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澳博逆袭!横琴新酒店+博彩区拓展,目标价3.55港元引爆19.8%涨幅

发布于 2025-10-07

<p data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">这是一份对第一上海证券关于澳门博彩控股有限公司(0880.HK)研究报告的详细内容总结:</span></span></span></span></p><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">报告核心观点:买入评级,目标价3.55港元</span></span></strong></span></span></p><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">1. 公司概况:</span></span></strong></span></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">公司名称:澳门博彩控股有限公司(澳博控股)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">股票代码:880.HK</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">评级:</span></span></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">买入</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;(维持)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">目标价:</span></span></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">3.55港元</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;(基于8.8倍2026年预测EV/EBITDA)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">当前股价:2.96港元 (报告发布时)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">市值:约210亿港元</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">主要股东:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;SOC DE TURISMO E DIV DE MACAU (54.81%), ON KEI LEONG (8.09%)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">核心资产:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;新葡京娱乐场、上葡京综合度假村、其他自营娱乐场、管理卫星娱乐场。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">2. 2025年第二季度业绩回顾:</span></span></strong></span></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">博彩毛收入:72.7亿港元&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">同比增长:+5.4%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">环比减少:-3.7%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">恢复至2019年同期:72.6%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">收入细分:&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">贵宾博彩:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;同比 -13.9%(恢复至2019年13.0%),环比 -28.5%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">中场博彩:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;同比 +5.6%(恢复至2019年100.7%),环比 -1.7%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">角子机博彩:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;同比 +20.9%(恢复至2019年164.1%),环比 +0.7%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">非博彩收入:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;同比 +7.4%,环比 -9.3%,占收比6.2%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">EBITDA:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;6.9亿港元&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">同比减少:-21.0%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">环比减少:-28.2%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">恢复至2019年:68.6%</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">EBITDA利润率:12.8% (同比 -3.2个百分点,环比 -3.1个百分点)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">扣除净赢率负面影响后EBITDA:8.0亿港元</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">净利润:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;亏损2.14亿港元 (转盈为亏)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">经营开支:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;日均2180万港元,同比+4.4%,预计未来稳定。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">市场占有率:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;环比下降1.2个百分点至12.3%。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">财务状况 (季末):</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">手持现金:约33.0亿港元</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">净负债:约219亿港元</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">净负债/EBITDA比率:6.3倍 (环比增加,从5.9倍)。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">3. 分娱乐场表现 (2025年Q2):</span></span></strong></span></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">新葡京娱乐场:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">博彩收入:17.9亿港元 (同比 +0.3%,环比 -0.3%;恢复至2019年53.6%)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">EBITDA:4.2亿港元 (恢复至2019年71.8%)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">其他自营娱乐场:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">博彩收入:13.1亿港元 (同比 +4.2%,环比 -2.3%;恢复至2019年84.4%)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">EBITDA:3.1亿港元 (恢复至2019年92.1%)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">卫星娱乐场:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">博彩收入:28.0亿港元 (同比 +6.1%,环比 -1.5%;恢复至2019年54.7%)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">EBITDA:0.75亿港元 (恢复至2019年41.4%)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">上葡京综合度假村:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">总收入:16.9亿港元 (博彩:13.7亿港元,占新葡京46%;非博彩:3.28亿港元)&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">博彩同比+12.6%,非博彩收入环比-12.9%。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">EBITDA:亏损6600万港元 (主要受较低净赢率拖累)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">扣除净赢率影响后EBITDA:4800万港元</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">日均经营开支:860万港元 (环比+5.0%)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">市场占有率:约2.3% (环比-0.5个百分点)</span></span></span></span></li></ul><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">4. 重要战略举措:</span></span></strong></span></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">澳门业务拓展:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">斥资5.29亿港元向控股股东收购毗邻“新葡京”的曹帝娱乐场部分物业(占地7504平方米)。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">计划转移部分卫星娱乐场赌台至此扩建博彩区,预计提升盈利水平。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">卫星娱乐场将于2025年年底前有序结束营运,预计回收约458张赌台和100台角子机。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">集团有意收购其中两家卫星娱乐场的物业(点名澳门凯旋门和十六浦)。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">横琴发展战略:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">以7.24亿元人民币收购占地19,781平方米的商业地皮。