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济南22家房企为它鏖战,值得吗?

发布于 2020-06-12

<section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 1 -<br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">地块简介<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体;">6</span>月11日,济南18宗地块出让,或成年度最激烈土拍大戏日。其中,经十一路C1地块<span style="font-size: 15px;">亮瞎</span><span style="font-size: 15px;">眼球</span>,济南叫得上的22家房企,基本悉数出席,共同演绎“巅峰对决,决战经十一”。<br /></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;"><br /></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">该地块位置稀缺,面积小,总价相对低,保证金门槛只有1亿,故而吸引各大房企跃跃欲试。</span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;"><br /><span style="font-size: 15px;">竞拍38轮后触发最高竞价,</span><span style="font-size: 15px;">最终鏖战43轮,</span>被新城以总价50414.4万元、配建政府储备性安置房1257平方米的条件摘得。该地块出让面积1.2万方(约18.7亩),成交楼面价13966元/㎡,容积率2.9,溢价率58.7%。</span><br /><br /><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">地块位于槐荫区振兴街街道</span></span><span style="font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">,北靠建宁路,西至丁字山路。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: right;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.62109375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCS57VwN2Id8l7jOGck0p5SmwlKhJ2GZIKrPZnY1iceXNVWPJBW915Q4w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图1:地块位置</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块价值如何呢?下面禾略带您详细解读——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 2 -<br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">城市基本面</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;城市能级&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">济南目前属于</span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><span style="line-height: 22.5px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">二线</span></strong></span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">城市,2018年</span>在全国城市能级划分中排名</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第19</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;">2020年将<span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">发生能级跃升,成为</span></span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;line-height: 22.5px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">强二</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong><span style="line-height: 22.5px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">线</span></strong></span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">城市,</span>排名不变。</span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;"></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.46328125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCklfLgLbzpABQwIbjsr3mZlSCiaLHY5wZbibSN4a2vLHJ9SufrGxkCE5w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图2:2018年全国城市能级划分</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.4453125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCCUfyVCYdnV3Yc8YGib4pvXdLglFQHrfNQ8VhkQpOJZ5eKlwPuUBjic4w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图3:2020年全国城市能级划分</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;经济发展&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">GDP规模稳步上升,2019年达8336亿元(加莱芜9443亿元),</span><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">自2014年起跑输全国大势,占比稳中有降。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.1921875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCrUqE0QqWbIaPibSPvMsoc9RXClUTquP92DicGD1TrWxQOMpY99K4rBQQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图4:济南历年经济总量走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;人口聚集&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">2019年常住人口达748万(加莱芜891万),2016年至今平均每年增加8万人,全国均值倍数微弱上升。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.22890625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCXFcsZGfOZibd4iaanLCdkI9C1HCOuEfQf9ibGCxrJoWqGnmp5UxIVYGJQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图5:济南历年常住人口走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;产业结构&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="line-height: 22.5px;font-size: 15px;">产业升级明显,三产占比持续上升,2019年二产占比34.01%,三产占比61.9%。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.234375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCpGCJ7euibOkfP5HJGCPk9hNGRliagQqh3FazVzPAkfC7gvVlpv6u7iaHg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图6:济南历年二三产占比走势图</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">以上数据和图表均不包括莱芜,作为副省级城市,济南一度发展滞后,不及省内青岛和邻省郑州。<br /><br />危机感之下奋起直追,动作频繁,先合并莱芜,继而积极争取国家中心城市称号。经济增长、人口聚集、产业升级,即将成为</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">北方最具竞争力的城市之一</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 3 -</span></strong></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">土地价值<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;土地现状&nbsp;<br /></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">先从地图上对地块交通、配套和产业有个基本了解,再选取一系列反映土地价值的指标,进行熵值法打分,将得分根据自然分段法划分为5个等级,从红到绿土地成熟度依次递减。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">主要从交通通达性、生活配套和产业发展来看网格颗粒度,综合看土地网格成熟度,在济南市属于</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第二等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCesMQPPqyEbWGmAOSt1adA8U8GJYtX0z30DUbLFk1cIg2kCUO1Sh0yw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图7:地块周边土地现状价值分布</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>&nbsp;交通通达性</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块位于主城区,距火车站和汽车站车程均不到半小时,距2018年才开通的高铁站济南东站车程40多分钟。