官网首页 › 研究观点 › 观点正文

如何理性看待“集中供地”新政

发布于 2021-03-04

<section style="white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 1px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;justify-content: flex-end;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 578px;align-self: flex-start;height: auto;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-top: 10px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: -1px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="96407" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="94225" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="padding-top: 1em;padding-bottom: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;width: 12em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-type="gif" data-width="100%" data-ratio="0.20772946859903382" data-w="1035" class="__bg_gif" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/AJkYaTAujIwBXeobibkwsIUUpeGv4ux4tbyCfrZocrWicpvXCgGQNj0NqTWSxrz8PMTj7F1ZsyEDSewa00G22cfA/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="box-sizing: border-box;display: block;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 216px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p></section></section><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="rich_pages __bg_gif" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="578" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="72" data-type="gif" data-backw="562" data-backh="70" data-ratio="0.12406716417910447" data-w="1072" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/AJkYaTAujIwBXeobibkwsIUUpeGv4ux4tYsephKfTZEkv2FXhzcxTVPzPicnV0VlTs1MHqmicJOf9vq2aIQTTTXmA/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 17px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 562px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;padding-right: 2em;padding-left: 2em;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;min-height: 1em;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Futura-Medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="99658" style="max-width: 100%;border-width: 0px;border-style: none;border-color: initial;z-index: 0;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="margin: 10px auto;max-width: 100%;text-align: right;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;display: flex;justify-content: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;font-weight: bold;letter-spacing: 1.5px;align-self: flex-end;color: rgb(244, 212, 45);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 17px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">~本文共计4826字</span></p></section><section style="max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section data-brushtype="text" style="margin-top: 6px;margin-left: 30px;padding: 1px 2em;max-width: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 14px;font-weight: bold;letter-spacing: 1.5px;background: rgb(244, 212, 45);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);border-radius: 10px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">/&nbsp;<span style="max-width: 100%;">预计阅读时间20分钟</span>&nbsp;/</span></p></section></section></section></section></section><p style="margin: 5px 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: left;cursor: text;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p></section><section data-role="outer" style="white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 16px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 1px;line-height: 2;text-align: right;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;display: inline-block;width: 546px;vertical-align: top;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;transform: translate3d(-25px, 0px, 0px);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 273px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;&nbsp;<img class="rich_pages" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-ratio="0.125" data-w="120" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIw9AQUfXs65R2qiakhibjKMxOIxcg0XIxbOCrRAqIp15GWqzJnWM2DaiaYqNQlhBoAGHh5UT6znSrcZw/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 120px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p><br /></p><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><strong>—— 本文核心观点提炼 ——</strong><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">1.&nbsp;&nbsp; 土地集中供应不仅是总量和节奏的控制,还有结构方面的考虑</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">2.&nbsp;&nbsp; 城区常住人口100万以上城市,除去<strong>22</strong>个重点城市,其余可重点关注</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">3.&nbsp;&nbsp; 加强监管是要加强事前控制,城市的周期或将变得更平缓</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">4.&nbsp;&nbsp; 未来对周期的运用,会从原来的追求获取高收益变成防风险</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">5.&nbsp;&nbsp; 促进职住平衡,在产业投资力度大的地方住宅用地供应会增加</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">6.&nbsp;&nbsp; 拿不准的地,会有一些机会,要看公司的研究和投拓等能力</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">7. &nbsp; 定了一千亿的目标,却在用一百亿的方式工作,怎么能实现目标?