梧桐湖之后，康桥在武汉远郊又落一子，盲目 or 远见？

<p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 1 -<br /></span></strong></span></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">楼盘简介<br /></span></strong></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;"><br /></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">6月30日，</span><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">武汉康桥</span><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">泽融房地产开发有限公司（康桥置业）经12轮竞拍后以15720万元，楼面地价2688.93元/㎡拿下蔡甸奓山街P（2020）047号地块，溢价率7.52%，容积率1-2.5，地块面积23385㎡，用地性质为居住用地。</span></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">地块位于武汉西南远郊，蔡甸区奓山街常福大街与玛瑙四路交汇处以东(奓山街联湾村）。</span></p><p style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.634375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYSxLKNB36qnlKeW0cGMUPFaSaLucrIAMgUy5cNPApruVBdvqUo8aXmA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图1：地块位置</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块价值如何呢？下面禾略带您详细解读——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 2 -<br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">城市基本面</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;城市能级&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 22.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">武汉属于</span></span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 22.5px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">一线</span></strong></span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 22.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">城市，2018年</span>在全国城市能级划分中排名</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第9</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">，预计2020年城市排名再进一位，仍为</span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 22.5px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">一线</span></strong></span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">城市</span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;line-height: 22.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">。</span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.4640625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYBfD8OrqXiaQPjWkNXbzjZSPPfUbrj22H58HjPr0Wiac8OvdpCDYkWtcg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图2：2018年全国城市能级划分</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.4484375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYBRibFzY6AX1Xs7nEzvTBM3njW6yw2fsibzTMQbKWUJVKJGcZRxVG0csg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图3：2020年全国城市能级划分</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;经济发展&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">GDP规模由<span style="font-size: 15px;">2009年</span>的4261亿增长到2019年的16223亿，10年时间几乎翻了两番。作为国家重要的工业基地，2014年三产占比才超过二产，<span style="font-size: 15px;">差距缓慢增大，</span>但二产占比依然保持在42%以上，2019年二三产占比分别为42.17%和54.94%。</span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5828125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYFoG9JzoxyPvffrSGl6ic23UeAWQwlqH7RmXBGUg21vyctSbvQq3bOeA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图4：武汉历年经济指标</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;人口聚集&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">2019年常住人口达1121万，2009-2019年常住人口年均增加21.1万；2019年户籍人口889万，吸附外来人口达232万；小学生人数58.63万，10年来年均增加1.73万人。另外，号称百万在校大学生也是武汉的特色之一。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5480844409695075" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYOFXqAd8EHw3WYtt6Xeia2UWKhia8xPiau1tUSp25GYDZUjuHO7LZbOsgw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1279" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图5：武汉历年人口指标</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;城市建设&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">建成区持续扩张，尤其是最近5年，年均扩张51.9km²，2019年建成区面积达812km²。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.51953125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY9vDpC7XiaRks1z9Kes1Ot2oGZjIAVdUF3WunkzlhSBicBMOCulY9v8Ag/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图6：武汉历年城市建设</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">对武汉来说，3500年建城史、楚文化重要发祥地、军事重镇、明清商业天下四聚之一等荣光早已消失在历史的长河中；国家中心城市、中部六省唯一的副省级城市等称号一定程度上都是噱头，多了就会贬值。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />务实一点，1861年汉口开埠，设立五国租界，城市发展才真正被纳入现代化轨道，租界的江汉关，和对岸的黄鹤楼一起，至今依然是城市名片。1889年起，洋务派重臣张之洞督鄂18年，修铁路、办学堂、建工厂，领风气之先，城市面貌为之一新，为崛起奠定了坚实基础。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">改革开放以来，武汉经济发展大幅落后于沿海城市。近10年来，成都、武汉等中西部强省会城市重新崛起。面向未来，处于京广线和长江水道十字路口的武汉，大江大湖，也必将大开大合。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 3 -</span></strong></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">土地价值<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;土地现状&nbsp;<br /></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">先从地图上对地块交通、配套和产业有个基本了解，再选取一系列反映土地价值的指标，进行熵值法打分，将得分根据自然分段法划分为5个等级，从红到绿土地成熟度依次递减。