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禾略投策城市基本面研究方法

发布于 2020-06-05

<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">做投策研究,离不开基本面研究。<br /></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">最大的基本面,莫过于宏观经济,但是今天我们不聊它,我们从第二大基本面“城市”聊起。<br /></span></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">说到城市,免不了要说起<strong>“城市排行榜”</strong>,到底<strong>“北京上海深圳,谁是一哥?”</strong><strong>“广州还是不是一线城市?”</strong>这些都是排行榜的主要话题。<br /></span></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">今天以</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">杭州</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">为例,分享禾略投策城市基本面研究方法</span>。</p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);">———&nbsp;&nbsp; URASR&nbsp;&nbsp; ———</span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">在禾略的城市排行榜里,</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">2019年,杭州排名第七,为一线城市。</span></strong></span><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxrcwK8EXJHLq2niaiaPIvscVRyIFensZ8YYxZsN36CejiagDN58gcMGHuQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1718" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">预判</span>2019-2022年期间,杭州发展速度略超过全国平均水平,排名上升2位,超过广州,跃升为</span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑;">中国</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">第五城</span><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑;">。</span></span></strong></p><p><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5003203074951954" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxVzEcE8HZCznWzjrrtpyTia1X3QgDSgZJfkIXBia6fTZ2lz9JW8A14JVA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1561" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">当然,中国第四城是南京,这一点,估计很多人不服气,所以我们需要说一说,禾略这个排行榜是怎么做出来的。<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">与其他研究机构不同,禾略的人员以后浪为主,我们坚持用数据说话,对于任何前浪权威,我们都是不信任的,这个榜就是</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">完全纯粹的以数据建模</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">出来的榜。<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">操作流程如下——<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.22994652406417113" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxrmpsZAlTzAhDcBOmyliaTI3m3TaCh56LzPic8lQU6AgtcdIEZmxFQ4YQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1496" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">我们选取的指标包括人口、土地、资金等40个指标,覆盖全国288个城市,同时考虑到类似重庆这样的超级大城市的特点,我们把这40个指标又转化为两个维度,</span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">一个维度是绝对值,反映城市规模量级,一个维度是均值,反映城市质量水平。</span></strong></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">所以,当你看到,2022年,重庆排名全国第七的时候,请不要急于质疑,因为规模也是城市价值很重要的组成部分,就好像中国虽然人均GDP很差,但是因为中国规模已经是世界第二大,所以在世界上也算是G7之外的第一强国了。</span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">&nbsp;<br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5003010234798314" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxkvHV9GhE2NF8AzNJlIwV8DjlXRaexSaPU1FMDmdemt8xdbZp89wiasQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1661" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">这么多指标,如何进行评分呢?是不是还是要靠权威来设定权重呢?这就不得不科普一下禾略常用的</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong>“客观赋权法”</strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">熵值法。</span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">&nbsp;<br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5542857142857143" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxhXCmWiaWb1v6nec8ibibK8yvr6rvtxCMk4bjTkWh2Mib7dThNJFq7xwvjA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1225" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">以上,就是禾略城市价值排行榜的制作原理,看起来简简单单的一张表,这背后,融合了大量的数据,凝聚了众多禾略人的努力。<br /></span></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">千辛万苦得到这样一张表,就只能看看排名变化自嗨一秒钟吗?<br /></span></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">当然不是,因为这张表是纯数据量化出来的,所以我们可以进行</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">分类描述</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">,还能</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">刻画出每一个城市在时间轴上的历史变化</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">。<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">以杭州为例:<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">2012年之前,杭州还属于二线城市,第三产业还不发达;<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">2013年-2017年,杭州跃升为强二线城市,第三产业开始由平稳增长转入持续高速增长;<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">2018年之后,杭州进入一线城市之列,以技术密集型产业为主。</span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">&nbsp;<br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxaXmcmaJAT3bQlsYiayuq191HZTbRZXjb6d6NrrebVU8x6bEh3MV3t1A/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1264" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">除了可以看到城市产业发展的历程,结合土地空间的扩张规律,我们还可以得出一个判断。<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">2018年之后,也就是杭州跃升为一线城市之后,</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">杭州的城市扩张进入郊区化,这也意味着,在2018年之后,杭州原本被认为是郊区的区域会得到比较大的发展,地价和房价都会有超额增长的可能。</span></strong></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">&nbsp;<br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxWh3GVq7Z6S5WKIpxcPlgbsvbofKmgYu0r3wNSSu4APIyO7eBYgovmw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1292" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">可是,郊区那么大,到底是往哪去呢?<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">结合禾略的土地价值量化评价体系,使用元胞机模型算法,我们可以在一张图展示出<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">城市</span>过去的发展节奏,还能推演出城市未来的城市发展趋势。</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">杭州正处于由四向扩张向郊区化过渡的发展</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">阶段,发展的重点是除了</span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">西北的余杭</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">和<strong>东南的萧山</strong>,以</span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">临安</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">和</span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">富阳</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">为主。