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禾略是这样看房地产的2019年——回归价值

发布于 2019-02-01

<p><span style="font-size: 14px;">在2019年,地产行业的量化管理,最重要的,是将“业务诉求”,定义成数据可分析的问题。由此,我们引入统计学中的“回归分析”,指导具体的工作开展。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">根据回归分析方法,将核心诉求Y,拆解为X,以开发商四大目标之一,“追求规模”为例。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们将规模Y,拆解为13个X细项指标。涵盖5大层面-城市层面、土地层面、客户层面、产品层面、成本控制等综合层面。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5024582104228122" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOUZXr2U8NoUmhib6lQFYnaNicDcXTUEYeVlBScFRzRJCIKibVrxuTnUCJA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1017" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">2019年,中国房地产市场,全面进入下半场,这5大层面,都需要重新的审视与定义,其中,成本控制等综合层面,涉及企业的内部能力,数据一般较为保密。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">故禾略重点探讨的,是前四个层面——如何重新定义城市、土地、客户、产品,回归本源价值,找到属于自己的独特开发模式。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.3551980198019802" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsO5NvGY3bUbeKR3OD28l2s4BKPaj6iaHJavCiahCTBjGGQy9sqqvyclibvQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="808" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px;">PART 1 <br /></span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 18px;">重新定义城市</span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">禾略理解的</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>重新定义城市,除了城市的基本面,城市的温度(周期)同样的重要</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,进入时机的选择,攸关生死。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.48537378114842905" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOWibeKE6q9Dfy2Ayxq45DceZDoBxHfGUCsZhmWT11TLmibicO1aZGIufXw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="923" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们借鉴混沌理论,参考了科学家预测天气的方法,目的是找出奇异吸引子,通过不断的动态优化,实现短期预测。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5383747178329571" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOpX9iaf0Sxu5sKmhGm71IAia43ZAqTPD3xVaqw9P1VxVck8NRGt2SoYvQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="886" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span><br /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">在中国,政府调控主要是针对房价,重点关注的就是,房价的复合增长率。私底下,大家讨论房地产的时候,最终落脚点,仍是房价。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">房价,体现了客户对市场的信心,我们用二手房挂牌单价滤波,来计算房地产住宅市场周期。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">TIPS:为什么使用二手住宅挂牌单价?</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">①&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;一手住宅成交价,受限价等政策影响大,不能准确反映真实的市场;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">②&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;二手住宅成交价,成交就代表了过去,是历史数据;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">③&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;二手住宅挂牌价,代表了买卖双方的信心,是博弈的结果,具有前测性。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">市场周期,体现客户对市场的信心,</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">市场信心持续上升期,为春季;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">市场信心高位回落,为夏季;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">市场信心持续下降,为秋季;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">市场信心探底回升,为冬季。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">春末夏初,为销售黄金期,秋末冬初,为销售至暗时刻。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5233830845771145" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOKLO1ibhsZ6nM17MyMTWkrFX3bbCxkXB0SxJtzWQcn1nKBD8zXvDFoFQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1005" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">以长三角都市圈为例,让大家找找感觉。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">2019年1月,上海、南京、杭州、苏州、南通,正处于拿地窗口期;假设从拿地到销售需要9个月,禾略判断,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>2019年10月,苏州、南通、无锡,正处于销售黄金期</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.47647647647647645" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOjjgrOXdlNMOV7QRkssUmiahr4tlVgKE6ViaK79XjvibCI8Yu4wOwdDAwA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="999" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">通过全国城市的分析,禾略发现,不同等级城市,市场波动幅度不同,城市等级越高,踩对周期节奏,越重要;而周期的长度,与城市等级相关性,却十分的弱。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.44097560975609756" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOmNqCvW6pxfyYhXJUQHUVruYNUjicqtCRk0tGT8icvf0StzIYwUGlrnJw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1025" style="" /></p><p><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.7838258164852255" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOxOO2ZFX8A4dBOXAJWL6zyibKzibwm2SLCIEs9uicdLUPy0tVsCpoeuSvw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="643" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span><br /></p><p><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 14px;">周期的研究,让我们有可能,从项目高周转,转变到企业高周转</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,让房企的增长方式,由线性到指数增长成为可能。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">对于甲方爸爸而言,在什么周期里,去什么类型的城市、选择什么等级的土地、实现什么样的经营目标,是不可避免的课题。