<section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 0em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;">æè¦ï¼</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ¿æ²»ååå¯è½å½±åç¾å½ç»æµæ¿çï¼ä½æææå¨2026å¹´åæ¾ç°</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">é¢è®¡æ¶è´¹å¢é¿æ¾ç¼ï¼ä¼ä¸æèµè°¨æ </span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ç»æµå¢éå¯è½éæ¥ä¸éï¼2025å¹´2.7%ï¼2026å¹´1.9%ï¼ä¹å1.6%</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">éèå¯è½ç»§ç»ä¸éï¼ä½é度æ¾ç¼</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">央è¡å¯è½å¨2025å¹´å¼å§éæ¯ï¼ä½åå³äºç»æµç¶åµ</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ææ¿å å¯è½ä¼èµ¢å¾å½ä¼ä¸¤é¢çæ§å¶æãè¿ä¼å½±åç¾å½çå¾å¤æ¿çï¼æ¯å¦ç¨æ¶ãå ³ç¨ã移æ°åç管ãè¿äºæ¿çååçå½±å主è¦ä¼å¨2026å¹´ä¹åæè½çå°ã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ç¾å½ç»æµçå 个éè¦æ¹é¢ï¼</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">1. æ¶è´¹æ åµ</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å»å¹´æ¶è´¹ä¸ç´æ¯ç»æµç主è¦æ¯æãä»å¹´å°ç°å¨ï¼ä¸ªäººæ¶è´¹å¢é¿äº2.5%ï¼ä¸å£åº¦å¢é¿äº3.7%ï¼æ´ä½è¡¨ç°ä¸éã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ä½æ¯ï¼æ们认为æªæ¥æ¶è´¹å¯è½ä¼åå°ãåå æï¼</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ¿åºå¨2025å¹´å¯è½ä¼åå°è´¢æ¿æ¯æï¼è¿ä¼å½±åå°±ä¸</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">éè´§è¨èå·²ç»å¼å§ä¸éï¼ä¸åè½åºæ¿æ¶è´¹</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ä¸äºäº§åå¯è½ä¼å åææ涨价èåè´µï¼å¯è½ä¼ç¨å¾®å½±åæ¶è´¹</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ们é¢è®¡æ¶è´¹å¢é¿é度ä¼æ ¢æ ¢ä¸éï¼2025å¹´2.7%ï¼2026å¹´2.4%ï¼ä¹åå¯è½éå°1.7%ã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">2. ä¼ä¸æ´»å¨</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å»å¹´ä¼ä¸è¡¨ç°è¿ä¸éãä»2020å¹´ä¸åå¹´å°2023å¹´ä¸åå¹´ï¼åºç¡è®¾æ½æèµå¢é¿å¾å¿«ï¼ä¸»è¦æ¯å 为æ¿åºé¼å±å¶é ä¸æèµã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ä½æ¯ï¼æè¿ä¸å¹´æèµå¼å§ä¸éï¼ä¸å£åº¦ä¸éæ´ææ¾ãç¥è¯äº§ææèµä¹å¨åå°ã设å¤æèµè¿å¯ä»¥ï¼è½ç¶ç§æ产åè¿å£åå°äºï¼ä½é£æºåèªç©ºè®¾å¤è¿å£å¢å äºã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æªæ¥çæ åµï¼</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ä¼ä¸è®¢åååè´§éæ¯ä»¥åä½</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å³ä½¿æ°é¢å¯¼äººä¸ä»»ï¼æ¿çè¿æ¯ä¸ç¡®å®ï¼æ¯å¦åç¨åæ¾æ¾ç管çå ·ä½ç»èè¿ä¸æ¸ æ¥</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ¿çä¸ç¡®å®ä¼è®©ä¼ä¸ä¸æ¿ææèµï¼ä¹ä¼å½±åæ¶è´¹</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å³ä½¿æ¿çæç¡®äºï¼ä»å¶å®å°å®æ½åå°è§æä¹éè¦æ¶é´</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ以ï¼æ们认为2025å¹´ä¼ä¸æèµå¯è½ä¼ç»§ç»åå°ãå°2026å¹´ä¸åå¹´ï¼éçä¸äºä¸ç¡®å®å ç´ æ¶é¤ååç¨æ¹æ¡åºå°ï¼æèµå¯è½ä¼ç¨å¾®å¢å ã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">3. æ¿åºæ¿ç</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ¿åºçè´¢æ¿æ¯æä¸ç´å¾éè¦ãå¦ææå æ§å¶ä¸¤é¢ï¼å¯è½ä¼æ¨åºæ´å¤§çè´¢æ¿åºæ¿æ¹æ¡ãä½2025å¹´çæ¿ççµæ´»æ§ä¸é«ï¼å 为大é¨åæ¯åºå·²ç»ç¡®å®ï¼æ°æ¿çä¼åå°éå¶ã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ°æ¿åºå¯è½ä¼æ³è¦åç¨ï¼å»¶ç»ä¹åçåç¨æ¿çãè¿å¯è½ä¼å¨2026æ2027å¹´å½±åç»æµã2017å¹´çåç¨æ³æ¡ä¸ï¼ä¼ä¸åç¨æ¯é¿æçï¼ä½å¤§é¨å个人åè·¨ä¼ä¸ç¨æ¶æ¿çå°å¨2025å¹´åºå°æãå½ä¼éè¦å³å®åªäºæ¿çå¯ä»¥ç»§ç»ã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ä¸äºå¯è½ç»§ç»çæ¿çå æ¬ï¼é¼å±ä¼ä¸è®¾å¤ææ§çåç¨ãå ¨çä½ç¨æ å½¢èµäº§ç¸å ³çç¨æ¶ï¼ä»¥åä¸äºä¸ªäººç¨æ¶æ£åãä½æ¯ï¼å®å ¨å»¶ç»æææ¿çææ¬å¾é«ï¼å¯è½éè¦å ä¸äº¿ç¾å ï¼æ以å¯è½ä¼æè°æ´ã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">延ç»è¿äºåç¨æ¿çä¸ä¼å¸¦æ¥æ°çè´¢æ¿åºæ¿ï¼åªæ¯é¿å ç¨æ¶å¤§å¹ å¢å ãä¼ä¸ç¨å¯è½ä¼ä»21%éå°18%å·¦å³ï¼è¿ä¼å¸¦æ¥ä¸äºç»æµåºæ¿ä½ç¨ã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ们é¢è®¡ï¼è´¢æ¿åºæ¿å¯¹ç»æµå¢é¿çè´¡ç®ä¼éæ¸åå°ãä»2023年第åå£åº¦ç1个ç¾åç¹ï¼å°2024å¹´ç0.4个ç¾åç¹ï¼2025å¹´å¯è½åæ0.2个ç¾åç¹çè´é¢å½±åã2026å¹´æ°æ¿çåºå°åï¼å¯è½ä¼æ微弱çæ£é¢è´¡ç®ã</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">4. 