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疫情爆发,病例的轨迹分析

发布于 2022-01-04

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rgb(160, 160, 160);border-width: 3px;border-radius: 100%;border-style: none;border-color: rgb(227, 125, 106);box-shadow: rgb(247, 212, 114) 0px 0px 0px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;text-align: justify;font-size: 30px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p style="text-align:right;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: -1px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-indent: 0em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;line-height: 2em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;&nbsp; /&nbsp;</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">CHAPEAU</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">/</span></strong></strong></span></em></span></strong></section></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(53, 53, 53);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 黑体, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);text-transform: uppercase;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);letter-spacing: 2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: didot;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">前言</span></strong></em></span></strong></strong></span></strong></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 2px;line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;font-size: 14px;caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102);color: rgb(102, 102, 102);text-indent: 28px;widows: 1;line-height: 1.5em;font-family: PingFangSC-Light;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></section></section></section><section data-role="paragraph"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">临近年关,各地疫情又有星星火火之态,在全民抗疫的背景下,疫情的爆发是如何蔓延开来?可以做些什么防患于未然?我们借助大数据,一起来探讨一下——</span></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;"><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Helvetica, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;">▼</span></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">01&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">轨迹分析<br /></span></strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">以绍兴为例,先捋一遍2021年12月,浙江省绍兴、宁波、杭州三地,疫情爆发发展脉络——</span><br /></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="1.7777777777777777" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjdQc6aia4fSibkEsCMEcGr990icMC7D1oSvbVkFtodNXuLp7KIXT15bibeg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="720" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">数据来源:健康浙江微信公众号</span></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">接下来看看2021年12月1日-12月9日,绍兴确诊病例轨迹空间分布——</span></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-backh="506" data-backw="578" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.8754813863928113" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjvRoDmcNo3JxYs8pM1Nx8a7BRW4RAbzv3yfAZ3y4tAef1N1BkIOIbfA/640?wx_fmt=gif" data-type="gif" data-w="779" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">备注:总共挑选了20个病例作为样本,研究其活动轨迹,其中轨迹考虑2km缓冲区域,作为考虑接触传染的主要范围</span></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-size: 16px;"><strong>上虞区为主要疫情爆发区域,其中12月6日为病例活动顶峰</strong></span></section><section style="margin: 5px 16px;text-align: left;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.6849894291754757" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjybhJs0WnpdDhkvZpLJP12VZVAayibLTo6WylT2UWzWxsz1DYDfXMicXg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="946" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">上虞区为疫情多发区域,其他区域均为单发</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">12月1日-12月6日上虞区病例活动持续提升,在6号达到顶峰</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">12月7日之后病例活动开始大幅减少33%,疫情扩散得到抑制</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>病例轨迹时空分布</strong></span>:聚集到上虞,曹娥江以西的住宅区为主要发源地,新商业区+老商业区一环为主要聚集区域。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">2021年12月1日-12月9日上虞确诊病例轨迹空间分布</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.9165596919127086" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjrWGdDiciaeic4ZZNdo3Ge240Iu77QhxRfPzuDepiaKw5SeUHnR9780JnVQ/640?wx_fmt=gif" data-type="gif" data-w="779" style="" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="1.3242424242424242" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjtNDue7oRBuKq3yEdBJnZU06xXtM4GqcYLmOdMQ8F6EuPD3Onicz6dOg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="660" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">以确诊病例1为例:该患者轨迹活动范围大,覆盖了绍兴市各区,病毒扩散范围广</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.7127118644067797" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjJXrJpLmTk43SkTRib8Pvm1iciamIXbia2dpIrH50WjaNnbrLSoDicibzh1bg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1180" style="" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-backh="454" data-backw="288" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="578" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="911" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="1.5829596412556053" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjs6rSn7lS3QLpCpcZibaJLnCaPXG141iadYdIC5XJqfB1HTZPdENPRy7A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="446" style="width: 578px;height: 915px;" /></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 45px;letter-spacing: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">02&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">@urasr</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 3px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">词频分析</span></strong></span></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-size: 16px;"><strong>将病例轨迹分析应用到正在爆发疫情的城市上,能够带来什么指导建议呢?</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">以西安为例,西安病例轨迹时空分布:本次西安确诊病例的活动范围广,基本覆盖了市区范围,但控制及时。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">2021年12月16日-12月26日西安确诊病例轨迹空间分布</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.9981464318813716" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wj0uxS34YIO7PUEooIIibXnGvpn2ickNcO5gHtgaYNrykx0hq7Nr2Aiavjw/640?wx_fmt=gif" data-type="gif" data-w="1079" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">备注:其中轨迹考虑2km缓冲区域,作为考虑接触传染的主要范围</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">范围广:本次西安的疫情基本覆盖了市区的所有区域</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">双传播:雁塔高新区+长安住宅区为核心的传播源</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">控制快:12月10日开始,确诊病例的活动得到快速抑制</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.7024185068349106" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wj9hlghRGbeVxynDfylyoDkWiaLeT2be9pLKnrq9wYmpFnhrtdXJd7Bbw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="951" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>在病例活动轨迹分析的基础上,我们再加一个词频分析——</strong><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>从全市来看,西安本次疫情以住宅区+住宅周边设施+校区+市场为主要爆发场所</strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">雁塔+长安为主要爆发区域,总占比61.8%;未央+莲湖为第二梯队,总占比22.5%;</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">其中雁塔区以住宅周边配套设施为主,长安区以校区+批发农贸市场为主。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">从西安这个疫情扩散的情况来看,是否可以这样推测,如果发现疫情,第一时间需要控制校园或批发市场此类人员流动大且密集的地方,其次是加强小区配套商业的绿码管理,最后才是大规模的对小区进行封闭隔离处理。</span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="578" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="510" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.8761261261261262" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjLJwJvzNMoAHlPia87Dhz06oYB7CCj7VibfViaMK47DaIf0AMUT1KRBj1g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="888" style="width: 578px;height: 506px;" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.4322250639386189" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wj2CAFRmeNqNibaYJSsV29Daxul1jwuV0IAaUhR0bvhnzp3y02CRApONg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="782" style="" /></section><section data-role="outer" style="max-width: 100%;max-inline-size: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><section data-role="paragraph"><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-ratio="0.7920792079207921" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjicJE2y8oazuK5YRa61j47qmN40fCfsxcpgY3vEPvybDgnVUM85lT3FQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="606" style="" /></section><section style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">在未央区以住宅区为主,在莲湖区以住宅周边配套为主。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.8375757575757575" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjLvOulmLI8w1xRUl49ZLzicg65AZPxqeGFls0tKuSmDCaE8cicPgD8YiaA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="825" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-ratio="0.8065268065268065" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzDPj1D1SCAPMq2fas8B4wjgF6MKzCz0txC6zbVN8LfRteuF83hQuSxMWdRO6j8duR21RawvsUAOQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="858" style="" /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">总的来看,从近来疫情爆发区来看,发源地多是住宅区,然后蔓延至商业区,或是住宅周边配套,但控制及时,确诊病例的活动都会被快速抑制。</span><br /></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">至于再根本的源头则需要细致调研,落到每个人头上,仍需要再接再厉,不能松懈,积极配合。</span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br /></span></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="white-space: normal;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 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&quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(89, 89, 89);letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0.2px;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">SPECIAL THANKS</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: right;line-height: 1.75em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(89, 89, 89);letter-spacing: 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