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在绍兴超高价拿地有未来吗?

发布于 2020-06-10

<p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 1 -<br /></span></strong></span></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">地块简介<br /></span></strong></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;"><br /></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;">6</span>月9日,绍兴柯桥区R-40地块出让,这是柯桥主城核心区今年真正意义上出让的首宗大型宅地。<br /><br />经过74轮激烈竞价,被金昌以总价32.84亿元成交,该地块出让面积约156亩,成交楼面价19737元/㎡,容积率1.5-1.6,溢价率51.8%。</span><br /><br /><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块位于柯桥区华舍街道,属于炙手可热的坂</span></span><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">湖富人区,东至规划道路,南至萧绍运河,西至大坂湖直江,北至鉴湖路。</span></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: right;"><br /></p><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80Vo3F11jPds9icYIeMqVyzC4g8wYQofl7ghdJbMRMOXt5O5efwwY81VA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图1:地块位置</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块价值如何呢?下面禾略带您详细解读——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 2 -<br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">城市基本面</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;城市能级&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">绍兴目前属于</span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">强三线</span></strong></span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">城市,2018年</span>在全国城市能级划分中排名</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第43</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">2020年绍兴城市排名上升1位,排名</span><strong><span style="line-height: 22.5px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第42,</span></strong></span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">且发生能级跃升,成为</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">二线</span></strong></span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">城市</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">。</span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;"><br /></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.46171875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80lV3kqnZ3zkDyRJtU6oym2dWI1WaCZKhfDjTr3ROAQ2n0IZBkIxqXOw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图2:2018年全国城市能级划分</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.44375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80CRHVPr4AMGaWS2gXH4E4CicOJzTAen4BTzV48TOCTqGkescvJFGHicvA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图3:2020年全国城市能级划分</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;经济发展&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">GDP规模稳步上升,2019年达5792亿元,</span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">但整体跑输全国大势,占比稳中有降。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.22890625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80v2NzSywSMU5fcHkPukdWmZgmwaDIicsrmrN0hNSwyvF9kb7bajo5z6g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图4:绍兴历年经济总量走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;人口聚集&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">2019年常住人口达507万,2016年至今平均每年增加3万人,全国均值倍数微弱波动。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.22578125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80Ijx3vJzCnXWucnjVRRbephXpTpfmgbluBCZMiaDhXF3pc4hhzic6ScWw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图5:绍兴历年常住人口走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;城市建设&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">建成区在2013年大幅扩张73%,2016年至今平均每年扩张25km²,全国均值倍持续上升。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.2265625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80iah8ooMxb0YoTHO1TIec1tDibGdQ7Pl8PjvMRyAUxtO8MJ8IUJibRcY3Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图6:绍兴历年建成区面积走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;"><br />- PART 3 -</span></strong></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">土地价值<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;土地现状&nbsp;<br /></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">先从地图上对地块交通、配套和产业有个基本了解,再选取一系列反映土地价值的指标,进行熵值法打分,将得分根据自然分段法划分为5个等级,从红到绿土地成熟度依次递减。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">主要从交通通达性、生活配套和产业发展来看网格颗粒度,综合看土地网格成熟度,在绍兴市属于</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第三等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80Ccpz4lPicaRWatWfQwoJsbMYTHKngJ7UqNV3tBzYA1dibvJKsHZF8MMA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图7:地块周边土地现状价值分布</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>&nbsp;交通通达性</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块周边道路成熟,距火车站和高铁站车程均接近半小时,未来向东1km多会受到地铁辐射。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5453125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80NWs5vicrn4T10icO6Hlghod0BcrQ4zzzibq5bDvrvGUYyYF5SmMRia3wmg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图8:地块到火车站路线图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp803Oibtja0mFJWdmvHJX56iatPBkZSmKicQiaOkecX1ZYLEsuQia2kGfuOuRg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图9:地块到高铁站路线图</span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.7938053097345132" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80nxY3fRLYE4S1hMG3TW24UNTRNjk37vXn19T0lysz6McChp3ynnTZkA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1130" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图10:绍兴轨道交通规划得分</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"><br /><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">从道路建设密度、自驾和公交通</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">达性来衡量综合交通,地块通达性为</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>第三等级。