基于企业经营的禾略市研报告

<p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptbIoGb1TTicnmfBCiaPpia6zm7wM0FPRIb5JFY0EYHicFC5swjI1EdW4bFg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">做过许多的市场研究报告，总觉得差那么一点点，与团队的小伙伴们，批评和自我批评的艰苦奋斗了一个月，总结出两大改进方向：</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">1、所有的研究都应该服务于企业经营，不能流于表面；</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">2、不能就数据论数据，要有明确的观点，尽可能提出应对的策略方向。</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于是，经过大家通宵达旦的工作，就有了以下成果，我们将它完整的，不打码公布出来，希望对风雨飘摇中的开发商有帮助，也希望对饱受甲方花式折磨的研究同行，有启发，如果可以的话，请帮忙转发让更多好朋友看到。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">需要报告文档的，可以发邮件至：yumx@urasr.com索取，如果方便的话，最好留一下您的单位、职位和联系方式，我们会不定期寄送小礼品。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">本次报告内容很长，可能需要花费您一个下午的时间，还有很多指标解释，请备好咖啡茶点。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">Let‘s Go！</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpttiabgibKvib3o2wOCTzqSI5bQ1eFicDvHlNJ8aq2OygouJrAubIVCz1CZw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们选取了，企业经营最重要的六个要素，作为切入点，因为这些指标，都是企业内部指标，所以我们不可能拿到数据。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">但我们认为，影响这些指标变化的，外部市场数据是值得研究的，如果我们可以建立一套，直接落位到经营六要素的市场研究体系，对企业经营，肯定有很大帮助。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptSacoryGwz16xMVicCqXO4XwxnjcAkhHSLaNx1rLChfrClaMQasXJxSA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">其次，因为禾略是一家全国公司，我们监测全国几乎所有城市，如何在一份报告里面，让尽可能多的读者，了解中国房地产市场的变化呢？</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于是我们使用了近百项指标，涵盖了经济发展、人口变化和城市建设三大维度，通过科学赋权重的算法，对120个主要城市进行打分评级，建立了基于宏观经济基本面，一二三四线城市划分标准，按照这个标准，来进行房地产市场研究。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">当然，具体城市，也是能够做同样标准的市场研究的，不过那是属于禾略商业合作范畴，负责公益工作的小编，在此就不再赘述。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptI7QYYbCRkfmlNKkd1bGTalwu7UcpbmciaCibHHyXvPqxkZCQZa1w9pIw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><section label="Copyright Reserved by ipaiban.com." donone="shifuMouseDown(&#39;shifu_t_010&#39;)"><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">1</span></strong></p></section><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">周转率</span></strong></p><section><br /></section></section></section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt1vEWRBKzpGtCSc67zG7xP7ILdQoR0sI5371IXksgsn1ty2Vbg0ODzw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们认为，周转率，对于开发商自身而言，是对投资效率和开发速度的要求，落到市场里面，则是对交易速度的要求，而交易速度，是由买卖双方的心态决定。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于是，我们建立了“卖方价格信心”“买方价格信心”“卖方住房消费信心”和“买方住房消费信心”四大指标，以此来监测市场的交易速度变化，<strong>希望可以从外部第三方角度，为开发商提供关于周转率的决策支持。</strong></span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptoyCUIzIDYYJhDd8iap2VIKMB2iaM6dxclv3icjZnGia9jia0UKS3UQCoB9g/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">建好了指标，我们发现，数据可以帮助我们，更好、更客观理解世界，但是如果数据特别特别多，反而容易出现信息过载，这时候，我们的大脑，其实是很容易像电脑那样死机重启。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">怎么办？</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们发现，描述一件事情，无非就是两种维度，一是，现在是什么；二是，未来怎么样。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于是，我们把“现在是什么”直接划分为两类，高于平均水平的，现在就是“强”，低于平均水平的，现在就是“弱”。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">同理，“未来怎么样”也可以划分为两类，未来比现在更强的，那就是“+”，未来没有现在这强的，那就是“-”。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">这样一来，我们可以把所有市场，分为四种状态来描述：强+、强-、弱+和弱-。这一发明实在太妙了，我们甚至把它用在了股票分析上，感觉大脑一下子，释放了好几G的内存出来。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpthEfKO9rqsS91OGLMhdbA6GCSic3fiaZsPhaYEIicRFvqeds7LJibDlcdNQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">接下来，就是一些基础数据的描述，请大家仔细读图。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们使用二手房挂牌单价的数据，用于表达卖方价格信心（单价）。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptMdMMkUXZAx4vNjKn8rUwp7pST4xEqv1ibyicrpsMBAwiccDgvkxvP7LIA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">然后就可以看到，不同等级城市的卖方价格信心，过去5-10年的变化，下图是超一线城市的卖方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptibQ74jBexicNz0mjblvPFxBoDKumh9HHeEnAmw95mYSyORY8NZIvial3w/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是一线城市的卖方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptBRqOjjVr7iaFs4QoBNicHC4N87K1MibrOlZtEAv1HbMs6QiabqaGva8b9g/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是二线城市的卖方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptjocBia5g6NiaTibxL2sDs5u9iaPuIvxKvRYqcic4mzk4L53BwxT7ZBD1mxQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是三线城市的卖方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptRQGcVEfFicItCTrkNSfGibDxW73ApuDq36ym4bjh9LVGBia1d0ZwrkNbg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是四线城市的卖方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptPUU4whibF0aYpKMhPrnib5sic1UvYbHC3HEdPPaSvBoPRzRPuXH7sXdYA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是关于卖方价格信心的小结，强一线城市和三线城市的卖房业主，你们的信心很强哦，看来买家想和你们讨价还价不容易。