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北部预测 | 响应国家号召,帝都房价终于见顶了

发布于 2017-10-20

<p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;">最近,人工智能又怒刷了一遍存在感——</p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;">人类积累上千年的围棋经验,而<strong>AlphaGo Zero</strong>只用了70小时,就可以超越人类的水平,而且还是自学成才的<img class="" data-ratio="1.25" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/yZPTcMGWibvvLx6F9VHHuduYRiaYhaE4bwPrFX8yTByaQxBThDwfK5WRoNiaqQyyTbWOkvvLibWnA8VZoyZ9EvYxTg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="32" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvuaWyUkOJ2wz59AY9oPMJjQlibeAPTlzCk1tibJv8hA5zmT3wskoajSqZg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.517515923566879" data-w="628" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong>吓得我们赶紧更新【房价运行合理区间预测】,并添加了存量和存销比分析,多角度进行房价预测</strong><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62);">人脑的高效性体现在“ 创造力 ”,而机器体现在“ 运算力 ”,AlphaGo尝试<span style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62);">让机器,在“ 创造力 ”方面的得到突破</span></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62);"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62);"><span style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62);">我们还是可以抢救一下,在房地产上的“创造力”和“运算力”上</span>,这样,当机器人统治这个世界后,</span>我们还是功臣之一<img class="" data-ratio="1.0277777777777777" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/yZPTcMGWibvvLx6F9VHHuduYRiaYhaE4bwB5x9Iibot8JViadMWPrRJDxslRCQnjGaz3Tzmbic51tUXE8q6noVMPpxw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="36" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 400px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: start;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;display: inline;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: sans-serif;font-size: 14px;line-height: 26px;width: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" width="auto" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvuywSAzVuGgAOydB3ibhiblBe8O7XVcgRytBiclSUQpiaymKCqSkmaEaQt1Q/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;">北部房价高位回落,正是入市好时候<img class="" data-ratio="0.6491228070175439" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/yZPTcMGWibvvLx6F9VHHuduYRiaYhaE4bwcicakkqDdJJWNyKOXggI5eTuF3vJl8jh57wW9PCMRUsbRAIicqfUXg2w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="57" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 400px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: start;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;display: inline;width: auto !important;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: sans-serif;font-size: 14px;line-height: 26px;visibility: visible !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" width="auto" />如果你有钱的话~</p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">北京:帝都的缩量筑顶已经开始</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 量价分析:价格从上轨快速回落,并且无量下跌;量能死叉张口继续扩大,量能萎缩明显</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 购房者:不宜高位介入,需关注价格下调情况,等待时机</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 开发商:尽快入市,哪怕下跌过程有反弹也并不一定会有更好的价格。<br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvuVRgH3YGBxHaibaQNibdicGcD3FOnvH7hCP9Ptkoia7BmFAiaOiaemloBqwfg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 随着市场的成交量日益萎缩,存销比开始上涨 <br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvu6TEhzza47pDwW8gUkkV4oCEUBWdtsxF3sKuebqDwXq5FalBPndoeqQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 可售面积历史趋势呈现波动减少的情况,预计未来随着市场成交量冰冻,会渐渐回升</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvukFibgW3Wpc3ic2gicKWtTAhGCSfRozlSklmxfxfEGqBgZOKAe5Ef6Erww/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">天津:价格跌破中轨支撑,开口收窄,或继续向下寻找支撑</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 量价分析:均价从高位回落,在中轨获得支撑展开横盘;量能持续下降,目前已经跌破中轨,可能会继续往下轨寻求支撑</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 购房者:以观望为主,价格继续上行压力增大,可以慢慢挑</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 开发商:量能在趋势性下降,所以要扩大拓客范围,加快节奏,抓紧去化<br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvu4ztD2ZyQ2yjopoBZrtICMRLiclft8JsiclmicLeMVdQuYrvk6bKb8Bq9g/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 存销比处于历史低位,目前是涨价卖房最好的时候</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvuLXFJicvX0FN3xCS8HHLxtCXMNibe1qhSF9DeW7rObia2T6pgJejKcciaRA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 可售面积经过了一段去库存之后处在历史最低水平,预计未来会向历史平均线靠拢<br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvuEtXnTPcsYMC8MmVcFluH6aib4AtqsD9BWzgoVZU91QQb5fhgAZTZKuw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">沈阳:价格尝试突破失败,若不能快速回到多头区间将被确认为假突破</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 量价分析:价格回到合理的多头区间,稳步上涨</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 购房者:目前升至合理区间,可以入手<br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 开发商:量能在趋势性上升,利润型产品可以小幅涨价入市,现金流型产品宜平价入市</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvuEtKcibgHibLdTjJ0PW75icRuiacnS0v0n8Cwrj5s8ho46yC75ybCibEgy2Q/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 存销比在持续下降,市场在持续变好<br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvuBG2aj9kd3hz08ZvrUiaM49kibI6fpicMlzicjVl96TA48To4ic6ey5ukfJw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">• 可售面积稳定在历史平均线附近,预计未来会向历史平均线靠拢</span><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6mwAYicibB9BfzWazEYjaTvuzqLHynaNrt3L9PCSOlYb3aVTbzSQV6OAzXr9xd0cRCcISXIyibZP7JQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-copyright="0" style="" class="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;">激情回顾,往期房地产量价趋势预测——</p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=496cedb857d3ac5fe4beb0eac7d78d34&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa2b7390c9cbcb039676c09b9d2808eafe180d101e90b7d4f62f280a15bb3dd&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年9月</span></a></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829841&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=ba5f9cab33c5edcea4e5a8b32f40ca9c&amp;chksm=8351700eb426f9188a9fbadfb06f94431dfa464c512eac51e06d42eb647d5d2a0cb53f38b1fc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></a></