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投资粤港澳大湾区,必须要关注这两点

发布于 2018-03-12

<p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">导读</span><br class="Apple-interchange-newline" /><img class="__bg_gif" data-ratio="0.45454545454545453" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/wyice8kFQhf5geQK3gu2FUugjB8iaSGpjO38zXqdgwMx0oC9BCs08koDu1N0thHuib7TjD5SdkYZalvkm0cAClI9Q/640?wx_fmt=gif" data-type="gif" data-w="22" style="margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 22px !important;display: block;visibility: visible !important;" width="22px" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">投资粤港澳大湾区,最重要的两点——</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">1、大湾区城市群</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">(1)网状分工结构,需要重估土地、物业的价值</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">(2)<span style="font-size: 14px;">随着产业升级转型,人口质量和收入不断提高,改善型置业需求或将井喷</span></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">2、非湾区城市群</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">(1)城市<span style="font-size: 14px;">加速</span>升级,政府加大基础建设力度</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">(2)人地关系紧张的城市,市场或将迎来量价齐涨</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.134" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5h4MJ25zumJAGpQKEMIjfj6IibrBYsZcxxtnQeHTNJYxs8lJN32dmt4YAgNAgeBglEyzia6ibIl6M3g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="500" style="width: 195px;height: 26px;" /><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">今年两会有个微妙的点——看似“粤港澳大湾区”是众星捧月的热点,但两会期间,某大领导参加广东代表团议审时,谈的却是“逆城镇化”。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.85" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG7lofyedm5CFUuENjg390v8B8bSCK0AQIOnH45w3yG3ib8ebenoDHO3mPMWiaibZkdOnAtjm4K5P77gw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">内蒙站谈经济转型,山东站谈企业发展,重庆站谈干部修养</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">粤港澳大湾区炒得如火如荼,大家都准备冲到广州、深圳大干一场,这时领导提的“逆城镇化”发展,无疑是给大家敲了一个警钟。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">搞“粤港澳大湾区”肯定有机会,但如果拿地成本太高,面临一定的风险。</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.134" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5h4MJ25zumJAGpQKEMIjfj6IibrBYsZcxxtnQeHTNJYxs8lJN32dmt4YAgNAgeBglEyzia6ibIl6M3g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="500" style="width: 195px;height: 26px;" /><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>人口大省,不患寡而患不均</strong></span><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">广东,不折不扣的人口大省,1.12亿的常住人口,相当于一个日本(1.27亿)</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.7637407711238721" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG7lofyedm5CFUuENjg390v8fcvicibYeIFczettopB2xTtLYv75e8HvhibEZRaxbCTMuibCUFQ8SGOR6w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1219" style="" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">广东省整体建设,侧重在大湾区第一圈层,<strong>广州、深圳、佛山、东莞、中山、珠海,</strong>人造地表总和占全省50.3%,毫不夸张的说,这6个城市代表了半个广东。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.7287651677373305" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG7lofyedm5CFUuENjg390v8PicGicpK39YW0oYp9fTFsj23r6Ku1AXD4ib6ghUIdribOicIWia3yRibSibfdQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1401" style="" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">人造地表:有人类建筑的地表</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">然而,“半个广东”只装了43.7%的人,<strong>直接导致广东省“<span style="font-size: 14px;">最拥挤</span>”的城市,不是深圳、不是广州,是河源……</strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="526" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="781" data-ratio="2.0784905660377357" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6LFOCu6gfppHdjlJOzCjttZSyUeTd686mDqXSecX4zjvLkFKuJFq0FRsmjiaV13tnxjr62OicULKUw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1325" style="width: 526px;height: 1093px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">地均人口密度=2016年常住人口/人造地表</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">这里说的“拥挤”,是指人均用地关系紧张</span><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">事实上,<strong>河源的人地关系紧张,不是因为人太多,而是地太少,<span style="font-size: 14px;">城市建设极度匮乏。</span></strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2016年河源常住人口已经有深圳的1/4,但人造地表仅是深圳的1/10。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.8461538461538461" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG7lofyedm5CFUuENjg390v8eEU3FAJuk74oj42ZBjurRbsTwqlqgoozKJ81aLr5aW4ATp5rDIel8A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1209" style="" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">在这一波“粤港澳大湾区”的浪潮下,这些“<span style="font-size: 14px;">挤</span>”在河源、清远、茂名、湛江的人,<strong>不是走出去建设城市,而是需要留下来建设家乡。</strong>毕竟像深圳这种地方,已经没多少地可以建设开发……</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.47987616099071206" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG7lofyedm5CFUuENjg390v8b72jbtcNC6QOfkAOExoV83f2tFrho30kZeiayko8tVdic5YHicUZV2pqA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1938" style="" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">深圳在发展只能移山填海了??</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">广东省人口之大,既是一大优势,也是一大风险。可以集中力量办大事,同时,也会导致地区发展差距进一步拉大。在这个节点,<strong>提出“粤港澳大湾区”,对区域经济固然有提升作用,但对区域稳定而言,却像埋下了一颗地雷。</strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><strong><br /></strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">可能会出现局部过热,从而导致泡沫横生。