</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">福利时间:</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: left;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">为感谢粉丝们对“禾略”的关注与支持,我们每个月会抽取N名粉丝,赠送一份小心意,请中奖的粉丝朋友在后台留言——</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: left;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1.1259720062208398" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMomfwbQRAyibia8l8ibICnr8wVibSNaX5zUqxnNicaWKjIEdrw9WPSiceS2mw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="643" /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: left;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">—— 正文分割线 ——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 50px;">01</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">政策解读</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">2月25日,政府刚出台土地供应的相关政策</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 16px;">——2020年开始,全国22个重点城市可能实行每年三次的土地集中供应。我们手里有一份资料,正好是关于住宅用地供应分类调控工作要点,给大家参考一下,从中体会政府对土地供应的态度。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">报告中主要介绍文件出台的背景和一些调控的工作要点。其实,很多房企在做土地研判时,也会考虑土地市场背景和一些拿地的要点,然而,很多时候这些思考是无用的。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">如果你的企业经历过几轮周期就会明白,虽然中国楼市持续增长了十几年,但很多企业还是拿了高价地,甚至到现在都没有解套。所以说大家一定要警惕一些看起来很好的选择,这些选择最后往往成了显而易见的陷阱。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">目前有很多的自媒体和个人都在讨论政策和市场,这些人给的观点和结论,往往都是基于个人的诉求和以往的经验,这些在实际操作中是否真的是这样,是很难去判断的。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);font-size: 24px;"><strong>1.&nbsp;&nbsp;出台背景</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">这个文件的出台背景有三个方面:</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5E0oWW70rtWWVdNic46KvdY0sZhPkEfYfPvan1E5Hyqqj4X7BmdiaMRS15MrM5OOhILaY1T6cbm56g/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第一,在十九届五中全会和中央经济工作会议中,对住宅用地供应工作提出了明确要求,并特别强调要做好租赁住房用地保障工作;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第二,陆昊部长提出,住宅用地信息公开、增加租赁住房用地、“两集中”同步出让等工作举措,批示尽快出台相应文件;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第三,坚持总的目标不变,坚持房子是用来住的、不是用来炒的定位。租购并举、因城施策,促进房地产市场平稳健康发展。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);font-size: 24px;"><strong>政策背景解读:</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">土地集中供应,其实并不只是对总量或者节奏的控制动作,还有对结构的一个考虑。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">从这背景来讲,未来将会有更多的细则会出来,在以后的土地出让过程中,肯定会既有住宅用地也有租赁用地,那么<strong>具体怎么去激励大家更好地去做租赁用地,很可能是通过将租赁用地和住宅用地搭配起来做,通过调整结构,解决现在的问题。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">另外,强调房子是用来住的、不是用来炒的。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">这个其实并不是简单的描述房价的高低,而是强调住房要有明确的使用功能,<strong>如果整个城市缺少住房的是需要改善住房的人,那么房价有序上涨是允许的,房子贵一点没问题。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">“不是用来炒”这个角度,单一从产品层面是没办法解决,需要从功能层面讲。它其实对应金融相关的内容,后续肯定也会有一些相应的金融配套政策去实施。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);font-size: 24px;"><strong>2.&nbsp;&nbsp;工作要点</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">住宅用地供应分类调控工作要点主要有四个维度:</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5E0oWW70rtWWVdNic46KvdYK9CA4p6kGAtFibz8zZzxqicSFPx2iaPycpDYOrQQU5HoMTMgYpsCic3Sow/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第一个,科学编制实施住宅用地供应计划;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第二个,坚持做好住宅用地信息公开;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第三个,实行住宅用地集中出让;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第四个,加强监测监管和考核评价。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 24px;"><strong style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);">工作要点解读:</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">从这几个点来看,我们可以看到政策的实施范围——第一个是全国所有城市都要做;第二个强调大城市,即城区常住人口100万以上;第三个强调重点城市,这要根据分类调控文件去做。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">通过这三个范围的划分,帮助政府真正实施因城施策。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">城区人口超过100万的城市都值得投资,这些大城市减去22个重点城市,剩下的城市,可能更加受开发商的青睐</span></strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">,当大家发现在22个重点城市搞得彼此焦头烂额时,或许就会选择其他的城市,那个时候,这些城市的地价肯定会起来。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">对于22个重点城市住宅用地集中出让,很多人认为是利好大企业,禾略认为不一定,如果卖地看谁出的价格高就卖给谁,政策的出现就没有意义了。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">政策会对很多企业的拿地都有影响,相信肯定后续会出一些细则,避免出现行业垄断的出现。如果出现巨无霸的公司,那么对于政府管控的挑战是很大的。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><strong>集中出让的目的,肯定是为了更好地做市场占有率分级,打破垄断,让市场更加平稳</strong>。加强监测、监管和考核评价方面,之前或许都是事后约谈的管理方式,那么未来肯定会改变。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">城市的周期状态肯定更加平稳,企业以前通过踏周期也能赚到钱,以后可能就不那么容易了,大家对于周期的应用,也可能从原来的获取收益,变成防风险。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 24px;"><strong style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);">工作要点</strong><span style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(255, 169, 0);"><strong>细则:</strong></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">1)科学编制实施住宅用地供应计划</span></strong></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;width: 577.412px;white-space: normal;"><li style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;"><p><strong>保障合理的供地规模</strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">对全国而言,要有一个合理的供地规模,同时,对重点城市有了新规定,要进一步加大住宅用地供应,供应量不低于近五年的平均完成交易量。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">全国城市的土地供应方面,要求在城市建成区和新区合理布局,促进职住平衡。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;width: 577.412px;white-space: normal;"><li style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;"><p><strong>单列租赁住宅用地供应计划(大城市)</strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">大城市土地供应向租赁住宅建设倾斜,对接住房城乡建设部门提出的租赁住宅用地需求,增加供地规模用于租赁住房用地,对保障性租赁住房用地应保尽保。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">在年度计划中单列租赁住房用地,占比一般不低于10%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">2)坚持做好住宅用地信息公开</span></strong></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;width: 577.412px;white-space: normal;"><li style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;"><p><strong>公开内容完整</strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">现在的供地计划不完整,名称等表达方式不清晰。