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这是泡沫还是真风口?

发布于 2026-08-22

<section data-tool="mdnice编辑器" data-website="https://www.mdnice.com" style="margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 10px;padding-right: 10px;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: left;background-position-y: top;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;width: auto;font-family: Optima, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, PingFangSC-regular, serif;font-size: 16px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.5em;word-spacing: 0em;letter-spacing: 0em;word-break: break-word;overflow-wrap: break-word;text-align: left;" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><h1 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;display: block;"><span style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;font-weight: bold;display: block;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">作为国内非易失性存储赛道的头部玩家,普冉股份(688766.SH)最近半年的业绩走势可以说完全出乎市场意料:2025年还在增收不增利、股价承压,2026年一季度直接交出净利润同比暴增12倍的成绩单,刚好踩中AI存储爆发的行业风口。这家成立仅10年、上市刚满5年的半导体设计公司,到底成色如何?当前近70倍的动态估值,300多倍的静态PE,是机构炒作的泡沫,还是存储周期下的真机会?我们结合公开信息,梳理出这份完整的公司深度解析。</span></span></span></h1><h2 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(76, 175, 80);align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 4px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(76, 175, 80);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">一、公司基本概况</span></span></h2><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">普冉半导体(上海)股份有限公司2016年成立,2021年8月正式登陆上交所科创板,采用半导体行业常见的Fabless(轻资产无晶圆厂)模式运营,总部位于国内集成电路产业核心聚集地上海张江高科。 公司的股权结构清晰,实际控制人为创始人王楠、李兆桂,加上二人一致行动平台上海志顾企业管理咨询合伙企业,合计持有公司38.2%的股份,股权集中度稳定,控制权清晰。 从业务布局来看,公司核心盘是NOR Flash和EEPROM两大非易失性存储器芯片,这两类产品也是公司成立以来营收和利润的核心来源;在此基础上,公司近年积极推进业务延伸,布局了微控制器(MCU)芯片与模拟芯片产品,2025年更是通过收购控股全球第四大SLC NAND厂商SHM(诺亚长天),正式切入2D NAND赛道,完成了非易失性存储产品从低容量到中高容量的完整布局。目前公司产品已经广泛覆盖手机、PC及周边、工业、汽车电子、消费电子、物联网等多个下游应用领域,客户结构覆盖多行业头部品牌。</span></p><h2 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(76, 175, 80);align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 4px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(76, 175, 80);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">二、主营业务:从双核心到全品类布局,存储+战略逐步落地</span></span></h2><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">目前普冉股份的业务已经形成了“核心存储+延伸新品”的完整结构,各业务线的进展都符合公司此前的战略规划:</span></p><h3 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(37, 132, 181);margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(37, 132, 181);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;font-weight: bold;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">1、核心存储业务:全容量覆盖,下游拓展顺利</span></span></h3><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">作为公司的基本盘,NOR Flash和EEPROM两大产品线已经完成了全面的产品布局,技术和客户拓展都进入收获期:</span></p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;margin-top: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 25px;padding-right: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);" class="list-paddingleft-1"><li><section style="margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;font-weight: normal;"><span leaf="">NOR Flash方面:公司已经实现了512Kbit至1Gbit的全容量覆盖,同时覆盖1.1V-3.6V的宽电压系列,能够满足不同下游场景的需求。技术制程上,新一代基于SONOS平台的40E制程、基于ETOX平台的4Xnm制程产品已经实现量产出货,技术水平处于行业第一梯队。下游客户拓展方面,256Mbit至1Gbit的大容量产品已经成功导入PC及服务器领域的头部客户,同时在高端工业、汽车电子对海外厂商的替代也在稳步推进,份额持续提升。</span></section></li><li><section style="margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;font-weight: normal;"><span leaf="">EEPROM方面:公司原本就在手机摄像头赛道占据了领先的市场地位,近年在保持核心市场优势的同时,积极向运动相机、智能手表等新兴消费电子场景拓展,同时车载领域的客户导入和应用落地速度也在加快,未来增长空间持续打开。</span></section></li></ul><h3 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(37, 132, 181);margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(37, 132, 181);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;font-weight: bold;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">2、“存储+”战略落地:MCU与模拟芯片持续放量</span></span></h3><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">在巩固核心存储业务的基础上,公司近年推行“存储+”的延伸战略,MCU与模拟芯片业务已经进入放量增长阶段: MCU业务方面,截至2025年末,公司已经量产M0+、M4五大系列超过200款MCU产品,产品广泛应用于智能家居、工业控制等场景,累计出货量已经突破24亿颗,成功进入小米、美的等国内消费电子和家电头部品牌的供应链,渗透率和份额都在持续提升。 