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px;">&nbsp;</span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 18px;">PART 2</span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 18px;">重新定义土地</span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">在周期研究、重新定义城市的基础上,我们再来看看,如何重新定义城市的土地。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">一般,大家以土地的成熟度,来看一块地,禾略提供了另一个视角,看土地——</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>成长价值最快的土地,在哪里。</strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">从空间扩张的视角来研究,城市的空间扩张可以分为6个阶段:</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.3978494623655914" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsO8DDxh6FrTjKCQdyoXOZqewE2VfULpNS4386bticADjmybCrDhIfnCWw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="930" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">结合禾略PIE空间聚集模型</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.4765380604796663" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOwia93EZtLfdx7EzKnyHA6rptib32DOtNt03C66jpdC4Em8xVeIp4iaFjA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="959" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">以大湾区为例,洞悉城市圈的发展进程与边界,判断环XX,是时机成熟,还是概念炒作。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">从强一线城市-深圳开始,深圳目前处于处于“郊区化扩张”,向“都市圈扩张”过渡阶段,开发高价值区域,主要在④和⑤近城区、拓展区,以及⑥的近城区。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">由此,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>禾略判断2019年深圳,才真正的进入都市圈阶段</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,2018年前,环深圳并没有真正的发展起来,跨城居住购买极少。</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>现在深圳正处于周期低位,适合拿地,要去的不是深圳,而是环深圳。</strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.47373637264618434" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOxLsiafhwKKvPkRy7UoFeCzksDte1XMDL0kBBHLzDAQibwyFJ2ic3eAz3w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1009" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">再来看一下,一线城市-广州,目前处于“郊区化扩张阶段”早期,开发高价值区域,主要在④和⑤近城区、拓展区。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">近年,广州南沙自贸区炒的很厉害,如果你有禾略这个工具,就可以很明显的看到,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>城市发展的进程,根本没到南沙</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,如果你高位拿地,就只有站岗的份了。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">如果你拿了番禺的地,可能也就是南沙的地价,至少可以每平米净赚1万元。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.6363636363636364" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOT3iafYSEqnn38wicA7XyFMLF2uO27ddToPNicpdmfvibXHNEs05VLB9Vww/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="759" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">剩余的城市,也是同样的道理,大家可以自行感受感受——</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="2.4582843713278497" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOksMnMEX9HcyeWcy0L1icAzjbDsUS2ULOPb8tib8vZlMiaeTrhkR9yxKGg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="851" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);">PART 3 <br /></span></strong></p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);">重新定义客户</span></strong></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">重新定义了城市、定义了土地,接下来要回答“卖给谁”,即重新定义客户。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们将首付能力、可负担套总价、月薪水平的数据打通,链接居住地图与工作地图,形成客研闭环。</span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">以成都为例:大家来看看这个表和这张图,是不是觉得,这就是你梦寐以求的。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"> &nbsp; </span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.45986124876114964" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOxjsbD23K6ficDAp3gqbpIvIziamD4jUjibNwUy8cpXuOB7Uzg4Nia0aCww/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1009" style="" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-backh="493" data-backw="445" data-before-oversubscription-url="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOib3XHe4yXibS7HqDiaMRFR2kf0lmGTInSoD0a2fQiakWoHAl1AMtTaNTdw/0?wx_fmt=png" data-copyright="0" data-oversubscription-url="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOLuibNmx3NxibX1b2Xcy6fYg1SXs3gVQstnoby226Ac03H3bs9ulFXMxQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="1.107865168539326" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOLuibNmx3NxibX1b2Xcy6fYg1SXs3gVQstnoby226Ac03H3bs9ulFXMxQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="445" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">禾略是怎么做到的——</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">①&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>以首付视角-财富存量,来定义客群</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,根据多城市研究,根据首付存款比例,将客群划分为6类:普通工薪、高级工薪、中产阶层、小富阶层、富裕阶层、巨富阶层</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.3566810344827586" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOw8QzzLI7GTbhEtbia5WzvL92aIDibQagLuFR4O9cx0XTPFemHz3ecO8g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="928" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">②&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>根据首付,反算产品总价,来划分产品线</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,将不同产品线落位,分析置业机会分布</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.44808743169398907" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOyg3leBCK2u9zicEw7j1T2cjLiaoBfEkDTHVvvzHicZ3X