市场乍暖还寒，又到了好好做研究的时候

发布于 2019-06-04

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data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgUJqiawwolT9Jjw7hfHdxvSiaV8lTcpdF1bNajGPY4wUb9TNx6ab5yoyQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /> PART 01 åå¸ä»·å¼ ä»âç»æµâãâåå°âãâäººå£âä¸ä¸ªç»´åº¦ï¼éè¿°åå¸ç¹å¾ãè§£æåå¸åå±é©±å¨åãé¢å¤æªæ¥åå±è¶å¿ã å¸®å©å¼ååï¼åçåå¸æèµä¸¤å¤§é®é¢ââ1ãåå¸å±é¢çåå°åå®¢ç¾¤æºä¼ç¹2ãåå¸ä½å®éä»·è¶å¿ <img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgDFbVjG8mcpjHDt10ffWia1KicnIPd2UEPAoicl8CxLARKwWywxTYHJgQw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Og8TOKxLPwwn5q4ARIvdUcDUjictibqufmauNrd6ia2LMkxQJfGOjqXPrCw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgcaEUUPnvIV9o1K7Jynq8UsffWmFK0eRZHecD7Y7gl5HydPXicy1wzibg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgNVjia5fjgRHGYQkuIH30ayctou8S5coIMJ4yNSvmYnUPEs9eZK3tyAw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgvZHPEpW3x1DdXrgUNbYhhZexWUeIkP8HmM5ckBOYLZdeEguzGzibibyw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgeHnUKiamKjpF1Yot4XwicXrFROp4RZKupygm9WRMPVLfnEeUos9WiaALA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Ogk1GFtvmRMFVnjMUJN9dNQHzbAc6Mn8mU0lC0QHsRngbp07DsoXtCgQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Og0cjUcJFq6LuwP2uK1KjmogNBApv15pBCuc9UrUeVQ0N4KmqG9UmD7g/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgODAxqTycQFa0Gdia0UlRdS5a0fibft1UnicEs1j1L3ibqOOkyY2A3r1aYA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgR7Pdxp9uaco2Lj9vvdDEM3mGiadouZBJpGlTznW6s7KMuianex9JN5Fw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgtzvzSQx81AzhUwNUSBxm7KnRshLX7XmOW7AvP8bldIKgpQCbHKkqVQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgjG8MaZq6oQe6lB4JX0Ax2g1a6jzDKcMpicssuTeIibF7maYrRd2pU3QA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgTndHRMC9bZOMTibHVfA1aPqCSaTzticVWp8ehG4JRJeyuYuQ3cJasM2g/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /> PART 02 ç©ºé´åå° å¸®å©å¼ååï¼åçâåªéæåéçåå°âââ1ãæ©å¼ è½¨è¿¹ï¼åçæèµæ¹ååå®å¨è¾¹ç2ãåå°ä»·å¼ï¼åçåªéåå°ä»·å¼é«3ãå©ä½ç¨å°ï¼åçåªéè¿æå°4ãä¸ç±»æèµï¼åçåªéåå°éåæèµ <img class="" 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data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgrTYhgLZVVtV2v0XicGqqGAtSfbugaZSxvIjBjB5D1R8glk6PKr1T64Q/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgkHPgKcWhXeyeYr9vJy9rXiabW5w4pCgWpM3DMvH9xQK5g0xDEPXLXAg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgDzYkm9qjxyEHmUYTwI1rJk7ibEZMEs9Qdda8cMuDe3giakGMxXlzgZoQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgZYFJFyMmyw8O9fa0o2exl2VsQ8hYhZe4MtTygtJHmtB6HDNc3O4GYw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Ogyduk6UlsuYkdR1CibqAuKsRp8sOuicdN04eakYCNXY1gCHZKWWOQAsMg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgoXgdAxBS9CupnEXZ3t1IyC4SdQ7mTDHvBDLoTkTDnnZzUbJdcicUIdw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgW5tNYBDyicicTCbEvBh4UQ9lvc9ueHAokUmRnBhP40HYyUVdgp0gCgLQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgsPERulwp9NUEoRTPvj0kQar2DskYGzH5BUIqqMRtGdvjJhFM3YdiaVA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgCWNOGE9f9CB5r6XPyEud55N3AuNM2C6ECVUPIjtM7qzosxKCdP83zg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgQL4UMKWzYkVCJaGQRITTHrfyNrMcC6muqxm4rUR8rWXhO7arI5HhuA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgFneJFtaJ9X2MpZhnp1ZKVTNsmRx11e5EYjldPmBnDwNBykEKGGxUSA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgQwYVOu86uvaBLXohX0YThb3eUic1dUjKSibUaDNrniaQEsdCsvd0c9WFA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgVpOKhKYyEjFZJqguAknTInvhiaqQHAtZosKgZu1XGDwOiaswDx8QAwSw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Ogic23CJV14Toh55ZYRib5V11oCmd3tXzHB4K4QyyEzOs5Cu13W7uLyqfA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Oggo4XgJibyRC7MRLq3bE5Kicgb7OgKuzyT4k64XJ9cQNJ858tPZ8aQz3Q/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /> PART 