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2017年4月 | 市场趋势预测，北上深的房价都抬不起头

发布于 2017-04-18

<p>禾略根据<strong>房价运行合理区间模型</strong>，每月做一次房地产市场的短期预测</p><p><br /></p><p>回顾：<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829288&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=bafb04e8b5ee2bacc63eba3228935085&amp;chksm=83516e77b426e761e6d70197138964ba6cd488b358fe193ec13aaf59ff070de1d49ce0c0d34f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data_ue_src="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829288&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=bafb04e8b5ee2bacc63eba3228935085&amp;chksm=83516e77b426e761e6d70197138964ba6cd488b358fe193ec13aaf59ff070de1d49ce0c0d34f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect">2月预测</a>、<a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829332&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f60cb83ae739bb39e06e8347ef40d69a&amp;chksm=83516e0bb426e71d23d19f6cf6a884e596d980d8702bc0aff16ea6af89ded59e6ab9ebfa70c0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" data_ue_src="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMDEzOTgyNA==&amp;mid=2649829332&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f60cb83ae739bb39e06e8347ef40d69a&amp;chksm=83516e0bb426e71d23d19f6cf6a884e596d980d8702bc0aff16ea6af89ded59e6ab9ebfa70c0&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect">3月预测</a></p><p><br /></p><p>话不多说，马上奉上4月份，主流20城的市场预测——</p><p><br /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKxqDMLVmU3xWB5qibk9FN3k9jv2oiaH3LjuJXesApH6U7guvJQkuo1KdQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKsicrLuOO8wlmq6cSrIV4mzKibFvgwcg6JfkfH1lvA7f7VZSz8NPNzw0Q/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKQF0WQyibspb8lNBia9m6g7YqazIyjTQkpHqbdejanxszmNzfGtQn20rw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKkwnia5UN9CicU9HGxpqbhY0zM7ruBIYq6oDfdy3FDn6nSbMyd9tkeqow/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKfcbt8ofQKwOnqWyVWibreLIqYUgZWKrtEOR8pmoIw6z7ESz273LBEow/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwK0ZxbAlSfaPcVxwhjREVYVibMTu3z1H8SChUYYGPP6CU6kiarTPrcruww/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKhhSBvYA6KsDE7YgU6EcW84BAgca9zQ7dptazoN9Spl5BYbUeWZvcTw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKuDvvhj6ynRZClgwCLfLy3GVB4mKv0gTLTWLQKR2755xRV0gNVuGKng/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKrmkYoNmWOTbkgdNESzJSibh0aQ0Ryw1wj3AbqGLHaJrM6pXAZo24lSQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKEcP02YPeLyq62nCT4N0EicQ9ibNHlmcFRHx9nQWdcaEVWZVyUicYDLPqg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwK8G6FSm5LoR59bDP8DMXBicGjYRwFuOQDJtohFXsk4Diczfvn8TSEAXWQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKNQYYVvQMomMSBxTRYJniaSTXU0ujNGj0f5lgB9iaJiajbLyBvv3Ukibebw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKOJFyWZm7tCGoicrdFibI0RmWKpaQeRv3zaIMv21w8K7fCBrDZkgHouyA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKpXhmVdgB2QZDlm2icGOtHt2WnGI21GhNTFpzqBpVr6UPuyfUibIjy0Cw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKDia9WzTvI2JXfAiaRt765eibQvzMmdRyOoib9X5EJvLVlv3NdAne140U1g/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKViadCtwrGmGQj9e2yM7s4Dl8hGCUx72jd9PWTQ59loEUoBR5w7mY8Mw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwK5qLJdogibAz3sKzXYJia7MSKBwSuMdIUNaXCeMwaictLPJkFtnsKS42UA/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKxoPtTjiaW6hOgNbWEYiba10redGiazYIbN6Zl0GO791Pw64RkxKHNPBLw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKrfPo0hGibvbCnicNc7QwjIAIQepeFTxibxcbzrYXh00Rp6ia4OdibrJSBQg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKBM6umPJ4yPgztMgRTTJibbBHpukNkwpjWX24Uv3DSdmrjiaE53F915Sg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><p><img data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/zd226QNNqG5C2chB8kDVg9kHV9SQcjwKhchbdSQsSLBd274mUVq9uyMSIYNkS53yiabf38FkUWnqtg6EOrWiaNmw/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="0.5625" data-w="1280" /></p><section class="" style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 1.5em; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; line-height: 25.6px; white-space: normal; border-width: medium; border-style: none; border-color: currentcolor; -moz-border-top-colors: none; -moz-border-right-colors: none; -moz-border-bottom-colors: none; -moz-border-left-colors: none; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section class="" style="margin: auto; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; border-color: rgb(71, 193, 168); width: 3em; text-align: center; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-family: inherit; font-size: 1em; text-decoration: inherit; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;"><section class="" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; border-radius: 50%; width: 3em; height: 3em; line-height: 3.5em; overflow: hidden; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: middle; display: inline-block; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(71, 193, 168);"><section class="" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;">更多</section></section><section class="" style="margin: -0.92em auto auto; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; width: 0px; font-family: inherit; border-top: 3em solid rgb(71, 193, 168); overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; border-right: 1.4em solid transparent ! important; border-left: 1.4em solid transparent ! important;"><br style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;" /></section></section></section><p style="max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; line-height: 25.6px; white-space: normal; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; line-height: 25.6px; white-space: normal; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; line-height: 25.6px; white-space: normal; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;" /></p><fieldset class="" style="margin-top: 0.8em; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; min-width: 0px; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: currentcolor; -moz-border-top-colors: none; -moz-border-right-colors: none; -moz-border-bottom-colors: none; -moz-border-left-colors: none; text-align: center; color: rgb(129, 120, 119); font-size: 13.63px; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span class="" style="padding: 0.3em 0.5em; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; border-color: rgb(249, 110, 87); border-radius: 0.5em; text-align: inherit; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-family: inherit; font-size: 1em; font-weight: inherit; text-decoration: inherit; display: inline-block; box-shadow: 0.2em 0.2em 0.1em rgb(165, 165, 165); overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(160, 160, 160);"><p style="max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;">禾略中国：helue_China</p></span></fieldset><p style="max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; white-space: normal; text-align: center; color: rgb(129, 120, 119); font-size: 13.63px; font-weight: bold; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="max-width: 100%; font-size: 10px; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;"><br style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;" /></span></p><hr style="max-width: 100%; white-space: normal; text-align: justify; color: rgb(129, 120, 119); font-size: 13.63px; font-weight: bold; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" /><p style="max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; white-space: normal; text-align: center; color: rgb(129, 120, 119); font-size: 13.63px; font-weight: bold; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="max-width: 100%; font-size: 10px; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;">陪你想，陪你写，陪你玩</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; line-height: 25.6px; white-space: normal; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; white-space: normal; text-align: justify; line-height: 24px; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><img data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/zd226QNNqG4z3ZLnvGz7yzYuZ21wHoX53ZpOwnQhPmGbl2SxSiboaKiaW8L2CuhQBnhRkhP7Z47icicDduyXibFxAAg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="640" style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 32px; font-family: 宋体; box-sizing: border-box ! important; overflow-wrap: break-word ! important; width: auto ! important; visibility: visible ! important;" /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p>

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