2Qf8QqX5icU6iaQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="915" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">③&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>&nbsp;</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>以不同产品线总价,推导薪资水平</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,将不同薪资收入落位,分析工作机会分布</span></p><p><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.36811023622047245" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOvDkKibslopdc8z9M1k1k4sficH3sV1s015pQDoMvb2UUvd8sV4L3jVUA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1016" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">根据以上三步,可</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>全面描述客群支付力</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">——</span><br /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.46206225680933855" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOpE04SiacJI9Z77zBmnIhkHZQTMaGbqBSbTSdj3jIuibmrzr8kiaxJ8JKg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1028" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">以招聘职位,代表的工作机会,为潜在需求,研究需求与供给结构。禾略判断,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>成都潜在需求,与市场供给结构,基本匹配,中低总价至中高总价产品,供应有加大空间。</strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.41885325558794945" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOGa2bdedEHlo1WDcrAYRT9gvPkr9rkem89c6DBy6Me7gAzcbQgYxFxA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1029" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">④&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;以中等收入客群为例,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>研究招聘岗位与置业机会的分布</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">禾略发现,成都中等收入客群,主要在站南+大源工作,且这两个区域,招聘力度还在加大。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">禾略判断成都的置业机会,主要集中于天府新区+永康森林公园板块,集中工作地与集中置业地,平均通勤时间为31分钟。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5950617283950618" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOTNAad3to7yhJia0Xiao4Wuu0fot2wB9T6HeZ8r81UmbkWcae9k8bic03w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="810" style="" /></p><p><img class="" data-backh="483" data-backw="444" data-before-oversubscription-url="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOhbchW4NOic5XQg9wsicSiaicqpQSQZOUh7o6Mwftq72Td9HMpNnnWo8dnw/0?wx_fmt=png" data-copyright="0" data-oversubscription-url="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsO1HUO1gNibTFQ44qtpxDF6fhBOChHRCfmYHOzdxwg1EteOQ3jVibxs1KA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="1.087837837837838" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsO1HUO1gNibTFQ44qtpxDF6fhBOChHRCfmYHOzdxwg1EteOQ3jVibxs1KA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="444" style="width: 100%;height: auto;" /></p><p><br /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">⑤&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>根据智联招聘数据,刻画产业人群画像</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,中等收入客群,主要从事信息软件业,集中于28-33岁,工作3-5年为主。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">综合这1-5步,就可以清晰地得到,那张梦寐以求的表与图。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.6512605042016807" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOUFLhA0IY8WGmFcThtf9XhTFUFtM5Z1GBzDNu8Zz3bn6iaamaoYibx1cQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="714" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px;">PART 4 <br /></span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 18px;">重新定义产品</span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">客户找到了,如何重新定义产品,才能让自己的产品,在风停下来的时候,仍然可以依靠自己的翅膀飞翔。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们以深圳为例:</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">客群的研究方式如成都一致,以首付存款比来划分客群。目前深圳的主流客群,为富裕阶层。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.4781725888324873" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsO2iaM5E8FItxgsTic5xzlGfgGZFjRpcnnmC1fYeztkofUtXqqOX8JibOKA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="985" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">市场产品,已逐步豪宅化,品质改善+高端+顶级豪宅销售额占比96%,距离满分仅差0.04。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.39922854387656703" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsO9Ona3LqQKtLBsPkhNUqVSVZqDfSicMI14QUHkjEkPUQaySZG4SdAicXg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1037" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">当你看到这个产品线的时候,是不是觉得这不靠谱,产品线应该画错了,或者标准根本没对,因为与我们经验中的完全不同,深圳应该是一个刚需市场。</span><br /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">那非常遗憾的跟你说,你的经验也许出错了。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">让我们来看看,从2011年-2018年,深圳产品线的演变,完美呈现了什么叫马太效应。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">在2011年的时候,功能改善及以下的产品是主流,随着房价的上涨,刚需慢慢不见了,市场供应的,都是总价在品质改善以上的产品,是市场给了你飞起来的动力,但是甲方爸爸们,应该清晰的认识这一点。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">同时,禾略认为,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>在豪宅化的过程中,深圳在向香港的千尺豪宅靠拢</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">。此98m²非彼98m²,此79m²非彼74m²。