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2026年1—7月全国经济运行与全行业分析报告

发布于 2026-08-20

<p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:14.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 24px;">总纲</span></span></span></b></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:14.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">一句话定调:总量筑底、结构向新</span></span><font face="黑体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">——生产端新动能贡献过半,需求端投资消费双承压,出口成为唯一显著超预期项;经济呈"动能向新、结构向优"但"供强需弱"矛盾仍在加深,稳增长需财政金融协同加力。</span></span></font></span></b></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">四段递进:</span></span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">1.</span></span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">总量:</span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: normal;">1—7月规上工业增加值同比+5.3%、服务业生产指数+4.7%,生产端保持平稳;但7月单月工</span></span></span></b><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">业</span></font><span leaf="">+4.5%、社零+0.6%、固投环比-1.42%,边际动能较上半年走弱,主要受极端天气、高基数与内需偏弱共同压制。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">2.</span></span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">结构:</span></font></span></b><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">新动能对工业增长贡献率达五成</span></font><span leaf="">(较上半年提高约3个百分点),高技术制造业+13.8%、装备制造业+9.7%持续领跑;传统行业分化加剧——煤炭采选、非金属矿物制品、水泥产量深度负增长,建筑链条全面收缩。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">3.</span></span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">需求:</span></font></span></b><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">消费低位徘徊</span></font><span leaf="">(1—7月社零+1.2%,服务零售+5.0%显著快于商品),投资三大板块全线走弱(固投-6.7%、基建-3.6%、制造业-1.7%、房地产-19.2%),唯出口高增(1—7月美元计+18.5%)成为最大支撑。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">4.</span></span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">判断:</span></font></span></b><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">新旧动能切换期</span></font><span leaf="">"总量压力"与"结构亮点"并存;短期看,8000亿新型政策性金融工具落地、专项债发行提速与"六张网""两新"政策执行是投资止跌回稳的关键变量;中长期看,AI产业链与新质生产力是唯一确定性的增长主线。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">核心数据速览</span></font><span leaf="">(总纲表)</span></span></b></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:11.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:560px;"><tbody><tr style="height:26.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="112" width="220" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">指标</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="112" width="224" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">7月</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="118" width="224" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">1—7月累计</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="218" width="218" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">趋势判断</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="112" width="220" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">规上工业增加值</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="112" width="224" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+4.5%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="118" width="224" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.3%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="218" width="218" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">平稳,边际放缓</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="112" width="220" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">服务业生产指数</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="112" width="224" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+4.3%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="118" width="224" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+4.7%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="218" width="218" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">平稳</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:40.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="112" width="220" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">社会消费品零售总</span></font></span><span style="font-family:等线;font-size:10.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><br /></span></span><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">额</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="112" width="224" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+0.6% (39022亿</span></span><span style="font-family:等线;font-size:10.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><br /></span></span><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><span leaf="">)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="118" width="224" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+1.2% (287744亿</span></span><span style="font-family:等线;font-size:10.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><br /></span></span><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">元</span></font><span leaf="">)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="218" width="218" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">低位徘徊</span></font></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:8.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:564px;"><tbody><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">固定资产投资</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(不含农户)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">环比</span></font><span leaf="">-1.42%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-6.7% (260328亿元)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">偏弱加深</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:27.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">基建投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-3.6%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">承压,待政策发力</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">制造业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.7%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">降幅收窄</span></font><span leaf="">0.5pct</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">房地产开发投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-19.2% (43009亿元)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">深度调整</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">出口</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(美元计)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+23.9%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+18.5%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">超预期强</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">进口</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(美元计)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+27.5%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+26.7%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">强</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">CPI</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+0.5% (核心+0.9%)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">温和</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">PPI</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+3.5% (环比-0.7%)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">涨幅回落</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">制造业</span></font><span leaf="">PMI</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">49.2%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">重回荣枯线下</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">非制造业商务活动指数</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">49.0%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">回落</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">城镇调查失业率</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">5.2%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">总体稳定</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:47.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">社融存量增速</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+7.4% (463.27万亿)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">合理宽松</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:43.