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.60390625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCWdibGOkWLk9k7y0vZuj2FkuFXlZu6ylSicTAxUKh6mZX3ksoRHBUrGng/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图8:地块到火车站路线图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.58671875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCSrDt1qdaNngeoDuiaXBP7ZdGQX4oEATmW6CGHMMnn4iciaNILNflQ69EQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图9:地块到高铁站路线图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.609375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCnh3yGsichdTyojOLG2iaor8W5FRzZ4jUvGkqibUklHvPTCHKfd9nc3kTw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图10:地块到汽车站路线图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />从道路建设密度、自驾和公交通</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">达性来衡量综合交通,地块通达性为</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>第二等级。</strong></span><span style="line-height: 25.5px;font-family: 宋体;"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5484375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCiaJDH86X3ic1oYyhT5WaO7IvzdoLvw9uYNfMLAkue4toveVTsnSKHiadw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图11:地块周边综合交通通达性</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55234375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXC9dNErANjutgqKDK9ZuFfptkMibO675IU2rhhQHiayRc0Llzd8rPrmuWg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图12:地块周边道路建设密度</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCicCYn9l6iaujePFVyWsmHY2Gl0RZzicCbI9k0e59YTMmicw4T77ibx1Rib5w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图13:地块周边自驾通达性</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXC6NrA0083EsKc98F69nmOCO0GMYiaNmRvVRIawydlD5s3lZeXRIauVbQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图14:地块周边公交通达性</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong>&nbsp;生活配套价值&nbsp;</strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">在此地块生活,十分方便舒适,南边过兴和苑小区到兴济河,东南是巨型社区阳光100国际新城,周边遍布小区,还有和谐广场、槐苑广场、嘉华购物广场、路港商业广场等配套。2km左右可达英雄山风景区、中山公园等休闲场所。<br /><br />更重要的是,周边学校密集,1.5km范围内不仅有阳光100中学,还有济南市九中、十二中、十九中、二十中等学校。同样方便的还有就医,济南市儿童医院、传染病医院步行可达,山东省立医院直线距离2km。23分钟车程可以抵达市中心泉城广场,周边集中了大量商业及餐饮服务场所。<br /><br />概括来说,地块位于济南主城区,周边生活氛围浓厚,</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">购物、休闲、上学、就医均不错,且选择多,</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">配套齐全,</span></strong></span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">生活方便。</span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.6328125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCg1yDibTYxISiaLlU8IlBhNRG5A1C5GTJoajUBJnE8JXcKichvJU3vdibew/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图15:地块周边重要配套分布</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.54140625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCicibiafic2BBUmibjWeXxZjwHAH0WZtomiapklma7dia7kibeHa32OYmqQ7cCA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">图16:地块到市中心路线图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.80703125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCZvcnKFLr36cibajNVCIFBlEj4icnBib0Qs5UX81iaf2zbG9njcrfJbIR3g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图17:地块周边商业及餐饮服务面积</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br />根据住宅氛围与生活服务资源、工作氛围与就业资源、商业及餐饮服务、公园及休闲服务、医疗服务资源及教育服务资源的POI分布情况进行熵值法打分,反映城市各板块生活配套齐全度的指标,可以看出地块生活配套是</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第三等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXClibc3123j5jEqhxwZibD2do7FlZxXicJAIZ1Pn09fQerSD6K2fFkDlCLQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图18:地块周边生活配套价值</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXC17sDsZGZnNPBcvQQEXfxQ2R9psQSibtuqyibGwrbCbOFcsXze0aAvQoQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图19:地块周边住宅氛围与生活服务</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCBFHNphJ0gVF8xMLxjA2icYC3iafmf8DH9l7jEauxx4hGL49Qp10yxyaw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图20:地块周边工作氛围与就业资源&nbsp;</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCmxmpke4XTmj7LGLxxa3YspGNXjEGLjhgjfm1QKDHibUXicwRR6aZY9IQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图21:地块周边商业及餐饮服务</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCicwBJTCGCibibzNcHfwS62AhEA5OcNJDvlO2KRU0wrwuJ737aoJBsyWVg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图22:地块周边公园及休闲服务</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.54921875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCtzUT6z2WSh1c11riaqn9Mt4g1qUoymDgdlCj418icIapJpZricspMCx5w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图23:地块周边医疗服务资源</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXC0KhlMH9wrRCV7X9EUPJ0tQIDVWHj3iaOpoFygfHiaSWEO92n3ntJq26g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">&nbsp;图24:地块周边教育服务资源</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;综合产业就业&nbsp;<br /></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">产业发展是根据传统服务业、公共事业、工业、新兴服务业的POI分布情况进行熵值法打分,反映城市各板块产业吸引力是否足够强的指标,可以看出地块产业发展位于</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>第三等级</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.546875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCFYLbXzhnVz6bdCWaFiaJxdGoOOyEiaSh2ic4rE74dQEK1geBGCGmwib2Zw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图25:地块周边综合产业就业</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.54921875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCfA4a6lfck66ZzQX7lzlHrZnQLRW1CibrwfPFF0osaA6nXotADsGtmCg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图26:地块周边传统服务业</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55078125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCXHx4tXo3zRdib3wQ1MTytib1wCmMzEyZp3ppNgEBCcFhSrqWgqHMYtRA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图27:地块周边公共事业</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.54921875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCh0rLSkibRAhynziatbiakNVljJSHy1JhYUExG9o5mazMVQVSTX0DGT8Rw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图28:地块周边工业</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.5515625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXC9piaxickHdY3h9W6KJNRyXs76oggHnK2faJkzrVkGxe8USqUymywP0icA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图29:地块周边新兴服务业</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">因此,本地块所在网格自驾通达性低于全市平均水平,其他各项指标均高于全市平均水平。<br /></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><br /><strong><strong style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;white-space: normal;"><strong style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;white-space: normal;"><strong>住宅氛围与生活服务、</strong></strong>道路建设密度、工业、<strong style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;white-space: normal;">工作氛围与就业资源</strong>、</strong>商业及餐饮服务是全市平均水平6倍以上;<br />公共事业、公交通达性、公园及休闲服务、传统服务业是全市平均水平2倍以上;<br />新兴服务业、医疗服务资源和教育服务资源没有以上指标突出,但也领先于全市平均水平。</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.7421875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCicyBs3Mh0yhfkKNkoAMOpB49roD8IJ2s2uN1V8eib4Z94x0TAFm3OwKg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图30:地块各指标全市均值倍数</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 4 -</span></strong></span><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">空间扩张<br /></span></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><br />&nbsp;土地扩张&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块在2017-2020年扩张速度为</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第五等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,根据历年人造地表和建筑数据变化趋势,预测2020-2023年扩张速度依然为</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">第五等级</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.53046875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCB9AjyxtIqsr5OTMImQ6D8YHxqs0XnDapeD66AMmdj1sdtIW9icxcKHA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图31:地块周边2017-2020年扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.53125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCNx9r5ZaZ3uWddXNvqwkw1do9MpD1G8InB3Eo1DlzLs6lNxzH1O846A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图32:地块周边2020-2023年扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>人口分布&nbsp;</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">2014年地块人口在济南市处于第二等级,2019-2020年地块所在网格人口流入。根据历年人口和建筑数据变化趋势,预测在2020-2021年依然为</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>人口流入</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.51171875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCgEVcsDmoj6HiakmuXzAlCgoQ163m4RaMao2HhQIS4a88kT3EFejt4ZA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图33:地块周边2014年人口分布图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.55" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCct1VcbDQOMVDGJC3eHI4HWonn94Ob40WUZStnk5F2khSX6f09YPImA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图34:地块周边2019-2020年人口扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.553125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCib5WOhuiahxqGHERI86wVkPgQOYkq0DdHQcvKZsQss4aB48O3Y5SaiayQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图35:地块周边2020-2021年人口扩张图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">- PART 5 -</span></strong></span><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;">市场表现<br /></span></strong></section><h2 style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></h2><h2 style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold;background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>&nbsp;历年销售情况</strong></span></h2><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售金额</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">商品住宅销售额在2007-2016年稳步增长至1036亿元,2017年回落至947亿元,最近三年快速增长,2019年上升至1682亿元。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.18671875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCibicS0BuP8o2bzKYxBmVKtYN5EmcOuK6NEDPbffKbR3wPibA4icdNAc4aA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图36:济南市历年住宅销售额</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售面积</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">商品住宅销售面积走势跟销售额一样,稳步增长至2016年,之后2017年回落,最近三年快速增长,2019年为1461万平米。