官网首页 › 研究观点 › 观点正文

基于周期滤波方法,沈阳地产市场周期预判

发布于 2021-09-24

<section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 1px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;justify-content: flex-end;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 100%;align-self: flex-start;height: auto;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-top: 10px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: -1px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p><img data-backh="121" data-backw="370" data-ratio="0.32741935483870965" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzYkyCR8gqlt6ZJJynwTEe8yvZhs0Y0c3ONSbKVq0FJAjCrXBatmXu7gXnIktjEYfjW70wDKtgLjw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="620" style="box-sizing: border-box;height: 118px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);text-indent: 36px;width: 359px;" /><br /></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 1px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;justify-content: flex-end;line-height: 1.5em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;width: 100%;vertical-align: top;height: auto;border-width: 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: justify;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 15px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 18px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p><section style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;letter-spacing: -1px;text-align: right;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="margin-top: -20px;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;border-width: 0px;border-style: none;border-color: initial;z-index: 0;text-align: center;justify-content: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;display: inline-block;width: 270.797px;vertical-align: top;height: auto;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 89.3594px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="margin-top: 10px;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;justify-content: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;height: 20px;width: 20px;background-color: rgb(160, 160, 160);border-width: 3px;border-radius: 100%;border-style: none;border-color: rgb(227, 125, 106);box-shadow: rgb(247, 212, 114) 0px 0px 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;text-align: justify;font-size: 30px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section><section style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 89.3594px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="margin-top: 10px;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;justify-content: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;height: 20px;width: 20px;background-color: rgb(62, 62, 62);border-width: 3px;border-radius: 100%;border-style: none;border-color: rgb(227, 125, 106);box-shadow: rgb(247, 212, 114) 0px 0px 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;text-align: justify;font-size: 30px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section><section style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 89.3594px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="margin-top: 10px;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;justify-content: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;height: 20px;width: 20px;background-color: rgb(160, 160, 160);border-width: 3px;border-radius: 100%;border-style: none;border-color: rgb(227, 125, 106);box-shadow: rgb(247, 212, 114) 0px 0px 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;text-align: justify;font-size: 30px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p style="text-align:right;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: -1px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-indent: 0em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;line-height: 2em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;&nbsp; /&nbsp;</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">CHAPEAU</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">/</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong></section></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);letter-spacing: 2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">前言</span></strong></em></span></strong></strong></span></strong></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 5px 8px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section></section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">近期地产市场风波不断,在国家房住不炒的大基调下,在“三道红线”、“房贷集中度”、“两集中”等长效调控机制的作用下,曾经房企高杠杆拿地、高周转经营的逻辑已经完全失去了套利空间。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">随着近期恒大暴雷,普通消费者对于市场政策动向、开发企业资信有了空前的关注,在2021年上市房企三道红线的统计中,共计27家房企处于绿色档,25家房企处于黄色档,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>8家处于橙色或红色档</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,流动性危机亟待解决。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">降价促销,大概是房企短期内提高经营活动现金流入的最快方法,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>沈阳近期超40个楼盘降价,个别项目个别户型降价幅度甚至高达5000元/㎡</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,致使多家房企已被约谈,然而市场成交却仍然不温不火。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">二级市场走势自然影响一级市场交易,</span><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;">在刚刚结束的沈阳第二次集中土拍中,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>24宗土地停止交易,挂牌出让的22宗地块,最终成交19宗,共计13家房企成功摘地。</strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综上,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>土地价值、产品价值叠加品牌价值,或将逐渐成为未来商品住宅市场的核心驱动力</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;"><br /></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">正处于行业严冬中的开发企业,哪个区域在目前时点更适合投资,哪个区域在未来时点会具有更大的投资价值</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,本文将以一个全新的视角和独特的方法,来对沈阳分区县市场周期进行预判。