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蚌埠:一个弱四线城市的房价飙升逻辑 原创 已修改 第1次修改 2018年08月29日 10时25分

发布于 2018-08-28

<section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="62942" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 16px;border-color: currentcolor;border-style: none;border-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section data-width="100%" style="margin: 0px;padding: 15px 10px 5px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;width: 677px;border-color: rgb(70, 48, 20) rgb(198, 198, 198) rgb(198, 198, 198);border-style: solid;border-width: 8px 1px 1px;text-align: center;"><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.29921875" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1280" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/AJkYaTAujIyachumjdTw5Pgh7sc1X9QFEyhYTiblicuM0QQC2RPzdGribib3K5euokDd1CBYSwjpY3EMf8icfl8DaKQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;width: 592px !important;visibility: visible !important;"></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="text-align: left;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;"><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">【题外新发现】</strong>拿地新物种——国内首个地产投资,垂直领域的社交平台,</span><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>“土地说”小程序</strong></span><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;">(试用版),在线上链接<span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;">地产企业与城市国土相关政府部门,以及地产全产业链企业。</span></span><br><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="margin: 5px 16px;padding: 5px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;text-align: left;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;"><br>可以实现预约会面、名片交换、在线互动等人脉拓展功能,还可以发布找地、找人、找项目等需求,365天“全天候”服务中国土地市场。<br><br>“</span>土地说”小程序致力于,</span><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;">解决土地资源信息不对称,<strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">提高土地信息搓合匹配效率,让中国没有难卖、难找的土地!</strong></span></strong></span><br></p><br><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="85984" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgba(191, 191, 193, 0.8);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 2px;border-color: currentcolor;border-style: none;border-width: 0px;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(141, 173, 170);font-size: 17px;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">长按识别土地说</span><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">小程序码</strong></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(141, 173, 170);font-size: 17px;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;">拿地也能互联网化</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);line-height: 1.6;font-size: 11px;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(141, 173, 170);"></span><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(192, 0, 1);">⇩⇩⇩</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 11px;line-height: normal;"><br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></p></section><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgba(191, 191, 193, 0.8);font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 2px;"><img class="" data-ratio="1" data-type="jpeg" data-w="258" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/A0CHCh4Ur41tXnWqfoQPOz8o4CdsIavEibGhaL7SHFh3pzjsjiadSqjFEKP40iaUAWJMWAqQycBWIcneUX6K3symQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 151px !important;" width="151" height="151"></p></section></section><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 13px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: initial;font-size: 11px;line-height: normal;font-family: Helvetica;-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-kerning: none;"></span><br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></p><p><br></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">—— 正文分界线 ——</span><br></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;"><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><img class="__bg_gif" data-ratio="0.45454545454545453" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/wyice8kFQhf5geQK3gu2FUugjB8iaSGpjO38zXqdgwMx0oC9BCs08koDu1N0thHuib7TjD5SdkYZalvkm0cAClI9Q/640?wx_fmt=gif" data-type="gif" data-w="22" style="margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 22px !important;display: block;visibility: visible !important;" width="22px"></p><p><br></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">昨晚,突然接到任务,需要写一篇关注蚌埠的文章,自我标榜为活地图的我,突然找不着北,一个非常陌生的城市,之前几乎没听过关于它的消息。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于是,我首先打开人造地表地图(红色为城乡建设覆盖区),看看它在哪里?以及它同大都市区的关系?</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">发现:距离合肥120公里,南京160公里,非长三角地域、非长江经济带城市,一个极其尴尬的地理空间,城市建设空间隔断,但地域上紧密相连,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>为长三角城市群的人口吸附的重灾区。</strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5615567911040509" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGQeicItIGFTsIQUGQf54wNSlzZpib25Izvm40fyhfDx0KoRkyVKolqa0Q/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1259" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br></p><p><br></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">再打开禾略数据库,看看城市数据。