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">主要从交通通达性、生活配套和产业发展来看网格颗粒度，综合看土地网格成熟度，在武汉市属于</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第三等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYicorNYP5Nc7cyQQaRic0ozJoDEWOWOLEIpNkff3AocbBOGcGoibZq6LLw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图7：地块周边土地现状价值分布</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>&nbsp;交通通达性</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块位于西南方向远郊区，距汉口站和武昌站均为30km以上，车程超过40分钟；距武汉站和机场50km以上，车程超过1个小时；到商业中心江汉路34km，车程超过50分钟；距离最近的万达广场也有16.3km，23分钟车程。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.54609375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY6oCMNGEMiblJkYIhwhic1PpjOWmZWRNPtVZcaE5sr1TGMVwo4fMcbHYQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图8：地块到汉口站路线图</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55390625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYr0ggt4gBBa1l347tvRPm4d9khibgqODPjjAeDq3C5GGpqy846tDqFuw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图9：地块到武昌站路线图</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.56953125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYaTnkRs5mGjJM0OpwcPpv3d4icDoEcFVl7EZOrXodn1c7ibIhicV5UdvrQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图10：地块到武汉站站路线图</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.640625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYpFmN0HNcFDwdwcSogYGECfuoyYOcwrX0Ua8jZLBZcMovwlC1Q81bjw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图11：地块到机场路线图</span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55703125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYJMiaza7RNGWj1U5PIZdiaC77v2oxNlv5ZDJBH8YZhyy2T0m29vgPibS1w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图12：地块到市中心路线图</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6046875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYdjGLArSYA0ic9NyHVMU3QOeu6UIHI6bexQmVwt76ogOYbgFvetYsq2Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图13：地块到最近万达广场示意图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">从道路建设密度、自驾和公交通</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">达性来衡量综合交通，地块通达性为</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>第三等级。</strong></span><span style="line-height: 25.5px;font-family: 宋体;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYw71RQ0hnxZSZ6VsOpumGGuxiaahdvVKxf8AFLicLQeVzeTXwSVFMdTBQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图14：地块周边综合交通通达性</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY0OYqIW2hY4711g7ZqmEOQOOdnV4icR9JwrcDcPLhygRkCsuKI9e2NbA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图15：地块周边道路建设密度</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYcYx58JkVpWxFrQGcQWh0SGMx1Mmu3msUTnNZDuzP5Zco9Plkw8vWrg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图16：地块周边自驾通达性</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYs9ykmfNPj5ribCSgZ4dfmoNASmmTY2g7vLNicd0FXec1REVKKZI0j5Tw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图17：地块周边公交通达性</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>&nbsp;生活配套价值&nbsp;</strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">武汉三环内发展相对成熟，四环正努力打造多个城市副中心，而此地块位于绕城高速（<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">相当于五环</span>）之外，周边以工业园为主，基本没有大型公园、商场等休闲购物场所。<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">从商场及餐饮服务来看，周边大型商场几乎没有，最近的密集区域在四环以内。</span><br /><br />上学就医比较<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">方便。</span>直线距离3km范围内有蔡甸区奓山街大东小学、龙王小学、常福中心小学、奓山中心小学、常福中学、汉阳二中等中小学校。就医可去周边常福医院、武汉九康医院、武汉佳瑞医院等，均步行可达，另外，30分钟车程可到同济、协和等武汉顶级医院分院。<br /><br />概括来说，地块位于武汉远郊区，</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">购物、休闲配套不足，上学、就医还不错。</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.603125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYcMfhiba3ia6kd2Vricnqf6uuDQx2smsdCMKWicPFx6KISfvQZJ5u9KBB5Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图18：地块周边学校分布</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5828125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYIWGMllH33kTJdCaCQUSxxtL9xIIS263dibPXUZDPCRqL4tOTjvCrPXg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">图19：</span><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">地块周边医院分布</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.65" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY7B115hpMm3VN3IsZYKkaOfFic5aibzHtIr9ELsgmQkCZ911GCB8rd5ZA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">图20：地块到大医院路线图</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6234375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYnIJeYneXYnYjKDREsfBBhIqBADopx4tqjZnGiaYajswlbplsveV0joA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图21：地块周边商业及餐饮服务面积</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br />根据住宅氛围与生活服务资源、工作氛围与就业资源、商业及餐饮服务、公园及休闲服务、医疗服务资源及教育服务资源的POI分布情况进行熵值法打分，反映城市各板块生活配套齐全度的指标，可以看出地块生活配套是</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第五等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYhMw4GujHjG640LAx2jzx1H6X1kTxkNUkF8ld4icYZ0CEnMicDVrz6EgQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图22：地块周边生活配套价值</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY4ACe1GictWsSflkyHhvsXnKy31y8TLVmHNRLYiaUn1DJZgkx6iaHxU4Jg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图23：地块周边住宅氛围与生活服务</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYgMT7aMArcTDjibDh6Nj2tR9SAuI7WQq3Pn7c4AetEwGOxsBMicBLA3Yg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图24：地块周边工作氛围与就业资源&nbsp;</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYf5yv3sA74qj8yR0icVPR8blpbxsT4HYIStiaS8iaReT4sxZUIyVWEShPg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图25：地块周边商业及餐饮服务</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55390625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYrw64ib9MLBibpf58hEn3xH8YaoMb1cibwI9k7GAyJQGsI6t2BBibvzRvnw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图26：地块周边公园及休闲服务</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYLH7fm3DMq4Ncsh8dEzufatY4SOiczSO69Gic4XIjiaibzfFicIQiaiaocib3TA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图27：地块周边医疗服务资源</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55703125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYKb5cIBUCibiapSFkkjOETzFGcycWtBiaPo3iaHhfnO1zCljtFncyTPMzibg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">&nbsp;图28：地块周边教育服务资源</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;综合产业就业&nbsp;<br /></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">产业发展是根据传统服务业、公共事业、工业、新兴服务业的POI分布情况进行熵值法打分，反映城市各板块产业吸引力是否足够强的指标，可以看出地块产业发展位于</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>第五等级</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYseVfXvicyYntMsI2teaSzSZS1jy3JOvicRVyOk5be6OJYeDsVYyANicUw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图29：地块周边综合产业就业</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY5USvDcHcHquKR0ELjXem9GC3NtJCPBcDc6XNgzQcMxNoOHRSib9sm4A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图30：地块周边传统服务业</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYvDSnIXXT5EtMDarQWXw6GCDwTdA6WU7lBwpEXDKrAuDZhEn32vn4ug/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图31：地块周边公共事业</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYIREiaicVgbyr8qQ4JPibg40PeWiagMoV5aev4nzz8OkTJbLrsNmepNk10Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图32：地块周边工业</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY7giaabbQVa23Oo1KrlyDFwHuFmr5oZBHsGvXHMEHhyPWbCfWp7JsmYA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图33：地块周边新兴服务业</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">综合来看，地块所在网格特色鲜明，集中发展工业，其他多数指标则低于全市平均水平。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color:#007aaa;"><strong>具体来说，工业</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-weight: bold;">是全市平均水平3倍以上</strong>；</span></span><strong style="white-space: normal;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><strong>道路建设密度<strong style="white-space: normal;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">是全市平均水平2倍以上；</strong></strong></strong></strong></span><strong style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>工作氛围与就业资源</strong>、</strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong style="white-space: normal;"><strong><strong><strong style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;white-space: normal;"><strong><strong><strong><strong style="white-space: normal;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><strong>自驾通达性高于全市平均水平；其他各项指标均低于全市平均水平。</strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.7359375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY7kGxThHhWkYfweV7m8Isjz1UKgSXmbfXA2iaxYED1wd5ibYZicKDW8kuA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图34：地块各指标全市均值倍数</span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br style="white-space: normal;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">由于历史和地理原因，与重庆、南京等沿江大城市不同，武汉并不是沿江发展。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">历史上，武昌、汉口、汉阳是独立发展的，长江流经武汉时水面宽阔，形成天然阻隔，最窄的武汉长江大桥处，江面也宽1100米，最宽则达4600米，以至于大桥建成50年后才建成二桥。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地理上，武汉湖泊众多，水域面积占市域面积1/4，造成天然隔阂。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">长江以南的武昌，从北至南依次被东湖、南湖、汤逊湖、黄家湖所阻，只能通过东湖和南湖之间的狭长陆地延伸，发展为今日的光谷片区；</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">汉口则可以沿并不太宽的汉江向西北方发展；</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">汉阳出四环后从北到南依次为知音湖、后官湖、朱山湖所阻，依然只能选择通过后官湖和朱山湖之间的陆地向江汉平原腹地延伸，著名的318国道（中国最长的国道、中国人的景观大道、西部为川藏线），出武汉正是沿此方向，而地块正好位于318国道以南1km左右。