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基于周期滤波方法,长春地产市场周期预判

发布于 2021-11-10

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style="margin: 5px 8px;text-indent: 0em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;line-height: 2em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;&nbsp; /&nbsp;</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">CHAPEAU</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">/</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong></section></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);letter-spacing: 2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">前言</span></strong></em></span></strong></strong></span></strong></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;font-size: 14px;caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102);color: rgb(102, 102, 102);text-indent: 28px;widows: 1;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: PingFangSC-Light;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;font-size: 14px;caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102);color: rgb(102, 102, 102);widows: 1;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: PingFangSC-Light;box-sizing: border-box;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;">上月底,我们使用周期滤波方法对沈阳地产市场周期进行了预判,应市场要求,我们将陆续完成东三省其他部分城市的模型输出(大连、长春、哈尔滨)。</span></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;font-size: 14px;caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102);color: rgb(102, 102, 102);widows: 1;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: PingFangSC-Light;box-sizing: border-box;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;font-size: 14px;caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102);color: rgb(102, 102, 102);widows: 1;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: PingFangSC-Light;box-sizing: border-box;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;">关于模型背景及预判方法后续将不再赘述,可参考《基于周期滤波方法的沈阳地产市场周期预判》一文。本文将展开对长春地产市场的分析。</span></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;font-size: 14px;caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102);color: rgb(102, 102, 102);widows: 1;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: PingFangSC-Light;box-sizing: border-box;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">历史周期预判文章</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247505403&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2073eb804c6376376e0d382f3e4033a8&amp;chksm=9756afdfa02126c9ea64807fb8aead5d35de516e051f5a311199bcf24adc9c441574018ba089&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="沈阳" linktype="text" imgurl="" imgdata="null" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="2" hasload="1" wah-hotarea="click" style="outline: 0px;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">沈阳</span></a><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247505871&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2a3e8abff45fd282403f80a787ee09e0&amp;chksm=9756adeba02124fd58ee07b4715aaea05c6f5da6f264d3f4ddf29e29ca4f1ff1163f97076efe&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="郑州" linktype="text" imgurl="" imgdata="null" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="2" hasload="1" wah-hotarea="click" style="outline: 0px;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">郑州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247506085&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=743426c35d9fc29d71bf183735eb2957&amp;chksm=9756a281a0212b972077154ab773bf209749909e5b4dc1acea36171714558d96f5d77b6b9bef&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="哈尔滨" linktype="text" imgurl="" imgdata="null" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="2">哈尔滨</a>&nbsp;|</span></section></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Helvetica, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;">▼</span></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">01 </span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">长春<strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: left;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">全市纵览</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></section></section></section></section><section data-role="outer" style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">2021年长春综合房价</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>同比负增</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">趋势形成,1月-4月价格水平保持在10000元/平以上,5月向下突破关口,6月-7月负增趋势加剧,7月价格下探至9343元/平点位,8月-9月反弹并无持续性。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">分区域来看——</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>净月区、朝阳区、南关区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综合房价9月保持在11000元/平以上,同比、环比上涨趋势不明显;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高新区、市区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综合房价9月保持在10000元/平以上,负增趋势明显;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>经开区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综合房价9月保持在10000元/平以上,同比上涨趋势明显;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>绿园区</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综合房价9月未突破万元关口,但优于市场平均水平;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">· </span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>汽开区、二道区、双阳区、宽城区、九台区、德惠市、榆树市、农安县</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">综合房价9月落后于市场平均水平,且差距较大。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><shape type="#_x0000_t75" filled="f"><imagedata title="image1"></imagedata></shape><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-backh="157" data-backw="546" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="1" data-cropsely2="158" data-ratio="0.28720445062586925" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianofucdZdiae5w2OL2szPRE8ULHz9icibcPJPsn8VDxDCdCDjxswa26f2hVQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1438" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-backh="154" data-backw="546" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="154" data-ratio="0.28154681139755766" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoxYGRrpUibj2fiblqjjjdkUCmNHGxUJGoG1bQfibvEibTAc2lRuib9JUd2yw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1474" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-backh="558" data-backw="455" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="455" data-cropsely1="1" data-cropsely2="559" data-ratio="1.2263157894736842" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianol1FQKfCtWUCEh614HVMZx5Wz20SOHEAoaJcibdImTBgCUfTPTXpEFOQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="570" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;">备注:房价为9月综合价格,综合价格t=SQRT(MA3(一手房价t)*(二手房价t)),</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;">即三期滑动平均的一手房价及当期二手房价的几何平均数,文中全部价格计算方法同理。