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">城市基本面:2017年常住人口338万,GDP1550亿,建成区面积153平方公里,感觉很弱,打开全国120城数据,进行了对比一下。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.37842778793418647" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGOvx97wWxRkrfhrlWmjRNpKlH6ibWcQHoyLuHHO0a2ANm98CAczGIkDQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1094" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">蚌埠基本面果然不行,难怪数据库里头都没有它,在全国120城的城市分类中,找出最弱的四线城市进行对标:常住人口为413万、GDP1912亿、建成区103平方公里。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">拿蚌埠跟四线一比较,得出人口比四线城市还少75万,经济差362亿,建成区多47平方公里,再对照下户籍人口381万,比常住人口多43万,人口流出很明显,比例达11.3%。少许失望,感觉城市一片黑暗,初步结论就是:</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>人少、钱少、地多、外流。</strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">继续查阅,看看房地产市场表现,眼前一亮:2017年中国楼市,在涨幅最猛的三四线城市数据基础上,选出最具代表性的四座城市,无锡、蚌埠、洛阳和北海,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>为 2017中国楼市上涨“四小虎”</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">!蚌埠作为弱四线城市,一直以来都是默默无闻,竟然光荣上榜了。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">进入全国357城市场数据库,看了看蚌埠的房价走势,发现2016年以来持续飙升,下半年同比涨幅高达64%,2018年仍没有停止脚步,8月仍保持42%的同比涨幅,全市均价达到7326元/平。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.46988973706530957" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGfjsWiab2T827g22Hgp0bZOJhDSxvjjXib7wv2h9IibaggicTm2SKtO46ew/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1179" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">继续查阅了一下,市场销售及投资规模,2017年,全年房地产开发投资536.88亿元,比上年增长38.2%;房屋销售面积829.89万平方米,增长22.7%;房屋销售额425.6亿元,增长32.8%。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2018上半年,蚌埠市共完成房地产投资320.2亿元,总量居全省第2,增速28.6%,呈现出全面开花的状态,但我还是不服,感到莫名的奇怪。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br> </span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于是,挑选江苏GDP10强城市,加上安徽省会合肥、次中心芜湖进行对比,蚌埠2017年房地产人均投资高达1.59万/人,位居第4位,仅次于三大长三角中心城市南京、苏州、合肥,对于一个弱四线城市来说,市场真的火热。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.6613924050632911" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGUklDhMqMx7cABlricOzo76ywN1BQsWhwTLv4OSM5LoC6AiaciaAkkp9nw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="632" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">同城市基本面的弱小不同,房地产市场为</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>供需两旺的超级区域市场</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">。那么,就有两个问题让我很困惑:</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">1)是什么因素驱动一个弱四线城市房价大幅上涨?</span></strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 14px;">2)房价大涨之后有支撑吗,会不会是昙花一现?</span></strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我想房价上涨核心还是在于供需关系,那有哪些原因改变了供求关系呢?</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-align: center;margin: 10px 0%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 20%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="border-top: 1px dashed rgb(171, 171, 171);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 20%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0px 0%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;margin-bottom: -0.9em;overflow: hidden;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 1.76em;height: 0.5em;margin-bottom: -0.5em;margin-left: 0.25em;border-left: 1px solid rgb(95, 156, 239);border-right: 1px solid rgb(95, 156, 239);transform: skew(-45deg);-webkit-transform: skew(-45deg);-moz-transform: skew(-45deg);-o-transform: skew(-45deg);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 1.8em;height: 1.8em;margin-left: 0.5em;background-color: rgb(11, 94, 208);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 1.2em;height: 1.2em;margin-top: -0.88em;line-height: 1.2em;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 23px;background-color: rgb(95, 156, 239);box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">1</p></section><section style="transform: rotate(-45deg);-webkit-transform: rotate(-45deg);-moz-transform: rotate(-45deg);-o-transform: rotate(-45deg);box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 0.68em;border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(95, 156, 239);margin-left: 2em;margin-top: 0.4em;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 20%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="border-top: 1px dashed rgb(171, 171, 171);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;">产业质量高,效能超乎想象</span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">通过众多案例研究,我们发现,一个城市的发展质量和水平如何?关键不在于GDP规模的大小(关于如何做大GDP的故事,我相信大家一定听过很多,铁公鸡就是一种常见的手段),而是在政府和百姓口袋存留了多少钱。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">我们以GDP含金量和人均存款来看,蚌埠是不是前面所看到的那么弱?我们同样选取江苏10强和安徽2霸来对标:</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">2017年蚌埠GDP含金量高达17.7%,位居各强市中的榜首</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,虽然GDP产值仅1550亿,但财政收入高达275亿,可见背后的产业支撑力度。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.6527131782945736" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHG4fvFu1yTI7Lr099yXKI18aX7lupnBn8nsj7bYITLq6VlxXupzl7zNw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="645" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">具体产业投资来看,2017年全年完成省亿元以上项目投资1100亿元,总量居全省第4位,完成率居全省第1位。