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829841&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=ba5f9cab33c5edcea4e5a8b32f40ca9c&amp;chksm=8351700eb426f9188a9fbadfb06f94431dfa464c512eac51e06d42eb647d5d2a0cb53f38b1fc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年8月</span></a><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829783&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b1151b97fdebc49102df125a87ed5935&amp;chksm=83517048b426f95ec769dddecdcbf59072bd05e0e4e84ddda437eda5bae6a09dbb2d8510767f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年7月</span></a></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829645&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=85248135d55f4cc72278bb099e0ae417&amp;chksm=835170d2b426f9c428dd05c5751f8b3a79d7727cebac23097fa16f25fdea0137915b217f6bde&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年6月</span></a></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829536&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=afd1eae35736e77003ddcb13f3f28e61&amp;chksm=8351717fb426f8697c1b88caa536ecf0b86ca0ea82007f46ea4c49524d284c5fbb8b24eaae69&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年5月</span></a></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829457&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ed54b4f34b78edbb6f90d1c974dc4f2&amp;chksm=8351718eb426f898d95531d2bc63408aa3f62453070925f69840e725e8c8e3e1541f471f7091&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年4月</span></a></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829332&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f60cb83ae739bb39e06e8347ef40d69a&amp;chksm=83516e0bb426e71d23d19f6cf6a884e596d980d8702bc0aff16ea6af89ded59e6ab9ebfa70c0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年3月</span></a></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829288&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=bafb04e8b5ee2bacc63eba3228935085&amp;chksm=83516e77b426e761e6d70197138964ba6cd488b358fe193ec13aaf59ff070de1d49ce0c0d34f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年2月</span></a></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><section class="" style="margin-top: 0.5em;margin-bottom: 1.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;border-width: medium;border-style: none;border-color: currentcolor;-moz-border-top-colors: none;-moz-border-right-colors: none;-moz-border-bottom-colors: none;-moz-border-left-colors: none;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section class="" style="margin: auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);width: 3em;text-align: center;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: inherit;font-size: 1em;text-decoration: inherit;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section class="" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-radius: 50%;width: 3em;height: 3em;line-height: 3.5em;overflow: hidden;font-family: inherit;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);"><section class="" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 14px;">更多</span></section></section><section class="" style="margin: -0.92em auto auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;width: 0px;font-family: inherit;border-top: 3em solid rgb(71, 193, 168);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;border-right: 1.4em solid transparent !important;border-left: 1.4em solid transparent !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section></section></section><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><fieldset class="" style="margin-top: 0.8em;margin-bottom: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-width: 0px;white-space: normal;border-width: 0px;border-style: none;border-color: currentcolor;-moz-border-top-colors: none;-moz-border-right-colors: none;-moz-border-bottom-colors: none;-moz-border-left-colors: none;text-align: center;color: rgb(129, 120, 119);font-size: 13.63px;font-weight: bold;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="padding: 0.3em 0.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-color: rgb(249, 110, 87);border-radius: 0.5em;text-align: inherit;font-family: inherit;font-weight: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;display: inline-block;box-shadow: 0.2em 0.2em 0.1em rgb(165, 165, 165);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(160, 160, 160);color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="padding: 0.3em 0.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-color: rgb(249, 110, 87);border-radius: 0.5em;text-align: inherit;font-family: inherit;font-weight: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;display: inline-block;box-shadow: 0.2em 0.2em 0.1em rgb(165, 165, 165);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(160, 160, 160);font-size: 16px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">禾略中国:helue_China</span></p></span></fieldset><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;white-space: normal;text-align: center;color: rgb(129, 120, 119);font-size: 13.63px;font-weight: bold;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p><hr style="max-width: 100%;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;color: rgb(129, 120, 119);font-size: 13.63px;font-weight: bold;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" /><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;white-space: normal;text-align: center;color: rgb(129, 120, 119);font-size: 13.63px;font-weight: bold;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;">陪你想,陪你写,陪你玩</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;line-height: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><img data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/zd226QNNqG4z3ZLnvGz7yzYuZ21wHoX53ZpOwnQhPmGbl2SxSiboaKiaW8L2CuhQBnhRkhP7Z47icicDduyXibFxAAg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="640" style="line-height: 1.6;text-indent: 32px;font-family: 宋体;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p><p><br /></p>

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