</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">02&nbsp;</span><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;white-space: normal;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-size: 16px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">不同区域</span></strong></span></strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">2)净月区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">净月区2021年综合房价</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>先抑后扬</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,2月价格12573元/平创历史新高,但随后下挫,5月价格11764元/平为本年最低,随后再度拉升,9月价格为12263元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2851985559566787" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianovvVpLSSRMCF67JPwjnJ9p1QlpEHTWs1ghW34D6mNHrk996XGyCLrKg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:158.39999389648438px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,净月区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中后期行情,预计2022年4月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.27978339350180503" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianowwz3iaJ1AfiaScS5DlLIgcqNBNXq36cLBIx04aicJya5x9ShyUkJUKvyw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:154.60000610351562px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">2)朝阳区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">朝阳区2021年综合价格阶段性</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高位盘整</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 3月价格11987元/平为本年低点,4月价格12256元/平为本年高点, 9月价格为12242元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2833935018050541" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoMYtZgf7psyI85eujtMvib4QyeGYCsDoF4WwoAvG7UfWfeYmE7hXDW6g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:157.07000732421875px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,朝阳区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中期行情,预计2022年7月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2815884476534296" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoQU7yLLIXLLGOEZs7LklwHbtJxtoa9WCePiaYh4lJ3ca7AmH4IBlFACg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:155.94000244140625px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">3)南关区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">南关区2021年综合房价</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>先抑后扬</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,与净月区走势趋同,2月价格11791元/平为本年最高,但相距2020年7月价格11930元/平仍有差距,并随后下挫,5月价格11350元/平为本年最低,随后再度拉升,9月价格为11787元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">&nbsp;</span><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2888086642599278" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoh24oxUbcdAq9ibTWUTKoZeUTW16XgTQO5ojGVkmHIg3MS6qORDtQdtg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:160.0px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,南关区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中期行情,预计2022年5月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.27978339350180503" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoiaf6GfJMeFDIicsq3DHTVGnHlNyFuFdXUyBc46nop48jTndkpCHticPUw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:154.6699981689453px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">4)高新区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">高新区2021年综合价格</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高位回落</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,3月价格11505元/平接近历史高位,随后下挫,且负增趋势加剧,9月价格为10787元/平,接近2019年2月-3月价格水平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.27617328519855594" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianodt3xluSXFUyKmmbhNBict0a7blh5sd46LZoFoFFZr01efR0b3Yzliatw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:152.94000244140625px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,高新区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>慢牛中后期行情,预计2022年11月市场回落</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.29422382671480146" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoG6oGkXogic8uVemvbLVAF2s5kicOUyW3HDpa05JYcfOuLib1sv7RzBLBQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:162.6699981689453px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">5)经开区</span></strong></span><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">经开区2021年综合价格延续2020年年末趋势,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>强势拉升</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,已站稳万元大关,且不断冲击历史新高,8月价格为10513元/平,9月价格为10582元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2743682310469314" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwiano17FIpcMyEibGCygxrxLzVzGpqpIuQoNJ0icgzkyCWjGBUthhyyJvrBeA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:151.6699981689453px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,经开区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>慢熊末期行情,预计2022年7月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2833935018050541" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoSQOaRFMLQFDosK2LV62JFlUVmtT8dnQV6ytDbUe5TWjCaTuiboGgooA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:157.1999969482422px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">6)市区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">市区2021年综合价格仍处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>长期下降通道</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">之中,且本年负增趋势较同期略有放大, 