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基于周期滤波方法,郑州地产市场周期预判

发布于 2021-11-01

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style="margin: 5px 8px;text-indent: 0em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;line-height: 2em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">/&nbsp;</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">CHAPEAU</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">/</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong></span></section></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">前言</span></strong></em></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Helvetica, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;">▼</span></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247505403&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2073eb804c6376376e0d382f3e4033a8&amp;chksm=9756afdfa02126c9ea64807fb8aead5d35de516e051f5a311199bcf24adc9c441574018ba089&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="上一篇" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="2" style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">上一篇</span></a><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,我们使用周期滤波方法,对沈阳地产市场周期进行了预判,应市场要求,我们将陆续完成其他部分城市的模型输出。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">关于模型背景及预判方法后续将不再赘述,可参考《基于周期滤波方法,沈阳地产市场周期预判》一文。本文将展开对郑州地产市场的分析。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="white-space: normal;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">01&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">郑州<strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: left;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">全市纵览</span></strong></span></strong></span></section></section></section></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section data-role="outer" style="white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: center;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(123, 127, 131);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;">///</span></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">2021年1月-5月郑州综合房价</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>轻微同比负增</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,2021年6月</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>扭负为正</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">整体来看全年保持14000元/㎡以上的综合房价高位运行,其中8月综合价格14710元/㎡为本年最高,但仍未冲破2018年8月的历史高位14800元/㎡。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;"><br /></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">分区域来看——</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>郑东新区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">9月综合房价全市最高,单价接近30000元点位;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>金水区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">9月综合房价全市第二,单价领先第三名幅度超3000元;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>惠济区、管城回族区、经开区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">9月综合房价均超全市平均水平,但差距不大;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中原区、高新区、二七区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">9月综合房价均落后全市平均水平,但差距不大;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中牟县、荥阳市、新郑市、巩义市、登封市、新密市、上街区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">9月综合房价大幅落后全市平均水平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><shape type="#_x0000_t75" filled="f"><imagedata title="image1"></imagedata></shape><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-fileid="100022096" data-ratio="0.282336578581363" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyb4WWZS05icp7icPYJibr8Z20JibHkV8wK3kVIa4R8x7lpRCI96ibatzDFibA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1438" style="width: 546px;height: 154px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="162" data-fileid="100022092" data-ratio="0.29718599862731643" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyYZdZgBQv3NW2cLkRCtDHsNkEGpcb0khia3ugrOMgfVklviapbOq7CENw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1457" style="width: 546px;height: 162px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-backh="428" data-backw="349" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="349" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="428" data-fileid="100022093" data-ratio="1.2263157894736842" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYydlpkD76ckoJtzYct4xzLBfhyGiayJDOmFFXBYTL28CFn6WvNsk3SdQQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="570" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">备注:房价为9月综合价格,综合价格t=SQRT(MA3(一手房价t)*(二手房价t)),</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">即三期滑动平均的一手房价及当期二手房价的几何平均数,文中全部价格计算方法同理。