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">我们期待能为您的投拓决策提供借鉴依据,同时希望各位同仁集思广益,群策群力,让决策更加理性!</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com"><section data-role="paragraph" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Helvetica, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;">▼</span></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">01&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">模型介绍</span></strong></span></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">首先我们大致介绍一下市场周期模型的构建方法,该模型借助物理学周期滤波方法,综合考虑一手房价及二手房价因素,对三期滑动平均的一手房价及当期二手房价,进行几何平均推算综合房价。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">提取综合房价中的趋势函数并剔除,通过傅里叶变换分解正余弦函数及随机干扰项,识别主导函数作为主导周期,对主导频率附近进行滤波作为主导周期滤波,进而对未来市场走势进行周期预判。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">值得注意的是,模型仅将一手房价及二手房价历史数据作为计算依据,未综合考虑时间序列的量价关系,同时无法预判因政策面突变而出现的价格拐点,其他波动因子也同样未进行有效分离。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">下面我们将模型应用到沈阳市场并尝试进行周期预判。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">02&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">沈阳全市纵览</span></strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">2021年沈阳综合房价</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>保持10PT左右的同比增速高位震荡</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">,其中7月综合价格13009元/㎡创历史新高,8月价格轻微回调至12837元/㎡。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">分区域来看——</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>和平区、沈河区、浑南区、皇姑区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综合价格高于全市水平,其中和平区价格已率先突破两万元大关;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>铁西区、大东区、于洪区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综合价格低于全市水平但保持在万元以上;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;"><br /></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>苏家屯区、沈北新区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综合价格全市最低,仅为9000元/㎡左右。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><shape type="#_x0000_t75" filled="f"><imagedata title="image1"></imagedata></shape><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="158" data-ratio="0.2907458563535912" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicULhRr75xfAYTylMkFV8HUHVPNympxXALmOZWhbc3l85Pav2HQcsCkg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1448" style="width: 546px;height: 159px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="139" data-ratio="0.26698049764626763" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicasGeAXsU4Fax5n1FLoVaGRwibFiaVLF3SYwoKxfcIyzCMMegH2MKDH1Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1487" style="width: 546px;height: 146px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-backh="308" data-backw="366" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="461" data-ratio="0.8432" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicuaUGzQbGRmSVeAGB3Fia8ibNq9pm5CRv57icuR0QtXzk6gGKETfhEmD5g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="625" style="width: 547px;height: 461px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">备注:房价为8月综合价格,综合价格t=SQRT(MA3(一手房价t)*(二手房价t)),即三期滑动平均的一手房价及当期二手房价的几何平均数,文中全部价格计算方法同理。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">03&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">不同区域</span></strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">1)和平区</span></strong></span><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">和平区4月综合价格达20610元/㎡,创历史新高,随后</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高位回落,同比增速下挫,6月价格向两万元关口探底,8月价格为20150元/㎡。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><br /></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="160" data-ratio="0.29180771834800273" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicQ5ASXPvPxibvjpEcvbt3RYy4yCBThM2jKnQ8ODZHOibibd16iaoSBvmK2g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1477" style="width: 548px;height: 160px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,和平区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>牛市末期行情,预计2021年11月转为慢熊市</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="148" data-ratio="0.27158034528552455" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicneBX4Ggsibh8icfZE5mVHVtibuzsclmicoYdicZ7qUrIlvph654maysYgBg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1506" style="width: 546px;height: 148px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">2)沈河区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">沈河区2020年末至2021年初综合</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>价格拉升明显,5月价格创历史新高,达19973元/㎡,随后市场回落,8月价格为18058元/㎡</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="158" data-ratio="0.2889655172413793" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicQziaJCbBicPIEm0ZIzttJEFG3ymdvkhtclT4vH2muSjJ5HQdS1GhGPrg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1450" style="width: 547px;height: 158px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,沈河区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>牛市末期行情,预计2021年12月转为熊市,预估熊市周期长达一年。