铜铟镓硒薄膜太阳能电池一期、G206蚌埠南段等77个项目建成投用,比亚迪安徽云轨制造中心、安徽日丰科技电气电缆工业园等162个项目开工建设。蚌埠正发挥其铁路枢纽及老工业基地优势,大力吸引新兴产业聚集。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">再从人均存款来看,蚌埠老百姓,也并非印象中的四线穷,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>2017年年末,人均存款为5.78万元,大幅高于省内2强城市,即合肥4.44、芜湖4.26万元。</strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><br></strong></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5525965379494008" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGPZJiaAkGoGND8TJHhXdQ0s04ibsYNQ7xaVJZmeoOVZZY3DhWu6YMFwEg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="751" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">看到这里,应该基本能明白了,为什么蚌埠经济人口体量那么小,但</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>房地产市场开发销售却那么火热,背后是因为规模体量虽小,产业效能高、居民支付力强</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">这时我又在想:产业的效能和居民的支付力应该不是一蹴而就的,为什么过去房地产市场没有起来,而且在2014-2015年房价还出现了下滑?</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-align: center;margin: 10px 0%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 20%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="border-top: 1px dashed rgb(171, 171, 171);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 20%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0px 0%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;margin-bottom: -0.9em;overflow: hidden;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 1.76em;height: 0.5em;margin-bottom: -0.5em;margin-left: 0.25em;border-left: 1px solid rgb(95, 156, 239);border-right: 1px solid rgb(95, 156, 239);transform: skew(-45deg);-webkit-transform: skew(-45deg);-moz-transform: skew(-45deg);-o-transform: skew(-45deg);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 1.8em;height: 1.8em;margin-left: 0.5em;background-color: rgb(11, 94, 208);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 1.2em;height: 1.2em;margin-top: -0.88em;line-height: 1.2em;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 23px;background-color: rgb(95, 156, 239);box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">2</p></section><section style="transform: rotate(-45deg);-webkit-transform: rotate(-45deg);-moz-transform: rotate(-45deg);-o-transform: rotate(-45deg);box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 0.68em;border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(95, 156, 239);margin-left: 2em;margin-top: 0.4em;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 20%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="border-top: 1px dashed rgb(171, 171, 171);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br></p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-size: 20px;">从扩核到强核,供应大幅减少</span></strong></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">首先,我们看一下城市空间结构现状,蚌埠下辖4区3县,从下图人造地表(城乡建设分布图)现状可以看出,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>城市空间结构为单核空间体系,主城区呈现出一江两岸的城市建设面貌(南强北弱)</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,县域经济聚集力弱。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">同时,密密麻麻的零星点主要为农村、乡镇聚集点,未来城镇化客群主要来源于主城的北面。从数据看,2017年常住人口337.67万人,比上年增加4.57万人。城镇化率55.31%,比上年提高1.57%,农村人口城镇化仍然将是城市发展的核心驱动。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.6147826086956522" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGrQhqnvzwibeMJaYd2SrSXyS2iarOH4dXm3zQAnT4SIO5ouPOibkEat8LA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1150" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br></p><p><br></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">因为是单核结构,我们主要来看看蚌埠主城区空间的演变:</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;" class=" list-paddingleft-2"><li><p><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">历史老城</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">:2003年之前,主要位于淮河南岸,沿河分布,结合津浦铁路的城市历史判断,其为典型的</span><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);">商贸型枢纽城市</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">;</span></p></li><li><p><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">扩核阶段</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">:从2003-2013年,可以看出,城市开始外拓,东南部政务新城为主导区域,以市政府的建设(配置市民广场+体育场馆)、万达+宝龙+银泰的商业配套建设为基础,集聚大量的居住社区,城市中心核基本完成。但同时,我们发现,北部淮上新城、龙子湖新城也在同步进行,城市扩张过于迅猛,从2003年到68平方公里,增长至2013年的119平方公里,城市空间倍增,但城区人口聚集相对缓慢,从已公布的城区人口(含暂住人口)数据看,2007年为87万,2013年为92万,仅增长5万,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>土地扩张速度,明显快于人口聚集速度</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,这就是为什么2014-2015年房价下滑的核心原因了。</span></p></li><li><p><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">强核阶段</span></strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">:2013年后,城市空间外扩进入稳定阶段,主要为加快一体化进程,积极导入人口。城区&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;人口从13年的92万增长至17年的98.5万,速度正在加快。而土地供应方面,开始出现大幅下滑,从2013年的高位4511亩,下降至2017年2269亩,下降幅度达49.7%。而商品销售从2012年的270万平,增长至830万平,增幅达207.4%,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>供应大幅减少,需求大幅提升,供需剪刀差形成</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">。