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">02&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: left;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">不同区域</span></strong><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></strong></span></strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(123, 127, 131);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">///</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(123, 127, 131);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>1)郑东新区</strong></span><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">郑东新区6月综合价格达30110元/㎡,接近2020年12月30122元/㎡水平,随后</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高位回落,环比加速负增</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,2021年</span><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;">8月综合价格回落至27252元/㎡,9月综合价格回升至28755元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-fileid="100022094" data-ratio="0.28116343490304707" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyibfVxfWcjALtmMcib2RfF7C9GnCQTDzdz4iaTX95qSfzQnWgHZ3qhy5Fw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1444" style="width: 548px;height: 154px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>郑东新区市场正处于熊市初期行情,预计2022年10月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-backh="153" data-backw="546" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="153" data-fileid="100022095" data-ratio="0.28060522696011003" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyONcQtVJ0bib0sicBhibX9c2ib3NWIcg7EJRPgialIzXqqorzib6xrG0azgRw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1454" style="width: 546px;height: 153px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">2)金水区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">金水区2021年综合</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>价</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>格稳步拉升</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,不断冲击历史新高,且同比增速逐步放大, 8月价格为18092元/㎡,9月价格为18141元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="150" data-fileid="100022097" data-ratio="0.2764786795048143" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyib5IYOk8ueic6ahnv6SIp9oZF9lSGCcCWZDZZ7OSkc6ia6h8lMgOA1dWA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1454" style="width: 546px;height: 151px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,金水区自2018年9月起同比增速衰减严重,价格上行速度较慢,目前正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中后期行情,预计2023年3月转为牛市</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,价格再次迎来爆发式增长。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-fileid="100022100" data-ratio="0.2836637047163363" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYy7qm7W7HiatBn16cbHPiazARAibNe0K6DqImSRbJiazCAnib2lVjqX9bzYicw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1463" style="width: 546px;height: 155px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">3)惠济区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">惠济区2021年综合</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>价格走势先扬后抑</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,5月价格15356元/㎡为本年高位,但与2017年9月的历史高位16257元/㎡仍存在较大差距。2021年8月价格为14925元/㎡,9月价格为14995元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-fileid="100022098" data-ratio="0.2822802197802198" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYy46FHET5s7ibelYiaOfn5Y1iaQxdxLDBhBS6tTwDQaS4OQBWcL6YmFohQg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1456" style="width: 546px;height: 154px;" /><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,惠</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>济区市场正处于牛熊周期轮动阶段,预计2023年5月市场回落</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-fileid="100022099" data-ratio="0.28312037659717554" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyB0TnEveSl8ibjkOc6zAeIThFBMbpYCfJWbpGuJdOOhktDJSyY5NbVMg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1487" style="width: 546px;height: 155px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">4)管城回族区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">管城回族区2021年6月价格15146元/㎡,7月价格15211元/㎡,随后</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>继续回落</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">至15000元/㎡水平以下, 8月价格为14651元/㎡,9月价格为14930元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="150" data-fileid="100022101" data-ratio="0.2748299319727891" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyLkB6c3haHicQ6iccibq4RBVoa9SoHPVACzGtyI2oFFft00C35qFOUcG0w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1470" style="width: 546px;height: 150px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>管城回族区市场正处于慢熊中期行情,2023年7月前市场无回暖迹象。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-fileid="100022105" data-ratio="0.28355127322780455" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyibzBLpxY3y85edeNSQ4PL65t0SwwXgibNs1hdX0UWeYwfGUFQMyibg64g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1453" style="width: 546px;height: 155px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">5)经开区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">经开区2021年6月综合价格16048元/㎡为本年最高,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong> 随后同比、环比增速均大幅下挫</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,8月价格13710元/㎡已接近2016年末水平,9月价格小幅回调至14694元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="157" data-fileid="100022103" data-ratio="0.2879194630872483" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYy3JM8no7zW74d0u1YicbkTU6fqibswv7gFS7DFia2I4KKlE2gh9kBYXLRg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1490" style="width: 546px;height: 157px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>经开区市场正处于熊市初期行情,2023年7月前市场无回暖迹象</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="162" data-fileid="100022102" data-ratio="0.295376121463078" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyUtgAkbTY9ZbpSp8M4ugCJzx1X0UTG5Cbj77JbWPJ6HpqH9dNDXg3Cw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1449" style="width: 