官网首页 › 研究观点 › 观点正文

别再信“优胜劣汰”了,达尔文要是炒股,早就亏哭了

发布于 2026-06-08

<p style="" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">达尔文的进化论告诉我们,优胜劣汰是这个世界的初始代码,运行规则,无论</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">历史</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">还是</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">科技</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">应该</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">全都在往一个方向</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">走</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">:强者留下,弱者退出。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">所以</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">你以为世界在筛选强者,但现实恰恰相反。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">这个世界好像最不缺少的就是</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“弱智”,哦不,弱者,他们不仅多还遍地都是。那你有没有想过,这个版本其实是</span></span></font></span><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">被过度简化、被</span></span></font></span></b><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">错误使用的呢?</span></span></font></span></b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">我们今天</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">很多人口中的</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“优胜劣汰”,并不是查尔斯·达尔文原本想表达的东西,而是后人加工出来的一种</span></span></font></span><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">粗暴版本</span></span></font></span></b><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,就是社会达尔文主义</span></span></font></span></b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">这套理论的逻辑是</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">强者成功</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">是</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">因为他们更优秀</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">弱者失败</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">是</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">因为他们应该被淘汰</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,而达尔文的进化论只有</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“适者生存”。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">适合什么?适合环境。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">就像生活在</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">寒冷环境里厚毛是优势,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">而在</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">炎热环境里厚毛反而是负担。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">所以</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">没有绝对强弱,只有</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">适配机制</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">。人类后来把这个机制拿去解释社会,然后彻底</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">给</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">用歪了。</span></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">因为</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">社会达尔文主义的逻辑忽略了一件关键事情:自然界的</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“适应”,不是价值判断;</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">人类</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">社会里的</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“成功”,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">也</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">从来不是纯自然结果。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">今天流行的</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">强者叙事</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,既不适用于自然界,也不完全适用于人类社会。就好比中国历史上每个大大小小朝代的更替,最后的胜者从来不是那个时期最强的人,最聪明的和最厉害的都死在前头了,最后的胜者是最懂得生存之道的人。于是有人总结,人类的这种本能其实一直都刻在我们基因里,因为基因天生的目标就是存续和繁衍。在</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">理查德</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">·道金斯</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">的名著《自私的基因》里说,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">基因</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">最大化</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">提高</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">复制自己</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">的</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">概率</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,从而驱使我们既要存活下来还要繁育后代,传承基因。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">因为在自然选择下,有一个非常直接的筛选机制:不愿意繁殖</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">或者</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">无法繁殖的</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">就会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">直接退出历史</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,而</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">更容易繁殖的</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">被不断放大</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,所以活下来的人体内应该全都是愿意繁殖、容易繁殖的基因。因此得出结论,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">人就是基因的工具</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">。</span></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">如果这个理论成立的话,又怎么解释无论是人类还是动物,像黑猩猩、长颈鹿、海豚、天鹅、果蝇、山羊,经历了千万年的筛选,依然保留了同性喜好的基因,而且每一代都存留了几乎固定的比例,这种天然不适宜繁殖的基因理应早就被淘汰了才对啊?这么看来道金斯说的也不靠谱,他最多是发现了部分事实,但并不是完整的规律。根据现代进化论的研究,无论是基因还是进化,底层的规则既不是繁殖也不是优选,而是稳定。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">只要一</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">种基因或者某种性态</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">没有显著降低整体存活率,甚至能提升系统稳定性,它就不会被清除</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,还会被当成特征稳定的遗传下去</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">。进化它不追求极致效率,它追求的是</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">——够用、能活、不断裂。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">现代基因学里有两个著名的效应佐证了这一点。第一个是性拮抗效应,</span></span></font></span><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">同一个基因,在男性身上有利,在女性身上可能不利,反之亦然。</span></span></font></span></b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">所以它</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">永远</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">不会被淘汰</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">原因是它在</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“性别平均收益”上是平衡的。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">有研究表明,例如男性同性喜好的基因出现在女性身上时,会更有魅力更吸引男性,女性同性喜好的基因出现在男性身上时,会荷尔蒙爆棚更吸引女性,因此同性喜好的比例与天生具有更高魅力的人群比例是大致相当的。这种在单方表现为劣势的基因(不是说不好啊,是不具备繁殖优势)是不会被基因筛选掉的,反而会更加固化。第二个是超显性效应,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">两个不同版本的基因组合在一起,比单一版本更有优势。简单理解就是</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">AA</span></span></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">组合</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">一般</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">BB</span></span></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">组合也</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">一般</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,但</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">AB</span></span></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">组合超</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">强</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">你不能只保留</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">A或B,必须保留“组合状态”。</span></span></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">因此</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">某些</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">弱势基因</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">”作为组合副产物长期存在</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,因为对于</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">整体系统仍然有优势</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">它解释</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">了</span></span></font></span><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">遗传结构为什么不能被简单清除</span></span></font></span></b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,甚至永远不会被清除。这就解释了,人类社会甚至包括大自然,我们的基因决定了</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">进化</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">必然会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">容纳</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">各种非优势群体</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,只要不破坏整体适应度,甚至在某些层面有</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">重要</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">价值。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">反倒是那些超高优势的基因和人群,是老天随机组合诞生的</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“异常现象”。所以我们普通人才是老天的常规操作,那些天才反而是老天的“漏网之鱼”,一旦出现就会报警,看来这个世界的确就是个草台班子。也难怪咱们老祖宗会极度推崇“中庸之道”。</span></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">很多人会觉得中庸是一种道德哲学,是劝人不要极端。