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="115" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">M2增速</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="110" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+7.7% (355.51万亿)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="101" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">合理宽松</span></font></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 20px;font-weight: bold;">篇章一:政策宏观</span></span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">1.1全球环境:地缘扰动与能源波动</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 21pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">国际地缘政治冲突持续,全球能源市场不稳定不确定因素较多;美国与伊朗谅解备忘录</span></font><span leaf="">60天谈判窗口期满未获实质进展,中东风险推高油价与美债收益率,外部需求与输入性通胀压力并存(B级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 1pt;margin-left: 19pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">美国通胀降温存疑,商业零售业高管警告消费者承受力逼近极限、低收入群体出现负现金流,海外消费链景气边际转弱</span></font><span leaf="">(C级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">1.2国内政策总基调</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">·7月30日中央政治局会议定调:有效扩大国内需求、适应不同群体消费需求扩大优质供给、挖掘服务消费潜力;部署"十五五"开局之年稳增长工作(B级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">·财政端:推进"两重"建设与"两新"工作,加快财政支出和债券资金使用进度;下半年8000亿元新型政策性金融工具将落地显效;8月新增专项债发行进度加快(B/C级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 12pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">• 货币端: 7月末社融存量463.27万亿元(+7.4%)、M2355.51万亿元(+7.7%),增速均高于名义GDP,社会融资条件整体宽松;企业新发放贷款加权平均利率略低于3%、个人住房贷款约3.1%,利率维持低位(A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">·产业端:深入实施"人工智能+"行动,着力打造新兴支柱产业,持续推动传统产业改造升级;推进全国统一大市场建设、深化"反内卷"与产能治理(B级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">1.3金融结构特征</span></span></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:11.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:519px;"><tbody><tr style="height:26.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">指标</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">数值</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">说明</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">社融存量</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">463.27万亿, +7.4%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">增速高于名义</span></font><span leaf="">GDP</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:27.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">M2余额</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">355.51万亿, +7.7%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">保持合理增长</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:26.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">人民币贷款余额</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.1%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">信贷供给充足</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">前</span></font><span leaf="">7月企业债券净融资</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">2.52万亿元,同比多1.1万亿</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">直接融资占比提升</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:45.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">前</span></font><span leaf="">7月企事业单位贷款</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+11万亿元,其中中长期</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.32万亿</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">中长期占比近五成</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">普惠小微贷款余额</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">38.19万亿, +9%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">高于各项贷款增速</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:45.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">不含房地产服务业中长期贷款</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">61.94万亿, +9.3%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">结构性工具发力</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:27.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="166" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">民营企业再贷款余额</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="167" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">约</span></font><span leaf="">8000亿元</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="186" width="298" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:15.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">1月新设1万亿工具</span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">判断:货币环境</span></font><span leaf="">"总量宽松、结构向优",但信贷传导到实体投资存在时滞;债券融资放量反映企业对传统信贷依赖度下降,直接融资渠道拓宽是中期趋势(判断句)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:13.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 20px;font-weight: bold;">篇章二:要素投入与供给侧</span></span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 12pt;margin-left: 12pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">框架映射说明:地产框架中</span></font><span leaf="">"土地供应"对应供给端先行指标,跨行业映射为固定资产投资(要素投入)、工业生产(供给产出)、产品产量(实物供给)三层。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">2.1固定资产投资:总量下台阶,结构换引擎</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">• 1—7月全国固定资产投资(不含农户) 260328亿元,同比-6.7%,降幅较1——6月扩大1.0pct;扣除房地产开发投资后-3.7%, 7月环比-1.42% (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">• 三大板块:基建-3.6% (降幅扩大1.2pct)、制造业-1.7% (降幅收窄0.5pct)、房地产-19.2% (降幅扩大1.2pct)——制造业边际改善,基建与地产拖累加深。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 19pt;margin-left: 22pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">· 主体结构:国有控股-3.3%、民间投资-9.4%(民间信心仍弱);内资-6.4%、港澳台-8.1%、外资-5.4% (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 29pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">• 区域结构:东部-8.6%、中部-6.4%、西部-8.6%、东北-24.6%——东北塌陷式收缩,区域分化极端(A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 2pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;">结构性亮点</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;">(投资向新)</span>:</span></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:11.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:541px;"><tbody><tr style="height:26.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">指标</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">1—7月增速</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">说明</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高技术产业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.0%(较上半年加快0.4pct)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">拉动全部投资</span></font><span leaf="">+0.5pct</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高技术制造业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+3.3%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">电子电路</span></font><span leaf="">+57.7%、集成电路+11.5%、锂电+23.0%</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高技术服务业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+8.4%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">信息服务</span></font><span leaf="">+19.2%</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">知识产权产品投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+9.1%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">占比</span></font><span leaf="">14.8%, 同比+2.1pct</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">设备工器具购置投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+9.0%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">占比</span></font><span leaf="">19.1%, 同比+2.8pct,拉动+1.5pct</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">信息传输业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+26.0%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">"六张网"带动</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:30.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">互联网和相关服务业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+41.3%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">AI算力建设</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">航空运输业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+15.7%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">水上运输业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+16.2%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="184" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">电力供应业投资</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="80" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+16.0%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="277" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 2pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;">分行业投资明细</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;">(同比增长,%)</span>:</span></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:11.