548px;height: 162px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">6)中原区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">中原区2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格走势拉升平稳,同比、环比增速缓慢</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,8月价格为14179元/㎡,9月价格为14287元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="153" data-fileid="100022104" data-ratio="0.27953296703296704" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyYzLTu7FT07BqDCh1diaNou4CMASX6TflKZtniaOGs4XAHBoPfzicybwvw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1456" style="width: 547px;height: 153px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中原区市场正处于慢熊中后期行情,预计2023年3月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="161" data-fileid="100022106" data-ratio="0.29477351916376304" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYy9ttdJ5KbXGdessU5efibU9867MelczBib9ofKrDicsVFjC3dicCxiadyT3A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1435" style="width: 546px;height: 161px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">7)高新区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">高新区2021年综合</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>价格走势拉升平稳,相比同期增速略有放大</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 8月价格为14104元/㎡,9月价格为14245元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="158" data-fileid="100022107" data-ratio="0.2884078212290503" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyDod6KjUQjdCmwcXTSNKcRW6x8wTWrCKxTvfpqn1uaR6hUBl5gT2jnA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1432" style="width: 548px;height: 158px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高新区市场正处于慢熊中后期行情,预计2022年10月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="160" data-fileid="100022108" data-ratio="0.292749658002736" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYy5qqLoe1UPCewrTSb1lLNibYCch66JYmlm8VGpcictSTjfcTbssibHwuGw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1462" style="width: 547px;height: 160px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">8)二七区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">二七区2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格走势高位震荡, 增速变化小</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 8月价格为13778元/㎡,9月价格为13885元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="157" data-fileid="100022109" data-ratio="0.28716904276985744" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyaCgbkibpxicTIYtibPdS6p5Uhd1iaibUh3YrTywQicg3Ygia0WcHPhxRmUJGQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1473" style="width: 547px;height: 157px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>二七区市场正处于慢熊中后期行情,预计2023年4月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="156" data-fileid="100022110" data-ratio="0.2856182795698925" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYy0mxkzicp2p8djfTMecxRUXFyowg3STqHciaZmQOQ27ib1wte8IPJQ25DA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1488" style="width: 546px;height: 156px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">9)中牟县</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">中牟县2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格高位回落, 同比负增明显</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,7月价格下探至9790元/㎡,为本年低点,接近2017年3-4月价格水平, 8月价格为10280元/㎡, 重新突破万元大关,9月价格为10166元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-fileid="100022111" data-ratio="0.28363384188626906" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyjTOcIFkrRWKDMUpHthibSwR2KicGdxy9LbBhCQiaFKApZYwicM8v0QfImA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1442" style="width: 546px;height: 155px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中牟县市场正处于慢熊中期行情,2023年7月前市场无回暖迹象</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="161" data-fileid="100022113" data-ratio="0.2940761636107193" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYynkWm6ic6UibTudzmenpkkiax5cvjvEEVIHIYogPicwYP9KWtV398RsEGiag/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1418" style="width: 547px;height: 161px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">10)荥阳市</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">荥阳市2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格高位回落</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,6月价格下探至8012元/㎡,为本年低点,接近2018年2月价格水平, 8月价格为8063元/㎡,9月价格拉升至8429元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="153" data-fileid="100022114" data-ratio="0.2790858725761773" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyoibcysT5tWFR4n8HquTptL3zkwBbAOLVlTsy2vbzFnA0diaY68EkzbhA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1444" style="width: 548px;height: 153px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>荥阳市市场正处于熊市末期行情,预计2021年11月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="161" data-fileid="100022112" data-ratio="0.2939958592132505" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYySSpRN6uia34zIWqZZlFH3o0ErcFhTibPxibLgYdA9S1es9QdXicLMO3Mtg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1449" style="width: 548px;height: 161px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">11)新郑市</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">新郑市2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格仍处于长期下降通道之中</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,但本年负增状态较同期有所放缓, 