所以未来年度供地计划完整详实,附有详细文本和说明。城市要将所有市辖区范围内的住宅用地信息一并公开,不得缩小公开范围或采取所谓分批形式公开,不得交由所辖各区分别公开。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;width: 577.412px;white-space: normal;"><li style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;"><p><strong>公开数据准确</strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">土地面积核算目前是一个问题,公司内部也会有项目销售数据不清晰的问题,同样国家也有这些问题,未来这些要保证一致后才能公开。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;width: 577.412px;white-space: normal;"><li style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;"><p><strong>公开方式规范</strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">信息公开的路径要统一规范,方便查询,避免多层嵌套。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">3)实行住宅用地集中出让</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">全国各地要主动采取有效措施引导住宅用地市场理性竞争。住宅用地出让方案应当包括溢价率、竞价轮次和最高限价稳控预案。重点城市要合理安排招拍挂出让住宅用地的时序,实行“两集中”同步公开出让。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;width: 577.412px;white-space: normal;"><li style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;"><p><strong>集中发布出让公告</strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">原则上发布出让公告全年不超过3次,时间间隔和地块数量要相对均衡。首次公告时,应公布本年度公告的发布时序安排。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;width: 577.412px;white-space: normal;"><li style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;"><p><strong>集中组织出让活动</strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">同批次公告出让的土地以挂牌方式交易的,应当确定共同的挂牌起止日期;以拍卖方式交易的,应当连续几种完成拍卖活动。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">总体上,“两集中”出让方式可将城市可供住宅用地集中起来展示、出让。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">一是提高市场信息透明度,为市场主体提供更多的选择和机会,营造更加公开透明的环境,引导市场回归理性。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">二是将以往零散的“涓涓细流”变成集中出让的“放量供地”,可以在社会上形成更大效应,体现出土地的充足保障。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 24px;"><strong style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);">工作要点</strong><span style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(255, 169, 0);"><strong>细则解读:</strong></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">对于房地产企业来讲——</span></strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">大型房企短期内筹融资难度加大,不能同时参加多块土地竞争,不能再利用资金和信息优势“通吃”市场、垄断资源。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">中小房企能有更多选择的余地,可以避开大房企直接竞争而获得土地开发机会。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">对于地方政府来讲——</span></strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">提高了年度供地计划编制和集中组织供地的难度,而且很可能影响出让金的收入。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">对省级自然资源部门也是好事——</span></strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">可以集中精力有针对性的监督重点城市的集中供地活动,对其中可能存在的问题及时提出指导意见。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 50px;">02</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">趋势解读</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">大家都会讨论趋势,有行业的发展趋势,有市场的趋势等。到底什么是趋势?现在网上有很多自媒体在讲趋势,但他们发的内容都是观点和结论性的东西,缺失了一些底层的逻辑。</span></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">趋势出现与否的关键在于底层</span></strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">,房地产的底层有哪些呢?禾略尝试做一个总结——分成产业的趋势、就业的趋势、人口的趋势三类。</span></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);font-size: 24px;"><strong>1.&nbsp;&nbsp;产业趋势</strong></span></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">研究产业的趋势其实就是在研究产业行业的结构和产业城市结构。</span></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">产业行业结构</span></strong></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">看看各行业的<strong>营业收入</strong>,我们可以得到以下的一个趋势:</span></p><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></p><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5468873128447597" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMu4vyWI1fTNCibzetYiamktZ9tK9dIZ7KmMEKzCIMCFZn10IE8KlJyBicA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1269" style="" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5459587955625991" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMNIsC64kIgibsibSDmaO0FYFPmr3fbkibECX1eGePNXX16icQGR4Y5YicicYA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1262" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">•&nbsp;强+:从过去三年来看,金融业和采矿业已经成为经济支柱行业,现状+趋势双双走强</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">•&nbsp;强-:制造业、批发零售业、建筑业传统强势行业在新一轮产业发展中,持续产能输出能力已然掉队</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">•&nbsp;弱+:科学技术、交通运输等明日之星行业在现状较弱的当下,展现出了较强的增长势头</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">•&nbsp;弱-:房地产、租赁、住宿等行业发展已经落后于整体经济产业水平</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">根据行业结构分析,看看各行业的<strong>营业利润</strong>,我们可以得到以下的一个趋势:</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5432389937106918" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMBKLjxdRr3Ju244V03aQl0HrgevAXJcaIDQbcibqTIx4IUrkNJKkXBHg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1272" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5432389937106918" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hM5htAf825KGt0FrL6UPMyaqw71ncqgG3M4hhLtEroSic3hH8K2fyPx4g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1272" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 强+:从过去三年来看,金融业和制造业为强势行业,行业盈利能力现状+趋势双双走强</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 弱+:采矿业、信息技术服务业等行业盈利能力弱,但近三年有走强趋势</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 