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="150" data-ratio="0.27680965147453085" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicvklYEHhKHUmvsxB1LaHRFEKJJupkuMPniaxKQnLQqekAxMibUCTN9bNg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1492" style="width: 546px;height: 151px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">3)浑南区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">浑南区2021年综合价格走势</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>回落明显, 1月价格13644元/㎡为阶段高位,7月价格13277元/㎡为阶段低位,8月价格轻微上涨至13425元/㎡</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-ratio="0.28401122019635344" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicO6V67lic1KYQmXoibNA7Bl4SwvgOZdqJmeeVcNM0eHW2m0ZoMzQkA85Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1426" style="width: 546px;height: 155px;" /><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,浑南区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>牛熊周期轮动阶段,预计2022年10月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-ratio="0.28135368281353684" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicEC3r1ZANAYnaMpNgnKfBP5GpIylWIwn8E9lJIib4IkoHLEOyLAVmZXg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1507" style="width: 547px;height: 154px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">4)皇姑区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">皇姑区2021年综合价格</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>拉升明显,7月价格创历史新高,达13716元/㎡, 8月市场轻微回调,价格为13290元/㎡。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-ratio="0.28353022932592076" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicWhFM2YiboBsoiarFPDAeRzyNUffzy60aFLptBLyE6hhN7q7TfsDcDSjQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1439" style="width: 546px;height: 155px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,皇姑区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>慢牛周期开始阶段,预计2023年6月市场回落</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="150" data-ratio="0.2737054472091459" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicKRBARspGxVdXSzIlD11zdZ2Vb58iculticYayraXp4o80WiadHX3YpicVQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1487" style="width: 548px;height: 150px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">5)铁西区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">铁西区2021年综合价格走势</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>先扬后抑, 5月价格12604元/㎡,随后回调盘整,8月价格为12486元/㎡。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="156" data-ratio="0.28473648186173856" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaiczkjIx3zEb9yn2rU1bPO5PI0JaSsyjJGBLUIkZeu3U1dPhmUUd3ne0Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1461" style="width: 548px;height: 156px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,铁西区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市末期行情,预计2021年10月转为牛市,区县市场周期轮动较快且周期较为均匀。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="152" data-ratio="0.27751196172248804" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicaaeBfIfqnkWe2Oo8gSFZS3eC1CznUvqmIkHgicFiclxTIVgw3mibibVdicw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1463" style="width: 548px;height: 152px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">6)大东区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">大东区2021年综合价格走势</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>拉升平稳, 8月市场发力,价格环比涨幅明显,创历史新高,8月价格为12027元/㎡。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="153" data-ratio="0.27932203389830507" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicgVtB6EvL89ekDgPjQFhfmAo7KVMVYJiaIIGepNwFK2GPdIuwOXFsHrQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1475" style="width: 548px;height: 153px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,大东区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>牛市初期行情,预计2022年6月转为熊市,下轮熊市周期较短,预估仅7个月。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="150" data-ratio="0.2772143340094659" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicNz4uGeFSb2DEdWtzNXM2ribZIN5obhGaU53NHW18VUmAZC75nhJrPAw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1479" style="width: 546px;height: 151px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">7)于洪区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">于洪区2021年综合价格走势</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>先扬后抑, 4月价格11331元/㎡为阶段高位,7月价格10922元/㎡为阶段低位,8月价格拉升至11306元/㎡</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="157" data-ratio="0.2876618950238582" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaice4w3kJ5oVcXGBuzcEtbNlQqttnmTydkovZMatibXpHWN916Y8avG1IQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1467" style="width: 546px;height: 157px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,于洪区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>牛市末期行情,预计2021年11月转为慢熊市。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="148" data-ratio="0.27097203728362185" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicbT8XpSglV1D6Wl2s9UUz5gkRwibmaMx302oEgkpkMJ0trDEVMOgN9yQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1502" style="width: 546px;height: 148px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">8)苏家屯区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">苏家屯区2021年综合价格走势</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高位大幅震荡, 3月向下探底8751元/㎡,随后迅速拉升,6月价格9611元/㎡创历史新高,随后迅速回调,8月价格为9095元/㎡。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="162" data-ratio="0.2958041958041958" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaic3SEcGn1w3NRPpLxxJ5ATRia8fIm5Nre8j0F2jAqXWDJpbbhjW0iaYYug/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1430" style="width: 548px;height: 162px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,苏家屯区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>牛市中期行情,预计2022年2月转为慢熊市。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="147" data-ratio="0.2693351424694708" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicxkt5K71T043dGvrUUcCXp71AN97QjERMqg6ZVSAo4Mun6xkGAs68Fg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1474" style="width: 546px;height: 147px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">9)沈北新区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">沈北新区2021年综合价格走势</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>较为平稳, 6月价格下探至8990元/㎡,为阶段性低点, 8月价格为9092元/㎡。