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">因此，地块现状配套虽不突出，但确实在汉阳发展轴上，长远来看，</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-weight: bold;">属于潜力地块</strong></span></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.59140625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMuOh4ic3XsmzzRdW3wxsFicWSXPFsz1SNRews92lWZlpzn4uX8zyb3lKA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图35：武汉城市发展方向</span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"><br /></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 4 -</span></strong></span><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">空间扩张<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;土地扩张&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块在2017-2020年扩张速度为</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第五等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">，根据历年人造地表和建筑数据变化趋势，预测2020-2023年扩张速度依然为</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第五等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.675249169435216" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYnSuuG6CsK9ZM8w07yT2uTZ1SLhyjXGh0UmH55xJeATphdVQl3ulDrA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1204" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图36：地块周边2017-2020年扩张图</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6460807600950119" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYVzEmp5LmcQJ9LdydbhicANXVGtY0fZDHmD9ECQQIQHWS9ctAWjvL5tQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1263" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图37：地块周边2020-2023年扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>人口分布&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">2014年地块所在网格人口在500人以下，</span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">2019-2020年地块所在网格人口流入流出</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">不显著</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">。根据历年人口和建筑数据变化趋势，预测在2020-2021年依然</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">不显著</span></strong>。<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5359375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuY7f90AImWGFMEsdbOvRYxMib9gmEXRNR1GLzT1Mcw0EhrQqrceWQaoNQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图38：地块周边2014年人口分布图</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6483253588516746" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYtPicwKuKhR8ibvodu76B1R6Y2uBMMibqWeiandL3NOqS2KwQVOahtt9YVA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1254" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图39：地块周边2019-2020年人口扩张图</span><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6493610223642172" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYIQnWYE4s0QmWP57aAPqzbl96ju0azWRq0kItDyjV5ytF9KwJuVayUw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1252" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图40：地块周边2020-2021年人口扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 5 -</span></strong></span><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">市场表现<br /></span></strong></section><h2 style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></h2><h2 style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;历年销售情况</strong></span></h2><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售金额</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">商品住宅销售额在2018年之前快速增长，尤其是2014-2018年，从1464亿元到4095亿元，4年增幅180%，2019年基本保持稳定，为4125亿元。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.34453125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMicxGdtibuHsKfWqtiaSibPkam0jFRVZVjwFJGIFzCv9hYDsrazAsKsicnLA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图41：武汉市历年住宅销售额</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售面积</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">商品住宅销售面积在2011-2016年快速增长至2931万平米，2016-2018年稳中略增，2018年达3230万平米，2019年则有所回落，为2982万平米。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.34609375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMwwR0NnkVlCFgHT1mMg6ubNgkNmtNN2yD9soGaGy3UHM0wQX5u7k28w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图42：武汉市历年住宅成交面积</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售价格</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售价格在2007-2009年基本稳定，2009-2011年上涨较快，2011-2015年缓慢上涨至9705<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>，2015-2018年快速上涨至18644<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>，3年涨幅92%，2019年小幅下跌至18294元/㎡。