弱-:房地产、租赁、住宿等行业盈利能力开始倒退,旧的行业发展逻辑未能适应新时代的产业模式;科学研究和技术服务业、水利等行业当前整体处于非盈利时期</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">根据行业结构分析,看看各行业的<strong>公司市值</strong>,我们可以得到以下的一个趋势:</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5439429928741093" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMGUu09QgPicibgLCXWHKiaRPCicKGZvy26OAPhDJnY3VonxSCRD1wYKO0JA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1263" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5432389937106918" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMQibhK3JCYanlceoAaNYxaTxbjJxx9A4IicZZQ159rqyejUFne8kFC3ag/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1272" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 强+:从过去三年来看,产业市场明星行业为金融、制造和信息技术,市值居高位且持续增长</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 弱+:信息技术服务业、交通运输等行业被市场高期待,市值从低位开始持续拉高</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 弱-:批发、租赁、住宿等行业整体不属于产业市场预期发展方向,行业整体市值持续下跌</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">行业结构小结:</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">从产业上市公司分析出发,以产业支柱、产业实力以及市场期待值三个视角来看——</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第一房地产的现状不容乐观,粗放式经营转向精细化决策是其必然的趋势;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第二房地产未来整体市场走量客群主要来自于金融、制造等传统强势行业,走价客群不容忽视科学研究、信息技术服务等未来重点发展行业</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5380348652931854" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMQUJ3q6QDruEDaVTicXmWqvXQtFxKwkuyKF5iasiaU7Zuw7kfl1NByaQpw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1262" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">产业城市结构</span></strong></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">分析各城市-<strong>营业收入</strong>,从规模角度看,北京的上市产业实力领先优势明显,上海、深圳紧随其后;从增速角度看,宁德遥遥领先。</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5473186119873817" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMUmQ09pFMeLPoHTAzhIibswAMibrFNaE8kyPClZDGFJ3SPic7yeicW6geMg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1268" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">分析各城市-<strong>营业利润</strong>,从规模角度看,北京的上市产业实力领先优势明显,上海、深圳紧随其后,福州顶替厦门出现在Top5榜单中;从增速角度看,衡阳和宁德遥遥领先。</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5419607843137255" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMWQHQOslXjfZDhUv2nAzPTQReCkMBfNCtp3vd8OgojBGb7Z4NTlIUDA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1275" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">分析各城市-<strong>市值</strong>,从规模角度看,北京的整体上市产业预期领先优势明显,深圳紧随其后;从增速角度看,宁德遥遥领先。</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5428122545168892" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMSJoYYibQVkRuLENFZxARVauDJianiaQYqITw3rtbiadibP4iaSsDQFU5pD5w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1273" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">城市结构-小结</span></strong></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">我们从规模(营收)、效能(利润)、预期(市值)三个角度综合看城市产业能级,可以得出北上广深+杭州为中国产业Top5城市;另外不容忽视的是增速进入前五&amp;综合产业能级进入前五十的黄石、宁德、南阳三城。</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);font-size: 24px;"><strong>2.&nbsp;&nbsp;就业趋势</strong></span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">行业结构-招聘人数</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5492063492063493" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMKOFAGTM9WNBgmFkEgzMLsoC5oaU8afabkStmRmusQ5KzkLjC1DibVkA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1260" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5457413249211357" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMw7TmKocZW0UDaQcYg6RibRoE5kZa77zLlUAdjpgkIqzL7Vn6CrgynYQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1268" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">分析各行业的<strong>招聘人数</strong>,我们可以得到以下的结论:</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 强+:从招聘人口来看,热门行业为房地产业,招聘人数多且持续增长</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 强-:批发和零售、金融业、制造业等行业近一年招聘势头减弱</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">•&nbsp;弱+:水利、环境和公共设施管理、科学研究等行业逆势而上,招聘人数从小规模开始持续拉高</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 弱-:建筑业、采矿业等传统行业整体招聘人数持续下跌</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">行业结构-招聘月薪</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5427215189873418" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMzMribnvUiaCnUvgOQj22EthzhJjJub9B7SSQViaHk34DCCFs4Rn3lrO6g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1264" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5427215189873418" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMe2x2RdNOyEtxLiad8SEma8665Fz3ZKnRpT17fmibz1H0keZxcpOPRhYQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1264" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">分析各行业的招聘月薪,我们可以得到以下的结论:</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 强+:从招聘月薪来看,电力、热力、燃气及水生产,房地产业,信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业,行业月薪高且持续增长</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 强-:建筑业、制造业等传统行业招聘月薪下跌明显</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">• 弱+:交通运输、仓储和邮政业等行业被招聘月薪从低位开始持续拉高</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">•&nbsp;弱-:住宿和餐饮等行业整体整体招聘月薪持续下跌</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">行业结构-小结</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第一梯队:</span><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">从就业规模和就业待遇来看,房地产是过去一年表现综合最好的行业,与产业表现形成极大的反差&nbsp;。