就像2015的时候,连保洁阿姨都知道要去炒股,整个股市都陷入一种非理性的状态。<br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.134" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5h4MJ25zumJAGpQKEMIjfj6IibrBYsZcxxtnQeHTNJYxs8lJN32dmt4YAgNAgeBglEyzia6ibIl6M3g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="500" style="width: 195px;height: 26px;" /><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>粤港澳大湾区,1+1>2,3×3>9<br /></strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">不同于“京津冀”都市圈,没有第二梯队。城市群的发展依赖两极(北京、天津)</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">北京、天津非常强,河北的城市都非常弱,总的来说,局部之和大于整体。人们只能选去北京,或者天津。所以才提出了“雄安新区”,打算再造一极。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="526" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="699" data-ratio="0.6210588935157644" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6LFOCu6gfppHdjlJOzCjtt3YGR4KwgWtkbPiasG7nDDQmWg1EwBYxyTaqNQnd57ibJvOl1WSibv0wOg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1681" style="width: 558px;height: 347px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">珠三角地区,城市间的差距不算大,</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">城市群的发展更讲究分工协助。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">深圳、广州稍微领先,珠海、佛山、中山、东莞也各具特色。</span><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="526" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="271" data-ratio="0.516096065406234" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6LFOCu6gfppHdjlJOzCjttpDzucK6rAoseK8nU8nWQgAH1W6fGKbxufCF46B96QwQhzLk6GicnpDA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1957" style="width: 526px;height: 271px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">结合两会期间,国务院提的“粤港澳大湾区”,和领导说的“逆城镇化发展”,<strong>广东省今年的建设重点,不仅是大湾区,还有非湾区的城市群。</strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">粤港澳大湾区,抓产业升级转型</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">。今年三大目标——</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">世界级科技创新产业平台</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">以深圳、广州为第一梯队推进</span><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-croporisrc="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6LFOCu6gfppHdjlJOzCjttic0gj6hEpjqa2wQBKo3JPWdT77RXC8qoIloHSrBu9VCqia3DIofVS6Lw/0?wx_fmt=png" data-cropx1="5.584229390681004" data-cropx2="779" data-cropy1="6.980286738351254" data-cropy2="293.1720430107527" data-ratio="0.3708010335917313" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG6LFOCu6gfppHdjlJOzCjttBE6oJM0Gn6D3ANtwv3yhsSicyYItnmPvMw7sGtX3p5cSmGosKYbVzmg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="774" style="width: 554px;height: 205px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">根据就业人口、区位商、区位商差综合计算而得</span><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">世界级金融重镇</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">联手香港,深圳、广州共同发力</span><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.7433993399339934" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG7lofyedm5CFUuENjg390v8V4ObTOOu5dsUgaNFjHHgxiac7HJ1zxK4UWRkhpBzAS89TmkeiaBxsHCQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1212" style="" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">世界级商贸中心</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="526" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="400" data-ratio="0.760797342192691" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6LFOCu6gfppHdjlJOzCjtt13pTmY8djHg54ANCVh0u2lcXIBvh0v5r909WY0FwovljNNKMRexALw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1204" style="width: 526px;height: 400px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">非大湾区的城市群,抓基础建设发展。</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">以河源为例<span style="font-size: 14px;">,尽管是多山城市,现有人造地表仅占全市面积1%。为了解决人地关系矛盾——</span></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="526" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="549" data-ratio="1.0402384500745157" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG6LFOCu6gfppHdjlJOzCjttHk8zllfvHmIPP08TdZwMHMwI2sibP0ENUNWZQNUpMhpxtrOBaxZgxEA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="671" style="width: 528px;height: 549px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">(1)人地关系降到第二圈水平</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">城市建设面积=308/1.21=254平方公里</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">新增城市面积=254-155=98平方公里</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">(2)新增住宅面积</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">假设60%的新增面积用于住宅开发,容积率按2计算</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">新增住宅面积=98*0.8*2=1.19亿㎡</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">(3)河源城市房地产开发任务</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;">河源房价按6500元/㎡</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">新增市场规模=1.19亿*6500=7704亿</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.134" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5h4MJ25zumJAGpQKEMIjfj6IibrBYsZcxxtnQeHTNJYxs8lJN32dmt4YAgNAgeBglEyzia6ibIl6M3g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="500" style="width: 195px;height: 26px;" /></span><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">由此带来的投资机会——</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">1、湾区城市群,在于土地价值的重估,商办物业的新解读,人口质量提高带来的改善置业井喷。