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.1828125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMy4Qc867UW5YvibyGHhwI1JicnOOAWqxyt5EIXuY8YQGb4DJFasYXUZ4g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图43：武汉市历年住宅成交均价</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />市场库存</span></strong></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li style="font-weight: bold;"><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">广义库存</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">广义库存4年来缺口不断扩大，从2016年7月的319万平米增至2019年11月的3401万平米，最近半年缺口保持稳定，2020年3月为3422万平米。以18个月销</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">售量移动平均值为月去化量，则目前广义库存去化周期缺口大概为</span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">15.8</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">个月</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.21015625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMib6nrLdicC5D4WLsYicjGNmgt4ChuJE4Z4oibqkB50XvWDapgDTEWhyVYA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图44：武汉市历月住宅广义库存</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li style="font-weight: bold;"><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">远期库存</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">远期库存时有波动，但整体趋势下降，由2016年7月的4411万平米减少至目前的2505万平米。以18个月销售量移动平均值为月去化量，则目前远期库存去化周期为</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">12.6</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">个月</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.209375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMY65VTI1aSXTRj6SwwsE6bPLBDp27syRqJOff6cicqBtK9Kx3HQpxO3A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图45：武汉市历月住宅远期库存</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">区县房价现状</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">从房价现状来看，蔡甸区5月份均价在武汉各区排倒数第4，为14148元/㎡，环比上涨5.48%，同比上涨4.94%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.847008547008547" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMzyVyiaicnAkzGCDNpwAaibrwEY2qu9hMdgsFxCkVldzI2sFcj41rrYG7g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1170" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图46：2020年5月武汉各区县房价</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">价格分析</span></strong></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><li style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">价格综合分析</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">观察近4年蔡甸区价格走势，综合价格从2016年8月6712元/㎡上涨至2019年11月的13858元/㎡，涨幅106.5%，此后至2020年3月价格一直下降，疫情基本控制后价格触底反弹，2020年5月为14148<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>，再次达到历史最高水平。价格同比在2019年12月之前一直高于5%，之后4个月持续为负，直到最近一个月转正。且最近半年持续在-10%上下。价格环比时正时负，但可以看出，上涨时幅度较大，而下跌时则幅度较小。2020年5月价格同比为4.94%，环比为5.5%。<br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.19453125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kM5XOpmMxY4u7Z7r7CXKDHq7RX8ARN9h8iae1Cq6eiboIGtvX0L9iackahQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图47：蔡甸区近4年综合单价走势图</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><li style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">一手房价格</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">一手房价格则从2016年8月6796元/㎡持续上涨至2020年4月的15228元/㎡，期间只有2020年1-3月受疫情影响，基本保持稳定。价格同比4年内始终为正<span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">价格环比最近一年</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">保持在±2%的区间。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">2020年4月价格同比为5</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">%，环比为</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">1.9</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">%。</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.19375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kM7pfbOHWPxCMcICXtCzqPCekp9szqO2PEQSjGHTHlhrWE7fpprw86mQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图48：蔡甸区近4年一手房单价走势图</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><li style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">二手房价格</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">二手房价格从2016年8月6630元/㎡上涨至2019年11月的12871元/㎡，上涨94.1%。之后持续下跌至2020年3月的10545<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>，最近2个月回升至12857<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>。价格同比在2020年1-4月为负，5月转正。价格环比最近3年依然时正时负，大涨小跌。2020年5月价格同比为1.16%，环比为8.82%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.19375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kM2LONpkf3lrosicibY25ibuNtyiaZICOqbz06CZuMaxbLQDwm5l1cTATFPA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图49：蔡甸区近4年二手房单价走势图<br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><li style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">租金</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">租金在2018年初有一波上涨，基本维持在23-26元/月/㎡之间波动，目前为25.12<span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">元/月/㎡</span>。