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.18984375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXC39S3xrmt3JaAQLOF5woX7XdOzYJZIMeYljOLLUcg9BiavH9mp2JaZuA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图37:济南市历年住宅成交面积</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售价格</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">销售价格在2007-2016年平稳上涨,2016-2018年快速上涨至19016元/㎡,2018-2020年连续下跌至16314<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.184375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCCsjBtJxPCxXC3muK7Xmm2oibWsJDZIiamNXF8QxHvmSCNa1h3ibtBgicpg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图38济南兴市历年住宅成交均价</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />市场库存</span></strong></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li style="font-weight: bold;"><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">广义库存</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">广义库存2016年7月至今不断增多,2020年3月达2575万方。以18个月销</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">售量移动平均值为月去化量,则目前广义库存去化周期大概为</span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">36.6</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">个月</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.18828125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXC3FK5Zkuy4Npv1ttNWrt6o473HAuFu7khbiaE72Mbqj8fkzISibPh000A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图39:济南市历月住宅广义库存</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li style="font-weight: bold;"><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">远期库存</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">远期库存2016年7月为5599万方,逐月上涨至目前的7961万方。以18个月销售量移动平均值为月去化量,则目前远期库存去化周期达</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">110个月</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。<br /><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.190625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCgdmvpUgwW6xaNY1h06iaqLSw7XmyZtBwIWSWGII7HgfMmvcElSQE6mg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图40:济南市历月住宅远期</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">区县房价现状</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">从房价现状来看,槐荫区5月份均价在济南各区县排第6,为14573元/㎡,环比略跌0.33%,同比下降9.51%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.9768888888888889" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCJ100BrdQUnSVvNKribTuDLL0XHO94PgQSwVENB7nwVgzyA7hZnzY9XA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1125" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图41:2020年5月济南各区县房价</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格分析</span></strong></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">价格综合分析</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">观察近4年槐荫区价格走势,综合价格从2016年8月持续上涨至2019年5月,达16105<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>,近一年持续下降,2020年5月为14573<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>。同比增速已连续半年维持在-10%上下。<br /><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.24765625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCKzfiaktFToPibMIhJLvajfQmhvBcV1W6TgKlvMla1vsOSkg2s9ADUcvg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图42:槐荫区近4年综合单价走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">一手房价格</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">一手房价格持续上涨至2019年7月,达16807<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>,之后至今持续下降,2020年4月为14563<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>。同比增速下降已经连续半年超过10%。<br /><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.24609375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXChg0WzUwIzGJ2Kqn2aeRIC5kbdgKetiafcoXz4yYWglgXyYodU09MgYg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图43:槐荫区近4年一手房单价走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">&nbsp;</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">二手房价格</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">二手房价格峰值出现在2018年8月,达16968<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>,近2年持续下降,2020年5月为14583<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>。同比增速已经连续一年半为负,维持在-7%上下。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.2484375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCVlQK0EnVfUUocIZxH1QnhgA22yad6qWib0nzrPWh1tE2pcCjM81SX3g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图44:槐荫区近4年二手房单价走势图<br /></span><br /></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;width: 577.422px;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><li><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">租金</span></strong></p></li></ul><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">租金在2018年7月达到最高值25.48<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/月/㎡</span>,近2年缓慢下降,目前为24.63元/月/㎡出头,租售比也由55%下降至49%。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.18125" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCRZRmSBR5INBHyVSPWPuiceWEd8USw0HyIVgwlicQxGOjQVibBpNfk0iaBw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;white-space: normal;"><span style="color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;">图45:槐荫区近4年租金走势图</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">房价动力</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">结合区县周期和楼市景气指数走势来看,槐荫区目前处于市场信心的底部回升期,且近几年房价下跌,水分所剩无几。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">此时市场信心探底回升,流通性有所改善,房企以跑量去化为主,并坚决加杠杆和拿地,为下阶段的销售期做准备。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br />未来半年,房价上涨动力为1%,未来一年,房价上涨动力为1.17%。