8月价格为8492元/㎡,9月价格为8381元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="167" data-fileid="100022115" data-ratio="0.30763790664780766" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyOcz6ic86ZEqI4TUIrGQ8segTHPtvKs96XVofg4icfLKkznWHxhKTSbOg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1414" style="width: 546px;height: 168px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>,新郑市自2018年10月起同比负增严重,但本年负增状态较同期有所放缓</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,目前正处于牛市中期行情,预计2022年6月市场回落,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>价格仍有大幅下降空间</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="161" data-fileid="100022116" data-ratio="0.29473684210526313" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyrdtIP3ED9C8pNnCegbR7ZibiaDCgbquzDqibPmLeibicXH8cPVOaWqQBl5A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1425" style="width: 546px;height: 161px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">12)巩义市</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">巩义市2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格高位震荡</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 8月价格为7610元/㎡,9月价格为7645元/㎡,创历史新高。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="158" data-fileid="100022117" data-ratio="0.29036729036729036" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyibbWEEkibILbo3CWaEsyYos4ZEjCndysgYszZ0788lSUs3b0oibeDu7LA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1443" style="width: 546px;height: 159px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>巩义市市场正处于熊市末期行情,预计2022年1月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="164" data-fileid="100022118" data-ratio="0.29894736842105263" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyGNojhzGUJibBEH6w6MiamyWF9pqLXRtdTx5yeRokvOZAniapcibX6oK4hQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1425" style="width: 549px;height: 164px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">13)登封市</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">登封市2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格震荡上行</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 8月价格为7898元/㎡,创历史新高,随后冲高回落,9月价格为7616元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="158" data-fileid="100022119" data-ratio="0.28971308607417773" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyIUJe9vgIrkVyo340WR0NUHOFPlcnhuDpEptbibnIjnicP6HFiaQwYp86A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1429" style="width: 546px;height: 158px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>登封市市场正处于牛市初期行情,预计2022年11月市场回落</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="156" data-fileid="100022120" data-ratio="0.2849352419904567" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyjY8fIianQQDn42lsxHHCibm8hRObibrAQnSVHqicibLccSng14wIyX0VbLg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1467" style="width: 547px;height: 156px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">14)新密市</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">新密市2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格阶段性筑底,同比负增状态逐步放缓</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 8月价格为7563元/㎡,9月价格为7558元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-fileid="100022121" data-ratio="0.2831920903954802" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyibk0bQoIqLQGZT6euQAojHdeOv4tlFprF56QvYiczaicsh3G78vvyo1nA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1416" style="width: 546px;height: 155px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>新密市市场正处于熊市中后期行情,预计2022年3月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="158" data-fileid="100022124" data-ratio="0.2894915254237288" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYylFvpkO6V9dL2zLkz7OLE94p4Cu2UvQvpNfAianCmxPV830rzJbva12Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1475" style="width: 546px;height: 158px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">15)上街区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">上街区2021年</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>综合价格拉升明显,同比增速扭负为正</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 8月价格为6550元/㎡,9月价格为6801元/㎡,已接近2019年4月水平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="156" data-fileid="100022123" data-ratio="0.2856164383561644" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYyiahQHR8RaIUW9Ub09fF9nSMpJ0S19MxuI7muXIExq38YmEVO7hvGqFw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1460" style="width: 546px;height: 156px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>上街区市场正处于熊市中后期行情,预计2022年5月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="162" data-fileid="100022122" data-ratio="0.2975609756097561" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYy54OZJLFRpPQWqRHeaibjicDFFIz4Iiciajz34nD6oY324W0bZeDFG4z7Tw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1435" style="width: 546px;height: 162px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">03&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 18px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">分析结论与投拓建议</span></strong></span></strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(123, 127, 131);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">///</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过上述分析,我们将当前价格高于全市水平定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>当前高价</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,将当前价格低于全市水平定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>当前低价</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,结合市场周期模型对下轮周期的预判,分为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中期看涨</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”与“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中期看跌</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,使用</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>四象限图</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">进行交叉分析。