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阿辉地摊 | 模型算命告诉你,上海还能火多久

发布于 2021-01-20

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100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;+预计阅读时间10分钟&nbsp;</em></span></strong></span></p></section><section style="max-width: 100%;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;text-align: center;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(73, 73, 73);font-size: 14px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">「 本文共1515字 」</span></p></section><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word 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border-box;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;width: 100%;vertical-align: top;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;transform: translate3d(-25px, 0px, 0px);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 273px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="text-align:right;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><strong><span style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">&nbsp;· 前 言 ·&nbsp;</span></strong></span></p></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></section><section style="margin: 5px 8px;text-indent: 0em;text-align: center;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">最近上海楼市火爆的消息真是传遍了大街小巷,在微信“搜一搜”上搜索“上海楼市”,会出现如下图的情况。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><img data-backh="649" data-backw="546" data-ratio="1.188953488372093" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIynfNHG3pw1K2hicibu0aVRuD7yeDIG0oDIq61KmsCxZqFJCK7HX6oNTrkASE3s7uXcrCSMqfYWibQWA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="688" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 100%;height: auto;" /></span></p><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">各大公众号都在沸沸扬扬的讨论市场如何火,如何疯,这下火热的市场行情已经成为大家的普遍认知了吧,那么,这一篇早在半年前就应该发出来的文章,终于可以在此问世了。顺便,我们科学算命的预测了一下上海楼市未来的走势。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">本篇文章的内容会涉及到信心周期及需求周期,模块主要分为历史回顾及未来预测,首先来看下简单说明:</span></p><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><br /></p><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="85822"><section style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;border-width: 2px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(33, 33, 34);padding-top: 10px;padding-bottom: 10px;width: 100%;display: inline-block;" data-width="100%"><section style="float:right;margin-right: 15px;"><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="padding-left: 30px;"><li><p style="text-align:left;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><strong><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">信心周期</span></strong><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">:综合新房及二手<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">挂牌价格</span></strong></span>数据,抽取价格波动趋势,得到 “卖方对市场预期的持续走势——历史信心周期”,反映<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">市场信心热度。</span></strong></span></span></span></p></li><li><p style="text-align:left;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><strong><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">需求周期</span></strong><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">:采取二手房的<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">浏览轨迹、点击量</span></strong></span>数据,抽取需求量波动趋势,来反映市场<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">需求热度。</span></strong></span></span></span></p></li></ul></section></section></section></section><p style="background-image: initial;background-position: initial;background-size: initial;background-repeat: initial;background-attachment: initial;background-origin: initial;background-clip: initial;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><br /></p><p style="background-image: initial;background-position: initial;background-size: initial;background-repeat: initial;background-attachment: initial;background-origin: initial;background-clip: initial;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">· |&nbsp;<strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">我们对未来上海楼市的预测结论如下:</span></strong> | ·</p><p style="background-image: initial;background-position: initial;background-size: initial;background-repeat: initial;background-attachment: initial;background-origin: initial;background-clip: initial;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><br /></p><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="85822"><section style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;border-width: 2px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(33, 33, 34);padding-top: 10px;padding-bottom: 10px;width: 100%;display: inline-block;" data-width="100%" hm_fix="359:365"><section style="float:right;margin-right: 15px;"><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="padding-left: 30px;"><li><p style="text-align:left;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">信心周期</span></strong><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">:高位会出现在<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">2021年8月</span></strong></span>份左右,即反应着开发商及二手房东的报价变化趋势会在这个时候有所转折,触顶回落</span></span></p></li><li><p style="text-align:left;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><strong><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">需求周期</span></strong><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">:高位会出现在<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">2021年4月</span></strong></span>份左右,整体2021年市场会保持一定的需求关注度,经历一轮向上冲高及高位回落的发展趋势。时间进入到2022年之后,需求周期跌破基准线,购房热情不足。