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:542px;"><tbody><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="116" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">行业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="64" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">增速</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="128" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">行业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="234" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">增速</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="116" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">农林牧渔业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="64" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.1</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="128" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">采矿业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="234" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+3.3</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:47.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="116" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">制造业</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(整体)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="64" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.7</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="128" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">铁路船舶航空航天运输设备</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="234" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+18.7</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="116" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">农副食品加工业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="64" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-3.0</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="128" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">计算机通信和其他电子设备</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="234" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+7.8</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="116" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">食品制造业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="64" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-9.4</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="128" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">电气机械和器材</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="234" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+1.4</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="116" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">纺织业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="64" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+7.9</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="128" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">通用设备</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="234" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+1.4</span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:6.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:550px;"><tbody><tr style="height:45.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="123" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">化学原料和化学制品</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="63" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-7.4</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="126" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">专用设备</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-9.2</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:27.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="123" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">医药制造</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="63" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-9.8</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="126" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">汽车制造</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-5.3</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="123" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">有色金属冶炼压延</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="63" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-3.9</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="126" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">电力热力燃气水</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-5.3</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="123" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">金属制品业</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="63" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-6.9</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="126" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">交通运输仓储邮政</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+2.5</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:45.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="123" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">水利环境和公共设施管理</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="63" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-9.1</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="126" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">教育</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-14.9</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:27.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="123" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">卫生和社会工作</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="63" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-13.0</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="126" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">文化体育娱乐</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="238" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-13.3</span></span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 2pt;margin-left: 1pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">判断:投资总量收缩主因是地方化债、广义财政资金待落地与地产深度调整;但</span></font><span leaf="">"设备更新+高技术+新基建"三引擎对冲传统投资下滑,制造业投资占比升至26.6%(同比+1.4pct),投资结构实质性向新 (判断句)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 1pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">2.2工业生产:总量平稳,新动能贡献五成</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 1pt;margin-left: 1pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">/1—7月规上工业增加值+5.3%;7月单月+4.5% (环比+0.11%), 增速较上月放缓0.8pct, 受高基数与淡季影响 (A级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 33pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">●&nbsp;<span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">三大门类 (7月)</span>:采矿业-4.2%、制造业+5.5%、电力热力燃气水+5.0%;41个大类行业中25个保持增长 (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 4pt;margin-left: 34pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">●&nbsp;<span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">经济类型 (7月)</span>:国有控股+1.6%、股份制+5.0%、外商港澳台+2.8%、私营+3.7%——外资与国企偏弱,民企韧性尚可 (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 1pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">主要行业增加值增速</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">&nbsp;(%,7月/1—7月):</span></span></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:6.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:554px;"><tbody><tr style="height:26.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="99" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">行业</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="41" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">7月</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="38" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">1—7月</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="102" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">行业</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="141" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">7月</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="133" width="154" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">1—7月</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:45.