</strong></span><span style="line-height: 25.5px;font-family: 宋体;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80NzaaNLz4joFZyrX97tmYlg9y4eicgjVOhoJAX63zMkQzRhoprEWFWicQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图11:地块周边综合交通通达性</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80N92lH2GDUJoYuqUkGx1ibn8RGMJVxX2qOia54xt12mVZtiaAMOpia9KDSQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图12:地块周边道路建设密度</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp809UkiaPYgsRkOIpDmMpiaFa0lVibhmBibFibUCQnlVl640CzhoyGgJuN9vlw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图13:地块周边自驾通达性</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80GOj1ORXBadA6opLwpvLxmO13iaFpb0KnZpYiaQeMtQgcZKNWfcKtceGA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图14:地块周边公交通达性</span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>&nbsp;生活配套价值&nbsp;</strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块向北1km是大坂湖,向东3.6km是瓜渚湖,西边和南边均为河流,生态宜居。东边1.4km是柯桥购物中心,距柯桥中学2km左右,28分钟车程可以抵达市中心(市政府),东北方向3km左右集中了大量商业及餐饮服务场所。<br /><br />概括来说,地块位于坂湖富人区,紧邻柯桥区区政府所在柯桥街道,</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">配套齐全,生活方便。</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6203125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80WV268dbBdibnMogDAkjR4AueLs2HZg51ypibRmhrCOjdCl7NfG45Vl0Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图15:地块周边重要配套分布</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5265625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp807TD9jDBEEH1jRzC60WibHM3Uzz0MmhVndIRTRjQ3vhUchvTXaMPM2Uw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">图16:地块到市中心路线图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.80703125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80R7uRv4HUmjFPMqfmA9ykstGwU2iabsT8a03qpZn51VKXd47g6nGDhuQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图17:地块周边商业及餐饮服务面积</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br />根据住宅氛围与生活服务资源、工作氛围与就业资源、商业及餐饮服务、公园及休闲服务、医疗服务资源及教育服务资源的POI分布情况进行熵值法打分,反映城市各板块生活配套齐全度的指标,可以看出地块生活配套是</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第四等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80ricq3wNXOdwLv8tNadibQrWlzqiczUgv02lQJTICBgaJzIMFzPSRdtTwQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图18:地块周边生活配套价值</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55390625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp806yLiaZoyiaGFm8SxtL07JOlUWf2pYHDt65FcoKHttOFvrxYPnaoECg0w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图19:地块周边住宅氛围与生活服务</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80jSdNictjW0gk8iakhgFok7NicBn55AM5RColADXMCp5c5h6SLuFz5yHCg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图20:地块周边工作氛围与就业资源&nbsp;</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.54921875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80HaeFh3iaOS04hdOYGCkIINicpxLIVrSE6ib1WBw1YcR34iaAuf0OfhzCwA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图21:地块周边商业及餐饮服务</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80AL8hvh98wvZSnDib3EsicpqUHUZBN5QoxN0oBhSuOgx99e0em6wkETmw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图22:地块周边公园及休闲服务</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5484375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80npoibLHAP3UV3YVRGxUYFJyibSKcpH1I5hAKeG0tqKOibqfqJhQzWWIBQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图23:地块周边医疗服务资源</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80NllicOKXryDdPtZQ40ERoeJAhHdnP7TN3NJk0HA1g3mg85yIHTHhiaXw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"> 图24:地块周边教育服务资源</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;综合产业就业&nbsp;<br /></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">产业发展是根据传统服务业、公共事业、工业、新兴服务业的POI分布情况进行熵值法打分,反映城市各板块产业吸引力是否足够强的指标,可以看出地块产业发展位于</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>第三等级</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80IRTLSUxAHBgqDibZ6H2OhCqUJq8jHV8H5k9mUibMu5XTKyraNzBCiaTLQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图25:地块周边综合产业就业</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.54921875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp800TwUD5WN3W9ZkTwomkEtDQd8kTdveWw4ZdrWsh9wsHKZbiaP8TkL6Pg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图26:地块周边传统服务业</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp805dorooZcaicOicibI2V6qpyeA018WmQVTUVk2HnyskE2PPBDfvYqoONDg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图27:地块周边公共事业</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80RibhdPCDx6ycbRVOVGh1W3LjQCrJwGd2RmTc8ffQtJpCOTm9QU7Lq2Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图28:地块周边工业</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80jG7xntGxEOnuia9hrgsyIlxiajhkRmuMzicqrxRqYyRfq0NP0zMoU0BIQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图29:地块周边新兴服务业</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">因此,本地块所在网格没有新兴服务业,公园及休闲服务低于全市平均水平,其他各项指标均高于全市平均水平。<br /></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>公共事业、商业及餐饮服务业、工业是全市平均水平5倍以上;<br />道路建设密度、住宅氛围与生活服务、传统服务业、工作氛围与就业资源是全市平均水平3倍或以上;<br />医疗服务资源和教育服务资源没有以上指标突出,但也领先于全市平均水平。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.74140625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp808MmZy1LX2GS1nUdVCdUZTjEyCQzQVKHPjuQXsodORM1IVibyu4QgK4w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图30:地块各指标全市均值倍数</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 4 -</span></strong></span><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">空间扩张<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;土地扩张&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块在2017-2020年扩张速度较快,为</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第三等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,根据历年人造地表和建筑数据变化趋势,预测2020-2023年扩张速度为</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第四等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5015625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80aGdKcgSWIyL393RhLoKhRezVyAUjoeHtyQJ0fNrlFXCGFY3gI1HShQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图31:地块周边2017-2020年扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.50078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp8051uswAjNR5226cwn4EEpartFm0BfOOWK5sloNlGBxDD3rGaCVicKP3w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图32:地块周边2020-2023年扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>人口分布&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">2014年地块人口在绍兴市处于第三等级,2019-2020年地块所在网格人口流入。