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.4797297297297297" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOyrMac1BlAm2dz0mXkEGmdzY5rrBXjXaneLrEV6a8P4S8pcLqiaouNrQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="740" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">在深圳打造产品,如何将98㎡,打造为豪宅是关键</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,如何从商品,到产品到作品的蜕变,是企业竞争力的体现。洞见是一种引领,是一种打开需求的全新方式。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.4239583333333333" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIzj1LgYt0tSlCN79wibicvJsOEcnG6uiajiat4AlIaBy7grPYGRYJRVcqzn73zyUhkibJ8tlnSBGYZibeiaA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="960" style="" /></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">总体来说,我们要重新定义城市,其基础是,城市没有好坏之分,只有四季周期的差别,重新定义城市,就是重新认识城市的进入时机,不单是传统的城市价值。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">同样,重新定义土地,也是因为一个城市的土地,没有远近贵贱之分,只有不同发展阶段,对应不同发展策略,我们要重新认识土地的发展规律,把握拿地的最佳时机。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">在客户分析上,我们要抛开过去很多“形而上”的分析,重新定义客户的核心在于,通过划分客户的支付力,筛选高价值客户。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">对于重新定义产品,我们不能向过去一样,只是做机械的对标研究,而是要结合城市、土地、客户的变化,进行量化综合评估,真正做出,能将项目利益最大化的产品定位。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 18px;">—— 小结 ——<br /></span></strong></p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 18px;">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">最后,借用分众传媒董事长江南春,在各大演讲台上的观点:“行业第一,封杀行业;行业第二,怼行业第一;行业第三,做垂直品类;行业第四,开创新赛道。”</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;">禾略从普遍规律“回归均值”,到科学理性分析方式“回归分析”,到具体内容分析“回归价值”的四层面,希望我们对2019年的量化研判,能够为各位看官提供参考帮助。能够从开创新赛道,做到封杀行业。</span></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;">—— END ——</span></p><p style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;">猜你想再看</span></p><p><br /></p><p 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100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">天津</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=4c4fb5ce9d25c1fe6012d719c5878c82&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a6b9f35c8db84ceac56401b6da4a6429d1bc5e3339251db372a5045c242&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">深汕</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=5&amp;sn=c2d8bae147d4a2d86ec992c50c39ddad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a50b1acbe92593aabba12c3fb95e9966d93ecad99918dbcf654b9ce767405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">哈尔滨</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=1e787f725d62f227dbc6c33d0b9ea3eb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08accd8896c160b37e7a4436d21e1fbf2cc596763115db5ef6e04dc914ce478&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">兰州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=048088acd651254d77cc238d71b1af04&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a7c36e33460f244db68a856502151c73820b314470b7e24412b9a8b6dcd5b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">常德</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=b6295a149a38a026e886d81014b568f3&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a8a8d7adbd8721956fd91c59be8bd1ec35d4f9963a11e7e67bee72cd49405&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">南宁</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=8&amp;sn=0efaff09c26e604d7aa5c29376c129ad&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07abb37dd11a0cfe941868be2b543feebf288460418759254327292658947ae&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">桂林</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=12f08ffb076544edcbc24e91bc3d87d7&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a1cd4530a9033d462d4732c500dcdda723bdc3a87f4d55f1c62f657a4cb77&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">柳州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=6&amp;sn=0a89c4ab17039cec25754aa111b87308&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a6fdc14a1c0e877928f2fa46798a8b592b2b2023ad1c65081bbc80b2fafad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">蚌埠</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=7&amp;sn=1bc72e377ffc3b621c2886d68c437515&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07adc8c50a3e1409197892c508ad9c27a6b52f8e4dde12740baf5674f5a7fa6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">合肥</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831491&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=10e3d481f7fd0ff46dafe2648cd3ddfb&amp;chksm=8351799cb426f08a5118705d6b85487fa97dd013a2aee842be719ee13086aab8dee370b54185&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">南京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831603&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9ffda0c7d9667d6700966a8bab12eccf&amp;chksm=8351796cb426f07a4e94a2471b2d59264ed4460e0567c63095fad9c5704541a546d7bc23584a&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">上海临港</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" data-linktype="2">太原</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(87, 107, 149);text-decoration: none;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;outline: 0px;" data-linktype="2">北京</a>&nbsp;| 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