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">高</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。对激进的民企而言，鸡肋；对稳健的央企而言，聊胜于无。这万事万物，哪有什么高低优劣，求个匹配和门当户对，也就很稳了。</span></section><hr style="border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);border-style: solid;border-right-width: 0px;border-bottom-width: 0px;border-left-width: 0px;transform: scale(1, 0.5);transform-origin: 0px 0px 0px;" /><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="color: rgb(217, 33, 66);"><strong><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br />#2020，别把生命浪费在PPT上，去创造价值#</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1.7914614121510672" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxduF4EXL7D9SiaPMBPBZwQCLge8RWKQ66fNnFCl05ibl88m1APGj82G9bOghszxO1R3iaiahRCKicn1hQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="609" width="275" height="493" style="width: 226px;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br />——&nbsp; END&nbsp; ——<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">猜你想再看<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">城市：</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=191239418c15b0c6f395c843415da5fd&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028970ac64031955167bfde997cdc96375bfb3bce25b5076f1458e11be2be27&amp;token=217203186&amp;lang=zh_CN&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">徐州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=3a8acfb05820bbd38cd7b15a58e92ec9&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028dfd96ec6ffc5239a84aaf25b6643813aa6b4a597b9a3215e7ab25e2b4eaf&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">宿迁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1fcdc66fac79d5ba9504bc24314a14f9&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f02829eef9ba1dfcb8c3e91edb05d3c1d34c548b82f618928834f1da5907d2e7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">淮北</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=18d65f24543e71ff6bc70eb1cb0a7bde&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028b98805f0f7555bfc57e3aefe6c76e7ca8df0369ad5dcc4a593a011a9b029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">唐山</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=9f550e5d1f6bd3becc92df723adedd61&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f0289523b13ecd4fcb3d227a3cb259a09e504d388ace5a5eb25ece3aecfe8d46&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">天津</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=4c4fb5ce9d25c1fe6012d719c5878c82&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a6b9f35c8db84ceac56401b6da4a6429d1bc5e3339251db372a5045c242&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深汕</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=c2d8bae147d4a2d86ec992c50c39ddad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a50b1acbe92593aabba12c3fb95e9966d93ecad99918dbcf654b9ce767405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">哈尔滨</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1e787f725d62f227dbc6c33d0b9ea3eb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08accd8896c160b37e7a4436d21e1fbf2cc596763115db5ef6e04dc914ce478&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">兰州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=048088acd651254d77cc238d71b1af04&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a7c36e33460f244db68a856502151c73820b314470b7e24412b9a8b6dcd5b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">常德</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=b6295a149a38a026e886d81014b568f3&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a8d7adbd8721956fd91c59be8bd1ec35d4f9963a11e7e67bee72cd49405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">南宁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=8&amp;sn=0efaff09c26e604d7aa5c29376c129ad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07abb37dd11a0cfe941868be2b543feebf288460418759254327292658947ae&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">桂林</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=12f08ffb076544edcbc24e91bc3d87d7&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a1cd4530a9033d462d4732c500dcdda723bdc3a87f4d55f1c62f657a4cb77&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">柳州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=6&amp;sn=0a89c4ab17039cec25754aa111b87308&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a6fdc14a1c0e877928f2fa46798a8b592b2b2023ad1c65081bbc80b2fafad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">蚌埠</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=7&amp;sn=1bc72e377ffc3b621c2886d68c437515&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07adc8c50a3e1409197892c508ad9c27a6b52f8e4dde12740baf5674f5a7fa6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">合肥</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=10e3d481f7fd0ff46dafe2648cd3ddfb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a5118705d6b85487fa97dd013a2aee842be719ee13086aab8dee370b54185&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">南京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9ffda0c7d9667d6700966a8bab12eccf&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a4e94a2471b2d59264ed4460e0567c63095fad9c5704541a546d7bc23584a&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">上海临港</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">太原</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">北京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">热点：</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247485505&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=90a4482d0ec14f8a4d441f77c653806c&amp;chksm=97557265a022fb7385559a6648c54242c721582b3811ad664360ea1e6f562f0f62264852c20c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" data-itemshowtype="0" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深圳土拍</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831957&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a889b497d60264ef90aea585e4d4556f&amp;chksm=83517bcab426f2dc5e2b3778bc8e8834b453c4eac98c490ebeb525c4a5b01093fe602418b8fb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">美国地产</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">长租公寓</span></a><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830578&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=73f5149b299d5ce19a433c365eedee83&amp;chksm=8351756db426fc7b173558a1765830766ec5f7fb387e652250f10a106ef6490821f809722cfb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">中美贸易战</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">粤港澳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">万科商业</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">2018年走势</a>&nbsp;|<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">专业：</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831987&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8553537eb64de48a9b7eb16564fe8988&amp;chksm=83517becb426f2fa0c63ef59ace65085334609b45795331170f0edb7f455d154c06d53aa85f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">穿越熊市</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;<span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831371&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b15fe316680aabc64e2b7c37e5767d8&amp;chksm=83517614b426ff0229de8ab490c6a7fb33f9e7de34bae145abd3565818c5965c1eca5a4b0029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">地产研报</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831103&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ae2c7ba214abd19c76ed907399b77b7&amp;chksm=83517760b426fe767422812a59d53a334c00664a2cc146d59a076bc0e59a062f518c7df00861&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">投资</a>&nbsp;|<a 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href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830698&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=27ffa7f097500e9e7fb23f99fdce51ef&amp;chksm=835174f5b426fde3854d2eec6dc6fd1c0c182faa0218d1b0ce833e50c860c23b062b88f914e0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">高周转</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830656&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dc61474f9d09133fcce2934476ea10c1&amp;chksm=835174dfb426fdc9575a9a316aef5c25d051f574d0cd96ae3d1cda189bca7c7b0b7447e403e4&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">房价预测</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830457&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=37a5c454028fb849c2c5fce3b3575756&amp;chksm=835175e6b426fcf07c9d8fdee249e33edf0ae7f5684be2290c3145624ad430d880a10a654ebd&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">2018房地产报告</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830201&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1816623486b879233513443f1df6ec59&amp;chksm=835172e6b426fbf07aa0f023c3ff79ca1cf11606fc2f2b66cfe773222e3fa1df7f92affa90b6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">远郊定位&nbsp;</a>|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829710&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=58d632f4b07dc0796127ef5df605bb36&amp;chksm=83517091b426f9871fa25aed40ade8d757557347ecf505d8b9510645b5adcc6d703caed90b31&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">时势蓝图</a>&nbsp;|</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br style="white-space: normal;" /></section><p><br style="white-space: normal;" /></p><p><br style="white-space: normal;" /></p><p><br /></p>