最近2年租售比保持在35%-49%之间，目前为42%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);clear: both;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.1921875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMsKHS3ykiaOYxU8pLZ3iar3icnOddg7YQ0icSzfDPLHkvtUBNEBtYnWQFKQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图50：蔡甸区近4年租金走势图</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">房价动力</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">结合区县周期和楼市景气指数走势来看，蔡甸区目前处于市场信心的底部回升期，但未来半年房价还存在较大泡沫。此时市场信心趋势向上，<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">流通性有所改善，房企以跑量去化为主，并坚决加杠杆和拿地，为下阶段的销售期做准备。</span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br /></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">未来半年，房价上涨动力为9%，未来一年，房价上涨动力为4.7%，未来一年半，房价上涨动力为6.5%。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.2609375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMjqaDHNwNz0GBgIxiajXibLtGrB3kPkg71DG4LgxX4nrggjl6zVC5MAkw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图51：蔡甸区周期走势</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.259375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwOL6nib5Yiaia5ibXKHXiaDc0kMicwFXbqcpBCsF71z299Hh7dtrw22RHMsic6okkicP9uJUJAhWibyLxXCFg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">图52：蔡甸区楼市景气指数走势</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">赢率赔率</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">禾略定义的赢率是地块网格现状价值对城市水平和全国水平的均值倍数取几何平均数而得。赔率是3段时间区间（2018-2021年、2019-2022年、2020-2023年）内土地扩张速度的算术平均值。概括来说，</span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>赢率是做这件事情有多大概率能成功，赔率是你成功了会有多少回报。</strong></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">本地块为</span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>低赢率</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>-低赔率，即小概率成功，且利润不高。</strong></span></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYicibhMiarb8FV8o2p3bLhPE7JibbwSsfnETODZaxy0b1qjsTvmORD9uK5Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图53：地块赢率赔率</span><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 0.544px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地价房价比</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">参考楼盘周边住宅价格，奥山首府容积率为2.5，2020年1月开盘时房价8700元/㎡；人民汽车城容积率1.8，2019年3月开盘时房价10800元/㎡；光明府容积率2.7，2019年11月开盘时房价9312元/㎡</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">本地块容积率1-2.5</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">，取周边楼盘均值9604元/㎡为本地块房价，<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">楼面地价2688.93元/㎡</span>，则地价房价比为0.28，<strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">处于高毛利的水平。</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.621875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIyO9XZByq1tPTbtMpHOywuYLlRiaMru44WNFKn4tSXCibnfEnLadtRZVHGyzWemKBS9hjevQ1yxPm1A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></p><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图54：地块周边楼盘信息</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">——&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 小结&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; ——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br />综合来说，地块位于因本次疫情而闻名世界的武汉，突如其来的疫情打断了武汉10年来的重新崛起之路，甚至可能影响世界经济走势</span></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">。10年来，武汉GDP几乎翻了两番，2019年达16223亿元，大陆城市第8，工业基础深厚，在多年努力产业升级的背景下，二产占比依然高达42%。常住人口规模1121万，年均增加21.1万，吸附外来人口232万，在校大学生超百万，小学生人数58.63万，年均增加1.73万。建成区812km²，且每年以51.9km²的速度扩张。</span></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></strong></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></strong></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>地块土地成熟度属于</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">武汉第三梯队，工业园密集，不算生地，但现状不突出。长远来看，<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">在汉阳</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">向外扩张轴上</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">，</span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>属于潜力地块</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>地处偏远。</strong></span></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:微软雅黑, sans-serif;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">距汉口站和武昌站均为30km以上，车程超过40分钟；距武汉站和机场50km以上，车程超过1个小时；到商业中心江汉路34km，车程超过50分钟；距离最近的万达广场也有16.3km，23分钟车程。</span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>购物、休闲配套不足。</strong></span></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:微软雅黑, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">武汉三环内发展相对成熟，四环正努力打造多个城市副中心，而此地块位于绕城高速（相当于五环）之外，周边以工业园为主，基本没有大型公园、商场等休闲购物场所。<span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">从商场及餐饮服务来看，周边大型商场几乎没有，最近的密集区域在四环以内。</span><br /><br /></span></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>上学、就医比较方便。</strong></span></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:微软雅黑, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">直线距离3km范围内有蔡甸区奓山街大东小学、龙王小学、常福中心小学、奓山中心小学、常福中学、汉阳二中等中小学校。