03 å¸åºå¨æ åçï¼ä½æ¶å å¤§æèµï¼ä½æ¶å¿«éåºè´§ï¼ä½æ¶æåµä¸å¨ï¼â¦â¦ <img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgYZRfcCfWFSFXsEUYQNT1DmPqZqg4FG9ibaIloJyzWVJZ2FQuMPjohrA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OguoBgvJw3mF6qzTuq7K62Ks0ZJ1n1dKM4ZJTnYZYKPzOW7nqZysY8DQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Ogr94URc2T4gNOZhTVeVz4PGibrIDjTSibKbqAkKsg7UeGVmG7JGhtfluw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Og2JC3QN7ew9rSRoFywLFk9qGTMZIvBePZGmSK3u4khZB5say7icbia3Fw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgKzZwSl8GCDdA5mnHUXad4ZOdYb236bW9sCuL4OdkQ2n2AQx38Hdz2Q/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /> PART 04 å¸åºäº§å ä¸»è¦åå®¹ââ 1ãéæ±ç»æï¼åçåªä¸ç±»å®¢ç¾¤éæ±è§æ¨¡å¤§2ãäº§åè¡¨ç°ï¼åçåªä¸ç±»äº§åé«å¨è½¬ç¹å¾çªåºãåªä¸ç±»äº§åæº¢ä»·ç¹å¾çªåºãåå«å¨åªäºåºå3ãæ¿ä¼å¯¹æ ï¼åçæ¬å¸é¢åæ¿ä¼å¦ä½å¸å±ãå¦ä½éæ©äº§å <img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgPD4oYic5UhZGL6bpJMq0nywuBRR36xYljphO1xTjicHNnm9uQPXzIwfQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Ogry711iagspOCnIBULv8KFCAeOCUuLImMe3j4xZe677RlFlskSJULYRw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgrUl7pRjTBqy7J6wlr8Fr3RdVsnxbtcqgff5o0xIJYWTVADQI6A0u6w/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Og1f668DkXsPkD22VoP1ibLpNsRfYnqOCbstJUHjLvU9QJVqPoSULGW2w/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Og0BuOibbrUzd2560tic8uEkAw30icoOrPva34CSCFhq8LEzFtAT3NE8okQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgJPhAGQQed056iaykDafEdEReZFlXmaTrf6eRBHiaPZ12gyIWIDCERf3Q/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OglRhOw2YWqh92eziccMTmlaoXklRdIfb3S4ZaoN7cTJZ6DCFYNnNwA7A/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Og7MOmKWqEw01szKWF6J8MHrE534xsHlMjDM2HHEpiaFr9Cv0SM4MKUAg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /> PART 05 æ»ç»å»ºè®®ä¸»è¦åå®¹ââ 1ãä¼ä¸æºä¼2ãåå±æè·¯3ãæèµçç¥ <img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6Og2jp8CeYsg7oNEHWM6aa5ibgCKj1YBibe8WZsoLXvb20YLlL1pyY3EiaGg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgHdx70MYdyR9yv74QNpAfGmkViaOeOhbPVtn3GgKiboVbEkg7auDKGibgA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgJ8IG9Q2OBwnBzPqqpAuTicTTCULX3uucgFGkQ7amHZTn2cQibiasAq3Kw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5ABur5m5GhevTvg2YiaA6OgbUmwFicK5MwbhBN1W3C33M4mkuPfy38lsyD71fJxSFviarr67EjYGZfQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" style="" /> ç»è¯ æ£å¦å¤§åç ä¸æè¯´ï¼âä¸å½çæºä¼å¤ªå¤ï¼ä»¥è³äºä¸å½çä¼ä¸å®¶ï¼å¾é¾ä¸æ³¨äºæä¸ªé¢åï¼å¹¶å¨è¯¥é¢åååºåè¶çæç»©ï¼ä½ä¸æ³¨æ¯èµé±çå¯ä¸éå¾ãâ 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27.2px;widows: 1;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"> <p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;widows: 1;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">ââ END ââ <p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 27.2px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">çä½ æ³åç <p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 27.2px;widows: 1;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"> <p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 27.2px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">åå¸ï¼| <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&mid=2649831649&idx=1&sn=191239418c15b0c6f395c843415da5fd&chksm=8351793eb426f028970ac64031955167bfde997cdc96375bfb3bce25b5076f1458e11be2be27&token=217203186&lang=zh_CN&scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">å¾å·</a> | <a 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