</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.246875" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCoiasr2Zj5VCsaS7ib9C1nZ0tacLDBMTpwHUUxg6XgXH12jEtb90tgKBw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图46:槐荫区周期走势</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.2359375" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCak8sUQmRJqib5Dv0Ou6ibR8micKMfgYTQpQ8TLsmXAjrVjnLmUHOJUM6w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图46:槐荫区楼市景气指数走势</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地价房价比</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">参考地块周边住宅价格,阳光100国际新城容积率为1.78,2018年5月开盘时房价22800元/㎡,旭辉银盛泰瑞锦台容积率3.4,2019年7月开盘时房价18500<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>。<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">本地块容积率</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">2.9</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,</span>假设取两者均值20650<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">元/㎡</span>为本地块房价,成交楼面价为13966元/㎡,则<span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>地价房价比为0.68,偏高。<br /></strong></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.64765625" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwVV8u6tuqhiadAPflVrIGXCQDAVn0730nlSpRc0xTnbZLz0njAHHla9cicqb1BIiaUYv6A0P036icH8w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1280" style="" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">图47:地块周边楼盘信息</span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);"></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">——&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 小结&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; ——</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br />综合来说,地块位于二线城市,且即将跃升为强二线城市,GDP跑输全国大势,人口年均增加8万左右,三产占比逐年上升,目前已达62%。</span></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br /></span></span></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><strong>土地成熟度</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">高,</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块位于济南第二梯队,除自驾通达性低于全市平均水平外,其他指标均领先。半个小时车程可达市中心、火车站及汽车站,周边遍布小区、商场、公园,生态宜居,生活方便,可就近上学就医且选择众多。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">地块位于核心城区西南,已发展成熟,</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>预测未来扩张速度不快,但会有一定的人口</strong></span></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">流入。</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;"><br /><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">城市广义库存去化需3年,远期库存去化</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">需要9年,</span></strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">区县价格14573元/㎡,低于市区平均水平,在济南房价已连续2年下降的背景下,存在止跌回升的可能,未来一年上涨动力为1.17%。<br /><br /></span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">目前处于市场信心底部回升期,应跑量去化并拿地。<br /></span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">如果6个月后入市销售,届时市场</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>信心回升</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,预计价格上涨</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>1%</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">;<br />如果12个月后入市销售,届时市场</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">信心向上冲高</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">,预计价格上涨</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>1.17</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>%</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">;<br />地价房价比0.68,</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">偏高</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">。但地块位置优越,开发商未来若能</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;">高标准打造出优秀产品,也存在一定的利润空间。<br /><br /></span></section><hr style="border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);border-style: solid;border-right: 0px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);border-bottom: 0px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);border-left: 0px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);transform: scale(1, 0.5);transform-origin: 0px 0px 0px;" /><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="color: rgb(217, 33, 66);"><strong><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br />#2020,别把生命浪费在PPT上,去创造价值#</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1.7914614121510672" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxduF4EXL7D9SiaPMBPBZwQCLge8RWKQ66fNnFCl05ibl88m1APGj82G9bOghszxO1R3iaiahRCKicn1hQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="609" style="height: 405px;width: 226px;" width="275" height="493" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br />——&nbsp; END&nbsp; ——<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">猜你想再看<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">城市:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=191239418c15b0c6f395c843415da5fd&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028970ac64031955167bfde997cdc96375bfb3bce25b5076f1458e11be2be27&amp;token=217203186&amp;lang=zh_CN&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 