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="149" data-ratio="0.27360441075120606" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaic3iaiaibAz7Brkfia0lxprx7UOSXBbCBx55D9LhpTw1HuvDSRvnQzl1InNw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1451" style="width: 546px;height: 149px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,沈北新区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>牛熊周期轮动阶段,预计2023年5月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-ratio="0.28203389830508474" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaiciaiam4rvBqHHp2aWjulicprMXrARdTjiaNrdIf2aAMDFicxDiaBgiaNxeQj2A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1475" style="width: 546px;height: 154px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">04&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 18px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">分析结论与投拓建议</span></strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过上述分析,我们将当前价格高于全市水平定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>当前高价</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,将当前价格低于全市水平定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>当前低价</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,结合市场周期模型对下轮周期的预判,分为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中期看涨</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”与“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中期看跌</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,使用</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>四象限图</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">进行交叉分析。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-backh="346" data-backw="411" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="460" data-ratio="0.8402922755741128" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaicw5icG9x9B81FbwkB1zMzHQW3T4FsrBKdXNcCxZic8JFszgQmxctz6IVg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="958" style="width: 547px;height: 460px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">由图可知,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>从投拓决策的角度——</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">在当前高价区域中,皇姑区具有较高的中期投资价值,在当前低价区域中,铁西区、大东区具有较高的中期投资价值;</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">和平区、沈河区、浑南区为高价区域且中期具有较低投资价值;</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">于洪区、苏家屯区、沈北新区为低价区域且中期具有较低投资价值,开发企业可根据自身投资成本安排进行价值区域选择。</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">接下来,我们对市场周期的持续时间进行分析,将目前所处周期定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>当前牛市</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”及“当</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>前熊市</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,将一年以内形成的周期轮动定义为“</span><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">短期拐点</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,将两年以内形成的周期轮动定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中期拐点</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,将两年以外形成的周期轮动定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>远期拐点</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,使用</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>六象限图</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">进行交叉分析。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-backh="339" data-backw="400" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="462" data-ratio="0.8466796875" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyicXAhc6TMgjnnX3x6Bn0iaictX8rstOq0YnKTmicwEmYyDYxO3ic9e8UApD8VTfE5vtQu8RcmdsMKFJQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1024" style="width: 546px;height: 462px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">由图可知,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>从投拓决策的角度——</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">在当前牛市的区域中,皇姑区的牛市持续时间大于大东区、苏家屯区,大于和平区、沈河区、于洪区、沈北新区;在当前熊市的区域中,铁西区迎来拐点的时间早于浑南区,开发企业可根据自身投资周期安排进行价值区域选择。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">— 小结 —</span><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">地产市场变幻莫测,投资机会稍纵即逝,即使数学模型的建立,永远无法脱离模型假设而完全实现非理想化应用,但对于市场预判模型的研究仍然具有实践意义。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">正如同基本面分析、技术面分析等共同作为证券市场分析手段,</span><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">数学模型的建立,结合对于市场及客户的研究将让分析结论更加接近真相。</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;">而对于开发企业,在国家房住不炒的大基调下,高质量地满足甚至超越客户需求,才能使企业产品甚至企业品牌,在市场的严冬中绽放精彩。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(214, 214, 214);">END</span><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="background-color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: red;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">&nbsp;-&nbsp; 小程序 -&nbsp;</span></p></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;white-space: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);max-width: 100%;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;">&nbsp;·「禾略问答」·</span></section><p><a class="weapp_image_link js_weapp_entry" data-miniprogram-appid="wxf051804df9944e68" data-miniprogram-path="pages/index/index" data-miniprogram-nickname="禾略问答" href="" data-miniprogram-type="image" data-miniprogram-servicetype="" href=""><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.33830455259026687" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxgXqtJ7x2ATMbtIm1oBmTM5cLtzxaHKiaJINP1DiaedwSS8oUuQadhFxpcXZiaWxTvWyWxXichXeiaGHw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1274" style=""></a></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);max-width: 100%;caret-color: red;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;·<span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">「HotTina」</span>·<br /></span></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;"><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><a class="weapp_image_link js_weapp_entry" data-miniprogram-appid="wxdcdd1e610d71ae74" data-miniprogram-path="pages/serch/serch" data-miniprogram-nickname="HotTina" href="" data-miniprogram-type="image" data-miniprogram-servicetype="" href=""><img class="rich_pages" data-backh="120" data-backw="389" data-ratio="0.30973451327433627" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxBKiaQNH3yAajSVKNDghYCq5gnROOAWjmdwIqhP9gBLpU9iaicBb19EGQVKpTzeP0lOXYyF5icG1y74Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="791" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></a></section><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">*</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: left;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">▷往期文章彩蛋:不要戳开!!!</span></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247500345&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=93797fca0ea11825bcc9e5e1c0109c52&amp;chksm=9756b81da021310ba7a377bdce7ef2877fb30eb246731c626bffd343008b77703527595ad2ed&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img class="rich_pages" data-backh="86" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyWURddlHITkZgKz53a4xugLLibwPxIshPkhYb8rUpx6OiaokEiaiaoQAs4pBYvOk4KlGWhp5OagMyWaw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="912" style="width: 100%;height: auto;margin: 0px;" /></span></span></a></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247500355&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=2c6ce758ab3881befb2fbba0ba3603f1&amp;chksm=9756b867a021317120bad43bc938ebb4cdb2953af8c54167618f6a0d2e10e4a0c0dbbeb90f65&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img class="rich_pages" data-backh="86" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyWURddlHITkZgKz53a4xug2z2ZNw3efskOCCTiaR2MZIrkVnqNUUySzc8kPhT5aLfLE1SvHGhoJUw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="912" style="width: 100%;height: auto;margin: 0px;" /></span></span></a></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247500384&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ce96c211a2ed19ee560b34d30d321292&amp;chksm=9756b844a0213152bb36ae4ebc877ea634416495af8892942074d23f0d1b5581b32b705c0835&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img class="rich_pages" data-backh="86" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyWURddlHITkZgKz53a4xugNEZT4DD88icwcAl08ZuziaiadYt82wzZG5n14t7224xWjyeK8SNXNIp8A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="912" style="width: 100%;height: auto;margin: 0px;" /></span></span></a></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247500776&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6f4fcd10bc90a8f72744416eda3995a4&amp;chksm=9756b9cca02130da9094518319d318ca4fd11413c1213d18be9cc9d8302528b34816fdd34394&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img class="rich_pages" data-backh="86" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyWURddlHITkZgKz53a4xugA8lpBib3AWM95x6tIIxu56bryKOYOVyRWzd6jsYRjicIiaF1hohgrpN1w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="912" style="width: 100%;height: auto;margin: 0px;" /></span></span></a></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247500347&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dffbd70a87a2f5610cf728e4970ec869&amp;chksm=9756b81fa0213109c740e135c93ac90c20e029871a10bf1ad6d116f9d663d7a26b7d8a673bbe&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img class="rich_pages" data-backh="86" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyWURddlHITkZgKz53a4xugMQjVx8C1LeClYXAgR1lKe771SGnJj9TxohSmoF4W79ORTDc52UmmNQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="912" style="width: 100%;height: auto;margin: 0px;" /></span></span></a></section></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="86134" style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="86134" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 5px 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: right;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section></section></section><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="86134" style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="86134" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: right;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">2021 | 真好野</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: right;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section></section></section><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="93717" data-width="95%" style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;width: 627.938px;flex: 0 0 95%;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;background-image: url(&quot;https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/7QRTvkK2qC6tIGvc3ozCHcBonywI7fDV4Ksmoy5hWQHibq7TQpAQ5tricOQ7dnLg81iapxGeoUkic5Ob8vHOSI24xQ/640?wx_fmt=png&quot;);background-size: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="padding: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;line-height: 1.75em;letter-spacing: 1px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;caret-color: red;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="392" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="554" data-ratio="1.7777777777777777" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/AJkYaTAujIx35f4LU0Ricjibwc1CQrh2gpA8Vdp6YkqBKQd8qJFPkzOG7ObVBOiaKS9jNc7O8haJNAF2nbuMHBsHg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1080" style="height: 697px;box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;z-index: -1;cursor: pointer;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;width: 392px;max-inline-size: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;visibility: visible !important;" title="好.png" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;caret-color: red;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;「 www.urasr.com」&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;caret-color: red;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 10px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">#BE TRUE&nbsp; #BE WELL&nbsp; #BE WILD</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(163, 163, 163);letter-spacing: 1.