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2、非湾区城市群,城市扩张带来的住房升级机会,市场规模也相当可观。尤其是人地关系紧张的城市,首先迎来量价齐涨的春天<br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">——&nbsp; 猜你想看&nbsp; ——</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 12px;">城市:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12px;">| <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">昆明</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">嘉兴</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">重庆</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">成都</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">深圳</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">上海</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">珠三角</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">雄安新区</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">无锡</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">北京</a> | <br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 12px;">热点:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12px;">| <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">万科商业</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">2018年走势</a> |&nbsp; <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830258&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=079af6257d826b9b592280754ac66a69&amp;chksm=835172adb426fbbbcbc0ba7b27078f59d0313d5bd0f60d0b385720251d85f0b1797abeb24e54&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">任泽平</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829841&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4c8c80fb3b7b721df0a9fd204ac07f66&amp;chksm=8351700eb426f918410cde0800635745e898437602799c7dfd6c38a623ec784eb196dcec16f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">悦府</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829563&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9e468d74b0dc9a156fcdb7bb4944551a&amp;chksm=83517164b426f8722e59ebee139130e104a9d6cf46ce22adeaf03fe0c6861e33a901a4246723&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">嘉兴土拍</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829214&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=e245560eeadafae388de6a7d7577e04e&amp;chksm=83516e81b426e7976c5c6d425b4a39ade86d0e12ed288238933e3662f48c58d57c4efeb5c801&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">深圳房价</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829123&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dfa4dc6c2538443c36261850676e445f&amp;chksm=83516edcb426e7ca756d2a80930aa8be108cbd730cb05573393378c60e9c9e8ce88067b00c06&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">屌英</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649828970&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=94da5f79cfde6c25849b5c41421d3964&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">恒大海上威尼斯</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=402337281&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=01025bafd1b30fc52ccffa541506497c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">SOHO</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=206752846&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b1148eb7ff37e89f2cb1c12dcecb8ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">上海新政</a> | <br /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 12px;">专业:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;">| <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830457&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=37a5c454028fb849c2c5fce3b3575756&amp;chksm=835175e6b426fcf07c9d8fdee249e33edf0ae7f5684be2290c3145624ad430d880a10a654ebd&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">2018房地产报告</a> | <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830431&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b7596dea6473253d931b3fac3435f622&amp;chksm=835175c0b426fcd63330d6b1a95eea4c8c78ff31886b2494fd56162bbba8c5cf939854102298&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">政策解读</a></span>| <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830258&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=bc2fe4a1a774ba6c59d982debbf2fd5b&amp;chksm=835172adb426fbbbe9325a4f9b6aa2709f6da75ff2908c48f79f7749df8fb04673499ff7899c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">极小公寓</a> |&nbsp; <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830201&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1816623486b879233513443f1df6ec59&amp;chksm=835172e6b426fbf07aa0f023c3ff79ca1cf11606fc2f2b66cfe773222e3fa1df7f92affa90b6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">远郊定位</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830238&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=55591402f6fa54ebdf90912d8ea6b9fd&amp;chksm=83517281b426fb975b8910ddf8814762e527d24502eb421ad041b6899c7511c3c66b553b7196&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">城市化</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829710&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=58d632f4b07dc0796127ef5df605bb36&amp;chksm=83517091b426f9871fa25aed40ade8d757557347ecf505d8b9510645b5adcc6d703caed90b31&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">时势蓝图</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829662&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