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptaQrkqDt6AzTRGwWXDReWPdfj7k6c4I3icKfclQutbIib7Tcaiarf8YlrQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们使用网络浏览关注单价的数据，用于表达买方价格信心（单价）。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">这种做法确实存在偏差，但如果数据量足够大，时间周期跨度足够大，会不会也算是，目前最为接地气的需求监测方式呢？</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptZuiaV7jTcTTbfxDj0kFsH51BzQUFURgbhdL3mYEQbUjvzP6blRcEZ5Q/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br style="margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;padding-top: 0px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是强一线城市的买方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt31JddzEBiaMnsMRAyXOEvCwn2iaYA4NwNfVe3bmAQO5ryjOvC4eqj5Gw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是一线城市的买方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptcuIyhhNRoYkD2cZAZBt5ERpibPgHvcfwsgjYqmbd7ImwziaybFpDW60g/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是二线城市的买方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptLgsBLT6DQiaBPJV4BbK2x7qMNqZcFWcDOZZ1EJJtic5iaAocqSR29rz8w/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是三线城市的买方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt0JCjbkyO5GACxQw449mtPFFX5RxASFK2PTOTXSSsYXFVQwFfyhwZzQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是四线城市的买方价格信心走势图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptgDGVEFnGscBPBFPMSoqPEyxl2zppEZEib97xVPxnhOF4WSu9noGNWoA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是关于买方价格信心的小结，一线城市和三线城市的买方准业主，你们的需求很旺盛呀。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptpSCaIqI5l7sm9lOtWzmeBJPnDD0NicZOJDlD5PXbX5HcwWGN1bVHmicQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">综合买卖双方的信心情况，我们做了一个十六宫格矩阵。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">可以看到，强一线城市，买卖双方的心态分歧很大，买卖不成情谊在，请强一线买卖房屋的朋友们保持好心态。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">三线城市就很爽了，大家对后市都很有信心，讲价是比较难的了，但是成交过程应该是很愉快的。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">一线城市有点意思，卖家心态有点down，买家却依然很high，相信可以促成一大波成交，卖了房子的开心，买了房子的也开心。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">二线城市和四线城市，人生就是一场康波，佛系卖房，佛系买房，阿弥陀佛。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptJ20T4Oicwfiar8cFfuJ2Wic8WZlyGrFXTOILvqfxHibqj1c3MQsnt4wPPA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">综上所述，请看下图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptoe4lGkLMwOcRqZS0ibs5IqLEhFdibXhdZBhuWbibkQvFp4PEYlRYzGc6w/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">接下来的部分，请大家留意补充，</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P1：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptj166bBpzPUTAzCVsAJlnhVD86leRQYokXmeGoRczmGbIZXticsfia5pw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P2：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptsx9on1pOGlBm44TGibbndjibtqc5pelVde1N4PLuMFG1c3EHlyr6L4og/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P3：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptiaVvyAOIkJqrwAJdxH2sC6c68cHOhhwSSLbEZYu2DkNGSsF5BGQib8dA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P4：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptIOlGDNtOG8qxzP8EpvmrewBH1iasvX2VRb35x9jE9ibcfW4Zia8sAoRNw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P5：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpts0AN08cia3fFySwLFeLjHXj1naRicd8h07lfKvZxQ0bB3apGyLjlvalg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P6：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptWgoWwbdvszib24HtmewKKuRia12h6PlMdoIrqxZ9xwP3icIn3CGHHEtow/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P7：_________________，这是一道加分题！</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptbwXkpqdvOaPR11m58VCA0ibAuM7ErgIMclqEVHibH29OmHQNaIU9sQFw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">除了单价，我们还整理了总价，也是“二手房挂牌”和“网络关注”两个维度，但是因为总价是实实在在体现预算的，所以，我们认为，总价反映的是大家消费升级的信心，就是我们想不想花更多的钱。