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">错了,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">中庸不是</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“放弃竞争”,它更像是</span></span></font></span><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">把竞争从</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“破坏型”改成“可控型”。</span></span></font></span></b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">当社会复杂度上升,冲突成本变高,高强度竞争开始破坏整体稳定,这个时候系统自然会筛选出一种更低冲突的运行方式。它不是消灭冲突,而是限制冲突的破坏范围。你可能会觉得,这是不是说明社会在主动选择</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“稳定大于一切”?系统不是选择稳定,而是被复杂性逼向稳定。稳定不是</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">社会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">理想</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">选择</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,是</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">社会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">成本</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">选择</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">。因为高复杂度</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">社会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">系统</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">是</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">无法承受无限制竞争</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">的。中庸之道本质上与进化论和基因选择是高度契合的。</span></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">讲</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">到这里,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">那我们不禁要问,我们普通人的生存位置</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">到底是什么?强者</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">能</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">推动历史,</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">但问题是历史不是靠强者运行的。技术也是一样</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">创新可能来自少数人,但扩散、稳定、应用、结构化,全部依赖大量普通人。强者决定</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“可能性”,但普通人决定“可持续性”。</span></span></font></span><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">这个</span></span></font></span></b><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">社会</span></span></font></span></b><b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-weight:bold;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">系统真正依赖的,从来不是强者,而是大规模</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">‘不出错的人’。</span></span></font></span></b><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">换句话说,真正支撑</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">社会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">的,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">从来</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">不是极端能力,而是</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">普通的</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">中间层。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">但是现在</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">AI时代的加速到来,又在快速的替代普通层和普通能力,把这个社会最基础也最稳定的群体逼到了一个绝境上,这就导致了群体性的社会化焦虑和恐慌。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">只要一件事</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">或一个人的能力</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">可以被规则化、流程化、标准化,它就可以被</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">AI</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">复制</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">、替代</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">。技术、经验、标准流程、甚至部分判断能力,都在被压缩成模型。于是</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“淘汰”的标准也变了</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">高波动的人、高成本的人、不可预测的人,会被系统边缘化。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">社会跟基因是相似的,它并</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">不讨厌谁,它只是在降低维护成本。当</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">AI继续发展,所有可以被定义的东西都会被吃掉。剩下的空间会越来越集中在三类东西上:第一,是在不确定条件下做决策的能力。第二,是结构之间的连接能力。第三,是意义的定义能力。换句话说,不是“做什么”,而是你能不能定义问题,你能不能连接系统,你能不能解释价值。</span></span></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">你看是不是跟基因理论是一样的?</span></span></font></span></p><p><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">所以这个时代不会专门淘汰弱者,也</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">并</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">不会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">只</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">奖励强者。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">就如同达尔文的进化论和社会达尔文主义,优胜劣汰、适者生存是</span></span></font><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">19世纪的旧版本,现代的进化论里包含了基因漂变、合作进化、亲缘选择,也就是说在更高复杂度的社会里,能</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">“活下来”的,不只是最强的,还有最会合作的、最会</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">躲避风险</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">的、</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">还有,</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">运气</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">极</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">好的。</span></span></font></span><span style="mso-spacerun:&#39;yes&#39;;font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;;font-size:11.0000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"><font face="等线"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">我们其实都知道该怎么选。</span></span></font></span></p><hr style="border-style: solid;border-width: 1px 0 0;border-color: rgba(0,0,0,0.1);-webkit-transform-origin: 0 0;-webkit-transform: scale(1, 0.5);transform-origin: 0 0;transform: scale(1, 0.5);" /><section data-layout-id="98" data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);margin: 0px 0px 24px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;widows: 2;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;white-space: normal;text-decoration-thickness: initial;text-decoration-style: initial;text-decoration-color: initial;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.8;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 等线;font-size: 11pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">更多深度资讯,请在抖音搜索“禾略财讯”</span></span></section><section nodeleaf="" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);margin: 0px 0px 24px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;widows: 2;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;white-space: normal;text-decoration-thickness: initial;text-decoration-style: initial;text-decoration-color: initial;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;"><img alt="图片" class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-aistatus="1" data-imgfileid="100048501" data-ratio="0.562962962962963" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/sz_mmbiz_jpg/9alt9LFC5gxIuPwFoVe48nQlho3nZGEWHLxf07R44BC7ZWtCEkHrDK7UEUvItmibF2tko5vk04gmIWjZia1Xehia5Mfj2kHrffZ5DGvsMDCclQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&amp;from=appmsg&amp;watermark=1&amp;wxfrom=5&amp;wx_lazy=1&amp;tp=webp#imgIndex=0" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1080" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;vertical-align: bottom;height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 676.989px !important;" type="block"></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);margin: 16px 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;widows: 2;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;white-space: normal;text-decoration-thickness: initial;text-decoration-style: initial;text-decoration-color: initial;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: 等线;font-size: 11pt;"><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 17px;">免费体验:打开浏览器,https://schat.urasr.com</span></span></p><section nodeleaf="" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);margin: 0px 0px 24px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;widows: 2;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;white-space: normal;text-decoration-thickness: initial;text-decoration-style: initial;text-decoration-color: initial;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;"><img alt="图片" class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-aistatus="1" data-imgfileid="100048500" data-ratio="0.5640625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/9alt9LFC5gzTIiauGd55ce8zzJEwvjuo9hcRFoKj7BjKQJvbsmpM4wErInApNe7Usy81E5OJVkic5icfmkTqTdLIgFEZLETLeAZ7pGJJXDdUg4/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg&amp;watermark=1&amp;wxfrom=5&amp;wx_lazy=1&amp;tp=webp#imgIndex=1" data-type="png" data-w="640" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;vertical-align: bottom;height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 640px !important;" type="block"></section><p style="display: none;"><mp-style-type data-value="3"></mp-style-type></p>

← 返回观点全库