模拟芯片业务方面,公司主打产品VCM Driver和核心EEPROM产品形成深度协同,能够给客户提供一体化解决方案,提升客户粘性;新一代OIS芯片已经实现小规模量产,目前正在客户验证推广中。目前公司正在逐步构建“存储+MCU+模拟”的系统级解决方案能力,从单一芯片供应商转向整体方案提供商,进一步提升单机价值量和竞争力。</span></p><h3 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(37, 132, 181);margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(37, 132, 181);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;font-weight: bold;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">3、并购切入新赛道:补全NAND产品短板</span></span></h3><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">2025年公司通过收购诺亚长天,正式切入2D NAND存储赛道,补齐了原有产品矩阵的核心短板。诺亚长天的核心资产SHM,本身拥有面向中高端市场的2D NAND存储芯片及衍生产品布局,产品覆盖LCNAND、eMMC、MCP等核心品类,刚好覆盖普冉原本没有的大容量存储品类。从财务数据来看,2025年SHM已经为公司贡献营业收入约2.1亿元,扣非净利润约1400万元,占公司全年营收的比例约9%,已经初步实现盈利贡献。</span></p><h2 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(76, 175, 80);align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 4px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(76, 175, 80);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">三、财务表现:2025年增收不增利,2026Q1业绩爆发验证周期反转</span></span></h2><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">从近年的财务数据来看,普冉股份的业绩走势完美契合存储芯片行业的周期波动,我们整理了核心财务数据对比如下:</span></p><section data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;overflow-x: auto;"><table style="display: table;text-align: left;"><thead><tr><th style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;font-weight: bold;background: none left top / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgb(240, 240, 240);height: auto;border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;border-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;padding: 5px 10px;min-width: 85px;"><section><span leaf="">指标</span></section></th><th style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;font-weight: bold;background: none left top / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgb(240, 240, 240);height: auto;border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;border-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;padding: 5px 10px;min-width: 85px;"><section><span leaf="">2024年</span></section></th><th style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;font-weight: bold;background: none left top / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgb(240, 240, 240);height: auto;border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;border-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;padding: 5px 10px;min-width: 85px;"><section><span leaf="">2025年</span></section></th><th style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;font-weight: bold;background: none left top / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgb(240, 240, 240);height: auto;border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;border-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;padding: 5px 10px;min-width: 85px;"><section><span leaf="">2026Q1</span></section></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: left;background-position-y: top;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;width: auto;height: auto;"><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">营业收入(亿元)</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">18.04</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">23.20</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">14.47</span></section></td></tr><tr style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: rgb(248, 248, 248);background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: left;background-position-y: top;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;width: auto;height: auto;"><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">归母净利润(亿元)</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">2.92</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">2.08</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">2.51</span></section></td></tr><tr style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: left;background-position-y: top;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;width: auto;height: auto;"><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">综合毛利率</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">33.55%</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">28.36%</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">-</span></section></td></tr><tr style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: rgb(248, 248, 248);background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: left;background-position-y: top;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;width: auto;height: auto;"><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">基本每股收益(元)</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">1.98</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">1.40</span></section></td><td style="padding-top: 5px;padding-right: 10px;padding-bottom: 5px;padding-left: 10px;min-width: 85px;border-top-style: solid;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: solid;border-right-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-bottom-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-right-color: rgba(204, 204, 204, 0.4);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;"><section><span leaf="">1.70</span></section></td></tr></tbody></table></section><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">从2025年全年数据来看,公司实现营业总收入23.20亿元,同比增长28.62%,营收规模创历史新高;但归母净利润仅为2.08亿元,同比下降28.79%,扣非归母净利润1.79亿元,同比下降32.04%,上市以来首次出现增收不增利的情况,全年基本每股收益1.40元,加权平均净资产收益率8.97%。 对于增收不增利的原因,公司业绩层面主要受三个因素拖累:第一是行业下行周期市场竞争加剧,导致产品价格下滑,综合毛利率下降,2025年综合毛利率仅为28.36%,较上年减少了5.19个百分点,直接挤压了利润空间;第二是行业下行阶段,公司计提存货减值的规模大幅增加,2025年确认的资产减值损失同比增加约6254万元,进一步侵蚀了利润;第三是公司为了卡位新赛道,持续保持高研发投入,加上收购诺亚长天带来的并购整合费用,导致期间费用大幅增长,多重因素共同作用导致全年利润下滑。</span></p><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">进入2026年,随着存储芯片行业新一轮景气周期开启,公司业绩直接出现爆发式增长:2026年一季度实现营业收入14.47亿元,同比增长256.08%;归母净利润2.51亿元,同比增长1259.87%,扣非净利润2.49亿元,同比增长1213.75%,基本每股收益达到1.70元——单季度净利润已经超过了2025年全年的净利润水平,业绩反转的力度远超市场预期。 本次业绩暴增的核心驱动因素,就是存储芯片行业景气度回升带来的产品单价提升,带动公司毛利率显著修复,同时收入规模扩大带来的规模效应,进一步摊薄了单位费用,共同推动利润大幅增长。</span></p><h2 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(76, 175, 80);align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 4px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(76, 175, 80);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">四、未来成长逻辑:踩中AI存储风口,全品类布局打开增长空间</span></span></h2><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">普冉股份当前的成长逻辑,核心围绕三大主线展开,刚好契合当前半导体行业的发展趋势:</span></p><h3 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(37, 132, 181);margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(37, 132, 181);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;font-weight: bold;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">1、行业周期反转,AI驱动存储需求爆发</span></span></h3><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">存储芯片行业当前正处于新一轮景气周期的上升阶段,本轮周期上涨的核心驱动是AI服务器爆发式需求,叠加终端设备存储容量升级的双重推动,整个行业已经呈现出供需趋紧、产品价格普遍上涨的态势。 从需求端来看,AI服务器对存储的需求量是传统服务器的8至10倍,随着全球AI大模型从技术研发转向大规模商业化落地,对存储芯片的需求量还在持续增长,行业供需缺口持续扩大,直接带动存储芯片价格持续走高——普冉股份作为国内NOR Flash和EEPROM的龙头厂商,本身产品直接覆盖AI服务器、AI终端相关的存储需求,将直接受益于本轮行业景气上行。</span></p><h3 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(37, 132, 181);margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(37, 132, 181);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;font-weight: bold;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">2、“存储+”+全品类布局,产品矩阵持续完善</span></span></h3><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">公司的“存储+”战略还在持续深化:MCU产品持续拓展新型消费电子、中高端智能家电、白电以及工业控制等市场,2025年以来市场份额已经实现同比增长;模拟芯片业务和存储产品形成深度协同,能够有效提升客户的单机价值量和客户粘性,减少客户流失;通过控股SHM切入2D NAND赛道之后,公司已经形成了NOR Flash、EEPROM、NAND、MCU、模拟产品的完整存储及相关产品布局,能够覆盖下游客户的多品类需求,综合竞争力大幅提升,也打开了长期的增长空间。</span></p><h3 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(37, 132, 181);margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(37, 132, 181);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;font-weight: bold;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">3、海外拓展+高研发投入,支撑长期增长</span></span></h3><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">目前公司正在加速推进海外市场拓展,近年已经携NOR Flash、EEPROM、MCU等核心产品亮相德国纽伦堡嵌入式展等国际行业展会,深化全球市场布局,逐步替代海外厂商的份额,增长空间进一步打开。 