根据历年人口和建筑数据变化趋势,预测在2020-2021年依然为</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>人口流入</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.52734375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80ZKVLWsWAeEHJIyvReFfVQpsYMYtIkggSXCGBXBibbFdIj6BUGiaDNduQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图33:地块周边2014年人口分布图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.528125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80ibSADl8V9TiaMKBtOUungmC6wRRAicic0OWZp6mZVG8y99icFjibJoDKhxsA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图34:地块周边2019-2020年人口扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5234375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80PzvCJ50p0r7oFVcuO94jXicqOrLXYSopic6LEpLA8hoianCmvhiaEKeSjg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"><span style="text-align: center;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图35:地块周边2020-2021年人口扩张图</span></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 5 -</span></strong></span><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">市场表现<br /></span></strong></section><h2 style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></h2><h2 style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;历年销售情况</strong></span></h2><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售金额</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">商品住宅销售额在2014-2017年快速增长,2018年回落至745亿元,2019年上升至833亿元。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.23359375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80j6ZC8B3NjHFK8GUhFibwXYWp4NaM4jgpWzpxsvUfMd2mpVGl69YoiaQQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图36:绍兴市历年住宅销售额</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售面积</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">商品住宅销售面积从2014年至今持续增长,2019年为1065万平米。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.23828125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80K8To9HTyTuJQ2lLHCXn9MCNt6GdcFOeNK1qPBdrp6zn3WqSTfH4iasQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图37:绍兴市历年住宅成交面积</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售价格</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售价格在2013-2016年持续下降,2016年至今快速上涨,2019年达16214元/㎡,相比2016年均价8908元/㎡,上涨幅度达82%。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.23359375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80e3FicVEhbTkeExgGmwLsUXzCFK7iaLBSK43QtUhPxEOz9PFJAfbJAXicQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图38:绍兴市历年住宅成交均价</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />市场库存</span></strong></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li style="font-weight: bold;"><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">广义库存</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">广义库存2016年至今持续下降,从2019年10月起变为库存缺口,2020年3月缺口达33.26万方。以18个月销</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">售量移动平均值为月去化量,则目前广义库存去化周期缺口大概为</span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">0.6个月</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.27265625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80xpSIZ07ANfjvBS1ty9jbTBoLlbhWciajPwZZethibGFWorHwKZMyfeZw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图39:绍兴市历月住宅广义库存</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li style="font-weight: bold;"><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">远期库存</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">远期库存2016年7月为2058万方,缓慢上涨至目前的3035万方。以18个月销售量移动平均值为月去化量,则目前远期库存去化周期达</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">49个月</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.27421875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80VeOzlNAf4Lq4D3XSZC5EvSdmUNRmWPcu7ohyYKdeicV0rGICvgXjuuQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图40:绍兴市历月住宅远期</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">区县房价现状</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">从房价现状来看,柯桥区5月份均价在绍兴各区县排第2,为17958元/㎡,环比略涨0.65%,同比大涨13.08%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6586452762923352" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80c4kJPOvN6SLPMGUsSQianTvUCicSAJyyulaNgJkqFBtozSf9naGZ4iaaw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1122" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图41:2020年4月绍兴各区县房价</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格分析</span></strong></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格综合分析</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">观察近4年柯桥区价格走势,综合价格从2017年1月至今从7986元/㎡持续上涨至17958元/㎡,涨幅达125%。价格同比持续为正,2020年稳定在13%上下。<br /><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.25390625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80PJzV3cE8IojP4aW2JXQFibCpHfWgia4RVRicAbh9SNHW2iaPkz2jC9GVaQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图42:柯桥区近4年综合单价走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">一手房价格</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">绍兴出现房价倒挂现象,一手房价格低于综合价格,从<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">2017</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">年1</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">月至今从7485元/㎡持续上涨至16800元/㎡,涨幅达125%。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格同比持续为正,</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">2020</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">年</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">稳</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">定在15</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">%上下。