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-backh="433" data-backw="489" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="489" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="433" data-fileid="100022125" data-ratio="0.8854718981972428" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYycRuJt8roibxZDPlrjvl8tKyO7tIHaRwKxHUKt3qcdX23KZvfckcS1Uw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="943" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">由图可知,从投拓决策的角度——</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">· 在当前高价区域中,郑东新区、金水区、惠济区,具有较高的中期投资价值;</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">· 在当前低价区域中,中原区、高新区、二七区、新密市、上街区,具有较高的中期投资价值;</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">· 管城回族区、经开区为高价区域,且中期具有较低投资价值;</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">· 中牟县、荥阳县、新郑市、巩义市、登封市为低价区域,且中期具有较低投资价值,开发企业可根据自身投资成本,安排进行价值区域选择。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">*</span><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">接下来,我们对市场周期的持续时间进行分析,将目前所处周期定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>当前牛市</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”及“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>当前熊市</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,将一年以内形成的周期轮动定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>短期拐点</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,将两年以内形成的周期轮动定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>中期拐点</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,将两年以外形成的周期轮动定义为“</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>远期拐点</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">”,使用</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>六象限图</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">进行交叉分析。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img data-backh="448" data-backw="504" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="504" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="448" data-fileid="100022126" data-ratio="0.8882978723404256" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyF2tzZKRwhlqdIGB52CaYylSX8nibazsibf56SkVcsgr1JN4XzjnpRpL0xCiaNSmZm5nd1A0T8jRe5g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="940" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">由图可知,从投拓决策的角度——</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">· 在当前牛市的区域中,惠济区、登封市的牛市持续时间大于新郑市;</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;">· 在当前熊市的区域中,上街区、高新区、新密市、巩义市、荥阳市、郑东新区迎来拐点的时间早于金水市、中原区、二七区,早于管城回族区、中牟县、经开区,开发企业可根据自身投资周期,安排进行价值区域选择。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;">关于禾略种子*视频了解更多<br /></span></strong></span></section><section class="channels_iframe_wrp"><mpvideosnap class="js_uneditable custom_select_card channels_iframe" data-pluginname="videosnap" data-id="export/UzFfAgtgekIEAQAAAAAAS6ctwFh0rgAAAAstQy6ubaLX4KHWvLEZgBPEo4N0dB91fdP9zNPgMItVRiT4O7BitOtN6Dfm9vLy" data-url="https://findermp.video.qq.com/251/20304/stodownload?encfilekey=rjD5jyTuFrIpZ2ibE8T7YmwgiahniaXswqzr6dKVpIRNIEx3ZCibpIacfVuibHKyg6lHnNSEFtt03ot7FuFia5mGZl2IbZhGdzMXEozNrgSYiba2No&amp;adaptivelytrans=0&amp;bizid=1023&amp;dotrans=0&amp;hy=SH&amp;idx=1&amp;m=&amp;scene=0&amp;token=AxricY7RBHdVHgm27cKwSia8qCsddAxYUtm4iafZLoj3BxRd3jzu90jFJwwbfmO8kFeicLRT8ibCrHWQ" data-headimgurl="http://wx.qlogo.cn/finderhead/WAibKjHvK5nH8vQfZJqhgU8iaf6rKibyr5AaK8a0uDtYWDlGuhQ8LIhPg/0" data-username="v2_060000231003b20faec8c4e18d10cbd6c80dee34b07736396e416723fd5650a5715e7448b841@finder" data-nickname="禾略" data-desc="#禾略种子实战分享 一分钟在全国范围内挖掘投资机会" data-nonceid="2331537064948192749" data-type="video"></mpvideosnap></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang 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center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"></span></span></p><p style="text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="background-color: rgb(136, 136, 136);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: red;">&nbsp;-&nbsp; 小程序 -&nbsp;</span><br /></p></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;white-space: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;">&nbsp;·</span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;">「禾略问答」</span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;">·</span></section><p><a class="weapp_image_link js_weapp_entry" data-miniprogram-appid="wxf051804df9944e68" data-miniprogram-path="pages/index/index" data-miniprogram-nickname="禾略问答" href="" data-miniprogram-type="image" data-miniprogram-servicetype="" href=""><img class="rich_pages" data-fileid="100022168" data-ratio="0.33830455259026687" data-s="300,640" 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