5月价格10209元/平为本年低点,9月价格为10251元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2815884476534296" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoStANbSyVs3LMGy3aqiaLE1bk19VtN2b2VaQBcdJm6v9cb4SSrtibWrGg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:156.47000122070312px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,市区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>慢熊中期行情,预计2022年10月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.296028880866426" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoKeAAlxic91ib2bicicQDbscc9HTmwOW698EGwfIA0iaS78RhXWmx9qK743Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:163.60000610351562px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">7)绿园区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">绿园区2021年综合价格走势</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高位盘整</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,振幅较小,3月价格10039元/平重站万元关口,但随后破位,9月价格为9849元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2815884476534296" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoJB78KXMgqp5W3RQOfDNlHerJAibD9KYIUOS5D35Dfxd03NJycjdH4wA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:155.94000244140625px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,绿园区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市末期行情,预计2022年1月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2779783393501805" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoPIISoVmHmQcsypGiaiaFfrjH0Mg1jib6xbiaghcrqjezmmC4SWsCkFMbmg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:154.33999633789062px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">8)汽开区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">汽开区2021年综合价格走势</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高位震荡</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,增速变化小, 5月价格为9342元/平,接近2019年11月9345元/平的历史高位,但随后下挫,9月价格为9136元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.29061371841155237" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoA2rRogfMWsXFgfjh7qelaG0xn3bONgTOYAXIqZaYgLBpmQE2DXgY9w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:160.6699981689453px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,汽开区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中期行情,预计2022年5月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2888086642599278" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwiano8Eyl35D79HNxfhiaCNqiblnOBogJDwvUQhLqwJPhXcia5r4HDhX7aQfEg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:160.1999969482422px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">9)二道区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">二道区2021年综合价格</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>高位回落, 同比负增明显</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,9月价格下探至9064元/平,为本年低点,接近2018年8月价格水平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2870036101083033" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoib92wY4LuwgjGNBbiaN6L9QUHW2alFRib4gLaOaUtoU2zUpSQkDhCzwlA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:159.07000732421875px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,二道区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中期行情,预计2022年6月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2833935018050541" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoUBQOTbYcr1T0r2eARLLHl31YXIIibrK05Ix8sANicfA0zmibgObqLFRCw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:157.0px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">10)双阳区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">双阳区2021年综合价格</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>震荡趋势明显</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,市场预期确定性差,但相比2020年的宽幅震荡趋势仍有好转。2月价格下探至8302元/平,为本年低点,5月价格拉升至9063元/平,为本年高点,9月价格为8687元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2851985559566787" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoRhzBOq4oCxVicjCIszR7lCoZAOn85CF7rFcPMSFrKngFbRFTl7wcCQQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:158.07000732421875px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,双阳区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中期行情,预计2022年3月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2888086642599278" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoic3pAjOzEBC5slIl7yGsGf59U8iahxlibaEZAFAj9g16uRM3XObto6ySw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:159.8000030517578px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">11)宽城区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">宽城区2021年综合价格仍处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>长期下降通道</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">之中,且本年负增趋势较同期略有放大, 7月价格8103元/平为本年低点,9月价格为8199元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2870036101083033" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoX0iaCQbf0vlXhH4VJsvWP1K1ibzHzbed9GMKJ91EjZUFDAH10quVpzjQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:158.8699951171875px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型, 宽城区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中期行情,预计2022年11月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2870036101083033" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoLE2XexaSyVPB5Lt21G7v085vH7evibDzY5icPdZfU5NZz9pllXvSWJbw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:158.8000030517578px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">12)九台区</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">九台区2021年综合价格</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>在5000元/平点位附近徘徊,且上涨无力</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 8月价格5231元/平为本年最高,9月价格为5194元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2888086642599278" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianotvMWXWvfZPDFAw3SmTV5HGjMWy8iacesYPgNg0olIk64jFwK9VSPBqQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:160.27000427246094px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,九台区市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>牛市初期行情,预计2022年12月市场回落。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.29061371841155237" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwiano7ic4UxvuNZ3qSF4bopypn04Dj4wWanoUq4icXY1mwGb7x7loaYIX9kGw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:160.5399932861328px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">13)德惠市</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">德惠市2021年综合价格</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>阶段性高位盘整</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">, 2月价格为4710元/平,创历史新高,随后冲高回落,3月价格4558元/平为本年最低,9月价格为4636元/平。