a0f9b47beae15eaada8d20b39fb26c21&amp;chksm=835170c1b426f9d7c8ecebbe881b254293dea7c826683c2e381693d874915dedef067a98d419&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">土地理解</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829590&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a89abd34200c237cf3773686a1486ee2&amp;chksm=83517109b426f81fa20b8dfd28a6d572bfb11b42ef10050fe26a1612f0c54dd6e92bd07e8610&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">大数据</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829293&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9c248869ff7a1a03947bd160b429927b&amp;chksm=83516e72b426e7646af7fb4cc65a4904a29c83336f46a87f4b253f2eb893c4dbd9315a65cab8&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">算法</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649828927&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2aab44aa0c5c0c3759d29dcda320a1c5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">PIE模型</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401934329&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1b1c1f6c2d72e6db62ab566dc0fb2d0b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">市场周期</a> | <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=400672879&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2b70716f8cc9b44365df50e1243cb8ec&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">城市地图</a> | <br /></span></p><p><br /></p><section class="" style="margin-top: 0.5em;margin-bottom: 1.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;border-width: medium;border-style: none;border-color: currentcolor;-moz-border-top-colors: none;-moz-border-right-colors: none;-moz-border-bottom-colors: none;-moz-border-left-colors: none;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section class="" style="margin: auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);width: 3em;text-align: center;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: inherit;font-size: 1em;text-decoration: inherit;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section class="" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-radius: 50%;width: 3em;height: 3em;line-height: 3.5em;overflow: hidden;font-family: inherit;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);"><section class="" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 12px;">更多</span></section></section><section class="" style="margin: -0.92em auto auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;width: 0px;font-family: inherit;border-top: 3em solid rgb(71, 193, 168);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;border-right: 1.4em solid transparent !important;border-left: 1.4em solid transparent !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section></section></section><fieldset class="" style="margin-top: 0.8em;margin-bottom: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-width: 0px;white-space: normal;border-width: 0px;border-style: none;border-color: currentcolor;-moz-border-top-colors: none;-moz-border-right-colors: none;-moz-border-bottom-colors: none;-moz-border-left-colors: none;text-align: center;color: rgb(129, 120, 119);font-size: 13.63px;font-weight: bold;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="padding: 0.3em 0.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-color: rgb(249, 110, 87);border-radius: 0.5em;text-align: inherit;font-family: inherit;font-weight: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;display: inline-block;box-shadow: rgb(165, 165, 165) 0.2em 0.2em 0.1em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(160, 160, 160);color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12px;padding: 0.3em 0.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-color: rgb(249, 110, 87);border-radius: 0.5em;text-align: inherit;font-family: inherit;font-weight: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;display: inline-block;box-shadow: rgb(165, 165, 165) 0.2em 0.2em 0.1em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(160, 160, 160);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">禾略中国:helue_China</span></p></span></fieldset><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;white-space: normal;text-align: center;color: rgb(129, 120, 119);font-size: 13.63px;font-weight: bold;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p><hr style="max-width: 100%;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;color: rgb(129, 120, 119);font-size: 13.63px;font-weight: bold;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" /><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;">陪你想,陪你写,陪你玩</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;line-height: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="526" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="526" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4CH2Q70SCqaiaUnucGGwFRTYoW9SS84sCDbLB8PkBJ5zVxAEsHCJk2kcl2VmQUPibxsDcztjHmXfZQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1125" style="line-height: 1.6;text-indent: 32px;font-family: 宋体;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 526px;visibility: visible !important;height: 526px;" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br /></p>

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