</span></strong></p><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第二梯队:科学研究、金融、制造业等行业综合来看属于就业第二梯队。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">第三梯队:剩余行业从就业规模和待遇看,过去一年均表现不佳。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 169, 0);font-size: 24px;"><strong>3.&nbsp;&nbsp;人口趋势</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">家庭结构</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">二人户&amp;三人户仍为主流家庭类型,更加值得关注的是,<strong>自2015年一人户家庭近5年增长了5.4%,跻身家庭类型TOP3。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5223214285714286" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMe2ibn2jf19p49PwiboDVg2iaichqYAgTM2ESlzck2kUteckUJ1iagmphdVA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1792" /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><p style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">广东省&amp;浙江省是单身家庭占比最高的两个区域;而北部东北三省+内蒙古自治区是两口之家占比最高的区域,两口之家整体分布呈现明显的区域性。</span></p><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.452724358974359" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMlmiaMyq7QAEeEn8icPib7IhvTRRCbBSOiaxlxPgdjhS6rJ0BYqtxJ9BCsQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1248" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">内蒙古自治区&amp;天津市是三口之家占比最高的两个区域;而四口之家占比第一梯队分别有海南、江西、新疆、河南、河北、云南以及宁夏等区域。</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.46229508196721314" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMMyia6SlRP3Nd0Gr3U1ibTGVxUb4t1qFApBdsKCjJDTAVqgewyn6nIEfw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1220" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">西部甘肃、新疆、西藏和南部贵州、云南、广西以及海南等区域为五口之家占比第一梯队;六口之家占比第一梯队的区域为西藏、甘肃以及河南。</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.4512489927477841" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMpyF7ibuzGCgnz0sv9mLoQvTlhQdVo28fLgaS6ibCjibtp7RoD9Ujch60w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1241" style="" /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">年龄结构</span></strong></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">人口老龄化趋势明显,从当前来看30-59岁为主力年龄段;未来五年50岁以上人口持续增加,50岁以下人口持续减少。</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.4393792434529583" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMX9Fn9LwxXXEueyibtnlwlou15QicaV0ibn2I8icbKplP0lJibrWO7NM4qUw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="2062" style="text-align: center;white-space: normal;" /></span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">当前全国50-59岁年龄段占比最大的城市数量最多,占比达44%,</span></section><section style="white-space: normal;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.4674457429048414" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMwOfjcEnXsyN3KiaCbarROCUEGe0LlL1aj8Irp4g9eTCbbicAa0S3LWoQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1198" style="text-align: center;white-space: normal;" /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">从全国城市来看,未来五年内部年龄段增加以60-79年龄段为主,一共有64%的城市内部最大增加比例为60-79年龄段区间。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.4410585404971933" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4iatBgJq8V1M2CXRXDde4hMLVSzQQAmN3VpIM2Lkr20Vcb2squp1kDY877TkKibtSFgVA7ntQqBpyA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1247" style="text-align: center;white-space: normal;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><br /></section><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: left;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">▷</strong>往期文章彩蛋:戳开阅读&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: left;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247500175&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3fbc713076ba2e704a952e4120a67d92&amp;chksm=9756bbaba02132bd07b859fe11735db5d52e58a5e455044302d7c3aafe915c58a0534199eda0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-type="png" data-w="912" data-backw="562" data-backh="86" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzjjPtmJcV7uZNz2VicrZFklE7jJve3f8ayiaMhtD0NnXJCewDDMyRjAwc16iau6qLy16wnxmZUlVTKQ/640?wx_fmt=png" style="border-width: 0px;border-style: initial;border-color: initial;box-sizing: border-box;width: 632px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></span></strong></span></a></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247499381&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=65ff2e55fb2c181f7f7aebcc218a80cf&amp;chksm=97568451a0210d4710bceae1d3db966cab0d48d1dfd5aed0bbf3e1e4af45b49c8d0e2129dc79&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" hasload="1" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 0;top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-type="png" data-w="912" data-backw="562" data-backh="86" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzjjPtmJcV7uZNz2VicrZFklhrsPz01CH0tic43enIibEPfcUmoXVhdicq1tpg244GDQC8QBjyhpfy7qw/640?wx_fmt=png" style="border-width: 0px;border-style: initial;border-color: initial;box-sizing: border-box;width: 632px;margin: 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></span></span></a></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247498973&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1aaab084cd6af3f485939e3482eb3675&amp;chksm=975686f9a0210fef007ad7bb7de9d38f8ca1d2dd3daffecf7dc8c3d1453b282341cc9aaaa256&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" hasload="1" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 