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="99" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">计算机通信电子</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="41" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+19.1</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="38" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+15.4</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="102" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">煤炭开采洗选</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="141" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">-10.8</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="133" width="154" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+1.6</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="99" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">铁路船舶航空航天</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="41" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+13.6</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="38" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+12.7</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="102" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">石油天然气开采</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="141" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+6.1</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="133" width="154" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+5.0</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:45.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="99" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">专用设备制造</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="41" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+12.6</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="38" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+8.8</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="102" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">农副食品加工</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="141" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+3.8</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="133" width="154" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+4.7</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:45.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="99" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">通用设备制造</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="41" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+9.5</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="38" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+7.9</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="102" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">食品制造</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="141" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+9.0</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="133" width="154" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+8.4</span></span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:45.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="99" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">电气机械器材</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="41" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+8.8</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="38" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+6.5</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="102" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">酒饮料精制茶</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="141" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+2.6</span></span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="133" width="154" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:12.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:9.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">+2.4</span></span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:9.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:548px;"><tbody><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="90" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">汽车制造</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="44" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+8.7</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="40" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+7.2</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="115" width="162" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">纺织业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="129" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+2.3</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="130" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+3.1</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="90" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">金属制品业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="44" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+7.3</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="40" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.2</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="115" width="162" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">化学原料化学制品</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="129" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.2</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="130" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+4.1</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="90" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">医药制造</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="44" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+2.8</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="40" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.3</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="115" width="162" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">非金属矿物制品</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="129" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-3.3</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="130" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-2.9</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="90" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">橡胶塑料制品</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="44" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.0</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="40" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+6.4</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="115" width="162" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">黑色金属冶炼压延</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="129" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+0.3</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="130" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+1.8</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="90" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">电力热力生产供应</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="44" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.3</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="40" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+6.0</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="115" width="162" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">有色金属冶炼压延</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="129" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-2.5</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="130" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">-0.7</span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">主要产品产量</span></font><span leaf="">(7月):钢材11646万吨(-4.1%)、水泥12671万吨(-11.6%)、平板玻璃7598万重量箱(-3.6%)、生铁6835万吨(-4.5%)、粗钢7693万吨(-3.6%)、十种有色金属697万吨(+2.5%)、布26亿米(+2.0%)、硫酸768万吨(-14.0%)、化学纤维706万吨(-1.7%) (A级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">结构亮点:</span></span></font></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:9.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:553px;"><tbody><tr style="height:30.