</span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">&nbsp;<br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhx8644UDF2457tWGz7O7iaC1lLhjI4XMxgSQR55nfnmiaF8bzmiaAwrCuicg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1206" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">最后,就杭州的城市发展基本面,我们可以拉个小清单,方便日理万机的领导们一目了然。<br /></span></p><p><br /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">2019年的杭州,经济规模大,发展水平较高,城市整体购买力稳定;外来人口流入规模大,人口城镇化进入后期阶段,城市建设速度仍在加快。<br /></span></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">当然,同样的方法,我们也可以给其余287个城市拉小清单,这就是数据的力量。<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.500329163923634" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxZdyrCqhqePibG4zMwZR61z22BEKFAsibQ459LyvCmByQs3twsG3xdycQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1519" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">后面关于人口集聚、经济发展和城市建设的内容,都是使用的城市宏观指标,相对来说就很常规,你们肯定经常在百度文库见过类似的东西,此处就不再赘述。<br /></span></p><p><br /><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">有一个还比较大数据感觉的内容,和大家分享一下。<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">我们利用招聘数据,通过区位商的算法,可以</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">月度动态的看到城市的行业结构的变化趋势</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">。<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">杭州信息软件、住宿餐饮、文化行业招聘力度大,突显当前城市的三产产业的结构性支撑;信息技术产业招聘占比位居首位,制造业、租赁商服紧随其后。</span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">&nbsp;<br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwK7ubLy3zshcqallasHnhxANIMHaScAKibXr2pUujOXiaWbZj07PMBjzr44FFrgjWSBNagic3a3r6gQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1398" style="" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">那么,关于城市基本面的分析,到此就分享结束。<br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">下一次,我们还是以杭州为例,和大家分享一下</span><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 122, 170);">“禾略如何进行市场面研究分析”</span></strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;">,敬请期待~<br /></span></p><p><br /></p><section style="text-align: center;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: 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!important;" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIxduF4EXL7D9SiaPMBPBZwQCLge8RWKQ66fNnFCl05ibl88m1APGj82G9bOghszxO1R3iaiahRCKicn1hQ/640?wx_fmt=png" width="275" height="493" /></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);font-size: 14px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><br /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">猜你想再看<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="text-align: center;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></section><section style="text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">城市:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=191239418c15b0c6f395c843415da5fd&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028970ac64031955167bfde997cdc96375bfb3bce25b5076f1458e11be2be27&amp;token=217203186&amp;lang=zh_CN&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">徐州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=3a8acfb05820bbd38cd7b15a58e92ec9&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028dfd96ec6ffc5239a84aaf25b6643813aa6b4a597b9a3215e7ab25e2b4eaf&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">宿迁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1fcdc66fac79d5ba9504bc24314a14f9&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f02829eef9ba1dfcb8c3e91edb05d3c1d34c548b82f618928834f1da5907d2e7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">淮北</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=18d65f24543e71ff6bc70eb1cb0a7bde&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f028b98805f0f7555bfc57e3aefe6c76e7ca8df0369ad5dcc4a593a011a9b029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">唐山</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831649&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=9f550e5d1f6bd3becc92df723adedd61&amp;chksm=8351793eb426f0289523b13ecd4fcb3d227a3cb259a09e504d388ace5a5eb25ece3aecfe8d46&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">天津</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=4c4fb5ce9d25c1fe6012d719c5878c82&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a6b9f35c8db84ceac56401b6da4a6429d1bc5e3339251db372a5045c242&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">深汕</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=c2d8bae147d4a2d86ec992c50c39ddad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a50b1acbe92593aabba12c3fb95e9966d93ecad99918dbcf654b9ce767405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">哈尔滨</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1e787f725d62f227dbc6c33d0b9ea3eb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08accd8896c160b37e7a4436d21e1fbf2cc596763115db5ef6e04dc914ce478&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">兰州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=048088acd651254d77cc238d71b1af04&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a7c36e33460f244db68a856502151c73820b314470b7e24412b9a8b6dcd5b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">常德</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=b6295a149a38a026e886d81014b568f3&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a8d7adbd8721956fd91c59be8bd1ec35d4f9963a11e7e67bee72cd49405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">南宁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=8&amp;sn=0efaff09c26e604d7aa5c29376c129ad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07abb37dd11a0cfe941868be2b543feebf288460418759254327292658947ae&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">桂林</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=12f08ffb076544edcbc24e91bc3d87d7&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a1cd4530a9033d462d4732c500dcdda723bdc3a87f4d55f1c62f657a4cb77&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">柳州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=6&amp;sn=0a89c4ab17039cec25754aa111b87308&