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P8：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptkJ3G5OmCeLm516WtdjNx7bI6NyicGtwgxYnHeQ6KRZaiciaHSuzJzyZjA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P9：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptZibP4dnvibSYdwgecGWy6libU7ialFltfibBicfaIKY7ic6mhq4NibicDwJUQ5Q/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P10：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptOob7ACDUQOVhaGMCra2N0vDSjIoe45jvnWR3xGViaSX5TsCAngicXpibw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P11：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptZ7fgiaIUibcIk9sob5CkTQXaKv4UHiaQOFTzT2ZCo2GujlGVGe3gpvCibg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P12：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt1GCzSNv26N3vJOZH8h0xuAXHuQRTMsd8riaibYuEnUNuCX0VHQAM4uwg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P13：_________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptslDFsgUWTgVQzp6gsThsYzk72PXVkLTWicMtOy3jvFZxrJmyd3oRMRA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P14：_________________</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">这是一道送分题！<br /></span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptoxhxdUBibvAnT7Mqwx6QGJQyeIYnoO8icmRKBS33E5FJGdibicoBrpyflg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P15：_________________</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">图中的小字就是答案，但不是标准答案，欢迎切磋。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptVboKpe0Cc9AHGXwr2ByBd5iayGVBO4qBLMKWwwkDqUx1nLlqAHNZw3Q/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P16：_________________</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">又是一道送分题！</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptQWGvIBLmUyicMXgwfTAf8q6LZJCvV3KJoIfelLCQ0ozLjuJRiaEXZicbw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">最后，我们综合单价和总价做了一个矩阵分析，具体结论见下图。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptwuvBjdBtiaibTCFH4M325xWfa42Mxx1wFv1TXvXmJvfFyxhB5yTu1y9g/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">与此同时，我们以深圳为例，做了单城市分析的样本，见下图。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">深圳案例之价格信心</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptw4iaXORvGQnIIqkNgl4nxxRSgGnaY3ROBUaX4nmhF3JRdBa1fNKjvdA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">深圳案例之价格信心</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt3aomsVlWqrD4GgYo7SmbiawYyicFiaQ89aGozVibkuAIqOnTiahHgbYxR1Q/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们还在单城市里面，加入了同比和环比的分析，从下图可以看到，深圳买卖双方的信心都在持续走强。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">对于这个数据，郑老师一直认为，这是典型的非理性泡沫，但作为手握两套深圳湾一线海景高层豪宅的小编，我并不认同，世界的深圳有无限的可能，来了就是深圳人。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptT7mCbThWSjuibXnlSRU6ykHicUCN4A0tzukr5UdINKnWmtXDqDd5g7vA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们还按单价段，做了供求关系的分析，虽然买卖双方信心都很强，但是毕竟土豪和豪宅是一样的稀缺。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">所以，单价8万以上的房源，关注的人数，明显就少了很多很多，单价5万以上的可选房源，也相对充足。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptb9913HnHLzmRXxn7Rhr1wrIRqa6BylHUNOlbdLreibQRVoNhbfW9Y5w/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">深圳案例之消费升级信心</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpttuj8N5rFqJ0iaOllkB5LiaXw632UL01Ediaia2sPxvOjjZUb1YWcSbGQ7w/640?wx_fmt=png" /><br /></p><p><br style="margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;padding-top: 0px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">深圳案例之消费升级信心</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptFEEmFstlZwslYicPYFwTLu48ib6GU47lvSBCodDygPqg37sMkGJu2fpw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">积极乐观的深圳人民，买卖双方消费升级的信心，也是持续走强的！难道他们都不读书、不看报、不研究毛衣战吗？</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptjcibiapumEl91GDL5hUVQdUa9Xxic9SrtwnTGsks0zBqlfP4ZUd1BykdQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">分总价段来看就更神奇了，200万以下的房源，供不应求自不用说，在我大深圳，200万也就是150部iPhone xs而已！</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">200-600万房源，是市场成交主力也不奇怪，但是我们发现，3600-4200万的房源，也是一样供需平衡，请问现在应该屯几套豪宅，才能快速赚到十个小目标？</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P17____________</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">这是一道送命题！</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptAfyWicHKNibMLdefp0Foztkq7w0nagXqtS38ibrZfg8LbwP4Yy9qjM0Mg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><section label="Copyright Reserved by ipaiban.com." donone="shifuMouseDown(&#39;shifu_t_010&#39;)"><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">2</span></strong></p></section><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">现金净流入</span></strong></p><section><br /></section></section></section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptx2h75xz5phRSsbPeuf3mPfdwd5s3RZsrKjpKnudcDdibfdk7je7UPgg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">本来，现金流如此机密的数据，我们是绝对没有可能做什么分析的。