</span></p></li><br></ul><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.2778662420382166" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGFIyGibOhdqSGaMMQ63OtyJRdUvEria4ng6VFRH9bbljFkseLHrqo5LKg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1256" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.3082644628099174" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGtPJfq7ZXSibmv7qNrFXf2fknJb0E9ic5nrxwKSbjopkN3Q1cQPnAZPkA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1210" style=""></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">这么来看,</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>对于三四城市,我们很容易基于基本面的人口、经济宏观数据,而形成误判</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">,蚌埠就是一个典型。从市场规模看,蚌埠2012年商品房市场规模仅113亿,2017年达到426亿,增幅高达274%,远强于周边强市,排名第一。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.35384615384615387" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG5VgKY9cYeBLJHKEiaYGRpHGc0hrJYregwQvVG5wQKGDDDaFbowLcqDzecQ21AOGlGoiaf3iaJxMYa8w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1170" style=""></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><section style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544000029563904px;line-height: 27.2000007629395px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;background-image: none;background-color: rgba(1, 0, 0, 0);"><section class="" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;background-image: none;"><section style="margin: 10px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;text-align: center;background-image: none;background-color: rgba(1, 0, 0, 0);"><section style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;background-image: none;"><section style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;background-image: none;background-color: rgba(1, 0, 0, 0);"><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><section style="margin: auto;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 8px;height: 8px;border-radius: 50%;border-color: rgb(255, 189, 91);border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;background-image: none;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"></section><section style="margin: -5px auto 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;width: 22px;background-image: none;"><section style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;height: 20px;transform: rotate(45deg);-webkit-transform: rotate(45deg);transform-origin: left center 0px;-webkit-transform-origin: left center 0px;float: left;border-color: rgb(95, 156, 239);border-left-width: 1px;border-left-style: solid;background-image: none;background-color: rgba(1, 0, 0, 0);"></section><section style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;height: 20px;border-color: rgb(95, 156, 239);border-left-width: 1px;border-left-style: solid;transform: rotate(-45deg);-webkit-transform: rotate(-45deg);transform-origin: right center 0px;-webkit-transform-origin: right center 0px;float: right;background-image: none;background-color: rgba(1, 0, 0, 0);"></section><section style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;background-image: none;background-color: rgba(1, 0, 0, 0);"></section></section></section><section style="margin: -3px 0px 0px;padding: 2px 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;border-color: rgb(95, 156, 239);border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;border-radius: 5px;background-image: none;background-color: rgba(1, 0, 0, 0);">小结</section></section></section></section></section><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span><br></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">于此,很多三四线的房价飙升是内生原因的。基于同大都市的空间关系,除了全国普涨的大牛市共性因素(棚改、M2等),我们更需要关注到</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>城市内在的个性因素</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">;除了看到城市的基础规模数据,更要关注</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>城市的效能数据</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">;除了关注城区类的土地,更要关注到</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>城市的发展阶段</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">。</span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">而</span><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong>蚌埠,就是一个小规模、小体量、最容易被忽视的城市,但人均效能高,从扩核转向强核阶段,多个分散新城正连接成宜居都市核。</strong></span><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></p><p style="text-align: center;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">—— 禾略数据投行 ——<span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;"></span></strong></span></span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align: center;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;"><span style="color: rgb(2, 30, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 14px;">用数据赋能,给你的项目找更好的投资</span></strong></span></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><section label="Copyright © 2014 playhudong All Rights Reserved." style="margin: 5px 0px 0px;padding: 10px 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;border-color: currentcolor;border-style: none;border-width: medium;text-align: center;background-image: none;background-attachment: initial;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-size: initial;background-origin: initial;background-clip: initial;background-position: initial;background-repeat: initial;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;">&nbsp;具体有什么地可以拿?