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a6fdc14a1c0e877928f2fa46798a8b592b2b2023ad1c65081bbc80b2fafad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">蚌埠</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=7&amp;sn=1bc72e377ffc3b621c2886d68c437515&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07adc8c50a3e1409197892c508ad9c27a6b52f8e4dde12740baf5674f5a7fa6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">合肥</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=10e3d481f7fd0ff46dafe2648cd3ddfb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a5118705d6b85487fa97dd013a2aee842be719ee13086aab8dee370b54185&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">南京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9ffda0c7d9667d6700966a8bab12eccf&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a4e94a2471b2d59264ed4460e0567c63095fad9c5704541a546d7bc23584a&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">上海临港</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">太原</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">北京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">热点:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247485505&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=90a4482d0ec14f8a4d441f77c653806c&amp;chksm=97557265a022fb7385559a6648c54242c721582b3811ad664360ea1e6f562f0f62264852c20c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" data-itemshowtype="0">深圳土拍</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831957&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a889b497d60264ef90aea585e4d4556f&amp;chksm=83517bcab426f2dc5e2b3778bc8e8834b453c4eac98c490ebeb525c4a5b01093fe602418b8fb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">美国地产</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">长租公寓</span></a><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830578&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=73f5149b299d5ce19a433c365eedee83&amp;chksm=8351756db426fc7b173558a1765830766ec5f7fb387e652250f10a106ef6490821f809722cfb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">中美贸易战</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">粤港澳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">万科商业</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">2018年走势</a>&nbsp;|<br style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" /></span></section><section style="text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.5em;"><span style="font-size: 12px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">专业:</span></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831987&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8553537eb64de48a9b7eb16564fe8988&amp;chksm=83517becb426f2fa0c63ef59ace65085334609b45795331170f0edb7f455d154c06d53aa85f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">穿越熊市</a></span><span style="font-size: 12px;">&nbsp;<span style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;">|&nbsp;</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 12px;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831371&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b15fe316680aabc64e2b7c37e5767d8&amp;chksm=83517614b426ff0229de8ab490c6a7fb33f9e7de34bae145abd3565818c5965c1eca5a4b0029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">地产研报</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831103&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ae2c7ba214abd19c76ed907399b77b7&amp;chksm=83517760b426fe767422812a59d53a334c00664a2cc146d59a076bc0e59a062f518c7df00861&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">投资</a>&nbsp;|<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831043&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dcae4bb0d9c69a6aefeb48f7447dff10&amp;chksm=8351775cb426fe4a32f43b1fe3a11ebffb7d381291adc0746d6d0ed9f3efb882617e0407aa10&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">&nbsp;思考</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830765&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=d21dbefeb5e1aea1599bcec8fae7a7d4&amp;chksm=835174b2b426fda4b66776ffb3da368f2b71e44233e17581d647b246e52aa53255140e3adac0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">客研</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830698&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=27ffa7f097500e9e7fb23f99fdce51ef&amp;chksm=835174f5b426fde3854d2eec6dc6fd1c0c182faa0218d1b0ce833e50c860c23b062b88f914e0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">高周转</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830656&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dc61474f9d09133fcce2934476ea10c1&amp;chksm=835174dfb426fdc9575a9a316aef5c25d051f574d0cd96ae3d1cda189bca7c7b0b7447e403e4&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">房价预测</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830457&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=37a5c454028fb849c2c5fce3b3575756&amp;chksm=835175e6b426fcf07c9d8fdee249e33edf0ae7f5684be2290c3145624ad430d880a10a654ebd&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">2018房地产报告</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830201&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1816623486b879233513443f1df6ec59&amp;chksm=835172e6b426fbf07aa0f023c3ff79ca1cf11606fc2f2b66cfe773222e3fa1df7f92affa90b6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">远郊定位&nbsp;</a>|&nbsp;<a style="box-sizing: border-box;cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;outline: 0px none currentcolor;overflow-wrap: break-word;" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829710&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=58d632f4b07dc0796127ef5df605bb36&amp;chksm=83517091b426f9871fa25aed40ade8d757557347ecf505d8b9510645b5adcc6d703caed90b31&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2">时势蓝图</a>&nbsp;|</span></section><section style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><br /></section><p><br /></p>

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