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禾略分享会 —— 浙江县市进入性研究

发布于 2020-04-09

<section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">目前,城市进入性研究有两个较为突出的矛盾</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">——<br /><br /></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;"></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><strong>短期与长期的矛盾</strong>:</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">1、</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">短期经营能力及长期业绩或战略规划之间的矛盾。</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">大部分房企是基于长期战略规划发展角度来研究城市的可进入性,但还是会受制于短期经营压力或是管理半径等影响,因此在城市选择性方面会有压缩;</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">2、短期进入门槛及长期价值发展之间的矛盾。</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">城市进入性</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">研究的分析结论并不是终点,而是起点。城市的宏观、市场长期价值如果没有落地性的结论也只是纸上谈兵,最终落脚还是需要对项目实际操作有指导意义。所以市场方面的门槛会影响操作层面,这些并不是数据能够解决的。</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 等线;font-size: 14px;"><span style="font-family: 等线;"><br /></span></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><strong>大环境与小环境的矛盾:</strong></strong></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">城市进入性研究目前禾略做的还比较中宏观,基本研究市场大环境,</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">但最终不管是选择一些城市深耕或是找城市打游击,最终落脚点都是以项目为基准,能够落地的就是小环境的研究,所以即使选对了城市,哪个地方?哪个时间?做什么?都是决定“<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">生死</span></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">”的事情。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><p style="line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">基于以上两个矛盾,</span><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">禾略</span><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">系统的分析城市内容(系统化)、定量的描述指标内容(定量化)、用模型来解决分类或是排序等(模型化)、可持续化来进行进入性研究形成一套工具箱(工具化)。</span></span></strong></p><section style="line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;">本期,禾略带来省域进入性研究课题分享,以浙江为例,从研究方法出发,希望能给大家带来启发。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages" style="" data-ratio="0.5302734375" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvziczGVF5561aib0OyZVaklBfviaTRQPbficCFYr0PkkOmhul3M05jpQLMQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1024" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>PART 1</strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>省域地产价值研究<br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;unicode-bidi: embed;direction: ltr;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;unicode-bidi: embed;direction: ltr;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">如何看城市价值?无非从人口、经济和城市建设三大方面来研究。</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><br /><br />量化人口聚集程度研判扩容需求,揭示城市发展的经济驱动力,研究地产价值变化,为“何时投资”的决策提供一种视角的参考。</span></strong></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;unicode-bidi: embed;direction: ltr;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">一、人口聚集</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">:人口规模、居民收入、居民消费</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvayC139WXRtvvACL9oYv1EEkzANRfOG5aqhSic8ibhDmeJkpOibUsanqUw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvOnd6T2fpuicK5AW0u7JyoG9tdFoC0uPmCeY7ZmM5bicrR9RawicHribbfw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvBrkFZ66lUqPg8headU5o8072wnSlPBibIByFuP66QdIbDZcV1CouwhQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">二、经济发展</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">:经济规模、投资规模、资产规模</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvuKnxaPPmgaKNdGjoNYkrf04pbnNWDHLN0sIMVfvUHM5GLobyCly2jw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvJtBVZ82ic7icIBpEnvXAXwwHpGibhODlUDibsfSmA9Z2m5lPdZ3gXrxJKA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvwyGP53ZssJRG8bObxFnP2Of06B25OwjDaQF9FEdX4LCicgL5Xfibia2zA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvxBgLictDiafibTHWf1IUvILE8YjeDVucmGoygQD5UYkDPXo3mn31owhrA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvlM9wNORgd3PjZ4XlD60LS2w0WTj0kWmyArMyOEwnCv5bLCZicamOiakg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">三、城市建设</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">:城区面积、建成区面积、</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvGSN2PNXT3IMlSFDtXp4tL3T6GmIicuXyaoMElbibMrJTQrrv1gyrlvdQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvHToqDnpJBYykaMzhIrg0MP4vup2rJhiaRib4ZtuV1gKewZuojLD6zUUQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXv5gy7FoRwdu3r135K6PrmqicgD8bDFukQmaXWgc5Jibex1Hmd3ia3ruP7Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvuFejkTAhbdlIibnyacTicKrCf3g9dwe8OGTJIDHmTnMvP80YnBQWGFYA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvlfy3iaYUothGkgkz0AbGZ46InbTWvdrxUJicUsic6KrdaM1eOfp0aRNXA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">综合人口,经济,城市建设,通过熵值法评分和自然分段,将全国省份分为五梯队,浙江省域地产价值位列第二梯队的首位。