</span></section><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;orphans: auto;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;font-family: 微软雅黑;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;font-family: 微软雅黑;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">2018中国(深圳)国际地产业博览会(总第45届)暨第13届中国(深圳)城市土地展,</span><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);"><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 15px;">即“中国土地第一展”,将于8月29-31日在深圳会展中心9号馆举办</span></strong><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 15px;">,</span></strong></span><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">展期3天。只要你能想到的土地难题,都能在这里找到答案。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;orphans: auto;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;font-family: 微软雅黑;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><br style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><section class="" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;orphans: auto;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;font-family: 微软雅黑;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section style="margin: 10px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-width="25%" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;width: 148.25px;overflow: hidden !important;"><img class="__bg_gif" data-ratio="0.134375" data-type="gif" data-w="640" data-width="100%" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/Ljib4So7yuWgEF8Um574KqtEYjlfYazBQRKDIqGtBX7qpHLxOW1Hclib9CW20S6ZQped9YPr93cnBZCM0F2cjKQQ/640?" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;vertical-align: middle;width: 148.25px !important;visibility: visible !important;"></section></section></section><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;orphans: auto;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;font-family: 微软雅黑;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 14px;background-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);"><strong style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);">长按识别下方二维码,预约报名2018房博会</span></strong></span><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"></span></p><p style="margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-variant: normal;font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;orphans: auto;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;white-space: normal;widows: 1;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;font-family: 微软雅黑;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 15px;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="280" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zeJYQPYLe7hrMLegC89kHJCeT25nhUQiavdIaSUhvSHHF0GvcQx7RQIT65nKIBx0D6wqP4Pd1icK8p0m0MEeVyibA/640?" style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);width: 280px !important;visibility: visible !important;"></span></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: center;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">—— 猜你想再看 ——<br></span></p><p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: center;"><br><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">城市:</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">| <a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2ffb60d98d02ebcab655c55d34d0acbf&amp;chksm=83517746b426fe509cc721e0e3acf05fd1f60b8695dc3b66c08c0a7aa917e7471b013b02c2c2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">太原</a> |&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830804&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f571d8218b897b21571a6b2f497d3a1b&amp;chksm=8351744bb426fd5d509591673f4082563a02342283f53dfda255ad33304e6746d6448051b9ea&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">温州</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830454&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4e7c3289190e2a69c5fb20f2ae8a6d94&amp;chksm=835175e9b426fcffa5f65cafe5274b1c296caf1a51e13ef4c7920c5a18847bef3c7b13c2bfd0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">昆明</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830295&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f680ffa2ddf52783e9a7730971520d48&amp;chksm=83517248b426fb5e0efc1e5c62d15b173e4d23ab7aafaab82c6ce861e98d96271fe5dc7db798&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">嘉兴</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830278&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8441ac780477cd9def8d4e9d7866f143&amp;chksm=83517259b426fb4f93ff50f1c07d7b830f16ec4d1e0c23f64ef15a78a056ae301274ffbb8ec3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">重庆</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830196&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7a599cf338734c1d41c6fa16005b1641&amp;chksm=835172ebb426fbfdda6873adbeddc124ae670de675a7c36d11977106150a1d