然而，这个数据又非常的重要，因为它可以反映出，行业的整体健康程度，这对于做决策，是非常重要的。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于是，我们做了一些假设，当然是有bug的，但是我们希望，它可以提供一个粗糙的对的角度，帮助开发商，了解其他企业的健康状况，毕竟猪队友，有时候比神对手还要命。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">因为房地产的预售制度，所以我们假设：</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">一、开发商实现的销售额，只有45%是实际入账的，剩下的需要等项目，竣工交付了才能收到。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">二、在交付竣工之前，工程款还是要支付掉的，这是一笔不小的现金流支出，姑且按每平米5000元，作为成本考虑（这个数当然包括各种费）。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">三、投资拿地不能拖欠款，这也算一笔现金流支出。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">基于以上三个假设，我们大概看出房地产企业的现金流健康程度，绝对值意义不大，但是变化趋势，还是值得看看。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptFVyPKyAnFich6KdqTUPHQGqic5VNGEbKuuJicIEibMPznOUNsaGrJ2KsHg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们先计算了2018年1-6月TOP30企业的现金流入。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptUf1KpZWHvsIeJbTTnM2QyqSwqBZ1y37aXoJWx4oG2tFf58icUnKSUxQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">还有2018年1-7月的数据。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptX89z41x3eIDTBe9gpkMFMmpx0OhXKdH6iaTB4tib16p9vyfuXTI10fibQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">当然不能少了2018年1-8月的数据。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptKsraRR74BXZj6Mtx1sdiaYJgjbPpnTupDib49kZpCIZCxNb3fuDGYtBA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">然后开始毛估2018年1-6月，TOP30企业的现金流出。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpthJrK62Y79BnfokN2kAwSvLib3cHoZZK1zF9icoe3ibRgKSbUkjcf3OJ5Q/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">还有2018年1-7月的数据。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptbd7o2fkYIwDibVEUNzeswqfwr0yLkGSMzRqYhrQsjq42RJ0bzs03iaYQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">还有2018年1-8月的数据。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptjt15tAibo4IO5RHyJXktRZBrAXvTdBT2zhUnw4HzF3nRgkicDxdcFu5Q/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">把以上两大类数据相减，得到TOP30开发商，经营性现金流。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">公司小伙伴惊呼，全是负的！工资怎么发？郑老师淡定的说——</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">第一，这个数据是有误差的，只是毛估</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">第二，开发商的核心能力是借钱，不是赚钱，只要总能借到更多的钱，工资算什么？</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">第三，泰禾居然是正的，这和自媒体说的很不一样哦，我们是不是误会泰禾了？赶紧看一下，它的股票能不能抄底先！</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptu07TdgwdQXjyBS1lQPVqWPm8jRDNR6r4s65koJYzm27bZyh5Gd2XiaQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2018年1-7月TOP30企业，泰禾还是正的，金茂也负了。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptjZusDo3icPoXlNhGaewvyRuQBXVokibtHfaYqAP9v8hlkIh2euAtkLNQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2018年1-8月TOP30企业，泰禾还是正的，怪不得最近看新闻说，泰禾在9月做了一单收购，我们现在很好奇2018年1-9月是什么样子。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptyiab8TGFTQq8Zf1KksSNpBe5kficOe9XeFhfQeqyicOZTNRs6ia0NYGD7A/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">然后我们还计算了单月的变化数据。下图是7月的。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptuibicKDzwOM7UY742qIDcfFjNrwnE7SbrgQSyrl1eTG4fPPzwNrehsUw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是8月的。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptoOoZ3qkOCwNGuygNA7FBgCKTCIHdW9bUQQo1nibQsqeZ14Rm0EWPiccg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">把上面两个数据一减，可以看到现金流的变化趋势，有人在改善，有人还在恶化。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">当然，这么表达也可能不对，或许可以说，有人买大，继续加杠杆扩投资，赌房地产继续高歌猛进，有人买小，开始降杠杆促销售，赌房地产即将变局。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptQhKSfMYqA7TsdfmoTdpHCgoBWCic2rFE4uDQicoBMtGoXElIFTicsBPKw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P18：______________</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">现在的结论，是郑老师的观点，欢迎大家补充或者补刀。