就医可去周边常福医院、武汉九康医院、武汉佳瑞医院等，均步行可达，另外，30分钟车程可到同济、协和等武汉顶级医院分院。<br /></span></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块位于西南远郊区，工业园较多，所在网格人口不超过500人。</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>预测未来扩张速度在武汉市为第五梯队，人口</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">流入流出不显著。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">城市广义库存去化存在15.8个月缺口，远期库存去化</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">需要12.6个月，</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">蔡甸区价</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">格14148元/㎡，低于全市平均水平，最近3个月已显示出止跌回升的迹象，未来半年上涨动力为9%。<br /><br /></span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">目前处于市场信心底部回升期，<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">市场信心趋势向上，</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">流通性有所改善，</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">应跑量去化并拿地，<span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">为下阶段的销售期做准备</span>。</span></strong></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></strong></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></strong>低赢率-低赔率，<strong style="white-space: normal;">即小概率成功，且利润不高，这是从近几年来看的。</strong></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong style="white-space: normal;"><br /></strong></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地价房价比</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong style="white-space: normal;">0.28</strong></span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">，</span><strong style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">处于高毛利的水平，这是基于对长远未来的预期。</strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /></span></strong></section><hr style="border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);border-style: solid;border-right-width: 0px;border-bottom-width: 0px;border-left-width: 0px;transform: scale(1, 0.5);transform-origin: 0px 0px 0px;" /><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="color: rgb(217, 33, 66);"><strong><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br />#2020，别把生命浪费在PPT上，去创造价值#</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1.7914614121510672" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxduF4EXL7D9SiaPMBPBZwQCLge8RWKQ66fNnFCl05ibl88m1APGj82G9bOghszxO1R3iaiahRCKicn1hQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="609" width="275" height="493" style="height: 405px;width: 226px;" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br />——&nbsp; END&nbsp; ——<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">猜你想再看<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">城市：</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=191239418c15b0c6f395c843415da5fd&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028970ac64031955167bfde997cdc96375bfb3bce25b5076f1458e11be2be27&amp;token=217203186&amp;lang=zh_CN&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" 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href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=b6295a149a38a026e886d81014b568f3&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a8d7adbd8721956fd91c59be8bd1ec35d4f9963a11e7e67bee72cd49405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">南宁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=8&amp;sn=0efaff09c26e604d7aa5c29376c129ad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07abb37dd11a0cfe941868be2b543feebf288460418759254327292658947ae&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">桂林</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=12f08ffb076544edcbc24e91bc3d87d7&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a1cd4530a9033d462d4732c500dcdda723bdc3a87f4d55f1c62f657a4cb77&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">柳州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=6&amp;sn=0a89c4ab17039cec25754aa111b87308&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a6fdc14a1c0e877928f2fa46798a8b592b2b2023ad1c65081bbc80b2fafad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">蚌埠</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=7&amp;sn=1bc72e377ffc3b621c2886d68c437515&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07adc8c50a3e1409197892c508ad9c27a6b52f8e4dde12740baf5674f5a7fa6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">合肥</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=10e3d481f7fd0ff46dafe2648cd3ddfb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a5118705d6b85487fa97dd013a2aee842be719ee13086aab8dee370b54185&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">南京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9ffda0c7d9667d6700966a8bab12eccf&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a4e94a2471b2d59264ed4460e0567c63095fad9c5704541a546