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href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=18d65f24543e71ff6bc70eb1cb0a7bde&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028b98805f0f7555bfc57e3aefe6c76e7ca8df0369ad5dcc4a593a011a9b029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">唐山</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=9f550e5d1f6bd3becc92df723adedd61&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f0289523b13ecd4fcb3d227a3cb259a09e504d388ace5a5eb25ece3aecfe8d46&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">天津</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=4c4fb5ce9d25c1fe6012d719c5878c82&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a6b9f35c8db84ceac56401b6da4a6429d1bc5e3339251db372a5045c242&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深汕</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=c2d8bae147d4a2d86ec992c50c39ddad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a50b1acbe92593aabba12c3fb95e9966d93ecad99918dbcf654b9ce767405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">哈尔滨</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1e787f725d62f227dbc6c33d0b9ea3eb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08accd8896c160b37e7a4436d21e1fbf2cc596763115db5ef6e04dc914ce478&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">兰州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=048088acd651254d77cc238d71b1af04&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a7c36e33460f244db68a856502151c73820b314470b7e24412b9a8b6dcd5b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">常德</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=b6295a149a38a026e886d81014b568f3&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a8d7adbd8721956fd91c59be8bd1ec35d4f9963a11e7e67bee72cd49405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">南宁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=8&amp;sn=0efaff09c26e604d7aa5c29376c129ad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07abb37dd11a0cfe941868be2b543feebf288460418759254327292658947ae&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">桂林</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=12f08ffb076544edcbc24e91bc3d87d7&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a1cd4530a9033d462d4732c500dcdda723bdc3a87f4d55f1c62f657a4cb77&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">柳州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=6&amp;sn=0a89c4ab17039cec25754aa111b87308&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a6fdc14a1c0e877928f2fa46798a8b592b2b2023ad1c65081bbc80b2fafad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">蚌埠</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=7&amp;sn=1bc72e377ffc3b621c2886d68c437515&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07adc8c50a3e1409197892c508ad9c27a6b52f8e4dde12740baf5674f5a7fa6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">合肥</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=10e3d481f7fd0ff46dafe2648cd3ddfb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a5118705d6b85487fa97dd013a2aee842be719ee13086aab8dee370b54185&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">南京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9ffda0c7d9667d6700966a8bab12eccf&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a4e94a2471b2d59264ed4460e0567c63095fad9c5704541a546d7bc23584a&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">上海临港</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">太原</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">北京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">热点:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247485505&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=90a4482d0ec14f8a4d441f77c653806c&amp;chksm=97557265a022fb7385559a6648c54242c721582b3811ad664360ea1e6f562f0f62264852c20c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" data-itemshowtype="0" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">深圳土拍</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831957&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a889b497d60264ef90aea585e4d4556f&amp;chksm=83517bcab426f2dc5e2b3778bc8e8834b453c4eac98c490ebeb525c4a5b01093fe602418b8fb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">美国地产</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">长租公寓</span></a><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830578&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=73f5149b299d5ce19a433c365eedee83&amp;chksm=8351756db426fc7b173558a1765830766ec5f7fb387e652250f10a106ef6490821f809722cfb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">中美贸易战</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">粤港澳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">万科商业</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;">2018年走势</a>&nbsp;|<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">专业:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831987&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8553537eb64de48a9b7eb16564fe8988&amp;chksm=83517becb426f2fa0c63ef59ace65085334609b45795331170f0edb7f455d154c06d53aa85f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">穿越熊市</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;<span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831371&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b15fe316680aabc64e2b7c37e5767d8&amp;chksm=83517614b426ff0229de8ab490c6a7fb33f9e7de34bae145abd3565818c5965c1eca5a4b0029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">地产研报</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831103&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ae2c7ba214abd19c76ed907399b77b7&amp;chksm=83517760b426fe767422812a59d53a334c00664a2cc146d59a076bc0e59a062f518c7df00861&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">投资</a>&nbsp;|<a 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