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="117" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">板块</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="122" width="318" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">7月增速</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="314" width="314" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">关键细节</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="117" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">装备制造业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="122" width="318" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+12.3% (占比38.2%,+2.6pct)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="314" width="314" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">8个行业全部正增长</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="117" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">电子行业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="122" width="318" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+19.1%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="314" width="314" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">对工业增长贡献率</span></font><span leaf="">43.7%,居首位</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="117" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高技术制造业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="122" width="318" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+16.9% (加快2.8pct)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="314" width="314" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">集成电路制造</span></font><span leaf="">+109.3%、飞机制造+38.3%</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="117" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">数字产品制造业</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="122" width="318" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+17.3% (加快3.5pct)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="314" width="314" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">电子元器件</span></font><span leaf="">+24.7%、智能设备+15.1%</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:48.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="117" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">新能源汽车链</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="122" width="318" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">电动车辆</span></font><span leaf="">+33.6%、新能源车+29.9%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="314" width="314" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">带动锂离子电池</span></font><span leaf="">+58.8%</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:65.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="117" width="316" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">AI产业链产品</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="122" width="318" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">传感器</span></font><span leaf="">+35.3%、存储芯片+30.2%、工业机器人+30.2%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="314" width="314" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">智能手环</span></font><span leaf="">+100.0%</span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">判断:工业生产</span></font><span leaf="">"总量稳、结构优"——新动能领域(高技术+数字产品)对工业增长贡献率约五成,电子成为第一支柱行业;但煤炭、建材、钢铁等传统周期行业深度负增长,供给侧收缩与"反内卷"治理同步进行(判断句)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 20px;font-weight: bold;">篇章三:需求侧与市场成交</span></span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 12pt;margin-left: 12pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">框架映射说明:地产框架中</span></font><span leaf="">"市场成交"对应终端销售,跨行业映射为社会消费品零售(居民消费)、进出口(外部需求)、商品房销售(地产链条)三层。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">3.1消费:低位徘徊,服务强于商品</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 17pt;margin-left: 18pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">• 7月社零总额39022亿元, +0.6% (环比+0.06%),增速较上月回落0.4pct; 1—7月287744亿元,+1.2% (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 19pt;margin-left: 18pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">• 结构分化:除汽车外零售额7月+2.5%、1—7月+2.7%——汽车是最大拖累项;城镇+1.1%、乡村+2.4%,乡村韧性更强。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 18pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">• 服务消费显著快于商品:1—7月服务零售额+5.0%,比商品零售额增速高3.9pct;旅游咨询租赁服务+11%、文体休闲服务+10.1%,暑期消费效应显现(B级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 24pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">• 网上零售: 1—7月网上商品和服务零售额117214亿元(+4.8%),其中实物商品网上零售73965亿元(+4.6%);吃类+16.9%、穿类+5.8%、用类+1.1% (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">分品类零售额</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">(亿元,同比%, 7月/1—7月):</span></span></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:7.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:547px;"><tbody><tr style="height:27.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">7月</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">1—7月</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">7月</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">1—7月</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">粮油食品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.3</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(1794)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+7.2</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(13813)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">通讯器材类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+20.4</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(787)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+15.1</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(6310)</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:47.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">饮料类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+3.5 (278)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.6</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(1866)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">文化办公用品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+7.4 (393)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+6.0</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(2834)</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">烟酒类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+6.0 (431)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+12.4</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(3966)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">家用电器音像器材</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.9 (946)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-6.6 (6372)</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:47.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">服装鞋帽针纺织品</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.0 (922)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+5.8</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(8628)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">家具类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-8.8 (145)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-4.5 (1004)</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:47.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">化妆品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+6.8 (285)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+6.3</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(2723)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">建筑及装潢材料</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-14.2 (94)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-9.5 (690)</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">金银珠宝类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-10.1</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(189)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+0.7</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(2123)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">汽车类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-17.0</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(3130)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-13.2</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(22602)</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">日用品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+1.8 (652)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+4.1</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(4973)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">石油及制品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-7.6</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(1701)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-5.9</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(12326)</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="89" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">体育娱乐用品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="82" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-10.6</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(125)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="86" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-3.5 (996)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="113" width="158" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">中西药品类</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="83" width="160" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:center;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+6.7 (577)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="94" width="156" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:8.