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptT2aS7qP536AaibJjxT4nvdTwJuSwLrIKib7KzbqibD7wBQzcNulRsibKlg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><section label="Copyright Reserved by ipaiban.com." donone="shifuMouseDown(&#39;shifu_t_010&#39;)"><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">3</span></strong></p></section><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">客户</span></strong></p></section></section><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="width:95%;height:auto;" data-ratio="0.5649622799664711" data-type="png" data-w="1193" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptpmR4FGawN9n3v4AicKyCUnEKev0JAXiaxGHXAzibBKQsoHibThJrKgWlUA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">仅仅只是分析市场数据，我们认为还是不够的，市场的背后，其实是客户，但是我们又没有办法，做全国的定期客户问卷调研（还是穷），那能不能从支付力角度切入，找一找新视角呢？</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们发现，房屋总价，约等同于真实购买力，通过房屋总价，可以计算出月供水平，而月供水平和月可支配收入，可以作为一个分析角度。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">同样的道理，首付是一次性的大笔支出，那么是不是和人均存款额，做一个分析角度呢？</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptFkxHpZia0lSCu6TlqspPahvZMUgsibwGgF5lPhM99ictI8oKoObjelR2g/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">但仅仅只是做静态分析是不够的，还需要加入趋势分析，因为预期对房价的影响很大。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于是，我们采取了增速指标比对，来研究不同城市的泡沫情况，是不是有些城市，房价的步子，已经迈得太大了，即将扯到收入的蛋？</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptDm9Zuibg6Mxwmnay3BwNXBv8KibzJRhI5jUgFk42kiaRE0FDfnS9kmrzA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是静态分析的首付视角。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptuU80nxabItB8xBiaBwWCWryjAAJGzOu4jdByEuDFMtW2x8TcXBRYmbw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是静态分析的月供视角。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt1gAiaFVngDG2FmOZFJjzAnnDXbgB24rniaB9v1ObvKevkMXDViaA2tlJw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">综合来看，请客研的同学答题。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P19：______________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptt45ibd3XG3PHlCJiaAmbEe8oEeiaOr3fH8IjN1cPQwJjy5JicvR2ibX6MGQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是趋势分析的存款增速视角。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptibpmbgT9wXbNJHdJjPoz0D7lwU8qj6K1qhbtteDgA9ROYSn4C8c36Qw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是趋势分析的收入增速视角。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptZ5HuOtppbzWCm65icGX2zbQupot8SGbLOUWibPYEOEbg3U7xtQ2uicJsw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">综合来看，请投研的同学答题。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P20：______________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptqSOFX0licv1D8nwgoZ3Cr5ye3YlsvfEtu6OqUE76sBKVawNoGhJJ5xQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><section label="Copyright Reserved by ipaiban.com." donone="shifuMouseDown(&#39;shifu_t_010&#39;)"><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">4</span></strong></p></section><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">增长</span></strong></p></section></section><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptELkuXubnakGZXA6wdwHFNewMicPicARcG8c3mCsw4pp00LPFLmxicwHOA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">终究，做房地产开发，也不是一朝一夕的事情，宇宙不爆炸，我们不停工，即便市场不行了，我们也要火中取栗，乱中取胜，坚决不做那个跑得最慢，被老虎吃掉的胖子。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">所以我们还是要展望未来，继续探寻增长的可能，现在经济这么差，我们就是全村的希望。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpteq04bvW0vjC8QBnU33dcuFeRMTzmZz9xFtmucaIYciaoWFBHhmEtHnQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">首先看看销售金额，但这些都已经成为过去，非常重要，但也不再重要。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt5ctZq01L8LFhYstkSWl3s7cEEeIn8Df5Ek8KxgnP4rCH8YAb9j2ZrQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">重点要研究未来趋势，这次以常州为例。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptJ41LeAEm3ojb9ezRn4sjf4GoPSpetXgcFVEQqGZKv2EzgFRjTq0uJg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P21：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptX7fG1VEjt8OS54erh8oDPckU0TX73dmFYHEFwWcTtwSacokgpA72OA/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P22：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptj05sRM9Ull71wfNpAuzh2fNd1n7diavmKqyrvVEF30x9ZRffiaUWgDiaw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P23：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptww4szKKotWJF2yMib8qpxL1tHV8C0fa5ncAr2OhjibBSUOdjiagZXp4Cg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P24：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptzqslhOCKtOodvN1kmuU4LO2SYyXKomuHujZH0jiciaMTM7HBXM57aTTQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P25：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptWNPXAcCB7B3x4R6Rico4nBrYAKkYiaPdbIxLQ5ep6Gla5r5klHBMmldg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">友情提示，P21-P25的题，如果回答不出来，请联系我司钟总：zhongxj@urasr.com</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">是的，因为小编也不懂，告辞。