d7bc23584a&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">上海临港</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">太原</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">北京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">热点：</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247485505&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=90a4482d0ec14f8a4d441f77c653806c&amp;chksm=97557265a022fb7385559a6648c54242c721582b3811ad664360ea1e6f562f0f62264852c20c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" data-itemshowtype="0" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深圳土拍</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831957&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a889b497d60264ef90aea585e4d4556f&amp;chksm=83517bcab426f2dc5e2b3778bc8e8834b453c4eac98c490ebeb525c4a5b01093fe602418b8fb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">美国地产</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">长租公寓</span></a><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830578&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=73f5149b299d5ce19a433c365eedee83&amp;chksm=8351756db426fc7b173558a1765830766ec5f7fb387e652250f10a106ef6490821f809722cfb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">中美贸易战</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">粤港澳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">万科商业</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">2018年走势</a>&nbsp;|<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">专业：</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831987&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8553537eb64de48a9b7eb16564fe8988&amp;chksm=83517becb426f2fa0c63ef59ace65085334609b45795331170f0edb7f455d154c06d53aa85f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">穿越熊市</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;<span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831371&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b15fe316680aabc64e2b7c37e5767d8&amp;chksm=83517614b426ff0229de8ab490c6a7fb33f9e7de34bae145abd3565818c5965c1eca5a4b0029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">地产研报</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831103&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ae2c7ba214abd19c76ed907399b77b7&amp;chksm=83517760b426fe767422812a59d53a334c00664a2cc146d59a076bc0e59a062f518c7df00861&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">投资</a>&nbsp;|<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831043&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dcae4bb0d9c69a6aefeb48f7447dff10&amp;chksm=8351775cb426fe4a32f43b1fe3a11ebffb7d381291adc0746d6d0ed9f3efb882617e0407aa10&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;思考</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830765&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=d21dbefeb5e1aea1599bcec8fae7a7d4&amp;chksm=835174b2b426fda4b66776ffb3da368f2b71e44233e17581d647b246e52aa53255140e3adac0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">客研</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830698&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=27ffa7f097500e9e7fb23f99fdce51ef&amp;chksm=835174f5b426fde3854d2eec6dc6fd1c0c182faa0218d1b0ce833e50c860c23b062b88f914e0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">高周转</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830656&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dc61474f9d09133fcce2934476ea10c1&amp;chksm=835174dfb426fdc9575a9a316aef5c25d051f574d0cd96ae3d1cda189bca7c7b0b7447e403e4&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">房价预测</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830457&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=37a5c454028fb849c2c5fce3b3575756&amp;chksm=835175e6b426fcf07c9d8fdee249e33edf0ae7f5684be2290c3145624ad430d880a10a654ebd&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">2018房地产报告</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830201&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1816623486b879233513443f1df6ec59&amp;chksm=835172e6b426fbf07aa0f023c3ff79ca1cf11606fc2f2b66cfe773222e3fa1df7f92affa90b6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">远郊定位&nbsp;</a>|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829710&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=58d632f4b07dc0796127ef5df605bb36&amp;chksm=83517091b426f9871fa25aed40ade8d757557347ecf505d8b9510645b5adcc6d703caed90b31&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: currentcolor none 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word;">时势蓝图</a>&nbsp;|</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br style="white-space: normal;" /></section><p><br /></p>