</span></span></p></li></ul></section></section></section></section><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:left;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><br /></p></section><p style="text-align:center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(123, 127, 131);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><img data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwBXeobibkwsIUUpeGv4ux4tvDyxpAwynqhBa7wEHtuboBjSnnfm2NKpemdDyfOJ5Az1tvTbYyWFnA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-ratio="0.4166666666666667" data-w="108" /></span></p><p style="text-align:center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="text-align:left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0px;font-family: Futura-Medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 30px;"><strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">01</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 45px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 3px;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">解释了N多次大家依然不相信</span></span></p><p style="text-align:left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Futura-Medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 3px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align:left;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 5px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-size: 16px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: 宋体;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 18px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">所以只能用历史预测来和现状走势复盘</span></strong></span></p></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="margin-bottom: 5px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><strong><span style="font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">· |&nbsp;</span><span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">信心周期&amp;二手成交价格复盘</span><span style="font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">&nbsp;| ·</span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><strong><span style="font-weight: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br /></span></strong></span></p><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="85822"><section style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;border-width: 2px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(33, 33, 34);padding-top: 10px;padding-bottom: 10px;width: 100%;display: inline-block;" data-width="100%"><section style="float:right;margin-right: 15px;"><section data-role="list"><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="padding-left: 30px;"><li><p style="max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">2020年1月,我们通过预测知道了上海从下半年开始,市场信心冲高,价格会提升的信息。</span></p></li><li><p style="max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">2020年1月监测,上海市场信心将在4月份开始向上冲高;到了2020年6月再次监测的时候,市场信心将在7月份开始向上冲高。监测数据的变化说明上海市场的<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">信心提升其实略有延后</span></strong></span>,爆点并没有像年初预测的那样,来得那么快。</span></p></li><li><p style="max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">2019年2月至2019年10月,价格同比止跌回稳,此时的信心周期同样也是处于触底回升的阶段,甚至没有比这个阶段更糟糕的时候了,但是一切都开始慢慢好起来。</span></p></li><li><p style="max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">2019年11月至2020年4月,信心周期持续回升,但尚未突破0线。市场回暖的初期,各位手握房产的老板对待市场的态度其实是<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">分化</span></strong></span>的,看的都是个人的风险偏好,也就是走量还是溢价,和开发商一样。反应到成交价格方面上,可以看到的是同比增幅的剧烈震荡以及这个阶段市场走势的不确定性。但如果<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">用我们的信心周期来看,走势已经很明了了。</span></strong></span></span></p></li><li><p style="max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 5px 8px;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">2020年5月至2020年10月,信心周期突破0线基准线,开始向上冲高,这个时候市场回暖并且热度不断提升的信号已经成为<span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;"><span style="max-inline-size: 100%;cursor: text;box-sizing: border-box !important;outline: none 0px !important;">普遍认知</span></strong></span>。反应到价格上,就是同比增速的快速提升,市场分化弱化,大家一股脑的开始往一个方向冲刺。</span></p></li></ul></section></section></section></section></section><p style="text-align:center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-backh="306" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.5453703703703704" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIynfNHG3pw1K2hicibu0aVRuDPg69oTwRFicTfkHicMJlicJn1CKGGVL1MZiajqiaa0FuJc1tvkxq4DGQkyw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1080" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 100%;height: auto;" /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;">· |&nbsp;</span><span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong>需求周期&amp;二手成交量复盘</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;">&nbsp;| ·</span></span></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br /></span></span></p><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="85822"><section style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;border-width: 2px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(33, 33, 34);padding-top: 10px;padding-bottom: 10px;width: 100%;display: inline-block;" data-width="100%" hm_fix="273:288"><section style="float:right;margin-right: 15px;"><section data-role="list"><ul style="padding-left: 30px;" class="list-paddingleft-2"><li><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">2019年4月至2020年2月,二手成交量同比持续下滑,此时间段内需求周期经历了向下筑底的阶段,刚刚开始回暖。</span></p></li><li><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">2020年3月至2020年12月,量的同比开始回升并逐月攀升,对应到需求周期,在2020年6月监测时,预测7月突破基准线,开始进入市场关注火热的阶段。</span></p></li></ul></section></section></section></section></section><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><img data-backh="306" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.5452653485952134" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIynfNHG3pw1K2hicibu0aVRuDG2o0EHXY9p9FktLywDicw6HuPF44gAhicLIpW64UfEDpI8IgFIQMv6Uw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="961" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 100%;height: auto;" /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(123, 127, 131);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><img data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIwBXeobibkwsIUUpeGv4ux4tvDyxpAwynqhBa7wEHtuboBjSnnfm2NKpemdDyfOJ5Az1tvTbYyWFnA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-ratio="0.4166666666666667" data-w="108" /></span></p><p style="text-align:center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0px;font-family: Futura-Medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 30px;"><strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">02</span></strong></span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 45px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 3px;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">有了第一趴的复盘情况后</span></span></p><p style="text-align:left;margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: Futura-Medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 3px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">—</span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align:left;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 5px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-size: 16px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.5px;font-family: 宋体;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 18px;"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-align: justify;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">不管你信不信反正我信了的最新未来预测</span></strong></span></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></p><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">接下来,按照惯例,给大家来一拨喜闻乐见的未来预测,为火热的上海楼市泼一泼冷水。