</span></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><section label="Copyright Reserved by ipaiban.com." donone="shifuMouseDown(&#39;shifu_t_010&#39;)"><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong>5</strong></span></p></section><section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong>利润</strong></span></p><section><br /></section></section></section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptwbaUyIcbjMGF3dayoNThRByLpEdNHauduNRNCKZflNsB5hL5czdgjQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">只分析规模的话，很容易赚吆喝，不赚钱，毕竟大家都已经是上有老下有小的人了，有那闲工夫，还不如多陪陪家里人。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">因此，在确定如何提升规模后，研究如何获取利润，就显得非常重要了！</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptcomJPiax8hjsa6GibBLf45XfLJjvdv7VIBlPNFDIzPIjI25oxpN65QQg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P26：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt08xfjbJqwuFfloyb98w6KXMl1YEJicQjqK8DZ3rbg6GIM8kuTu1ua8Q/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P27：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptOP1GsMMnWjKsM7duqicibhBhx3icg4Lq6kEVwDQhpOyERtRw6CGVMVyeg/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P28：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptcEZcTUr9XCtWBjP6UQ224ulv7QcO1VzxClQq9ut4KUxAiaWqCD7HLCw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P28：_____________________________</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptLOia7vaQqxSbmWbJKVEKfKn6Cf5iaQYX0bNbRJeicNPMe33wME6K300Hw/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">下图是P29：_____________________________</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">友情提示，P26-P29的题，如果回答不出来，请联系我司呙院长：gp@urasr.com</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">是的，因为小编还是不懂，告辞。</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKpt1vt6u8cGNzO8OOKAcxL6u1NicPs4If6zxCicJf1CWPegtfxE4PjBQKqQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">是时候优雅地展示，专业地产人勇气的时候了！</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-w="1920" data-s="300,640" data-copyright="0" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6KS5EZryZlOZBdPBFibfKptHHrrc4lCiauj6vDQygCMibkIw2ffib1HGpfnicoQhClAy5P58l788jxIFQ/640?wx_fmt=png" /></p><p break-word="break-word" border-box="border-box" yahei="yahei" sans="sans" helvetica="helvetica" px="px" normal="normal" gb="gb" neue="neue" important="important" center="center" sans-serif="sans-serif" arial="arial" microsoft="microsoft" ui="ui" hiragino="hiragino" sc="sc" pingfang="pingfang"><br /></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;">—— 猜你想再看 ——<br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;"></span></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;">城市：</span></strong><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;">| <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=191239418c15b0c6f395c843415da5fd&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028970ac64031955167bfde997cdc96375bfb3bce25b5076f1458e11be2be27&amp;token=217203186&amp;lang=zh_CN&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">徐州</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=3a8acfb05820bbd38cd7b15a58e92ec9&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028dfd96ec6ffc5239a84aaf25b6643813aa6b4a597b9a3215e7ab25e2b4eaf&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">宿迁</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1fcdc66fac79d5ba9504bc24314a14f9&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f02829eef9ba1dfcb8c3e91edb05d3c1d34c548b82f618928834f1da5907d2e7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">淮北</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=18d65f24543e71ff6bc70eb1cb0a7bde&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028b98805f0f7555bfc57e3aefe6c76e7ca8df0369ad5dcc4a593a011a9b029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">唐山</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=9f550e5d1f6bd3becc92df723adedd61&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f0289523b13ecd4fcb3d227a3cb259a09e504d388ace5a5eb25ece3aecfe8d46&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">天津</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=4c4fb5ce9d25c1fe6012d719c5878c82&