综åé¢æµ</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">综åè¿äºå ç´ ï¼æ们认为ï¼</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ¶è´¹ä¼æç»æ¾ç¼</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ä¼ä¸å¨ä¸ç¡®å®çç¯å¢ä¸å¯è½ä¸æ¿æ大éæèµ</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ç¾å½ç»æµå¢éä¼éæ¥æ¾ç¼ï¼2025å¹´2.7%ï¼2026å¹´1.9%ï¼ä¹å1.6%ï¼åç°æ¸©åä¸éè¶å¿</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">éçç»æµæ´»å¨æ¾ç¼ï¼å³å¨åå¸åºå¯è½ä¼ç»§ç»èµ°å¼±ãè½ç¶æ°æ®å¯è½ä¼ææ³¢å¨ï¼ä½æ»ä½æ¥çï¼</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å°±ä¸æ åµå¯è½ä¼æç»æ¶å</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">失ä¸çå¯è½ä¼å°å¹ ä¸åï¼å°2027å¹´æä¼åè½</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å·¥èµå¢é¿ä¹å¯è½æ¾ç¼ï¼è¿ä¼å¯¹æ¶è´¹äº§çè´é¢å½±å</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">5. éèå±æ</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ们认为éèå¯è½ä¼ç»§ç»ä¸éï¼ä½ä¸éé度ä¸ä¼å¾å¿«ã让æ们ççæªæ¥å 个æçæ åµï¼</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">2024å¹´å¹´åºï¼</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 0em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;">è½æºä»·æ ¼ä¸éè¶å¿å·²ç»æ¥è¿ç»æ</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">äºæè½¦ä»·æ ¼å¨ä¸å</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å¯è½ä¼çå°éèå°å¹ 温ååå¼¹</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">éèææ é¢æµï¼</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">PCEï¼ä¸ªäººæ¶è´¹æ¯åºï¼ï¼ä»ç°å¨ç2.1%å·¦å³ï¼12æå¯è½åå°2.5%å·¦å³</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ ¸å¿PCEï¼å¯è½ä¿æå¨2.7%-2.8%ï¼çæå ä¸ä¼ä¸é</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">2025å¹´ï¼</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">éèå¯è½ä¼ç»§ç»åè½</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å½±åå ç´ å æ¬ï¼ååä¾ç»ä¸åï¼è¿å£ä»·æ ¼ç¸å¯¹ç¨³å®ï¼ç§éä»·æ ¼åè½ï¼å³å¨åå¸åºæ¾ç¼ï¼å·¥èµå¢éåè½</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">é¢è®¡å¹´åºéèå¯è½åå°2.2%å·¦å³ï¼æ¥è¿2%çç®æ ï¼ä½è¿æªå®å ¨è¾¾å°</span></section></li></ul><p><span style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 0em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;">2026å¹´ï¼</span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">éçå ³ç¨æ¿çååï¼æ ¸å¿éèå¯è½ä¼ç¥å¾®ä¸åå°2.4%-2.5%</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">2027å¹´å¯è½ä¼ç»§ç»å°å¹ åè½</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">6. ä¸ç¡®å®å ç´ </span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å ¬å¸å¢é¿é度</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">ä½æ¿ç§éåå</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">æ°æ¿åºç移æ°æ¿ç</span></section></li><li><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">å ³ç¨æ¿ççå½±å</span></section></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 0px 24px;text-indent: 0em;"><span style="font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-decoration: none;">7. 央è¡æ¿çé¢æµ</span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><section style="line-height: 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