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">+3.8</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:15.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:17.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(4179)</span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 2pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">业态分化</span></font><span leaf="">(1—7月):便利店+6.1%、超市+3.8%;专业店-1.8%、百货店-2.4%、品牌专卖店-9.3%——体验型/便利型业态强,传统大店与专卖店承压(A级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">判断:</span></font></span></b><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">消费是当前最大短板</span></font><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">——补贴退坡(去年7月"国补"690亿 vs今年第三批625亿)叠加居民收入预期偏弱,耐用品(汽车、家电、家具)深度负增长;结构性亮点在服务消费与"以旧换新+AI新品"(通讯器材因芯片涨价+新品迭代+20.4%)。财政金融协同促内需的政策力度是下半年消费回升的关键(判断句)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:13.5000pt;"><span leaf="">3.2外贸:出口超预期,机电主导</span></span></b></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 34pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 7月(美元计):出口3978.52亿美元(+23.9%,预期+23%,较6月回落3.1pct);进口2853.53亿美元(+27.5%,略低于预期+29.7%);顺差约1125亿美元(A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 34pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 1—7月(美元计):出口+18.5%、进口+26.7%、顺差6873.3亿美元;人民币计进出口总值30.13万亿元(+17.3%),出口17.44万亿(+14%)、进口12.69万亿(+22%) (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 34pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 商品结构(1—7月人民币计):机电产品出口11.12万亿元(+21.2%,占出口63.8%, +3.8pct);劳密产品2.37万亿(-1.4%);农产品出口+3.7%;进口机电5.31万亿(+29.7%);原油进口量-13.2%(A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 34pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 贸易伙伴(1—7月):东盟+20% (5.14万亿)、欧盟+9.5% (3.67万亿)、美国-1.6% (2.38万亿)、拉美+15.4%、非洲+18.9%、共建"一带一路"国家+15.5% (15.36万亿)、APEC其他经济体+21%(A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 34pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 工业出口(7月):规上工业企业出口交货值1.4万亿元(+10.4%);汽车、电子行业出口交货值分别+41.2%、+8.4%,对工业出口增长贡献率合计56.5% (B级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">判断:</span></font></span></b><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">出口是上半年经济最大超预期项</span></font><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">——机电产品+汽车链条+对新兴市场开拓(东盟、拉美、非洲、一带一路两位数增长)共同支撑;对美贸易仍为负增长,贸易转移与多元化策略效果显著。但高基数与全球需求走弱风险下,下半年出口增速大概率回落,稳外贸需持续(判断句)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:13.5000pt;"><span leaf="">3.3房地产市场:深度调整延续</span></span></b></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 1—7月房地产开发投资43009亿元(-19.2%);住宅投资33172亿元(-19.1%) (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 17pt;margin-left: 17pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 施工面积557572万</span></font></span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡</span></font></span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(-12.7%);新开工26700万&nbsp;</span></span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡</span></font></span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(-24.0%);竣工19195万&nbsp;</span></span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡</span></font></span><span style="letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(-23.2%) (A</span></span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">级</span></font><span leaf="">)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 34pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 销售:新建商品房销售面积45021万&nbsp;</span></font></span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">㎡</span></font></span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">(-11.8%),住宅-12.7%;销售额42718亿元(-13.1%),住宅-13.2% (A级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 34pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf="">● 判断:销售降幅收窄但仍深度负增长,"止跌回稳"尚未兑现;新开工-24%意味着供给端继续收缩,地产链条(建材、家具、装修)需求承压,与工业端水泥-11.6%、建材零售-14.2%相互印证(判断句)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:13.5000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 20px;">篇章四:亮点行业与新兴赛道</span></span></font></span></b></p><p style="margin-right: 5pt;margin-left: 15pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:10.0000pt;"><font face="黑体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">框架映射说明:地产框架中</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;">"热销项目"关注结构性畅销标的,跨行业映射为高增长行业、爆款产品、热门赛道。</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:bold;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:13.5000pt;"><span leaf="">4.1亮点行业全景表</span></span></b></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:15.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:546px;"><tbody><tr style="height:19.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="83" width="230" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:10.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;">赛道</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="100" width="234" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:10.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;">核心指标</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="232" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:10.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;">关键数据</span></span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="228" width="228" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:10.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 16px;font-weight: bold;">景气判断</span></span></font></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:8.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:557px;"><tbody><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">AI/半导体</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">集成电路制造增加值</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+109.3% (7月)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">爆发式增长</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">电子</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(计算机通信)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">增加值</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+19.1% (7月), 贡献率43.7%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">第一支柱</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:31.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">数字产品制造</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">增加值</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+17.3% (7月)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高景气</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高技术制造</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">增加值</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+16.9% (7月)、+13.8% (1—7月)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">持续领跑</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:50.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">装备制造</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">增加值</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+12.3% (7月), 占比38.2%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">压舱石</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:31.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">铁路船舶航空航天</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">增加值</span></font><span leaf="">/固投</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+13.6%/+18.7%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">双高增长</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">新能源车链</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">新能源车产量</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+29.9% (7月), 锂电+58.8%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高景气</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:31.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">信息服务</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(软件IT)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">服务业生产指数</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+9.3% (7月)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">服务业领跑</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:31.