<br /></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.2515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80TztfDulicakOXQrsTAG5b9OuWyegPEPeO9v2zWAibjXX1iaKIriaPVHewQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图43:柯桥区近4年一手房单价走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">二手房价格</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">二手房价格高于综合价格,</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">在2017</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">年1</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">月至今从8577元/㎡持续上涨至19125元/㎡,涨幅达123%。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格同比持续为正,</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">2020</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">年略高于12%</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.2453125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80EEYicQTQ88jRyhwnWDiamlhChoh6oQiavribk6Kibk2kDeW1fojGtaJwXoQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图44:柯桥区近4年二手房单价走势图<br /></span><br /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">租金</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">租金从2019年6月至今基本保持在26元/月/㎡出头,租售比保持在50%-62%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.25078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp803JnQgxDl7icL7TVmXYN7CYys8dEibWzWOjWoOMcVewhMwZ2iaZicxia5RLA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">图45:柯桥区近4年租金走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">房价动力</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">结合区县周期和楼市景气指数走势来看,柯桥区目前处于市场信心的下探筑底期,且房价泡沫较大。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">此时购房需求不足,观望氛围浓厚,市场流通差,价格可能会有所松动,应积极关注核心区域或核心地段的投资机会。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />未来半年,房价上涨动力为0.5%,未来一年,房价上涨动力为0.3%。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.33828125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp8022ATgFZr1cJkSbRIsVrbNDn16DLsasygRF7MDBNTb1bokYfFFhZLbQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图46:柯桥区周期走势</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.3359375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80dEDAWcwYVWk5jcuibbhCOuY924T23M6pxGRKAL4ayomYF6NVwN2RZEQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图46:柯桥区楼市景气指数走势</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地价房价比</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">参考地块周边住宅价格,恒宇锦园容积率为2,二手房价19387元/㎡,本地块容积率1.5-1.6,成交楼面价为19737元/㎡,即使按恒宇锦园房价上浮20%为本地块房价,<span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>地价依然过高。<br /><br /></strong></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">对土地成熟度和稀缺度做矩阵分析,划分土地价值,进而匹配对应的产品线。地块紧邻成熟吸附板块柯桥市区及成长中期吸附板块柯岩,完全可以打造绍兴最高端的产品,地块3km左右瓜渚湖畔就有目前最高端的楼盘,均价40000元/㎡,这个价格应该也成为本地块产品对标价格。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.67109375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80Lb7v0FtZVf7TFRfeBByHubickbNUtKNHH4KYc6B2ACs2xicYicpI0jjpA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图47:地块周边楼盘信息</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.453125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80VDPWmcE4Ca9AoPJCx1ORwB6mmoHxJdZQYjia13OwTRFpzKyWXec8mjA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图48:板块土地价值划分</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.52890625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzUUiaSpVbkR8IqIJTs6Cp80lokm3KK2YicH8cQaTGw3wLMXsaFRNrX0HrL7xuP5JZibITfpFEZJwZIg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图49:地块周边板块价值</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">——&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 小结&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; ——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br />综合来说,地块位于强三线城市,且即将跃升为二线城市,GDP跑输全国大势,人口年均增加3万左右,建成区面积每年扩张25km²。</span></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br /></span><strong>土地成熟度较</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">高,</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块位于绍兴第三梯队,除新兴服务业和公园及休闲服务低于全市平均水平外,其他指标均领先。半个小时车程可达市中心、火车站及高铁站,2km内集中了大型购物中心、公园及重点学校,生态宜居、生活方便。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>预测未来会有一定的人口</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">流入,</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块在核心城区西郊,空间上正好承接城市扩张,速度上位于绍兴第三梯队</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">城市广义库存存在0.6个月缺口,远期库存去化</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">需要4年,</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">区县价格17958元/㎡,略高于市区平均水平,上涨动力不足,未来一年仅为0.3%。<br /><br /></span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">目前处于市场信心下探筑底期,核心地段或许存在拿地机会。<br /></span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">如果6个月后入市销售,届时市场</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>信心回升</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,预计价格上涨</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>0.5%</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">;<br />如果12个月后入市销售,届时市场</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">信心回升</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,预计价格上涨</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>0.3%</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">;<br />地块周边房价接近本地块拿地价格,故地价太高。但地块所在板块价值高,开发商未来若能</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">高标准打造城市最高端产品,卖到40000元/㎡,也不失为一次华丽的翻身。