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中西部预测 | 涨势持续,但只有西安才是真牛市,成渝均见顶回落

发布于 2017-09-25

<p>虽然全国“冻产”蔚然成风,但我们还是要持续关注市场走势</p><p><strong><br /></strong></p><p><strong>等到了解冻,你是否能快人一步判断呢?</strong></p><p><br /></p><p>这也是我们继续【房价运行合理区间预测】的动力</p><p><br /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNMms2t6Oo4zXgFphTcNydbOg4WBclQMb4tZKwz2nFrk32zq7t3du7jQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="1.6666666666666667" data-w="864" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>福州:缩量突破通常都是假突破</strong></p><p>购房者:投资有风险有待观望,刚需短期不宜入市,关注价格回落情况择机入市</p><p>开发商:迅速出货,落袋为安</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJN39DcDdoYGiaOsMt7RXrulAazPbyMHDJKNO8QR6q3f6YbQdQDVySFBtQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>厦门:跌破颈线预示头肩顶确认,下跌趋势形成</strong></p><p>购房者:不急于入市,需关注价格持续回落的机会</p><p>开发商:积极寻找环厦门的机会,多方面补充销售收入缺口</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNGEVcCndy7YBRYeJZhAknwdZSBsLnzHICS5zNiauHTica2pfMoanKDodA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>武汉:仍处于上升通道,但缩量上涨不能一直持续</strong></p><p>购房者:切勿追涨,价格背离成交量上涨</p><p>开发商:指标压力不大的继续涨价,指标压力大的少涨一点,多出点货</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNDotyVvqS1ibu6tSJ2uqcTuVA6K6GkVFVvCFKhXuNtIf1ngEjsm5QjZA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>郑州:量能死叉,仍旧在多头区间运行</strong></p><p>购房者:价格上涨的动力逐渐缩小,刚需请随意,投资请谨慎</p><p>开发商:如果集团指标压力大,郑州是以价换量最好的地方,不涨即可,肯定放量</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNdcZm1hP5ZpI3brRlVb1RZHaiaoreL8X7kjNvQWmuibxzLKC8zwUsXzkg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>长沙:价格仍在上升通道做宽幅震荡,量能萎缩导致再度拉升的可能性小</strong></p><p>购房者:不宜投资,刚需可适当选择性价比高项目入手</p><p>开发商:利润型产品可适当涨价,现金流型产品抓紧小步快跑,加快去化</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNOwqqMgDQiaMHQ84uHuFquicn4ZY5licIdCpZus0njFpsgC41kCNuJax8g/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>济南:仍在盘整阶段,量能萎缩,涨幅减缓</strong></p><p>购房者:短期可保持观望,待回调至下轨时入手</p><p>开发商:不宜向上调价,随行就市抓紧开盘,不然市场会很快冷却</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNcY2xx9DicCbqr02pDKUBkMzLqviaYyF2o3Eel3uJGz6T6at1WeuaRPgQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>青岛:突破上轨,持续主升浪</strong></p><p>购房者:量价背离,不急于出手,可以等待小幅回调或者低价入市的楼盘</p><p>开发商:利润型产品可以小幅涨价入市,现金流型产品平价宜平价入市</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNtn4VrOkrx4Rkzdy1oyb5L3GIFIo4ib8tb5UDjy8dBial6wgldeE0fkPA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>西安:主升浪来势汹汹,牛市行情持续</strong></p><p>购房者:刚需赶快入市,在项目选择上需理性看待考虑长远,短期投资客风险开始变大,长期投资可随意</p><p>开发商:涨价,涨价,还是涨价,只要你卖得掉,就必须利润最大化</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJN18gBqjKrQKTs3fHrfYEJwmxlFemxlFf5yDNZzC1msP4w06N0l3CVqQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>成都:价格快速拉升之后的回落,需要寻找支撑</strong></p><p>购房者:价格回落风险较大,不宜追涨,可以观望等回调后再买</p><p>开发商:平价或微涨均可,注意来访变化,防范缩量带来的去化不畅</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNTu7x0ZBZky6ApXY72SLe9tGnsOsPXvwpLJibKh5Uv77plibnnDzP9glA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><strong>重庆:价格阶段性见高点之后的回调休整</strong></p><p>购房者:刚需购房者有看好的产品可以入手</p><p>开发商:根据市场变化调整价格策略,多次的少量推盘跟住涨价幅度,扩大利润额,小步快跑,抢占市场份额</p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJN0oe2bnAMl5rALibudYTMtfbcvzKzo5ULSxuicciahUIerkadTmIryvcXA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG7EeeibwibuOiaEhPQ9Wax5pJNICvVnicricHiba8pu3kIUZVcmTYGaaQSYf1XKZiaEQSJFyNZibdSuh2iagpg/0?wx_fmt=png" class="" data-ratio="0.5622254758418741" data-w="1366" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>激情回顾,往期房地产量价趋势预测——<br /></p><p><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829841&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=ba5f9cab33c5edcea4e5a8b32f40ca9c&amp;chksm=8351700eb426f9188a9fbadfb06f94431dfa464c512eac51e06d42eb647d5d2a0cb53f38b1fc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></a></p><p><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829841&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=ba5f9cab33c5edcea4e5a8b32f40ca9c&amp;chksm=8351700eb426f9188a9fbadfb06f94431dfa464c512eac51e06d42eb647d5d2a0cb53f38b1fc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年8月</span></a><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829783&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b1151b97fdebc49102df125a87ed5935&amp;chksm=83517048b426f95ec769dddecdcbf59072bd05e0e4e84ddda437eda5bae6a09dbb2d8510767f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年7月</span></a></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829645&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=85248135d55f4cc72278bb099e0ae417&amp;chksm=835170d2b426f9c428dd05c5751f8b3a79d7727cebac23097fa16f25fdea0137915b217f6bde&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年6月</span></a></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829536&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=afd1eae35736e77003ddcb13f3f28e61&amp;chksm=8351717fb426f8697c1b88caa536ecf0b86ca0ea82007f46ea4c49524d284c5fbb8b24eaae69&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年5月</span></a></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829457&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ed54b4f34b78edbb6f90d1c974dc4f2&amp;chksm=8351718eb426f898d95531d2bc63408aa3f62453070925f69840e725e8c8e3e1541f471f7091&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年4月</span></a></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829332&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f60cb83ae739bb39e06e8347ef40d69a&amp;chksm=83516e0bb426e71d23d19f6cf6a884e596d980d8702bc0aff16ea6af89ded59e6ab9ebfa70c0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年3月</span></a></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829288&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=bafb04e8b5ee2bacc63eba3228935085&amp;chksm=83516e77b426e761e6d70197138964ba6cd488b358fe193ec13aaf59ff070de1d49ce0c0d34f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年2月</span></a></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><section class="" style="margin-top: 0.5em;margin-bottom: 1.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;border-width: medium;border-style: none;border-color: 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