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">商务服务</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">服务业生产指数</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+9.0% (7月)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">快速修复</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">文旅服务</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">服务零售额</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">旅游咨询</span></font><span leaf="">+11%、文体休闲+10.1%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">暑期旺季</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">出口链</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(机电)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="96" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">机电产品出口</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="135" width="240" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><span leaf="">+21.2% (1—7月),占比63.8%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="230" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.0000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">强势</span></font></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">4.2核心赛道拆解</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">AI产业链(景气之王):集成电路制造增加值+109.3%、电子专用设备+34.8%、电子专用材料+30.8%;存储芯片+30.2%、传感器+35.3%、电子元件+23.4%、光纤+21.1%;工业机器人+30.2%、机器人减速器+22.7%、智能手环+100.0%;AI带动消费电子迭代,平板电脑、计算机价格分别上涨11.3%、5.5%(B级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 8pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">高技术投资端:电子电路制造投资</span></font><span leaf="">+57.7%、锂电+23.0%、集成电路+11.5%;信息服务投资+19.2%、互联网相关服务投资+41.3%——AI算力建设与半导体扩产共振(B级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 1pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">出口链:</span></font><span leaf="">7月汽车行业出口交货值+41.2%(贡献率25.8%)、电子+8.4%(贡献率30.7%);铁路机车产量+90.2%、电站汽轮机+82.6%、民用钢质船舶+33.5%——"新三样"升级为"大装备+电子+AI"出口矩阵(B级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">判断:本轮景气主线高度集中于</span></font><span leaf="">"AI+先进制造"——电子、半导体、装备、新能源车、信息服务构成增长五极;传统周期(建材、钢铁、煤炭、地产链)全面收缩。行业间裂口(电子+19.1%vs水泥产量-11.6%)已远大于行业内部波动,"押注新动能、规避旧周期"是下半年行业配置的核心逻辑(判断句)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">篇章五:客户展望与投资再判断</span></span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 15px;font-weight: normal;">框架映射说明:地产框架中</span></span></font><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 15px;font-weight: normal;">"</span>客户展望"对应购房者信心与预期,跨行业映射为企业景气预期(PMI)、就业与居民收入、机构判断。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">5.1企业景气:PMI重回荣枯线下</span></span></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:7.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:537px;"><tbody><tr style="height:27.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">指标</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">7月</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">环比变化</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">解读</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">制造业</span></font><span leaf="">PMI</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">49.2%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.1pct</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">重回收缩区间</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">装备制造业</span></font><span leaf="">PMI</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">51.4%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">保持扩张</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高技术制造业</span></font><span leaf="">PMI</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">53.3%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">—</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">较快扩张</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:28.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">消费品行业</span></font><span leaf="">PMI</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">47.8%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-2.4pct</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">景气回落</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:29.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">高耗能行业</span></font><span leaf="">PMI</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">47.0%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-0.1pct</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">偏弱</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:46.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">制造业生产经营活动预期</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">54.1%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">总体乐观</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:47.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">非制造业商务活动指数</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">49.0%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.2pct</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">回落</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:47.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">服务业商务活动指数</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">49.3%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.1pct</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">活跃度回落</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:47.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:1.0000pt;text-indent:-1.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">建筑业商务活动指数</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">47.0%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-2.0pct</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">极端天气拖累</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:27.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="138" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">综合</span></font><span leaf="">PMI产出指数</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="71" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">49.3%</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="92" width="238" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><span leaf="">-1.3pct</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="236" width="236" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:16.0000pt;"><span style="font-family:DFSongGB-W5;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:12.5000pt;"><font face="DFSongGB-W5"><span leaf="">整体收缩</span></font></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 19pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">行业分化:通用设备、计算机通信电子产需均高于</span></font><span leaf="">53%;非金属矿物制品、黑色金属、汽车产需低于临界点;航空运输、住宿、文化体育娱乐因暑期消费明显回升;资本市场服务、房地产低于临界点 (B级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 19pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">预期亮点:食品酒饮料、铁路船舶航空航天设备行业预期指数升至</span></font><span leaf="">60%以上;建筑业业务活动预期51.8% (+0.7pct), 信心边际改善 (B级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">5.2就业与物价:总体稳定</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 10pt;margin-left: 20pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">·7月城镇调查失业率5.2%,与上年同期持平;30-59岁主力劳动力失业率3.9%,较上月下降(A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 3pt;margin-left: 18pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">● CPI7月+0.5% (环比-0.1%), 核心CPI+0.9%; 食品价格同比-1.5%, 猪肉价格环比转涨4.1%; 暑期出行带动旅行社、宾馆、机票价格环比上涨 (A级)。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 22pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf="">0 PPI7月+3.5%(环比-0.7%),涨幅回落0.6pct——输入性因素减弱+部分行业需求走弱,上游价格见顶回落迹象 (A级)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:13.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">5.3主要机构与政策判断 (C级)</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 22pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">· 基建:8000亿新型政策性金融工具落地+专项债发行提速+"十五五"开局项目储备充分,预计基建投资增速将由负转正,成为投资"止跌回稳"主要拉动。</span></font></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 22pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">制造业:电子通讯行业利润高增、高技术制造投资支撑,制造业投资有望企稳;但</span></font><span leaf="">"反内卷"与产能治理限制传统行业扩产。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 22pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf="">消费:政治局会议部署扩内需,财政金融协同促内需政策或优化提额扩围;服务消费是主要引擎。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 22pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf="">出口:</span><span leaf="">8月制造业PMI有趋稳回升基础,出口高基数下增速将回落但韧性仍在。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:13.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">5.4风险清单</span></span></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:16.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:549px;"><tbody><tr style="height:26.