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2851985559566787" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoSiaKuao9uWkKgiboZIOjxL6wK7ED3a3vGDplswrictSTAcUhPviab1HX5A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:158.27000427246094px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,德惠市市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市初期行情,预计2022年9月市场回暖。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2888086642599278" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianohHPISlZOpecl2eOTDBN0YAW3mZgk5gxyN7P6xysehCRwzVLEmLLUYQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:160.47000122070312px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">14)榆树市</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">榆树市2021年综合价格</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>强势拉升</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,不断冲击历史新高,8月价格为4063元/平,9月价格为4154元/平,已突破4000元/平的整数关口。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2779783393501805" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoT7r33Ujsx0bw3cgvHBtdc9r2MYK735qbXRGTCsXVF1Y1TJ8ENelHtA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:153.74000549316406px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,榆树市市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>慢牛初期行情,预计2023年2月市场回落</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.2815884476534296" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianowj0WicGbyolickfr0b2MzyATDsFSAwkHDWStBuvL8qrf6W8uttx3yPpQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:156.1999969482422px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">15)农安县</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">农安县2021年综合价格处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>阶段性底部区域</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">,同比负增趋势明显, 3月价格为3943元/平,突破了4000元/平关口,9月价格为3977元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.296028880866426" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwiano9EpVnzgFDzQpNPE0JbltYZZR8OLw1l4rQAELYaUNoKGVGc71IkKv3w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:164.07000732421875px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过市场周期模型,农安县市场正处于</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>熊市中期行情,预计2022年4月市场回暖</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.29061371841155237" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoGfvb8TUEFIGfxNUWUZ6wr2wxibZkkgx1SNibMadicCPEuZvGAXkhf8JpA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="554" style="width:553.739990234375px;height:161.47000122070312px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">03&nbsp;</span><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="text-align: justify;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: 1px;"><strong>分析结论与投拓建议</strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">通过上述分析,我们将当前价格高于全市水平定义为“<strong>当前高价</strong>”,将当前价格低于全市水平定义为“<strong>当前低价</strong>”,结合市场周期模型对下轮周期的预判,分为“<strong>中期看涨</strong>”与“<strong>中期看跌</strong>”,使用四象限图进行交叉分析。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.8903225806451613" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianoJ3mpekfGGuX52YlFt8kjvGbokIVm4tZhw9iaJfUnJhK1TAtOovoq1Ng/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="465" style="width:465.010009765625px;height:414.4100036621094px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">由图可知,从投拓决策的角度——</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">在当前高价区域中,净月区、朝阳区、南关区、经开区、市区、绿园区具有较高的中期投资价值;</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">在当前低价区域中,汽开区、二道区、双阳区、宽城区、德惠市、农安县具有较高的中期投资价值;</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">高新区为高价区域且中期具有较低投资价值;</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">九台区、榆树市为低价区域且中期具有较低投资价值,开发企业可根据自身投资成本,安排进行价值区域选择。</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;">*</section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">接下来,我们对市场周期的持续时间进行分析,将目前所处周期定义为“<strong>当前牛市</strong>”及“<strong>当前熊市</strong>”,将一年以内形成的周期轮动定义为“<strong>短期拐点</strong>”,将两年以内形成的周期轮动定义为“<strong>中期拐点</strong>”,将两年以外形成的周期轮动定义为“<strong>远期拐点</strong>”,使用六象限图进行交叉分析。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.892933618843683" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzIbgH6aTia3B8zbzEmEwianokeHtVJAKmrs7uUe3zNdh5hrUCQ8KVThIFSg8JFIpniaWbakhQq70RYg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="467" style="width:467.2099914550781px;height:416.8299865722656px;" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">由图可知,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>长春市场除九台区、榆树市外,其他区县目前均处于熊市之中;除宽城区、高新区转牛周期略微滞后外,其他区县市场均有望在一年以内回暖,开发企业可根据自身投资周期,安排进行价值区域选择。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(123, 127, 131);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">///</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(123, 127, 131);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br /></span></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="background-color: rgb(136, 136, 136);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: red;"><span style="color: rgb(123, 127, 131);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">///</span></span></p><p style="text-align: center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="background-color: rgb(136, 136, 136);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: red;">&nbsp;-&nbsp; 小程序 -&nbsp;</span><br /></p></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;white-space: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;">&nbsp;·</span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(127, 127, 127);font-family: PingFangTC-Light;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box 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&quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(89, 89, 89);letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">SPECIAL THANKS</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span 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