<br /></span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvsZyiaIPHQZicQqXSVMzgbFicNARD4jhf2DYEFAecibPiaoYovBP5k5S4POw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="800" /></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>PART 2<br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>县市基本面研判<br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">向下拓展到县市维度,我们同样可以从</span><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);">“人口”、“土地”、“资金”</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">三个维度研究省域县市价值现状及未来发展。</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvHb6NBicicHGRdJNPyrXfianethTMmKsVaicPiaHMWYmia4L2I5icbQ5iaocIEw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1920" /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">县市价值排名前三甲为:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">杭州城区、宁波城区、温州城区<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXv2HYrc3pHdRhibsNyLK6Oo7FYbfXDKlSc8NIhCreXvqJQHWnibHZ5hMFQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1920" /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">从城市价值现状来看:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">杭州、宁波市区分列一二梯队,三梯队主要为浙北、浙中平原较多的县市以及温台沿海区域;<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">从自身价值发展来看:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">发展较为迅速的除杭州外,主要是基础相对较弱的县市。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvyOIEbZpKbeVa4N0HpFCP2FEdKVNv9NHqKkhRmrvGAeSicSnXsYosanQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1920" /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">重点布局高价值快发展区域:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">杭州市区、宁波市区、舟山市区、金华市区、诸暨市<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXviajrwFXx8JtY9oT9ASWQc0UkmewSpblRA41RrAKnEqcB5ESqBib1Qhyw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1920" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>PART 3</strong></span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>土地市场研判<br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></strong></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-style: normal;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);display: inline !important;float: none;">对于一个想要在一个城市的楼市里占据前列的房企来说,进入时机、拿地眼光和获取土地能力是必不可少的。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">研究土地市场绕不开</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>土地供给</strong><strong>和土地价格</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,通过土地供给分析去化周期和财政依赖度判断进入时机;通过土地价格分析获取成本和开发风险,判断拿地机遇。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvvZvjB0QFY2QugBvAtxbvhV7VTFUKUibhOl1Q3LdH4qAHVdz7Niac8k0w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /><span style="font-size: 27px;font-family: 微软雅黑;color: black;font-weight: bold;"></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvtnFZJQLwRUrw7Vc0S9iaB3NEobkMq94QaFiaEvNfsExh3oaRgGI59J9A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvvXric8dwgziaPoOe2RW23N6XybSH0HAOZCwEUt9KsKwgxS0Rhy12Wq9g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">结合土地价格及土地供给可知:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"><span style="display: inline !important;float: none;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: &quot;mp-quote&quot;, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-decoration: none;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;word-spacing: 0px;">桐庐县、常山县、象山县这类成本低,风险小,同时去化周期短,财政依赖程度弱的县市是值得积极进入的。</span><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvUESXYAhPG6m1F3HTuXxJT53ZzHvibiariclwk1JSQW12J9y89wuFGsVeA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong><br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>PART 4</strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>住宅市场研判<br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong><br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">住宅市场的研判,不仅体现在销量与均价、销量与去化、销量与利润之间,还体现在市场总量规模。</span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvOxujh2Dn10auib8e90lZib5SJQBGhemcbviaPOiceCicYba6Tc8aaqa6JwA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvlhGuPGhG79Lx1extdC9emGhG2JRHicoeEpic1fUslMWO02jC28rW7e5A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvDXqiaYMQZlBz6FXI1TfwTicnUwryhdd8gXgYicupiakfia7KVO8x4SqgDJw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">结合总量规模及市场结构可知:</span></strong><span style="display: inline !important;float: none;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: &quot;mp-quote&quot;, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-decoration: none;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;word-spacing: 0px;">海宁市、湖州市区这类规模大、提升快,同时市场结构优秀的县市具有较高的住宅市场价值。