研发端公司始终保持高强度投入,2026年一季度单季度研发投入就达到9444万元,同比增长35.41%,持续的高研发投入为公司未来的产品品类扩张和技术迭代提供了支撑,保障长期增长动力。</span></p><h2 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(76, 175, 80);align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 4px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(76, 175, 80);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">五、行业背景:存储已经成为半导体第一增长极,细分赛道多点开花</span></span></h2><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">从整个行业的发展趋势来看,当前存储芯片行业的景气度上行具备坚实的需求支撑:根据Gartner的预测,2026年全球AI服务器出货量将增长超过180%,产能扩张的速度远远跟不上需求增长的速度,产能缺口将持续推动存储芯片价格走高;SEMI的数据则显示,2026年全球存储行业产值有望首次超过晶圆代工,成为半导体产业中规模最大的第一增长极,行业地位持续提升。 其中NAND Flash的行业逻辑正在发生根本性变化:随着英伟达全新AI平台的发布,NAND Flash已经从原来的被动存储,转变为直接参与AI推理的内存扩展层,功能定位升级带动需求量大幅提升,行业增量空间被彻底打开。 从细分赛道来看,各个细分领域的需求都有明确支撑:NOR Flash受益于TWS耳机、智能穿戴、汽车电子等下游需求持续增长;EEPROM在手机摄像头、工业控制领域需求保持稳定;MCU则受益于国产替代趋势与智能家居渗透率持续提升,增长稳定。 普冉股份作为国内非易失性存储芯片的龙头厂商,在行业上行周期中具备较强的业绩弹性,2026年一季度的业绩爆发已经初步验证了公司的业绩弹性,后续增长值得持续跟踪。</span></p><h2 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(76, 175, 80);align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 4px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(76, 175, 80);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">六、估值与机构持仓:高估值已经部分反映景气预期</span></span></h2><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">截至2026年一季度末,公司普通股股东总数为18575户,前十大股东中,永赢先锋半导体智选混合、永赢睿信混合、嘉实科技创新混合、嘉实前沿科技沪港深股票等多家公募基金都在列,机构关注度较高,头部公募已经提前布局。 估值方面,以2026年8月17日当前股价466.00元、公司总股本约1.48亿股计算,公司总市值约为690亿元;对应2025年归母净利润2.08亿元的静态市盈率约为332倍,估值处于极高水平。但如果以2026年一季度归母净利润2.51亿元年化测算,对应动态市盈率约为69倍——说明当前估值已经部分反映了存储行业景气上行的预期,未来股价上涨需要业绩持续兑现来支撑。</span></p><h2 data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="border-bottom-color: rgb(76, 175, 80);align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: solid;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 4px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;line-height: 1.5em;margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(76, 175, 80);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;align-items: unset;background-attachment: scroll;background-clip: border-box;background-color: transparent;background-image: none;background-origin: padding-box;background-position-x: 0%;background-position-y: 0%;background-repeat: no-repeat;background-size: auto;border-top-style: none;border-bottom-style: none;border-left-style: none;border-right-style: none;border-top-width: 1px;border-bottom-width: 1px;border-left-width: 1px;border-right-width: 1px;border-top-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-left-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-right-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-top-left-radius: 0px;border-top-right-radius: 0px;border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;border-bottom-right-radius: 0px;box-shadow: none;display: block;flex-direction: unset;float: unset;height: auto;justify-content: unset;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;overflow-x: unset;overflow-y: unset;padding-top: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;text-shadow: none;transform: none;width: auto;-webkit-box-reflect: unset;"><span leaf="">七、主要风险提示</span></span></h2><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">对于普通投资者来说,投资普冉股份需要重点关注五大核心风险: 第一是估值风险,当前股价对应静态市盈率超过300倍,估值已经处于极高水平,一旦后续业绩不及预期,或者存储芯片价格回落,股价存在大幅回调的风险; 第二是业绩波动风险,公司2025年增收不增利,2026年一季度业绩爆发主要依赖存储芯片涨价,存储行业本身属于强周期行业,价格周期波动会显著影响公司业绩,波动幅度远大于一般行业; 第三是并购整合风险,公司一年内三度出手收购诺亚长天,累计支付对价达到4.81亿元,后续并购整合效果存在不确定性,同时存在商誉减值的风险; 第四是毛利率修复的持续性风险,2025年公司综合毛利率同比减少5.19个百分点,当前行业价格竞争仍然激烈,毛利率修复的持续性存疑; 第五是存货减值风险,公司2025年计提存货减值已经大幅增加,如果后续存储价格回落,存货减值压力将会重新显现,再次侵蚀利润。</span></p><p data-tool="mdnice编辑器" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-align: left;text-indent: 0em;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;padding-left: 0px;padding-right: 0px;"><span leaf="">本报告仅基于公开信息整理研究,不构成任何投资建议,市场有风险,投资需谨慎。</span></p></section><section><span leaf=""><br /></span></section><p style="display: none;"><mp-style-type data-value="3"></mp-style-type></p>

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