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a6b9f35c8db84ceac56401b6da4a6429d1bc5e3339251db372a5045c242&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">深汕</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=c2d8bae147d4a2d86ec992c50c39ddad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a50b1acbe92593aabba12c3fb95e9966d93ecad99918dbcf654b9ce767405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">哈尔滨</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1e787f725d62f227dbc6c33d0b9ea3eb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08accd8896c160b37e7a4436d21e1fbf2cc596763115db5ef6e04dc914ce478&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">兰州</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=048088acd651254d77cc238d71b1af04&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a7c36e33460f244db68a856502151c73820b314470b7e24412b9a8b6dcd5b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">常德</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=b6295a149a38a026e886d81014b568f3&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a8d7adbd8721956fd91c59be8bd1ec35d4f9963a11e7e67bee72cd49405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">南宁</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=8&amp;sn=0efaff09c26e604d7aa5c29376c129ad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07abb37dd11a0cfe941868be2b543feebf288460418759254327292658947ae&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">桂林</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=12f08ffb076544edcbc24e91bc3d87d7&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a1cd4530a9033d462d4732c500dcdda723bdc3a87f4d55f1c62f657a4cb77&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">柳州</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=6&amp;sn=0a89c4ab17039cec25754aa111b87308&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a6fdc14a1c0e877928f2fa46798a8b592b2b2023ad1c65081bbc80b2fafad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">蚌埠</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=7&amp;sn=1bc72e377ffc3b621c2886d68c437515&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07adc8c50a3e1409197892c508ad9c27a6b52f8e4dde12740baf5674f5a7fa6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">合肥</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=10e3d481f7fd0ff46dafe2648cd3ddfb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a5118705d6b85487fa97dd013a2aee842be719ee13086aab8dee370b54185&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">南京</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9ffda0c7d9667d6700966a8bab12eccf&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a4e94a2471b2d59264ed4460e0567c63095fad9c5704541a546d7bc23584a&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">上海临港</a> |<span class="">&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">太原</a><span class="">&nbsp;</span>|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">北京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;">热点：</span></strong><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;">|<span class="">&nbsp;</span></span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;">长租公寓</span></a><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;"><span class="">&nbsp;</span>|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830578&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=73f5149b299d5ce19a433c365eedee83&amp;chksm=8351756db426fc7b173558a1765830766ec5f7fb387e652250f10a106ef6490821f809722cfb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">中美贸易战</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">粤港澳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">万科商业</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">2018年走势</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830258&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=079af6257d826b9b592280754ac66a69&amp;chksm=835172adb426fbbbcbc0ba7b27078f59d0313d5bd0f60d0b385720251d85f0b1797abeb24e54&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">任泽平</a><span class="">&nbsp;</span>|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829214&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=e245560eeadafae388de6a7d7577e04e&amp;chksm=83516e81b426e7976c5c6d425b4a39ade86d0e12ed288238933e3662f48c58d57c4efeb5c801&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">深圳房价</a>&nbsp;|<span