924572ea70f299&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">成都</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830221&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f5994dbfe9fa00ffce4b5be1a69f3244&amp;chksm=83517292b426fb8419e771cf48ea94de01fc7dc909b4e8c2759c6423b8be6080bc5bd1c248cc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">深圳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829995&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cd78421e4f2e724f552f8eefc65e0236&amp;chksm=835173b4b426faa26aed46ed566bc1f8ffa11498370fed14fa9d0690795a3eff5a186c63a03d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">上海</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">珠三角</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">雄安新区</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">无锡</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=203026648&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=466dca69ff3eb746e2e5c21831d57f0f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">北京</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">热点:</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">| </span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">长租公寓</span></a><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"> |&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830578&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=73f5149b299d5ce19a433c365eedee83&amp;chksm=8351756db426fc7b173558a1765830766ec5f7fb387e652250f10a106ef6490821f809722cfb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">中美贸易战</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">粤港澳</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">万科商业</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830360&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3cea24af7ebf848fde74c52538f111e5&amp;chksm=83517207b426fb11a1ae1c301117e9626ba09012aa9d8b4d8f722e45423ecb7e63987f50bec5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">2018年走势</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830258&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=079af6257d826b9b592280754ac66a69&amp;chksm=835172adb426fbbbcbc0ba7b27078f59d0313d5bd0f60d0b385720251d85f0b1797abeb24e54&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">任泽平</a> |&nbsp;<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829214&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=e245560eeadafae388de6a7d7577e04e&amp;chksm=83516e81b426e7976c5c6d425b4a39ade86d0e12ed288238933e3662f48c58d57c4efeb5c801&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">深圳房价</a>&nbsp;| <br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">专业:</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word 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style="color: rgb(87, 107, 149);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">城市地图</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></p><section style="margin-top: 0.5em;margin-bottom: 1.5em;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);width: 3em;text-align: center;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: inherit;font-size: 1em;text-decoration: inherit;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="display: inline-block;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;border-radius: 50%;width: 3em;height: 3em;line-height: 3.5em;overflow: hidden;font-family: inherit;vertical-align: middle;background-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">更多</span></section></section><section style="margin: -0.92em auto auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;width: 0px;font-family: inherit;border-top: 3em solid rgb(71, 193, 168);word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;border-right: 1.4em solid transparent !important;border-left: 1.4em solid transparent !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></section></section></section><fieldset style="margin-top: 0.8em;margin-bottom: 0.5em;border-width: 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0.1em;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">禾略中国:helue_China</span></p></span></fieldset><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><hr style="max-width: 100%;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: center;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">陪你想,陪你写,陪你玩</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: center;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">商务联系:yumx@urasr.com<br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></p><p style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="526" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="526" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/zd226QNNqG4CH2Q70SCqaiaUnucGGwFRTYoW9SS84sCDbLB8PkBJ5zVxAEsHCJk2kcl2VmQUPibxsDcztjHmXfZQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1125" style="line-height: 1.6;text-indent: 32px;font-family: 宋体;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 526px !important;" width="526px"></p><p><br></p>

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