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">计划改建为拥有250间房的三星级酒店,预计24个月内完工。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">目标吸引中端客户。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">5. 投资建议与估值:</span></span></strong></span></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">短期业绩:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;2025年第二季度业绩低于预期,主要受累于“上葡京”较低的净赢率。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">长期展望:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;分析师看好未来,认为以下因素将提升集团盈利能力和竞争力:&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">新葡京娱乐场扩建(曹帝物业收购及赌台迁移)。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">横琴三星级酒店项目的推出(预计2027年下半年完工)。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">潜在对两家卫星娱乐场物业的收购。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">维持买入评级 &amp; 目标价:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;维持“买入”评级,目标价3.55港元不变。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">估值基础:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;基于各业务板块(新葡京、其他自营娱乐场、卫星娱乐场及其他)分部估值加总,运用8.8倍2026年预测EV/EBITDA得出。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">6. 主要风险提示:</span></span></strong></span></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">经济增长差于预期。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">政策风险(尤其监管变化)。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">“上葡京”的表现持续低于预期。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">市场竞争加剧。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><span data-marker=""></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">负债水平上升带来的财务压力。</span></span></span></span></li></ul><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">7. 财务预测 (关键摘要 - 截至12月31日财务年度):</span></span></strong></span></span></p><table><tbody><tr style=""><th style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">指标</span></span></span></p></th><th style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">2025预测</span></span></span></p></th><th style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">2026预测</span></span></span></p></th><th style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">2027预测</span></span></span></p></th><th style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">关键趋势</span></span></span></p></th></tr><tr style=""><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">净收入 (百万港元)</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">29,939.6</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">29,210.5</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">30,383.4</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">2025小幅增长,2026略降,2027恢复增长</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style=""><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">EBITDA (百万港元)</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">3,556.8</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">4,552.4</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">4,947.6</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">2025小幅下降,之后显著增长</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style=""><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">净利润 (百万港元)</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">187.1</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">1,200.1</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">1,546.9</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">显著改善,2026年跳增(+541%)</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style=""><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">每股盈利 (港元)</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">0.03</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">0.17</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">0.22</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">显著改善</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style=""><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">市盈率 (倍)</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">112.3</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">17.5</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">13.6</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">未来预期改善显著降低估值倍数</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style=""><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">每股股息 (港元)</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">0.00</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">0.03</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">0.11</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">2026年开始派息并大幅增加</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style=""><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">股息收益率 (%)</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">0.0%</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">0.9%</span></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">3.7%</span></span></strong></span></span></p></td><td style="max-width: 170.8px;min-width: 170.8px;"><p><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">2027年预期回报显著提升</span></span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-zero-width="n" data-slate-length="0"></span></strong></span></span></p><p><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><strong><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">总结:</span></span></strong></span></span><span data-slate-node="text"><span data-slate-leaf="true"><span data-slate-string="true"><span leaf="">&nbsp;第一上海证券的报告认为,尽管2025年第二季度澳博控股业绩(尤其是“上葡京”)不及预期且出现净亏损,但其积极的战略布局(新葡京博彩区拓展、横琴酒店项目、潜在物业收购)提供了长期增长的潜力,有望显著提升其竞争力和盈利能力。因此,报告维持“买入”评级和3.55港元的目标价,看好其未来几年的盈利恢复和增长(尤其是2026及2027年)。短期风险主要来自经济、政策及“上葡京”表现。</span></span></span></span></p><section><span leaf=""><br /></span></section><p style="display: none;"><mp-style-type data-value="3"></mp-style-type></p>

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