</span></p><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;">· |&nbsp;</span><span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong>信心周期</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;">&nbsp;| ·</span></span></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br /></span></span></p><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="85822"><section style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;border-width: 2px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(33, 33, 34);padding-top: 10px;padding-bottom: 10px;width: 100%;display: inline-block;" data-width="100%" hm_fix="386:479"><section style="margin-top:10px;padding: 20px;box-sizing:border-box;"><p style="text-align:left;line-height: 2em;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">预期市场信心周期<span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">高位会出现在2021年8月份左右</span></strong></span>,即反应着开发商及二手房东的报价变化趋势会在这个时候有所转折,从2021年9月份开始高位回落,需要注意的是,这个代表的是变化趋势的转折,可以理解为<span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">增速的收窄,而不是绝对房价的回落。</span></strong></span></span></p></section></section></section></section><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><img data-backh="307" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.5460526315789473" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIynfNHG3pw1K2hicibu0aVRuDHMtLxxGMlCiagaaZAIeibtLib9dsRA2JG3fWz2iaA5TotFNdM8N2FIcbKg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="912" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 100%;height: auto;" /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;">· |&nbsp;</span><span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong>需求周期</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;">&nbsp;| ·</span></span></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br /></span></span></p><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="85822"><section style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;border-width: 2px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(33, 33, 34);padding-top: 10px;padding-bottom: 10px;width: 100%;display: inline-block;" data-width="100%" hm_fix="386:479"><section style="margin-top:10px;padding: 20px;box-sizing:border-box;"><p style="text-align:left;line-height: 2em;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">预期<span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">2021年4月份,上海需求周期会上升至最高位</span></strong></span>,此时购房关注热度最为火热。整体<span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong><span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">2021年市场会保持一定的需求关注度</span></strong></span>,经历一轮向上冲高及高位回落的发展趋势,时间进入到<span style="background-color: rgb(38, 38, 38);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">2022年之后</span></strong></span>,需求周期跌破基准线,购房热情不足,观望的情绪又会笼罩在魔都上空。</span></p></section></section></section></section><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></p><p style="text-align:center;margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><img data-backh="308" data-backw="562" data-ratio="0.5473118279569893" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/AJkYaTAujIynfNHG3pw1K2hicibu0aVRuDmR90sBqjUPtQPWY5bXvyIYst2FricrWSeOdNF4rj76h7ojZ0hVW6EMQ/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="930" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 100%;height: auto;" /></p><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></p><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 15px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">最后,我们对未来市场周期的各种预测,其实就像是天气预报,讲的是概率问题,不能说完全准确,但还是值得参考。我们希望的是,能够在暴雨来临之前下着淅淅沥沥的小雨的时候,提醒各位找个地方避雨,避免之后被暴雨淋成落汤鸡。</span></p><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></p><p style="margin: 5px 8px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 0em;"><br /></p><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="93069" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section data-width="100%" style="box-sizing: border-box;width: 100%;"><section style="line-height: 2em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 12px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;">/</span></p></section></section></section><section style="line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></section><section style="line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box;"><br /></section><section style="padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;letter-spacing: 1.5px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(117, 117, 118);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">「&nbsp;本期作者:阿辉」</span></p></section></section><section style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section></section><section style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section data-role="paragraph" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="86134" data-color="#757576" style="max-width: 100%;border-width: 0px;border-style: none;border-color: initial;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="86134" data-color="#757576" style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;font-size: 16px;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;"></span></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;font-size: 16px;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">〓〓〓</section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;font-size: 16px;min-height: 1em;font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">SERIES ∥ 阿辉地摊</strong></span></section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 