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="109" width="310" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">风险</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="134" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">等级</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="306" width="306" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">传导路径</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:55.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="109" width="310" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">内需持续偏弱</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="134" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">高</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="306" width="306" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;text-indent:6.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">消费</span></font><span leaf="">+0.6%、民间投</span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:6.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:6.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">资</span></font><span leaf="">-9.4%→企业盈利承压→就业与收入预期恶化</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:44.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="109" width="310" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">地产链二次探底</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="134" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">高</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="306" width="306" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">新开工</span></font><span leaf="">-24%→建材/家具/装修需求继续收缩</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:44.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="109" width="310" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">外部需求回落</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="134" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">中高</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="306" width="306" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">美欧消费走弱</span></font><span leaf="">+关税不确定性→出口增速回落</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:44.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="109" width="310" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">地方化债约束</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="134" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">中</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="306" width="306" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">广义财政资金到位节奏影响基建落地</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:44.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="109" width="310" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">上游通缩压力</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="134" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">中</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="306" width="306" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf="">PPI环比-0.7%→工业企业利润承压</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:44.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="109" width="310" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">极端天气扰动</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="134" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">低</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="306" width="306" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">高温暴雨影响施工与物流,</span></font><span leaf="">7月已有显现</span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:13.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-size: 18px;font-weight: bold;">5.5投资再判断 (核心结论)</span></span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 16pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">1.总量判断</span>:1—7月经济"生产稳、需求弱、出口强",全年GDP增长目标实现压力集中在下半年;财政货币协同加力 (8000亿政策性金融工具+专项债提速+降息通道)是大概率事件。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 16pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">2.结构判断:</span>新旧动能切换进入深水区——新动能贡献工业增长五成,但尚不足以对冲地产与基建收缩;"AI+先进制造"是唯一确定性主线,电子、半导体、装备、新能源车、信息服务五大方向景气延续。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 16pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">3.行业配置:</span>回避地产链、传统周期 (建材、钢铁、煤炭)与补贴退坡消费品;超配电子/AI算力、集成电路、高端装备、出口链 (汽车、船舶、机电)、服务消费 (文旅、信息、商务服务)。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 16pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">4.节奏判断</span>:三季度为政策发力窗口 (专项债+政策性工具集中投放),关注8月PMI能否重回扩张区间、基建投资能否转正两大验证信号。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 16pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.0000pt;"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="font-weight: bold;">5.风险提示:</span>若出口回落超预期且内需政策不及预期,全年"前高后低"风险上升;需密切跟踪8—9月政治局会议增量政策与金融数据改善情况。</span></span></p><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:14.0000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">附录:数据可靠性分级</span></font></span></p><table style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left:17.4000pt;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-top-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-right-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insideh:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-border-insidev:0.2500pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-alt:0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt 0.0000pt;width:546px;"><tbody><tr style="height:26.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="33" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">级别</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="209" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">定义</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="304" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: 1pt;border-style: solid;border-color: windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">本报告涉及数据</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:62.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="33" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">A</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="209" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">官方统计</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(统计局/海关/央行)</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="304" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">工业增加值、固投、社零、进出口、金融、就业、</span></font><span leaf="">PMI、房地产全量</span></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="33" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">B</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="209" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">官方解读</span></font><span leaf="">/部门口径</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="304" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">首席统计师解读、新闻发言人答记者问、结构性数据</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="33" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">C</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="209" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">机构测算</span></font><span leaf="">/市场共识</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="304" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">机构对政策效果的预测、经济增速展望</span></font></span></p></td></tr><tr style="height:49.0000pt;"><td data-colwidth="33" width="300" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><span leaf="">D</span></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="209" width="308" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">模型推算</span></font></span></p></td><td data-colwidth="304" width="304" valign="center" style="padding: 0pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;"><p style="text-align:justify;margin-top:0.0000pt;margin-right:0.0000pt;margin-bottom:0.0000pt;margin-left:0.0000pt;word-break:break-all;text-justify:inter-ideograph;vertical-align:baseline;line-height:14.0000pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;"><span style="font-family:宋体;color:rgb(0,0,0);letter-spacing:0.0000pt;mso-ansi-font-weight:normal;mso-ansi-font-style:normal;font-size:11.5000pt;"><font face="宋体"><span leaf="">单月推算值</span></font><span leaf="">&nbsp;(累计差值法)、跨源口径差异说明</span></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="margin-right: 0pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><br /></p><p style="margin-right: 6pt;margin-left: 0pt;word-break: break-all;vertical-align: baseline;"><span leaf=""><br /></span></p><section><span leaf=""><br /></span></section><p style="display: none;"><mp-style-type data-value="3"></mp-style-type></p>

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