class="">&nbsp;</span><br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;">专业：</span></strong><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;"><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 12px;"></span></strong><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;">|<span class="">&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831371&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b15fe316680aabc64e2b7c37e5767d8&amp;chksm=83517614b426ff0229de8ab490c6a7fb33f9e7de34bae145abd3565818c5965c1eca5a4b0029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">地产研报</a><span class="">&nbsp;</span></span>|<span class="">&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831103&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ae2c7ba214abd19c76ed907399b77b7&amp;chksm=83517760b426fe767422812a59d53a334c00664a2cc146d59a076bc0e59a062f518c7df00861&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">投资</a><span class="">&nbsp;</span>|<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831043&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dcae4bb0d9c69a6aefeb48f7447dff10&amp;chksm=8351775cb426fe4a32f43b1fe3a11ebffb7d381291adc0746d6d0ed9f3efb882617e0407aa10&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span class="">&nbsp;</span>思考</a><span class="">&nbsp;</span>|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830765&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=d21dbefeb5e1aea1599bcec8fae7a7d4&amp;chksm=835174b2b426fda4b66776ffb3da368f2b71e44233e17581d647b246e52aa53255140e3adac0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">客研</a><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830698&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=27ffa7f097500e9e7fb23f99fdce51ef&amp;chksm=835174f5b426fde3854d2eec6dc6fd1c0c182faa0218d1b0ce833e50c860c23b062b88f914e0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">高周转</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830656&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dc61474f9d09133fcce2934476ea10c1&amp;chksm=835174dfb426fdc9575a9a316aef5c25d051f574d0cd96ae3d1cda189bca7c7b0b7447e403e4&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">房价预测</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830457&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=37a5c454028fb849c2c5fce3b3575756&amp;chksm=835175e6b426fcf07c9d8fdee249e33edf0ae7f5684be2290c3145624ad430d880a10a654ebd&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">2018房地产报告</a> </span>|&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830201&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1816623486b879233513443f1df6ec59&amp;chksm=835172e6b426fbf07aa0f023c3ff79ca1cf11606fc2f2b66cfe773222e3fa1df7f92affa90b6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">远郊定位 </a>|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829710&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=58d632f4b07dc0796127ef5df605bb36&amp;chksm=83517091b426f9871fa25aed40ade8d757557347ecf505d8b9510645b5adcc6d703caed90b31&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;">时势蓝图</a>&nbsp;| <br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px 1.5em;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section style="margin: auto;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;border-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);width: 3em;text-align: center;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: inherit;font-size: 1em;text-decoration: inherit;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;display: inline-block;border-radius: 50%;width: 3em;height: 3em;line-height: 3.5em;overflow: hidden;font-family: inherit;vertical-align: middle;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);"><section style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 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BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p><hr style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: 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normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;">陪你想，陪你写，陪你玩</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;">商务联系：yumx@urasr.com<br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 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