0;top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-type="png" data-w="912" data-backw="562" data-backh="86" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzjjPtmJcV7uZNz2VicrZFklibSN8FChPk0GROCreic0HH6BrNXBXspiar0ISZhcHXR59icxQCGqnjPiaFQ/640?wx_fmt=png" style="border-width: 0px;border-style: initial;border-color: initial;box-sizing: border-box;width: 632px;margin: 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></span></span></a></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247498768&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b33c01777e072220f954de526615c45d&amp;chksm=97568634a0210f22ffa9650953c4042a5ef6d67edee515233c81583ac92d0a804a88aad6dc2e&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" hasload="1" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 0;top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img data-ratio="0.15350877192982457" data-type="png" data-w="912" data-backw="562" data-backh="86" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzjjPtmJcV7uZNz2VicrZFkl10ia5Zs3Mj6zCH51WZJLYRxLLibbWbtncMEE7ztuU3iaSQpPV3dqKJy1w/640?wx_fmt=png" style="border-width: 0px;border-style: initial;border-color: initial;box-sizing: border-box;width: 632px;margin: 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></span></span></a></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><a target="_blank" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247498458&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=23b88732c3e88088fd96a65a939d3b02&amp;chksm=975680fea02109e8f99f5f7feced95901624f2e3d42ce02985f7103988c4f0d3c2d71a0d295f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" textvalue="你已选中了添加链接的内容" data-itemshowtype="0" tab="innerlink" data-linktype="1" hasload="1" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 0;top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link" data-positionback="static" style="top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;"><img class="rich_pages" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-ratio="0.1583610188261351" data-w="903" data-backw="562" data-backh="89" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/6hyaE7lBTM4KHBib9JZ7ia4WAzh4pWXGzEP9pJMzzLtxM9XIDhOsPosnsySDfPvETumiaAgCOt2iaFZe3UrVY0P11w/640?wx_fmt=png" style="border-width: 0px;border-style: initial;border-color: initial;box-sizing: border-box;width: 632px;margin: 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></span></span></a></section></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 18px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;background-color: white;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.5px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 18px;text-decoration: underline;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;background-color: white;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;background-color: white;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;background-color: white;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;color: black;letter-spacing: 2px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">「 2021,真好野&nbsp;」</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;background-color: white;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;color: black;letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Futura-Medium, serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">#BE TRUE&nbsp; #BE WELL&nbsp; #BE WILD</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;background-color: white;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;background-color: white;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="1.4142857142857144" data-w="630" data-type="png" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVnKPSLDs897SLborCullbRgOC0Nj1LHMNj77ia4aibsWb0XmzK5diaoggUAhCFQPiadI2bLoe5GUaiaA/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;z-index: -1;cursor: pointer;letter-spacing: 0.544px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 630px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-width="100%" data-type="gif" data-ratio="0.75" data-w="320" class="__bg_gif" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/Ljib4So7yuWia41icW5iatgQh1wlSLzhaia9X0FcAPiaQHLVW8W4QI0CbAyI1rIKuCb2LWIMibQ7W7PibiasA11BV9Ujnnw/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="box-sizing: border-box;vertical-align: middle;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 104px !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">·</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;color: black;letter-spacing: 2px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">关注分享</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;color: black;letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Futura-Medium, serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">FOLLOW US &amp; SHARE ON MOMENTS</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0.1px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-size-adjust: auto;line-height: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><table width="648" align="center"><tbody style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><tr style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><td valign="middle" align="center" style="margin: 5px 10px;border-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-break: break-all;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-type="png" data-width="40px" height="50" width="40px" data-ratio="0.9880952380952381" data-w="84" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZfp598QbUebDeFWnWrxWY7icibic69LiaVRm6zVeg1Rl22yMbicEibticqroSKA/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 40px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></section></td><td valign="middle" align="center" style="margin: 5px 10px;border-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-break: break-all;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-type="png" data-width="40px" height="49" width="40px" data-ratio="0.9456521739130435" data-w="92" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZfK9Jicco2IIjWJ6VSuib2hkteP3TB36042Sicv894jqS6pHCgrDcMfwCXg/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 40px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></section></td><td valign="middle" align="center" style="margin: 5px 10px;border-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-break: break-all;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-type="png" data-width="40px" height="43" width="40px" data-ratio="0.8378378378378378" data-w="74" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZficnZnnFd7pw8bicfEL1Fia2Vh9nr2qiaDhOc9jExFVOTDc69S4bI5RsXicg/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 40px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></section></td><td valign="middle" align="center" style="margin: 5px 10px;border-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-break: break-all;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-type="png" data-width="40px" height="50" width="40px" data-ratio="0.9836065573770492" data-w="61" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZfboBzMngMwO8RXU7u3xCMQg0GjeM8JojlW1Y9Z5vaeQcGm27y14Te0Q/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 40px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></section></td></tr><tr style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><td valign="middle" align="center" style="margin: 5px 10px;border-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-break: break-all;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="rich_pages" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="98" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="99" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-w="300" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZfePMA0icWaMOcic9iaFd0YibT6dLicOM9hrnZhKPdRVATv4Q0zf0411ZlFCA/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 99px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></section></td><td valign="middle" align="center" style="margin: 5px 10px;border-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-break: break-all;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="rich_pages" data-cropselx1="1" data-cropselx2="103" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="104" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-w="300" data-width="99px" width="99px" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZfQibibfZGIkjRNwTHwQ4KNp3zu2sgMcS5VLib1OHNDwOibjnPpUoribI5IcQ/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 99px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></section></td><td valign="middle" align="center" style="margin: 5px 10px;border-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-break: break-all;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="rich_pages" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="99" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="99" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-w="300" data-width="99px" title="3.png" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZfRDpD1Gr2uH9MNYxSao5AibkVlkLjLcHibvG6yR93VJDibnRXOiaqFiccOdg/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 99px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></section></td><td valign="middle" align="center" style="margin: 5px 10px;border-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-break: break-all;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;box-sizing: border-box !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-w="300" data-width="99px" width="99px" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIy3kArrxGazyPIK26bO7zZficyibw72OWmSMvgNNjSWoDHlf7aSgplp7dtCDAEFtJKHBnC8qaLHSIeQ/640?wx_fmt=png" style="box-sizing: border-box;z-index: -1;cursor: pointer;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;width: 99px !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></section></td></tr></tbody></table></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: right;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: right;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(89, 89, 89);letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">感谢你的每一个分享 | 点赞 | 在看</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: right;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(89, 89, 89);letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">SPECIAL THANKS</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;text-align: right;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(89, 89, 89);letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">▼▼▼</span></section></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span><br /></section><p><br /></p>

← 返回观点全库