<br /><br /></span></section><hr style="border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);border-style: solid;border-right: 0px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);border-bottom: 0px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);border-left: 0px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);transform: scale(1, 0.5);transform-origin: 0px 0px 0px;" /><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="color: rgb(217, 33, 66);"><strong><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br />#2020,别把生命浪费在PPT上,去创造价值#</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1.7914614121510672" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxduF4EXL7D9SiaPMBPBZwQCLge8RWKQ66fNnFCl05ibl88m1APGj82G9bOghszxO1R3iaiahRCKicn1hQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="609" style="height: 405px;width: 226px;" width="275" height="493" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br />——&nbsp; END&nbsp; ——<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">猜你想再看<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">城市:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a 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href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=c2d8bae147d4a2d86ec992c50c39ddad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a50b1acbe92593aabba12c3fb95e9966d93ecad99918dbcf654b9ce767405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">哈尔滨</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1e787f725d62f227dbc6c33d0b9ea3eb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08accd8896c160b37e7a4436d21e1fbf2cc596763115db5ef6e04dc914ce478&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">兰州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=048088acd651254d77cc238d71b1af04&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a7c36e33460f244db68a856502151c73820b314470b7e24412b9a8b6dcd5b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">常德</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=b6295a149a38a026e886d81014b568f3&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a8d7adbd8721956fd91c59be8bd1ec35d4f9963a11e7e67bee72cd49405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">南宁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=8&amp;sn=0efaff09c26e604d7aa5c29376c129ad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07abb37dd11a0cfe941868be2b543feebf288460418759254327292658947ae&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">桂林</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=12f08ffb076544edcbc24e91bc3d87d7&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a1cd4530a9033d462d4732c500dcdda723bdc3a87f4d55f1c62f657a4cb77&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">柳州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=6&amp;sn=0a89c4ab17039cec25754aa111b87308&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a6fdc14a1c0e877928f2fa46798a8b592b2b2023ad1c65081bbc80b2fafad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">蚌埠</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=7&amp;sn=1bc72e377ffc3b621c2886d68c437515&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07adc8c50a3e1409197892c508ad9c27a6b52f8e4dde12740baf5674f5a7fa6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">合肥</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=10e3d481f7fd0ff46dafe2648cd3ddfb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a5118705d6b85487fa97dd013a2aee842be719ee13086aab8dee370b54185&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">南京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9ffda0c7d9667d6700966a8bab12eccf&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a4e94a2471b2d59264ed4460e0567c63095fad9c5704541a546d7bc23584a&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">上海临港</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">太原</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">北京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">热点:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247485505&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=90a4482d0ec14f8a4d441f77c653806c&amp;chksm=97557265a022fb7385559a6648c54242c721582b3811ad664360ea1e6f562f0f62264852c20c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" data-itemshowtype="0" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深圳土拍</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831957&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a889b497d60264ef90aea585e4d4556f&amp;chksm=83517bcab426f2dc5e2b3778bc8e8834b453c4eac98c490ebeb525c4a5b01093fe602418b8fb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">美国地产</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">长租公寓</span></a><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830578&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=73f5149b299d5ce19a433c365eedee83&amp;chksm=8351756db426fc7b173558a1765830766ec5f7fb387e652250f10a106ef6490821f809722cfb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">中美贸易战</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">粤港澳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">万科商业</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">2018年走势</a>&nbsp;|<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">专业:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831987&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8553537eb64de48a9b7eb16564fe8988&amp;chksm=83517becb426f2fa0c63ef59ace65085334609b45795331170f0edb7f455d154c06d53aa85f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">穿越熊市</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;<span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831371&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b15fe316680aabc64e2b7c37e5767d8&amp;chksm=83517614b426ff0229de8ab490c6a7fb33f9e7de34bae145abd3565818c5965c1eca5a4b0029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">地产研报</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831103&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ae2c7ba214abd19c76ed907399b77b7&amp;chksm=83517760b426fe767422812a59d53a334c00664a2cc146d59a076bc0e59a062f518c7df00861&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">投资</a>&nbsp;|<a 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