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;caret-color: red;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">*<br /></span></section></section><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">关注分享</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;caret-color: red;font-size: 12px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">FOLLOW US &amp; SHARE ON MOMENTS</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section></section></section></section></section><section data-role="outer" style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="98910"><section data-role="layout" style="flex-flow: row nowrap;display: flex;word-break: break-all;"><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">官网</span></p></section></section></section><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">微博</span></p></section></section></section><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">视频号</span></p></section></section></section><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">知乎</span></p></section></section></section><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: PingFangTC-Light;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">b站</span></p></section></section></section></section></section><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="98910"><section data-role="layout" style="flex-flow: row nowrap;display: flex;word-break: break-all;"><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-backh="13" data-backw="13" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="50" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="50" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIycoMZjGF8RrRlGEzqzackrSSVqK5SzNApiaN9vmWpNcEuzuMInkGCcu5SiaAn2iba30oI1cPAeJVnqw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="300" data-width="50px" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);width: 50px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;max-inline-size: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;visibility: visible !important;height: 50px;" /></p></section></section></section><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-cropselx1="1" data-cropselx2="103" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="104" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-width="50px" width="50px" data-backw="18" data-backh="18" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZfQibibfZGIkjRNwTHwQ4KNp3zu2sgMcS5VLib1OHNDwOibjnPpUoribI5IcQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-ratio="1" data-w="300" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);width: 50px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;max-inline-size: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p></section></section></section><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><img data-ratio="1.0044247787610618" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzdKK1pWxDY25IjWC6hzyuZPClD30iaLtAVGt7UszT4kJMlymjsJz0yLneTFRIJS1jvpr56X0OGLrQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="226" data-width="50px" height="71" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 50px;" width="50px" /></p></section></section></section><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-width="50px" width="50px" data-backw="47" data-backh="47" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZficyibw72OWmSMvgNNjSWoDHlf7aSgplp7dtCDAEFtJKHBnC8qaLHSIeQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-ratio="1" data-w="300" style="box-sizing: border-box;z-index: -1;cursor: pointer;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);width: 50px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;max-inline-size: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p></section></section></section><section data-role="layout" data-width="20%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 115.594px;"><section data-role="layout-inner"><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-backh="13" data-backw="13" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="69" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="69" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-width="50px" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwaUyIuHQngl5c5PD5uQEXrh3UfLLLmbNNIYHsl0uM1fFRJCOicUgwgiaAoBNbUmeBiahGEFZBm9uXAw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-ratio="1" data-w="300" width="50px" style="box-sizing: border-box;z-index: -1;cursor: pointer;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);width: 50px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;max-inline-size: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">感谢你的每一个分享 | 点赞 | 在看</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">SPECIAL THANKS</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">▼▼▼</span></section></section>

← 返回观点全库