</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="width: 562px;height: 316px;" data-ratio="0.562962962962963" data-type="jpeg" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvQKiaAu9B6r0icc5foMl4W1xsBvrB4gasymHNdFmQwAWUiaqIQzUQeAp7Q/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-w="1080" data-croporisrc="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvWmcicB87JT74iaFNJONlY5Xws028YTTMhwgWxTva8JbGcXbicscb7Mmwg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-cropx1="0" data-cropx2="1080" data-cropy1="0" data-cropy2="607.2597864768683" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong><br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>PART 5<br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>综合价值研判<br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong><br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">通过城市价值、土地价值和市场进行综合价值研判,将县市进行综合价值评级,确定优先重点关注区域,提出细化的投资建议,帮助房企思考和形成适合自身的进入策略。</span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvXkicRMPoGvpQyyeCfKSc7ND9PQhrMJh8K0icxJzRKKCp8kW5icmkpTzUw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvicOSYEI6W7XT8J90GLdr6VsX9ib5vjwnOe1HkdFRFsUNJemWGEw7guRg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvKjMia4WwICVqplwSiaQ4mNLg96Wk34QiaudtM4vqfC0KeU81X99RVRtuw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvlFeCZ8m462q0kBgkrCphfMe3prDwF42A0XdQ0ZInd4BNvrY9T8iaDwg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvfxvICHGEIMETib92yhfqJlDvHPdLiamxpoQJDIddbCeCngTavYImajeQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvRtQPzn008ZLl2yUKdgx9CaEYJicTtsDdeFsicUicWOUe5oClG8icJj0EkQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvCqz1z8VgyMCIQ4HibFcicy5MQfrNZ4WJfpVMGK3VJacPcowUHpnJFeaA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong><br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>PART 6</strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong>县市扩张节奏研判<br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 17px;"><strong><br /></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">随着城市经济、人口的规模聚集,城市通常会呈现出扩张轨迹。通过扩张节奏研判,帮助房企明确投资主方向和安全边界。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">禾略将城市土地扩张分为六类——</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">1. 历史老城:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">传统商业、贸易、教育、行政等中心聚集地;<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">2. 中心聚集:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">通常通过政府搬迁,开始推动城市建设,成为新的价值中心。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">3. 轴向扩张:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">围绕政务新区,外围大规模建设,城市开始走向规模化。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">4. 四向扩张:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">摊大饼阶段,城市全方位向郊区扩张,向大城市发展。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">5. 郊区化:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">主城交通、居住等矛盾突出,在城市20-30公里建设新城。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">6. 都市化:</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">城市内部发展转向质量提升,工业、居住、商贸等功能开始转向外围40-60-80公里圈层其他城市。<br /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvDvnum7acTQmp8uqguicPpP3qibVScibAzjvxfibsfCmvicmkSOJWO4dgs6Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /><br /><span style="font-size: 14px;">杭州:未来进入四向扩张向郊区化过渡阶段</span><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvtVaWrkGKRBdtlW23CibGlHsJkfakoTbhibIs2iafqFoCQxgJ3nKNg6rXg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /><br /><span style="font-size: 14px;">宁波:未来进入四向扩张向阶段,重点关注4阶段沿海发展带及新片区</span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvMwbNgejtSjxyucAibuIcTW8BRtrXOjOvQDl8nbQO75ZfnBLFv2bpcfQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /><br /><span style="font-size: 14px;">绍兴:处于轴向扩张阶段,重点关注环城区中心片区</span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXvoBxoh2Fz2MyyHtY9mGWeqsLIMQDx7iampyJ7JgjkKGs89M3gOrNEUgg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /><br /><span style="font-size: 14px;">嘉兴:处于中心聚集阶段,重点关注秀洲,战略关注桐乡及海宁</span></section><section style="text-align: left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXv3CAgNWuIoRdC7h4ojl7JJVc8DIrMTQUn9gX7TUI5CH9fS373L5nqHA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /><br /><span style="font-size: 14px;">温州:处于轴向往南北扩张阶段,重点关注沿海发展片区</span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages js_insertlocalimg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIz6lrrFSbFWJLxlDADLQOXv9LGCVkPxqpFTgr5WooQqYZB9pKqKOxw1iabibyZah4CGiciaRiaZRWOaIxA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="1280" /><br /></section><p><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"></span><br /><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;letter-spacing: 1px;font-weight: bold;background: rgb(255, 255, 255) none repeat scroll 0% 0%;"></span></strong></span></p><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;letter-spacing: 1px;font-weight: bold;background: rgb(255, 255, 255) none repeat scroll 0% 0%;">↓↓↓ 戳原文链接,可观看本次分享录屏 ↓↓↓</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;letter-spacing: 1px;font-weight: bold;background: rgb(255, 255, 255) none repeat scroll 0% 0%;"><br />还有更多禾略地产行业科普课</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;letter-spacing: 1px;font-weight: bold;background: rgb(255, 255, 255) none repeat scroll 0% 0%;">程等你来解锁~<br /><br /></span></strong></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><img class="rich_pages" style="width: 493px !important;height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;" data-ratio="0.768409818569904" data-type="png" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxs2NwP396r8nE13icJz5EqMgEmt4KTezHzNeVhBWA8Pc6KU7vw8hzD45ib918XCUZLxQ8hj8kceMuA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-w="937" width="493" height="378" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">——&nbsp; END&nbsp; ——<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span><br /></section><section style="text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">猜你想再看<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">城市:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=191239418c15b0c6f395c843415da5fd&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028970ac64031955167bfde997cdc96375bfb3bce25b5076f1458e11be2be27&amp;token=217203186&amp;lang=zh_CN&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">徐州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=3a8acfb05820bbd38cd7b15a58e92ec9&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028dfd96ec6ffc5239a84aaf25b6643813aa6b4a597b9a3215e7ab25e2b4eaf&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">宿迁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1fcdc66fac79d5ba9504bc24314a14f9&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f02829eef9ba1dfcb8c3e91edb05d3c1d34c548b82f618928834f1da5907d2e7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">淮北</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=18d65f24543e71ff6bc70eb1cb0a7bde&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028b98805f0f7555bfc57e3aefe6c76e7ca8df0369ad5dcc4a593a011a9b029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">唐山</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=9f550e5d1f6bd3becc92df723adedd61&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f0289523b13ecd4fcb3d227a3cb259a09e504d388ace5a5eb25ece3aecfe8d46&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">天津</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=4c4fb5ce9d25c1fe6012d719c5878c82&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a6b9f35c8db84ceac56401b6da4a6429d1bc5e3339251db372a5045c242&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">深汕</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=c2d8bae147d4a2d86ec992c50c39ddad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a50b1acbe92593aabba12c3fb95e9966d93ecad99918dbcf654b9ce767405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">哈尔滨</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1e787f725d62f227dbc6c33d0b9ea3eb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08accd8896c160b37e7a4436d21e1fbf2cc596763115db5ef6e04dc914ce478&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">兰州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=048088acd651254d77cc238d71b1af04&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a7c36e33460f244db68a856502151c73820b314470b7e24412b9a8b6dcd5b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">常德</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=b6295a149a38a026e886d81014b568f3&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a8d7adbd8721956fd91c59be8bd1ec35d4f9963a11e7e67bee72cd49405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">南宁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=8&amp;sn=0efaff09c26e604d7aa5c29376c129ad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07abb37dd11a0cfe941868be2b543feebf288460418759254327292658947ae&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">桂林</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=12f08ffb076544edcbc24e91bc3d87d7&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a1cd4530a9033d462d4732c500dcdda723bdc3a87f4d55f1c62f657a4cb77&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">柳州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=6&amp;sn=0a89c4ab17039cec25754aa111b87308&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a6fdc14a1c0e877928f2fa46798a8b592b2b2023ad1c65081bbc80b2fafad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">蚌埠</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=7&amp;sn=1bc72e377ffc3b621c2886d68c437515&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07adc8c50a3e1409197892c508ad9c27a6b52f8e4dde12740baf5674f5a7fa6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">合肥</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=10e3d481f7fd0ff46dafe2648cd3ddfb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a5118705d6b85487fa97dd013a2aee842be719ee13086aab8dee370b54185&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