1.5px;font-size: 16px;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">〓〓〓</section><section style="margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;max-width: 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!important;">上海</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829512&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=421f2b766d75009082de8fc1e81cd8d2&amp;chksm=83517157b426f84197c93fd852a3e3f93019c9d81e099784ad0aa09f326ca9dd33a0edb7cfd7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">珠三角</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829480&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c77baf137c109f1017170a708548d37b&amp;chksm=835171b7b426f8a1d942708988b8f4bd875366f5928d1db99470ccad6958aa0c8cd47b292c23&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">雄安新区</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=401964235&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8839375241e6a7e69f49aec108ca1ad6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 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!important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;<br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" /></span></p></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;font-size: 17px;text-indent: 0em;text-align: left;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="margin: 5px 0px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">热点:</strong>|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIxMTUxMzE2Mw==&amp;mid=2247485505&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=90a4482d0ec14f8a4d441f77c653806c&amp;chksm=97557265a022fb7385559a6648c54242c721582b3811ad664360ea1e6f562f0f62264852c20c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" hasload="1" data-itemshowtype="0" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">深圳土拍</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</strong>|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831957&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=a889b497d60264ef90aea585e4d4556f&amp;chksm=83517bcab426f2dc5e2b3778bc8e8834b453c4eac98c490ebeb525c4a5b01093fe602418b8fb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">美国地产</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831073&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b9e813dced68e2e1397bd2cc2b6d05c7&amp;chksm=8351777eb426fe68993e996d9312897701ad0e93a7703c5d719dc20ebf09a1b0c6715f502e4d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" 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!important;">中美贸易战</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830503&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=2fae9eec64a6ed71f0c4ee9e4e9bafe7&amp;chksm=835175b8b426fcaec41bb2a484ef939ac78474c77acde2d96a6f7f8b61a0f4ade630c13e7f90&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">粤港澳</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830398&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ffd40b9cb7730bd712d8f053280d6fa9&amp;chksm=83517221b426fb37e97b45db61547227724f5a09e6a2a0484a55475066ac41fc1b0165954d0d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">万科商业</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|</span></p></section><section style="margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: left;font-size: 17px;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0.54px;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="margin: 5px 0px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">专业:</strong>|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831987&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8553537eb64de48a9b7eb16564fe8988&amp;chksm=83517becb426f2fa0c63ef59ace65085334609b45795331170f0edb7f455d154c06d53aa85f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">穿越熊市</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831371&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9b15fe316680aabc64e2b7c37e5767d8&amp;chksm=83517614b426ff0229de8ab490c6a7fb33f9e7de34bae145abd3565818c5965c1eca5a4b0029&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">地产研报</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831103&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6ae2c7ba214abd19c76ed907399b77b7&amp;chksm=83517760b426fe767422812a59d53a334c00664a2cc146d59a076bc0e59a062f518c7df00861&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">投资</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649831043&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dcae4bb0d9c69a6aefeb48f7447dff10&amp;chksm=8351775cb426fe4a32f43b1fe3a11ebffb7d381291adc0746d6d0ed9f3efb882617e0407aa10&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;思考</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830765&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=d21dbefeb5e1aea1599bcec8fae7a7d4&amp;chksm=835174b2b426fda4b66776ffb3da368f2b71e44233e17581d647b246e52aa53255140e3adac0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" 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!important;">高周转</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830656&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=dc61474f9d09133fcce2934476ea10c1&amp;chksm=835174dfb426fdc9575a9a316aef5c25d051f574d0cd96ae3d1cda189bca7c7b0b7447e403e4&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">房价预测</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;|&nbsp;</span><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649830201&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1816623486b879233513443f1df6ec59&amp;chksm=835172e6b426fbf07aa0f023c3ff79ca1cf11606fc2f2b66cfe773222e3fa1df7f92affa90b6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data-linktype="2" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">远郊定位&nbsp;</a><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 12px;font-family: 微软雅黑, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">|&nbsp;</span><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829710&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=58d632f4b07dc0796127ef5df605bb36&amp;chksm=83517091b426f9871fa25aed40ade8d757557347ecf505d8b9510645b5adcc6d703caed90b31&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" 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