">南京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9ffda0c7d9667d6700966a8bab12eccf&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a4e94a2471b2d59264ed4460e0567c63095fad9c5704541a546d7bc23584a&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">上海临港</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">太原</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">北京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">热点:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247485505&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=90a4482d0ec14f8a4d441f77c653806c&amp;chksm=97557265a022fb7385559a6648c54242c721582b3811ad664360ea1e6f562f0f62264852c20c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" data-itemshowtype="0">深圳土拍</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831957&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a889b497d60264ef90aea585e4d4556f&amp;chksm=83517bcab426f2dc5e2b3778bc8e8834b453c4eac98c490ebeb525c4a5b01093fe602418b8fb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">美国地产</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">长租公寓</span></a><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830578&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=73f5149b299d5ce19a433c365eedee83&amp;chksm=8351756db426fc7b173558a1765830766ec5f7fb387e652250f10a106ef6490821f809722cfb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">中美贸易战</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">粤港澳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">万科商业</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">2018年走势</a>&nbsp;|<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">专业:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831987&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8553537eb64de48a9b7eb16564fe8988&amp;chksm=83517becb426f2fa0c63ef59ace65085334609b45795331170f0edb7f455d154c06d53aa85f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">穿越熊市</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;<span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831371&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b15fe316680aabc64e2b7c37e5767d8&amp;chksm=83517614b426ff0229de8ab490c6a7fb33f9e7de34bae145abd3565818c5965c1eca5a4b0029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">地产研报</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831103&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ae2c7ba214abd19c76ed907399b77b7&amp;chksm=83517760b426fe767422812a59d53a334c00664a2cc146d59a076bc0e59a062f518c7df00861&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">投资</a>&nbsp;|<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831043&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dcae4bb0d9c69a6aefeb48f7447dff10&amp;chksm=8351775cb426fe4a32f43b1fe3a11ebffb7d381291adc0746d6d0ed9f3efb882617e0407aa10&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">&nbsp;思考</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830765&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=d21dbefeb5e1aea1599bcec8fae7a7d4&amp;chksm=835174b2b426fda4b66776ffb3da368f2b71e44233e17581d647b246e52aa53255140e3adac0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">客研</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830698&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=27ffa7f097500e9e7fb23f99fdce51ef&amp;chksm=835174f5b426fde3854d2eec6dc6fd1c0c182faa0218d1b0ce833e50c860c23b062b88f914e0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">高周转</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830656&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dc61474f9d09133fcce2934476ea10c1&amp;chksm=835174dfb426fdc9575a9a316aef5c25d051f574d0cd96ae3d1cda189bca7c7b0b7447e403e4&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">房价预测</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830457&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=37a5c454028fb849c2c5fce3b3575756&amp;chksm=835175e6b426fcf07c9d8fdee249e33edf0ae7f5684be2290c3145624ad430d880a10a654ebd&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">2018房地产报告</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830201&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1816623486b879233513443f1df6ec59&amp;chksm=835172e6b426fbf07aa0f023c3ff79ca1cf11606fc2f2b66cfe773222e3fa1df7f92affa90b6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">远郊定位&nbsp;</a>|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829710&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=58d632f4b07dc0796127ef5df605bb36&amp;chksm=83517091b426f9871fa25aed40ade8d757557347ecf505d8b9510645b5adcc6d703caed90b31&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">时势蓝图</a>&nbsp;|</span></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;"><br /></section>

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